Review of seismic source models for underground nuclear explosions

1981 ◽  
Vol 71 (4) ◽  
pp. 1249-1268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert P. Massé

abstract A number of seismic source models for underground nuclear explosions have been developed over the past 2 decades. These models include the spherically symmetric compressional source model, the wave conversion source model, the tectonic strain release source model, the spall slapdown source model, and the near-regional source model. These model are reviewed in this study and are shown to be inconsistent with various geophysical data associated with underground nuclear explosions. In particular, the Rayleigh and Love wave signals generated by underground nuclear explosions have not been explained satisfactorily by any of these source models. To explain the observed explosion data, it may be necessary to model the explosion seismic source as a sequence of mechanisms producing seismic signals. These mechanisms all act within the first few seconds following the explosion detonation. One of the most important of these mechanisms is probably explosion-induced thrust faulting.

1974 ◽  
Vol 64 (4) ◽  
pp. 1275-1293
Author(s):  
Ola Dahlman

abstract A model is presented for the simultaneous detemination of the relative variation in transmission properties to different stations and of the relative differences between the seismic sources for closely spaced underground nuclear explosions recorded by a fixed seismological station network. The model is applied to short-period data reported from 24 globally distributed stations from 12 underground nuclear explosions with known yields at Nevada Test Site. The obtained transmission functions vary within a factor of 10 between the different stations and show a weak decrease with epicenter distance and little correlation with the Gutenberg amplitude-distance curve. The relative source functions for 10 explosions in tuff and rhyolite, with yields in the range 16 to 1,200 kt, are with good correlation proportional to explosion yield to 0.9. Two theoretical source-function models, one by Haskell (1967) and one by Mueller and Murphy (1971a), are compared with each other and they agree well for frequencies around 1 Hz and for yields in the range 3 to 300 kt. The Haskell model for tuff is modified to be more compatible with the models for salt, granite and alluvium. The Haskell model predicts stronger variation of the source functions with frequency and yield than the Mueller-Murphy model. The observed relative source functions are compared with the theoretical source functions obtained from the two source models. The agreement is fairly good but the relative decrease of the source functions at yields above 300 kt predicted by the theoretical models is not observed.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hervé Jomard ◽  
Edward Marc Cushing ◽  
Luigi Palumbo ◽  
Stéphane Baize ◽  
Claire David ◽  
...  

Abstract. The French Radioprotection and Nuclear Safety Institute (IRSN), with the support of the Ministry of Environment, compiled a database (BDFA) in order to define and characterize known potentially active faults of metropolitan France. The general structure of BDFA is presented in this paper. BDFA contains to date a total of 136 faults and represent a first step toward the implementation of seismic source models that would be used for both deterministic and probabilistic hazard calculations. An example transposing BDFA into a fault source model for PSHA (Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis) calculation is presented for the Upper Rhine Graben (Eastern France); and exploited in the parent paper (part B) in order to illustrate ongoing challenges for probabilistic fault-based seismic hazard calculations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rashad Sawires ◽  
Miguel A. Santoyo ◽  
José A. Peláez ◽  
Raúl Daniel Corona Fernández

Abstract Here we present a new updated and unified Poissonian earthquake catalog for Mexico. The details about the catalog compilation, the removal of duplicate events, unifying the magnitude scales, removal of dependent events through the declustering process and its completeness analysis are presented. Earthquake and focal mechanism data have been compiled from various local, regional and international sources. Large earthquake events (MW ≥ 6.5) have been carefully revised for their epicentral locations and magnitudes from trusted publications. Different magnitude-conversion relationships, compatible with available local and regional ones, has been established to obtain unified moment magnitude estimates for the whole catalog. Completeness periods for the declustered catalog were estimated for the definition of appropriate seismic source models for the whole territory. The final unified Poissonian earthquake catalog spans from 1787 to 2018, covering a spatial extent of 13° to 33°N and 91° to 117°W. This catalog is compatible with other published catalogs providing basis for new analysis related to seismicity, seismotectonics and seismic hazard assessment in Mexico.


Geotechnics ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-31
Author(s):  
Brian Carlton ◽  
Andy Barwise ◽  
Amir M. Kaynia

Offshore wind has become a major contributor to reducing global carbon emissions. This paper presents a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the Sofia Offshore Wind Farm, which is located about 200 km north-east of England in the southern North Sea and will be one of the largest offshore wind farms in the world once completed. The seismic source characterization is composed of two areal seismic source models and four seismic source models derived using smoothed gridded seismicity with earthquake catalogue data processed by different techniques. The ground motion characterization contains eight ground motion models selected based on comparisons with regional data. The main findings are (1) the variation in seismic hazard across the site is negligible; (2) the main source controlling the hazard is the source that includes the 1931 Dogger Bank earthquake; (3) earthquake scenarios controlling the hazard are Mw = 5.0–6.3 and R = 110–210 km; and (4) the peak ground accelerations on rock are lower than for previous regional studies. These results could help guide future seismic hazard assessments in the North Sea.


1975 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 343-349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald L. Springer ◽  
Ross L. Kinnaman

abstract A summary of information is presented for all announced U.S. underground nuclear explosions detonated during the 1971-1973 time period. The data include detonation times, locations, and depths of burial, as well as information about shot media and surface collapse (subsidence) phenomena. This summary is an addendum to a previous publication which covered the period 1961-1970, and includes some additions and corrections to that work.


2020 ◽  
Vol 221 (1) ◽  
pp. 251-264
Author(s):  
Michael Howe ◽  
Göran Ekström ◽  
Paul G Richards

SUMMARY We have reanalysed observations of body waves and surface waves for 71 well-recorded underground nuclear explosions (UNEs) that were conducted between 1977 and 1989 at the Balapan subregion of the Semipalatinsk Test Site in Kazakhstan. To reconcile differences between body-wave and surface-wave amplitudes, we solve for a scaling factor between vertical and horizontal forces in the explosion model. We find that the estimated scaling factor is anticorrelated with the scaled depth of burial for the subset of UNEs at Balapan that have published depths. The observed anticorrelation and the inferred variations in force scaling suggest that recorded surface-wave amplitudes are significantly influenced by UNE burial depth as well as by previously recognized tectonic release. As part of our analysis, we revisit the relationship between teleseismic mb(P) and yield for UNEs at Balapan, and discuss the physical basis for effectiveness of the mb–MS discriminant.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 984-995
Author(s):  
Luis Fernando Vergaray Astupina ◽  
Zenón Aguilar B. ◽  
Renzo S. Cornejo

Throughout the years seismic hazard calculations in Peru have been developed using area sources models, having to date a great variety of models, however, since they are discretized planar models, they cannot adequately represent the continuity and subduction characteristics of the Nazca Plate. The main objective of this work is the developing of a surface subduction model (SSM), useful for seismic hazard assessments as well as the revision and control of previous models used in this sort of assessments. In this study a spatial interpolation was performed employing the Local Polynomial Interpolation method to capture short-range variation in addition to long-range trends. The data base is based on the compilation of seismic catalogs from Peruvian and international institutions such as the IGP, the USGS, the ISC and others, subsequently, in order to have independent events the elimination of duplicate events, aftershocks and foreshocks was carried out. Then, by interpolation of the focal depths of the independent events, a subduction surface model (SSM) was generated as well as a Standard Error Surface which supports a good correlation of the model. Furthermore, 14 transversal sections of the SSM was employed to compare with the hypocenter’s distributions, evidencing a good correlation with the spatial distribution of the events, in addition to adequately capturing the subduction characteristics of the Nazca Plate. Finally, a comparison was made between 2 Peruvian area models for seismic hazard and SSM developed in the present research, evidencing that seismic source models of the area type have deficiencies mainly in the depths they consider, thus is recommended the use of the present model for future seismic hazard assessments.


1999 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Balassanian ◽  
T. Ashirov ◽  
T. Chelidze ◽  
A. Gassanov ◽  
N. Kondorskaya ◽  
...  

The GSHAP CAUCAS test area was established under the INTAS Ct.94-1644 (Test Area for sismic Hazard Assessment in the Caucasus) and NATO ARW Ct.95-1521 (Historical and Prehistorical Earthquakes in the Caucasus), with the initial support of IASPEI, UNESCO and ILP. The high tectonic interest and seismicity rate of the whole area, the availability of abundant multi-disciplinary data and the long established tradition in hazard assessment provide a unique opportunity to test different methodologies in a common test area and attempt to establish some consensus in the scientific community. Starting from the same input data (historical and instrumental seismic catalogue, lineament and homogeneous seismic source models) six independent approaches to seismic hazard assessment have been used, ranging from pure historical deterministic to seismotectonic probabilistic and areal assessment methodologies. The results are here compared.


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