scholarly journals Possible effects of potential lahars from Cotopaxi volcano on housing market prices

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Caleb Echegaray-Aveiga ◽  
Fabian Rodríguez-Espinosa ◽  
Theofilos Toulkeridis ◽  
Richard Damian Echegaray-Aveiga
Keyword(s):  
Housing Market ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Cotopaxi Volcano

Speculators and Middlemen: The Strategy and Performance of Investors in the Housing Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (11) ◽  
pp. 5212-5247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Bayer ◽  
Christopher Geissler ◽  
Kyle Mangum ◽  
James W Roberts
Keyword(s):  
Los Angeles ◽  
Housing Market ◽  
Capital Stock ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Using Data

Abstract Using data from the Los Angeles area from 1988 to 2012, we study the behavior and sources of returns of individual investors in the housing market. We document the existence of two distinct investor types. The first act as middlemen, purchasing substantially below and reselling above market prices throughout the cycle, improving liquidity and the existing capital stock in the process. The second act as speculators, who primarily enter during the boom, buying and selling at essentially market prices. Neither type anticipated the housing bust. We document similar behavior by speculators and middlemen in 96 other U.S. metro areas.

THE MAIN DIRECTIONS OF SOLVING THE SCIENTIFIC PROBLEM OF FORMING AND EVALUATING THE VALUE OF A PROFESSIONAL PORTFOLIO OF RENTAL HOUSING

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (175) ◽  
pp. 12-23
Author(s):  
S.G. Sternik ◽  
◽  
M.A. Lavrentyev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Housing Market ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
Institutional Environment ◽  
Rental Housing ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Value Management ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Housing Projects ◽  
Theoretical Substantiation ◽  
Housing Value

The article presents a comparative fundamental and statistical analysis and forecast of the professional rental housing segment development in Russia. According to the authors, the rental housing market development and the growth of its capitalization will lead to the reduction of system risks of the Russian market by limiting the volatility of housing market prices. Thus, the development of professional rental business, including companies with state participation, may become a promising direction in the new institutional environment. After researching factors that limit the development of the professional rental housing and evaluation of the influence of rental business on the housing markets, the authors make some proposals for stimulating rental segment of the market. Development of the professional rental business requires solving such scientific problems in the sphere of evaluation of housing development projects and financial management of economic entities’ as: theoretical substantiation of approaches to form and evaluate rental housing value, development of methodological tools and practical recommendations on value management of rental housing projects portfolio.

scholarly journals Price competition and nominal illusion: experimental evidence and a behavioural model

SERIEs ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio J. Morales ◽  
Enrique Fatas
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Housing Market ◽  
Experimental Evidence ◽  
Price Competition ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Local Market ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Money Illusion

AbstractThe standard approach to nominal illusion in Economics sees it as a transitory phenomenon, as economic agents eventually see through the nominal veil, making the right choices. Recent empirical studies suggest that money illusion may persist, distorting real prices in a variety of economic environments, including the housing market and the stock market. In this paper, we explore the emergence and persistence of nominal illusion in an experimental entry game where firms must choose which local market to enter, and then compete in prices. All local markets are equivalent in real terms and they only differ in the currency the price competition is run under. Our experimental results show a positive, persistent and monotone effect of the nominal exchange rate on market prices, statistically significant for large enough exchange rate. We provide an explanation in terms of players simplifying the choice set using discrete grids.

Evolution of the housing market under the framework of adaptive market hypothesis and martingale difference hypothesis: a case of India

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richa Pandey ◽  
V. Mary Jessica
Keyword(s):  
Social Psychology ◽  
Housing Market ◽  
Linear Dependence ◽  
Evolutionary Model ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Martingale Difference ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Evolutionary Forces ◽  
Non Linear

PurposeThe purpose of this study to evaluate the evolving market efficiency of the housing market under the framework of adaptive market hypothesis and martingale difference hypothesis taking a case of India.Design/methodology/approachThe study used a wild bootstrap version of the generalized spectral (GS) test in the rolling window framework to measure possible time-varying linear and non-linear dependence in the housing market.FindingsThe study finds that the Indian housing market, in general, is not efficient, and this efficiency is dynamic, which changes with time lending support to the adaptive market hypothesis. The study confirms that the evolutionary model of individuals adapting to a changing environment via behavioural biases affects the efficiency of the housing market, which leads to the evolving efficiency of the housing market prices.Research limitations/implicationsThe study believes that the potential implications go beyond evolutionary forces and the adaptive market hypothesis , which, does not only depend on an individual's decision-making process but also on social psychology. Thus, a further attempt in this line, taking into account the social psychology and quantitative rigour towards drivers of evolving efficiency is suggested for future research.Practical implicationsThe study suggests that there is a possibility of extra returns for market players, but not always. The Indian housing market has witnessed several landmark reforms in recent years, so it is believed that these reforms would decrease the inefficiency level of this market. Contrary to this, the study’s findings reveal an increase in the inefficiency level in recent years. As the Indian housing market shows evolving efficiency, it is believed that the increased inefficiency is temporary. The increased inefficiency can be regarded as the settlement stage of the various policy and technical reforms.Originality/valueConfirming the presence or absence of adaptive efficiency in the housing market under possible non-linear dependence will be a significant addition to the existing literature.

scholarly journals International Real Estate Review

2002 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Tu ◽  
◽  
Grace K. M. Wong ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Housing Market ◽  
Public Housing ◽  
Public Policies ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
The Public ◽  
New Public ◽  
Private Housing ◽  
Price Determinants ◽  
Housing Units

In Singapore, the public resale housing market is an active second-hand housing market, whereby previously subsidised new public housing units were being transacted at market prices. In contrast to the private housing price determinants that have been identified in the international literature, the prices of public resale housing in Singapore are largely determined by public policies rather than by economic variables. This paper provides some empirical evidence on how and to what degree public housing policies affected the price dynamics of public resale housing in Singapore during the 1990s. The findings have additional implications of the wider consequences of public policies on the prices of private housing units.

Analisis Rantai Nilai Komoditas Cabai Merah

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 336-346
Author(s):  
Dhamon Oridilla B
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Pattern ◽  
Distribution Patterns ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Commodity Chain ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Data Analyst ◽  
Bargaining Position ◽  
Agricultural Business ◽  
The Government ◽  
Red Peppers

Candi Village in Bandungan District is one of the Chili Supply Sub-district for Semarang Regency and surrounding area has agro-climate suitable for the development of various agricultural commodities supported by wide market opportunity, so it is suitable for agricultural business development. The purpose of this research is to identify the distribution pattern of red pepper, to know each value of commodity chains and distribution, to design alternative distribution pattern of red pepper.Population in this research is 88 respondents from 735 of member of chilli farmer in Desa Candi with total area of 150,3 hectare consisting of rice field, moor and yard. Methods of data analyst using quantitative approach is done by using Margin Marketing Analysis. The results include: (1) The pattern of distribution of existing farming business grows naturally in accordance with the developments and needs of the perpetrators, the actors in this pattern are farmers, wholesalers, collectors, wholesalers, retailers, consumers. (2) The value of the red chili commodity chain in this naturally grown pattern often makes pricing more dominant by traders, so farmers receive prices slightly lower than market prices. (3) Some obstacles faced in distributing red peppers are the difficulty of changing the mindset of the community about advanced farming, this is best utilized by market participants (chain of distribution) who are more informed and always keep abreast of market dynamics. Conventional marketing pattern by farmer cause price level accepted by farmer in general relatively smaller compared to price received by trader. Suggestions shorten the chain of distribution patterns, increase the added value of products and improve the bargaining position of farmers and for the government always guide / accompany farmers in getting accurate market information, which can be used as farmers in bargaining, Increased market transparency can act as a trigger for the functioning of a market, improved competition and increased adaptation to meet the needs of supply and opportunity to compete with market prices. Desa Candi di Kabupaten Bandungan adalah salah satu Kecamatan Penyedia Cabai untuk Kabupaten Semarang dan sekitarnya memiliki agroklimat yang cocok untuk pengembangan berbagai komoditas pertanian yang didukung oleh peluang pasar yang luas, sehingga sangat cocok untuk pengembangan bisnis pertanian. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengidentifikasi pola distribusi cabai merah, untuk mengetahui masing-masing nilai rantai komoditas dan distribusi, untuk merancang alternatif pola distribusi cabai merah. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah 88 responden dari 735 anggota petani cabai di Desa Candi dengan total luas 150,3 hektar yang terdiri dari sawah, tegalan dan pekarangan. Metode analis data menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dilakukan dengan menggunakan Analisis Pemasaran Margin. Hasil meliputi: (1) Pola distribusi usaha pertanian yang ada tumbuh secara alami sesuai dengan perkembangan dan kebutuhan pelaku, pelaku dalam pola ini adalah petani, pedagang besar, pengumpul, pedagang besar, pedagang besar, pengecer, konsumen. (2) Nilai rantai komoditas cabai merah dalam pola yang dikembangkan secara alami ini sering membuat penetapan harga lebih dominan oleh para pedagang, sehingga petani menerima harga yang sedikit lebih rendah daripada harga pasar. (3) Beberapa kendala yang dihadapi dalam mendistribusikan paprika merah adalah sulitnya mengubah pola pikir masyarakat tentang pertanian maju, hal ini paling baik digunakan oleh pelaku pasar (rantai distribusi) yang lebih banyak informasi dan selalu mengikuti perkembangan dinamika pasar. Pola pemasaran konvensional oleh petani menyebabkan tingkat harga yang diterima petani pada umumnya relatif lebih kecil dibandingkan dengan harga yang diterima pedagang. Saran mempersingkat rantai pola distribusi, meningkatkan nilai tambah produk dan meningkatkan posisi tawar petani dan bagi pemerintah selalu membimbing / menemani petani dalam mendapatkan informasi pasar yang akurat, yang dapat digunakan sebagai petani dalam tawar-menawar, Peningkatan transparansi pasar dapat bertindak sebagai pemicu berfungsinya pasar, meningkatnya kompetisi dan peningkatan adaptasi untuk memenuhi kebutuhan pasokan dan peluang untuk bersaing dengan harga pasar.

Solar Renewable Energy Credit Price Volatility and Investment Returns: Have Policies Stranded Capital Investment?

Commonwealth ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Somayeh Youssefi ◽  
Patrick L. Gurian
Keyword(s):  
Solar Energy ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
The United States ◽  
Investment Model ◽  
Capital Investments ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Investment Returns

Pennsylvania is one of a number of U.S. states that provide incentives for the generation of electricity by solar energy through Solar Renewal Energy Credits (SRECs). This article develops a return on investment model for solar energy generation in the PJM (mid-­Atlantic) region of the United States. Model results indicate that SREC values of roughly $150 are needed for residential scale systems to break even over a 25-­year project period at 3% interest. Market prices for SRECs in Pennsylvania have been well below this range from late 2011 through the first half of 2016, indicating that previous capital investments in solar generation have been stranded as a result of steep declines in the value of SRECs. A simple conceptual supply and demand model is developed to explain the sharp decline in market prices for SRECs. Also discussed is a possible policy remedy that would add unsold SRECs in a given year to the SREC quota for the subsequent year.

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