History Matching and Production Forecast With Logs as Effective Completion and Reservoir-Managing Tools in Horizontal and Vertical Wells

2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (05) ◽  
pp. 596-608
Author(s):  
Carlos F. Haro

Summary Simulation history matching is a daunting, time-consuming task with numerous unknowns and several plausible answers. Scale differences in the data frequently obscure results, limiting its application in completion strategies. Good history matching does not guarantee accurate production forecasts, however. Reliable predictions, required for well planning, depend on the ability of the user to reduce the uncertainties to find consistent and timely solutions. Logs can provide appropriate conditioning data for history matching to enable its use for reservoir management. Electrofacies, capillary pressure, and absolute and relative permeability, imprinted on logs, can be mathematically linked with irreducible water saturation (Swi). Unlike reservoir simulators, well logs are at the right scale for completion designs. Logs facilitate upscaling, honoring rock and fluid properties and the physics of flow (Haro 2006). Logs are snapshot measurements that are amenable for conversion into dynamic forecasting tools by use of flow and pressure equations. This concept permits creation of synthetic production logs (SPLTs) over time, from which production decline can be calculated. This method consists of integrating material balance, flow/ pressure algorithms, fluid data, cores, and log data. Thus, the corresponding analytical expressions are required. In this approach, every well represents a finite, gridded tank, capable of producing a measurable volume of fluids, limited by its petrophysical constraints. Superposition, in terms of pressure and flow, combines the various components within and among wells. The quality of the results is ensured because material balance must be honored at every depth at all times under different production scenarios and the prevailing drive mechanism. This log-handling technique helps when making strategic economic decisions to maximize reserves and optimize the reservoir-development plan. This strategy is used to obtain oil in place (OIP), drainage radii, lateral connectivity, fluid-bank arrival times, productivity indices (PIs), inflow performance relationship (IPR), production allocation, and recovery per zone per well. Current log analyses or simulators generally do not provide these parameters at this detail. This refined use of logs streamlines completion designs and improves conformance, enabling us to comply with an important part of daily reservoir management.

2019 ◽  
Vol 89 ◽  
pp. 01004
Author(s):  
Dylan Shaw ◽  
Peyman Mostaghimi ◽  
Furqan Hussain ◽  
Ryan T. Armstrong

Due to the poroelasticity of coal, both porosity and permeability change over the life of the field as pore pressure decreases and effective stress increases. The relative permeability also changes as the effective stress regime shifts from one state to another. This paper examines coal relative permeability trends for changes in effective stress. The unsteady-state technique was used to determine experimental relativepermeability curves, which were then corrected for capillary-end effect through history matching. A modified Brooks-Corey correlation was sufficient for generating relative permeability curves and was successfully used to history match the laboratory data. Analysis of the corrected curves indicate that as effective stress increases, gas relative permeability increases, irreducible water saturation increases and the relative permeability cross-point shifts to the right.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1484-1489

Reservoir performance prediction is important aspect of the oil & gas field development planning and reserves estimation which depicts the behavior of the reservoir in the future. Reservoir production success is dependent on precise illustration of reservoir rock properties, reservoir fluid properties, rock-fluid properties and reservoir flow performance. Petroleum engineers must have sound knowledge of the reservoir attributes, production operation optimization and more significant, to develop an analytical model that will adequately describe the physical processes which take place in the reservoir. Reservoir performance prediction based on material balance equation which is described by Several Authors such as Muskat, Craft and Hawkins, Tarner’s, Havlena & odeh, Tracy’s and Schilthuis. This paper compares estimation of reserve using dynamic simulation in MBAL software and predictive material balance method after history matching of both of this model. Results from this paper shows functionality of MBAL in terms of history matching and performance prediction. This paper objective is to set up the basic reservoir model, various models and algorithms for each technique are presented and validated with the case studies. Field data collected related to PVT analysis, Production and well data for quality check based on determining inconsistencies between data and physical reality with the help of correlations. Further this paper shows history matching to match original oil in place and aquifer size. In the end conclusion obtained from different plots between various parameters reflect the result in history match data, simulation result and Future performance of the reservoir system and observation of these results represent similar simulation and future prediction plots result.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Aderemi ◽  
Husain Ali Al Lawati ◽  
Mansura Khalfan Al Rawahy ◽  
Hassan Kolivand ◽  
Manish Kumar Singh ◽  
...  

Abstract This paper presents an innovative and practical workflow framework implemented in an Oman southern asset. The asset consists of three isolated accumulations or fields or structures that differ in rock and fluid properties. Each structure has multiple stacked members of Gharif and Alkhlata formations. Oil production started in 1986, with more than 60 commingling wells. The accumulations are not only structurally and stratigraphically complicated but also dynamically complex with numerous input uncertainties. It was impossible to assist the history matching process using a modern optimization-based technique due to the structural complexities of the reservoirs and magnitudes of the uncertain parameters. A structured history-matching approach, Stratigraphic Method (SM), was adopted and guided by suitable subsurface physics by adjusting multi-uncertain parameters simultaneously within the uncertainty envelope to mimic the model response. An essential step in this method is the preliminary analysis, which involved integrating various geological and engineering data to understand the reservoir behavior and the physics controlling the reservoir dynamics. The first step in history-matching these models was to adjust the critical water saturation to correct the numerical water production by honoring the capillary-gravity equilibrium and reservoir fluid flow dynamics. The significance of adjusting the critical water saturation before modifying other parameters and the causes of this numerical water production is discussed. Subsequently, the other major uncertain parameters were identified and modified, while a localized adjustment was avoided except in two wells. This local change was guided by a streamlined technique to ensure minimal model modification and retain geological realism. Overall, acceptable model calibration results were achieved. The history-matching framework's novelty is how the numerical water production was controlled above the transition zone and how the reservoir dynamics were understood from the limited data.


2008 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 759-767 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Shah Kabir ◽  
Nidhal I. Mohammed ◽  
Manoj K. Choudhary

Summary Understanding reservoir behavior is the key to reservoir management. This study shows how energy modeling with rapid material-balance techniques, followed by numerical simulations with streamlines and finite-difference methods, aided understanding of reservoir-flow behavior. South Rumaila's long and elongated Zubair reservoir experiences uneven aquifer support from the western and eastern flanks. This uneven pressure support prompted injection in the weaker eastern flank to boost reservoir energy. We learned that aquifer influx provided nearly 95% of the reservoir's energy in its 50-year producing life, with water injection contributing less than 5% of the total energy supply. The west-to-east aquifer energy support is approximately 29:1, indicating the dominance of aquifer support in the west. Streamline simulations with a 663,000-cell model corroborated many of the findings learned during the material-balance phase of this study. Cursory adjustments to aquifer properties led to acceptable match with pulse-neutron capture or PNC-derived-time-lapse oil/water contact (OWC) surfaces. This global-matching approach speeded up the history-matching exercise in that performance of most wells was reproduced, without resorting to local adjustments of the cell properties. The history-matched model showed that the top layers contained the attic oil owing to lack of perforations. Lessons learned from this study include the idea that the material-balance work should precede any numerical flow-simulation study because it provides invaluable insights into reservoir-drive mechanisms and integrity of various input data, besides giving a rapid assessment of the reservoir's flow behavior. Credible material-balance work leaves very little room for adjustment of original hydrocarbons in place, which constitutes an excellent starting point for numerical models. Introduction Before the advent of widespread use of computers and numeric simulators, material-balance (MB) studies were the norm for reservoir management. In this context, Stewart et al. (1954), Irby et al. (1962), and McEwen (1962) presented useful studies. Most popular MB methods include those of Havlena and Odeh (1963), Campbell and Campbell (1978), and Tehrani (1985), among others. Pletcher (2002) provides a comprehensive review of the available MB techniques. In the modern era, classical MB studies seldom precede a full-field numeric modeling, presumably because MB is implicit in this approach. Nonetheless, we think valuable lessons can be learned from analytic MB studies at a fraction of time needed for detailed numeric modeling, preceded by geologic modeling. Of course, the value and amount of information derived from a multicell numeric model cannot be compared to a single-cell MB model. But, an analytic MB study can be an excellent precursor to any detailed 3D modeling effort. Although this point has been made by others (Dake 1994; Pletcher 2002), practice has, however, lagged conventional wisdom. In this paper, we attempt to show the value of a zero-dimensional MB study prior to doing detailed 3D numeric modeling, using both streamline and finite-difference methods. Streamline simulations speeded up the history-matching effort by a factor of three. However, we used the finite-difference approach in prediction runs for its greater flexibility in invoking various producing rules. Initially, the MB study provided key learnings about gross reservoir behavior very rapidly. In particular, energy contributions made by different drive mechanisms, such as uneven natural water influx and water injection, were of great interest for ongoing reservoir-management activities. Estimating in-place hydrocarbon volume and relative strength of the aquifer in the western and eastern flanks constituted key objectives of this study segment. Following the MB segment of the study, we pursued full-field match of historical data (pressure and OWC) with a streamline flow simulator to take advantage of rapid turnaround time. Thereafter, prediction runs were made with the finite-difference model to answer the ongoing water-injection question in the eastern flank of the reservoir. We learned that water injection should be turned off for improved sweep, leading to increased ultimate oil recovery. In addition, the numeric models identified the presence of remaining oil in the attic for future exploitation.


1985 ◽  
Vol 25 (06) ◽  
pp. 945-953 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark A. Miller ◽  
H.J. Ramey

Abstract Over the past 20 years, a number of studies have reported temperature effects on two-phase relative permeabilities in porous media. Some of the reported results, however, have been contradictory. Also, observed effects have not been explained in terms of fundamental properties known to govern two-phase flow. The purpose of this study was to attempt to isolate the fundamental properties affecting two-phase relative permeabilities at elevated temperatures. Laboratory dynamic-displacement relative permeability measurements were made on unconsolidated and consolidated sand cores with water and a refined white mineral oil. Experiments were run on 2-in. [5.1-cm] -diameter, 20-in. [52.-cm] -long cores from room temperature to 300F [149C]. Unlike previous researchers, we observed essentially no changes with temperature in either residual saturations or relative permeability relationships. We concluded that previous results may have been affected by viscous previous results may have been affected by viscous instabilities, capillary end effects, and/or difficulties in maintaining material balances. Introduction Interest in measuring relative permeabilities at elevated temperatures began in the 1960's with petroleum industry interest in thermal oil recovery. Early thermal oil recovery field operations (well heaters, steam injection, in-situ combustion) indicated oil flow rate increases far in excess of what was predicted by viscosity reductions resulting from heating. This suggested that temperature affects relative permeabilities. One of the early studies of temperature effects on relative permeabilities was presented by Edmondson, who performed dynamic displacement measurements with crude performed dynamic displacement measurements with crude and white oils and distilled water in Berea sandstone cores. Edmondson reported that residual oil saturations (ROS's) (at the end of 10 PV's of water injected) decreased with increasing temperature. Relative permeability ratios decreased with temperature at high water saturations but increased with temperature at low water saturations. A series of elevated-temperature, dynamic-displacement relative permeability measurements on clean quartz and "natural" unconsolidated sands were reported by Poston et al. Like Edmondson, Poston et al. reported a decrease in the "practical" ROS (at less than 1 % oil cut) as temperature increased. Poston et al. also reported an increase in irreducible water saturation. Although irreducible water saturations decreased with decreasing temperature, they did not revert to the original room temperature values. It was assumed that the cores became increasingly water-wet with an increase in both temperature and time; measured changes of the IFT and the contact angle with temperature increase, however, were not sufficient to explain observed effects. Davidson measured dynamic-displacement relative permeability ratios on a coarse sand and gravel core with permeability ratios on a coarse sand and gravel core with white oil displaced by distilled water, nitrogen, and superheated steam at temperatures up to 540F [282C]. Starting from irreducible water saturation, relative permeability ratio curves were similar to Edmondson's. permeability ratio curves were similar to Edmondson's. Starting from 100% oil saturation, however, the curves changed significantly only at low water saturations. A troublesome aspect of Davidson's work was that he used a hydrocarbon solvent to clean the core between experiments. No mention was made of any consideration of wettability changes, which could explain large increases in irreducible water saturations observed in some runs. Sinnokrot et al. followed Poston et al.'s suggestion of increasing water-wetness and performed water/oil capillary pressure measurements on consolidated sandstone and limestone cores from room temperature up to 325F [163C]. Sinnokrot et al confirmed that, for sandstones, irreducible water saturation appeared to increase with temperature. Capillary pressures increased with temperature, and the hysteresis between drainage and imbibition curves reduced to essentially zero at 300F [149C]. With limestone cores, however, irreducible water saturations remained constant with increase in temperature, as did capillary pressure curves. Weinbrandt et al. performed dynamic displacement experiments on small (0.24 to 0.49 cu in. [4 to 8 cm3] PV) consolidated Boise sandstone cores to 175F [75C] PV) consolidated Boise sandstone cores to 175F [75C] with distilled water and white oil. Oil relative permeabilities shifted toward high water saturations with permeabilities shifted toward high water saturations with increasing temperature, while water relative permeabilities exhibited little change. Weinbrandt et al. confirmed the findings of previous studies that irreducible water saturation increases and ROS decreases with increasing temperature. SPEJ P. 945


2001 ◽  
Vol 4 (06) ◽  
pp. 455-466 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Graue ◽  
T. Bognø ◽  
B.A. Baldwin ◽  
E.A. Spinler

Summary Iterative comparison between experimental work and numerical simulations has been used to predict oil-recovery mechanisms in fractured chalk as a function of wettability. Selective and reproducible alteration of wettability by aging in crude oil at an elevated temperature produced chalk blocks that were strongly water-wet and moderately water-wet, but with identical mineralogy and pore geometry. Large scale, nuclear-tracer, 2D-imaging experiments monitored the waterflooding of these blocks of chalk, first whole, then fractured. This data provided in-situ fluid saturations for validating numerical simulations and evaluating capillary pressure- and relative permeability-input data used in the simulations. Capillary pressure and relative permeabilities at each wettability condition were measured experimentally and used as input for the simulations. Optimization of either Pc-data or kr-curves gave indications of the validity of these input data. History matching both the production profile and the in-situ saturation distribution development gave higher confidence in the simulations than matching production profiles only. Introduction Laboratory waterflood experiments, with larger blocks of fractured chalk where the advancing waterfront has been imaged by a nuclear tracer technique, showed that changing the wettability conditions from strongly water-wet to moderately water-wet had minor impact on the the oil-production profiles.1–3 The in-situ saturation development, however, was significantly different, indicating differences in oil-recovery mechanisms.4 The main objective for the current experiments was to determine the oil-recovery mechanisms at different wettability conditions. We have reported earlier on a technique that reproducibly alters wettability in outcrop chalk by aging the rock material in stock-tank crude oil at an elevated temperature for a selected period of time.5 After applying this aging technique to several blocks of chalk, we imaged waterfloods on blocks of outcrop chalk at different wettability conditions, first as a whole block, then when the blocks were fractured and reassembled. Earlier work reported experiments using an embedded fracture network,4,6,7 while this work also studied an interconnected fracture network. A secondary objective of these experiments was to validate a full-field numerical simulator for prediction of the oil production and the in-situ saturation dynamics for the waterfloods. In this process, the validity of the experimentally measured capillary pressure and relative permeability data, used as input for the simulator, has been tested at strongly water-wet and moderately water-wet conditions. Optimization of either Pc data or kr curves for the chalk matrix in the numerical simulations of the whole blocks at different wettabilities gave indications of the data's validity. History matching both the production profile and the in-situ saturation distribution development gave higher confidence in the simulations of the fractured blocks, in which only the fracture representation was a variable. Experimental Rock Material and Preparation. Two chalk blocks, CHP8 and CHP9, approximately 20×12×5 cm thick, were obtained from large pieces of Rørdal outcrop chalk from the Portland quarry near Ålborg, Denmark. The blocks were cut to size with a band saw and used without cleaning. Local air permeability was measured at each intersection of a 1×1-cm grid on both sides of the blocks with a minipermeameter. The measurements indicated homogeneous blocks on a centimeter scale. This chalk material had never been contacted by oil and was strongly water-wet. The blocks were dried in a 90°C oven for 3 days. End pieces were mounted on each block, and the whole assembly was epoxy coated. Each end piece contained three fittings so that entering and exiting fluids were evenly distributed with respect to height. The blocks were vacuum evacuated and saturated with brine containing 5 wt% NaCl+3.8 wt% CaCl2. Fluid data are found in Table 1. Porosity was determined from weight measurements, and the permeability was measured across the epoxy-coated blocks, at 2×10–3 µm2 and 4×10–3 µm2, for CHP8 and CHP9, respectively (see block data in Table 2). Immobile water saturations of 27 to 35% pore volume (PV) were established for both blocks by oilflooding. To obtain uniform initial water saturation, Swi, oil was injected alternately at both ends. Oilfloods of the epoxy-coated block, CHP8, were carried out with stock-tank crude oil in a heated pressure vessel at 90°C with a maximum differential pressure of 135 kPa/cm. CHP9 was oilflooded with decane at room temperature. Wettability Alteration. Selective and reproducible alteration of wettability, by aging in crude oil at elevated temperatures, produced a moderately water-wet chalk block, CHP8, with similar mineralogy and pore geometry to the untreated strongly water-wet chalk block CHP9. Block CHP8 was aged in crude oil at 90°C for 83 days at an immobile water saturation of 28% PV. A North Sea crude oil, filtered at 90°C through a chalk core, was used to oilflood the block and to determine the aging process. Two twin samples drilled from the same chunk of chalk as the cut block were treated similar to the block. An Amott-Harvey test was performed on these samples to indicate the wettability conditions after aging.8 After the waterfloods were terminated, four core plugs were drilled out of each block, and wettability measurements were conducted with the Amott-Harvey test. Because of possible wax problems with the North Sea crude oil used for aging, decane was used as the oil phase during the waterfloods, which were performed at room temperature. After the aging was completed for CHP8, the crude oil was flushed out with decahydronaphthalene (decalin), which again was flushed out with n-decane, all at 90°C. Decalin was used as a buffer between the decane and the crude oil to avoid asphalthene precipitation, which may occur when decane contacts the crude oil.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 626
Author(s):  
Jiyuan Zhang ◽  
Bin Zhang ◽  
Shiqian Xu ◽  
Qihong Feng ◽  
Xianmin Zhang ◽  
...  

The relative permeability of coal to gas and water exerts a profound influence on fluid transport in coal seams in both primary and enhanced coalbed methane (ECBM) recovery processes where multiphase flow occurs. Unsteady-state core-flooding tests interpreted by the Johnson–Bossler–Naumann (JBN) method are commonly used to obtain the relative permeability of coal. However, the JBN method fails to capture multiple gas–water–coal interaction mechanisms, which inevitably results in inaccurate estimations of relative permeability. This paper proposes an improved assisted history matching framework using the Bayesian adaptive direct search (BADS) algorithm to interpret the relative permeability of coal from unsteady-state flooding test data. The validation results show that the BADS algorithm is significantly faster than previous algorithms in terms of convergence speed. The proposed method can accurately reproduce the true relative permeability curves without a presumption of the endpoint saturations given a small end-effect number of <0.56. As a comparison, the routine JBN method produces abnormal interpretation results (with the estimated connate water saturation ≈33% higher than and the endpoint water/gas relative permeability only ≈0.02 of the true value) under comparable conditions. The proposed framework is a promising computationally effective alternative to the JBN method to accurately derive relative permeability relations for gas–water–coal systems with multiple fluid–rock interaction mechanisms.


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