scholarly journals Central limit theorems for generalized Pólya urn models

2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 938-951 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Higueras ◽  
J. Moler ◽  
F. Plo ◽  
M. San Miguel

In this paper we obtain central limit theorems for generalized Pólya urn models with L ≥ 2 colors where one out of K different replacements (actions) is applied randomly at each step. Each possible action constitutes a row of the replacement matrix, which can be nonsquare and random. The actions are chosen following a probability distribution given by an arbitrary function of the proportions of the balls of different colors present in the urn. Moreover, under the same hypotheses it is proved that the covariance matrix of the asymptotic distribution is the solution of a Lyapunov equation, and a procedure is given to obtain the covariance matrix in an explicit form. Some applications of these results to random trees and adaptive designs in clinical trials are also presented.

2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (04) ◽  
pp. 938-951
Author(s):  
I. Higueras ◽  
J. Moler ◽  
F. Plo ◽  
M. San Miguel

In this paper we obtain central limit theorems for generalized Pólya urn models with L ≥ 2 colors where one out of K different replacements (actions) is applied randomly at each step. Each possible action constitutes a row of the replacement matrix, which can be nonsquare and random. The actions are chosen following a probability distribution given by an arbitrary function of the proportions of the balls of different colors present in the urn. Moreover, under the same hypotheses it is proved that the covariance matrix of the asymptotic distribution is the solution of a Lyapunov equation, and a procedure is given to obtain the covariance matrix in an explicit form. Some applications of these results to random trees and adaptive designs in clinical trials are also presented.


2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (03) ◽  
pp. 827-843 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafik Aguech

In this paper we study a generalized Pólya urn with balls of two colors and a random triangular replacement matrix. We extend some results of Janson (2004), (2005) to the case where the largest eigenvalue of the mean of the replacement matrix is not in the dominant class. Using some useful martingales and the embedding method introduced in Athreya and Karlin (1968), we describe the asymptotic composition of the urn after the nth draw, for large n.


2013 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 1169-1186 ◽  
Author(s):  
May-Ru Chen ◽  
Markus Kuba

We study an urn model introduced in the paper of Chen and Wei (2005), where at each discrete time step m balls are drawn at random from the urn containing colors white and black. Balls are added to the urn according to the inspected colors, generalizing the well known Pólya-Eggenberger urn model, case m = 1. We provide exact expressions for the expectation and the variance of the number of white balls after n draws, and determine the structure of higher moments. Moreover, we discuss extensions to more than two colors. Furthermore, we introduce and discuss a new urn model where the sampling of the m balls is carried out in a step-by-step fashion, and also introduce a generalized Friedman's urn model.


2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 827-843 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafik Aguech

In this paper we study a generalized Pólya urn with balls of two colors and a random triangular replacement matrix. We extend some results of Janson (2004), (2005) to the case where the largest eigenvalue of the mean of the replacement matrix is not in the dominant class. Using some useful martingales and the embedding method introduced in Athreya and Karlin (1968), we describe the asymptotic composition of the urn after the nth draw, for large n.


Author(s):  
Mikhail Chebunin ◽  
Sergei Zuyev

AbstractWe study the infinite urn scheme when the balls are sequentially distributed over an infinite number of urns labeled 1,2,... so that the urn j at every draw gets a ball with probability $$p_j$$ p j , where $$\sum _j p_j=1$$ ∑ j p j = 1 . We prove functional central limit theorems for discrete time and the Poissonized version for the urn occupancies process, for the odd occupancy and for the missing mass processes extending the known non-functional central limit theorems.


2018 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 1176-1192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antar Bandyopadhyay ◽  
Gursharn Kaur

Abstract In this paper we consider a new type of urn scheme, where the selection probabilities are proportional to a weight function, which is linear but decreasing in the proportion of existing colours. We refer to it as the de-preferential urn scheme. We establish the almost-sure limit of the random configuration for any balanced replacement matrix R. In particular, we show that the limiting configuration is uniform on the set of colours if and only if R is a doubly stochastic matrix. We further establish the almost-sure limit of the vector of colour counts and prove central limit theorems for the random configuration as well as for the colour counts.


2013 ◽  
Vol 50 (04) ◽  
pp. 1169-1186 ◽  
Author(s):  
May-Ru Chen ◽  
Markus Kuba

We study an urn model introduced in the paper of Chen and Wei (2005), where at each discrete time step m balls are drawn at random from the urn containing colors white and black. Balls are added to the urn according to the inspected colors, generalizing the well known Pólya-Eggenberger urn model, case m = 1. We provide exact expressions for the expectation and the variance of the number of white balls after n draws, and determine the structure of higher moments. Moreover, we discuss extensions to more than two colors. Furthermore, we introduce and discuss a new urn model where the sampling of the m balls is carried out in a step-by-step fashion, and also introduce a generalized Friedman's urn model.


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