scholarly journals Supporting scale-up of COVID-19 RT-PCR testing processes with discrete event simulation

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. e0255214
Author(s):  
Jad El Hage ◽  
Patti Gravitt ◽  
Jacques Ravel ◽  
Nadia Lahrichi ◽  
Erica Gralla

Testing is critical to mitigating the COVID-19 pandemic, but testing capacity has fallen short of the need in the United States and elsewhere, and long wait times have impeded rapid isolation of cases. Operational challenges such as supply problems and personnel shortages have led to these bottlenecks and inhibited the scale-up of testing to needed levels. This paper uses operational simulations to facilitate rapid scale-up of testing capacity during this public health emergency. Specifically, discrete event simulation models were developed to represent the RT-PCR testing process in a large University of Maryland testing center, which retrofitted high-throughput molecular testing capacity to meet pandemic demands in a partnership with the State of Maryland. The simulation models support analyses that identify process steps which create bottlenecks, and evaluate “what-if” scenarios for process changes that could expand testing capacity. This enables virtual experimentation to understand the trade-offs associated with different interventions that increase testing capacity, allowing the identification of solutions that have high leverage at a feasible and acceptable cost. For example, using a virucidal collection medium which enables safe discarding of swabs at the point of collection removed a time-consuming “deswabbing” step (a primary bottleneck in this laboratory) and nearly doubled the testing capacity. The models are also used to estimate the impact of demand variability on laboratory performance and the minimum equipment and personnel required to meet various target capacities, assisting in scale-up for any laboratories following the same process steps. In sum, the results demonstrate that by using simulation modeling of the operations of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing, preparedness planners are able to identify high-leverage process changes to increase testing capacity.

2012 ◽  
Vol 502 ◽  
pp. 7-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
L.P. Ferreira ◽  
E. Ares ◽  
G. Peláez ◽  
M. Marcos ◽  
M. Araújo

This paper proposes a methodology to analyze complex manufacturing systems, based on discrete-event simulation models. The methodology was validated by performing different simulation experiments and will be applied to a multistage multiproduct production line, based on a real case, with a closed-loop network configuration of machines and intermediate buffers consisting of conveyors, which is very common in the automobile sector. A simulation model in an Arena environment was developed, which allowed for an analysis of the important aspects not yet studied in specialized literature, namely the assessment of the impact of the production sequence on the automobile assembly line. Various sequence rules were analyzed and the performance of each of the corresponding simulation models was registered.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 2208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lily Popova Zhuhadar ◽  
Evelyn Thrasher

The need to control rising costs in healthcare has led to an increase in the use of data analytics to develop more efficient healthcare business models. This article discusses a simulation that uses data analytics to minimize the number of physicians and nurses needed in healthcare facilities during a crisis situation. Using a hypothetical emergency scenario, the hospital uses a healthcare analytical system to predict the necessary resources to govern the situation. Based on historical data regarding the flow of patients through the facility, a discrete-event simulation estimates resource scheduling and the resulting impact on both wait times and personnel demand. Furthermore, the value of multiple replications for discrete-event simulation models is discussed and defined, along with factors that enable greater control of multiple design points with this simulated experiment. The results of this study demonstrate the value of simulation modeling in effective resource planning. The addition of only a single doctor significantly reduced predicted wait times for patients during the crisis. Further, the findings support the use of data analytics and predictive modeling to mitigate rising healthcare costs in the United States through efficient planning and resource allocation.


Author(s):  
Markus Pfeffer ◽  
Richard Oechsner ◽  
Lothar Pfitzner ◽  
Heiner Ryssel ◽  
Berthold Ocker ◽  
...  

Semiconductor wafer fabrication facilities (wafer fabs) are amongst the most complex production facilities. State-of-the-art wafer fabs comprise a large product variety, hundreds of processing steps per product, almost hundreds of machines of different types, and automated transportation systems combined with reentrant flows throughout the fab. In addition to the high complexity, wafer fabs require very high capital investment and an undisturbed operation. Semiconductor manufacturers are facing fierce competition as more global capacity is being added. Through this intense competition, semiconductor manufacturers have to improve their processes from a technological as well as from a logistical point of view in order to be successful within the global market. The logistics not only involves fab wide optimization strategies but also the individual equipment performance, for example cycle time and throughput, has to be considered. In this paper, the need for performance optimization of semiconductor manufacturing equipment is identified and the capability of discrete event simulation for such optimizations is being elaborated. Characteristics of different types of simulation models are described and the simulation model selection is explained. For case studies, several simulation models of different semiconductor manufacturing equipment have been developed. Using five examples, different optimization strategies, dependent on the application of the semiconductor manufacturing equipment, have been investigated by discrete event simulation. The paper shows the influence of the integration of metrology into deposition equipment, the impact of different batch sizes for oxidation processes, and the optimized dimensioning of photolithography equipment. Furthermore, the throughput and cycle time of different deposition equipment are optimized by the evaluation of various improvement strategies. All investigations have been performed with real data extracted from already utilized equipment or at least with data from the equipment suppliers of prototype equipment.


Author(s):  
G.J. Melman ◽  
A.K. Parlikad ◽  
E.A.B. Cameron

AbstractCOVID-19 has disrupted healthcare operations and resulted in large-scale cancellations of elective surgery. Hospitals throughout the world made life-altering resource allocation decisions and prioritised the care of COVID-19 patients. Without effective models to evaluate resource allocation strategies encompassing COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 care, hospitals face the risk of making sub-optimal local resource allocation decisions. A discrete-event-simulation model is proposed in this paper to describe COVID-19, elective surgery, and emergency surgery patient flows. COVID-19-specific patient flows and a surgical patient flow network were constructed based on data of 475 COVID-19 patients and 28,831 non-COVID-19 patients in Addenbrooke’s hospital in the UK. The model enabled the evaluation of three resource allocation strategies, for two COVID-19 wave scenarios: proactive cancellation of elective surgery, reactive cancellation of elective surgery, and ring-fencing operating theatre capacity. The results suggest that a ring-fencing strategy outperforms the other strategies, regardless of the COVID-19 scenario, in terms of total direct deaths and the number of surgeries performed. However, this does come at the cost of 50% more critical care rejections. In terms of aggregate hospital performance, a reactive cancellation strategy prioritising COVID-19 is no longer favourable if more than 7.3% of elective surgeries can be considered life-saving. Additionally, the model demonstrates the impact of timely hospital preparation and staff availability, on the ability to treat patients during a pandemic. The model can aid hospitals worldwide during pandemics and disasters, to evaluate their resource allocation strategies and identify the effect of redefining the prioritisation of patients.


2015 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 632-659 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah A Alabdulkarim ◽  
Peter Ball ◽  
Ashutosh Tiwari

Purpose – Asset management has recently gained significance due to emerging business models such as Product Service Systems where the sale of asset use, rather than the sale of the asset itself, is applied. This leaves the responsibility of the maintenance tasks to fall on the shoulders of the manufacturer/supplier to provide high asset availability. The use of asset monitoring assists in providing high availability but the level of monitoring and maintenance needs to be assessed for cost effectiveness. There is a lack of available tools and understanding of their value in assessing monitoring levels. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – This research aims to develop a dynamic modelling approach using Discrete Event Simulation (DES) to assess such maintenance systems in order to provide a better understanding of the behaviour of complex maintenance operations. Interviews were conducted and literature was analysed to gather modelling requirements. Generic models were created, followed by simulation models, to examine how maintenance operation systems behave regarding different levels of asset monitoring. Findings – This research indicates that DES discerns varying levels of complexity of maintenance operations but that more sophisticated asset monitoring levels will not necessarily result in a higher asset performance. The paper shows that it is possible to assess the impact of monitoring levels as well as make other changes to system operation that may be more or less effective. Practical implications – The proposed tool supports the maintenance operations decision makers to select the appropriate asset monitoring level that suits their operational needs. Originality/value – A novel DES approach was developed to assess asset monitoring levels for maintenance operations. In applying this quantitative approach, it was demonstrated that higher asset monitoring levels do not necessarily result in higher asset availability. The work provides a means of evaluating the constraints in the system that an asset is part of rather than focusing on the asset in isolation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 543-560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandre Ferreira de Pinho ◽  
José Arnaldo Barra Montevechi ◽  
Fernando Augusto Silva Marins ◽  
Rafael Florêncio da Silva Costa ◽  
Rafael de Carvalho Miranda ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-128
Author(s):  
Marqus Burrell ◽  
Jeffrey Demarest ◽  
Sarah LaRue ◽  
Angelo Martinez ◽  
Wilson Meyer

The United States military uses Joint Logistics Over-the-Shore (JLOTS) operations to move soldiers, vehicles, and equipment across the globe for military and humanitarian missions. These logistics operations can only be accomplished through cooperation between commanders in all services.  The U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center is developing a tool to analyze a set of early entry alternatives to optimize mission effectives and efficiencies in order to facilitate assured mobility and freedom of movement. This program is currently being developed under the name Planning Logistics Analysis Network System (PLANS). PLANS comprehensively covers air, land, and sea transportation infrastructure, regions of avoidance, and more. This research addresses a gap in strategic and operational planning by modeling the establishment of JLOTS operations on bare beach environments. The West Point developed discrete event simulation will determine the amount of time it takes to prepare a beach to sustain JLOTS operations under varying environmental and operational conditions.


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