scholarly journals The Causality between Capital Formation and Economic Growth in MENA Region

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
North Africa ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Mena Region ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Strong Causality

This paper investigates the causal relationship between gross domestic investment (INV) and GDP for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. The results show a strong causality from economic growth to investment in these countries. Yet, investment does not have any significant effects on GDP in short- and long-run. It means that it is the GDP that drives investment in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher investment. According to the results, decision makings should be employed to achieve sustainable growth through higher productivity and substantially enlarging the economic base diversification in the future

scholarly journals The Causality between Education and GDP Growth in Asian Countries

2015 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 28-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Formal Education ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Variable Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Educational Investments

This paper investigates the causal relationship between education and GDP in 40 Asian countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. A three-variable model is formulated with capital formation as the third variable. The results show a strong causality from investment and economic growth to education in these countries. Yet, education does not have any significant effects on GDP and investment in short- and long-run. It means that it is the capital formation and GDP that drives education in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher education proxy. It seems that as the number of enrollments raise, the quality of the education declines. Moreover, the formal education systems are not market oriented in these countries. This may be the reason why huge educational investments in these developing countries fail to generate higher growth. By promoting practice-oriented training for students particularly in technical disciplines and matching education system to the needs of the labor market, it will help create long-term jobs and improve the country’s future prospects.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Economic Growth and Human Capital in Developing Countries

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 55-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Formal Education ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Variable Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Educational Investments

This paper investigates the causal relationship between education and GDP in developing countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. A three-variable model is formulated with capital formation as the third variable. The results show a strong causality from investment and economic growth to education in these countries. Yet, education does not have any significant effects on GDP and investment in short- and long-run. It means that it is the capital formation and GDP that drives education in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher education proxy. It seems that as the number of enrollments raise, the quality of the education declines. Moreover, the formal education systems are not market oriented in these countries. This may be the reason why huge educational investments in these developing countries fail to generate higher growth. By promoting practice-oriented training for students particularly in technical disciplines and matching education system to the needs of the labor market, it will help create long-term jobs and improve the country’s future prospects.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Non-Oil Trade and GDP in Petroleum Exporting Countries

2013 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 63-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara
Keyword(s):  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Unit Root Tests ◽  
Panel Unit Root Tests ◽  
Variable Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Strong Causality ◽  
Oil Revenues ◽  
The Relationship

This paper investigates the causal relationship between non-oil international trade and the GDP in a panel of 11 selected oil exporting countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis. A three-variable model is formulated with oil revenues as the third variable. The results show a strong causality from oil revenues and economic growth to trade in the oil exporting countries. Yet, non-oil trade does not have any significant effects on GDP in short- and long-run. It means that it is the oil and GDP that drives the trade in mentioned countries, not vice versa. According to the results, decision makings should be employed to achieve sustainable growth through higher productivity and substantially enlarging the economic base diversification in the future.

scholarly journals Investment and Saving Nexus in Asian Countries: Panel Cointegration and Causality

2013 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Unit Root Tests ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Panel Unit Root Tests ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Panel Unit Root ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Saving Rates

This paper investigates the causal relationship between gross domestic investment (INV) and saving rates for 40 Asian countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. The results indicate no long run relationship as well as no causalities between these two variables in these countries. The findings are attributed to non stationary deficits or surpluses in current accounts.

scholarly journals Education and Economic Growth in NER States of India: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-105
Author(s):  
Md. Samsur Jaman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Welfare ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Eastern Region ◽  
Social Sector ◽  
Long Run ◽  
North Eastern ◽  
Social Expenditures

The main purpose of this study is examines the long run relationship between social expenditures and economic growth in North-Eastern states of India. The long run impact of expenditures in social sector such as education, health and social welfare on economic growth is investigated by applying the Pedroni’s panel Cointegration using balanced panel data analysis of eight (8) North Eastern states over the period from 2000 to 2014. In this study empirical analysis suggest the existence of dynamic relationship among expenditures on education, health and social welfare and economic growth for all cases of eight sample states. The study concludes that expenditures in the social sector can affect economic growth. Such social expenditures enhance productivity by providing infrastructure, education, health and harmonizing social interests. Thus, expenditure composition can also play an important role in promoting economic growth in North-Eastern region.

scholarly journals Energy and economic growth in G20 countries: Panel cointegration analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aynur Pala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Dynamic Ols

Rising economic performance has enlarged energy demand, carbon emissions and global warming. Policymakers need to avoid global warming. Therefore, energy-growth nexus is important. This paper empirically investigates the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for a panel of G20 countries over the period 1990-2016. For this purpose, the paper considers the panel cointegration and panel vector error correction model. Panel cointegration test set out a long-run equilibrium relationship. Long-run relationship is estimated using a Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) and Dynamic OLS (DOLS). The results show that causality run from energy consumption to GDP. It is indicates that “growth hypothesis” is valid for G20 countries.

scholarly journals Gas pipeline infrastructure and economic growth of Russian regions: panel cointegration analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 02002
Author(s):  
Alexander Belinsky
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Distribution Systems ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Central Russia ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

The Russian gas supply system is one of the largest infrastructures in the world. It is continuing to develop at a high rate. Modern methodological approaches and software allow to investigate the relationship between the development of energy infrastructure and economic dynamics of the regions. This paper proposes a methodological approach to the evaluation of the relationship “development of gas distribution systems – economic growth”. The evaluation is based on the concept of cointegration and an error-correction models. This approach identifies both long-run and short-run components of this relationship. In this paper we aim to estimate the relationship using annual data of 17 Central Russia regions for the period 1998-2017. The results indicate that this relationship is statistically significant. It allows to apply proposed approach and the obtained estimates to the problems of analysis and forecasting of the domestic gas market.

scholarly journals Does Environmental Stress Affect Economic Growth: Evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council countries?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Osama Daifalla D. Sweidan ◽  
Khadiga Elbargathi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Environmental Stress ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita

Abstract This paper empirically investigates the influence of environmental stress on economic growth in the GCC countries during (1995-2016). We use a panel cointegration analysis and compute an autoregressive distributed lag model. Our paper is motivated by the high CO2 emissions per capita and environmental stress in these countries relative to other countries. We assume that the income per capita is a function of the natural resource’s rents and environmental stress. Our findings show that environmental stress has a positive and significant effect on economic growth, mainly in the long run. Further, the natural resources’ rents have a significant positive effect in the short run, while the long run impact is negative. Our paper’s policy implication states that economic policymakers should monitor and evaluate future environmental stress outcomes in these countries. There is no guarantee that the positive influence prevails. Therefore, they should diversify their economies and energy resources.Jel Classification: Q51, Q56.

scholarly journals Panel Cointegration Analysis of Military Expenditure and Economic Growth in the Selected Balkan Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 59 (3) ◽  
pp. 375-390
Author(s):  
Branimir Kalaš ◽  
Vera Mirović ◽  
Nada Milenković
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Military Expenditure ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Balkan Countries ◽  
Economic Trends

Abstract The issue of security and safety i s a fundamental condition for stable economic trends. Military expenditure can be a very powerful tool for a rapid economic growth. The paper examines the long-run relationship between military expenditure and economic growth in the selected Balkan countries, such as Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia and Slovenia for the period 2004-2018. The analysis implies a panel unit root test, a panel cointegration test, as well as a panel Granger causality test. The results have identified a long-run relationship between military expenditure and economic growth in the Balkan countries based on panel data analysis. Also, empirical findings have confirmed that shock experience in one of the countries’ military expenditure and economic growth have effect on other countries. Finally, the results have determined unidirectional causality from military expenditure to economic growth in these countries and not vice versa.

Export-led Growth Hypothesis in MINT Countries: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harun Bal ◽  
Shahanara Basher ◽  
Abdulla Hil Mamun ◽  
Emrah Akça
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Promotion Strategy ◽  
Key Factor ◽  
Good Number ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

The contribution of exports to GDP in MINT countries that improve substantially just after their implantation of export promotion strategy in the late 1980s raises the issue of whether the growth in these countries is led by export or not. While a good number of studies have been found investigating whether economic growth is promoted by exports for developing countries having an outstanding share of export in GDP, no study investigating the export-led growth hypothesis for MINT countries has been found until recent times. The main purpose of this study is to fill up the void. The study employs panel cointegration technique with an aim to examine whether the export is the key factor of economic growth for MINT countries employing yearly secondary data that covers the period. Results of the study imply that economic growth of these countries is considerably exports driven. Moreover, there is an indication of improvement of efficiency as exports work along with the rise capital formation. As the employment opportunity of an economy is expanded through capital formation, the emerging MINT countries endowed with large population and favorable demographics are expected to become the major exporters with strong GDP growth by being able to attract adequate foreign investment.

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