scholarly journals A Spatial Agent-Based Model to Explore Scenarios of Adaptation to Climate Change in an Alpine Tourism Destination

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Balbi ◽  
Pascal Perez ◽  
Carlo Giupponi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Agent Based Model ◽  
Tourism Destination ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Agent Based

scholarly journals Climate change, hunger and rural health through the lens of farming styles: An agent-based model to assess the potential role of peasant farming

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. e0246788
Author(s):  
Simon J. Lloyd ◽  
Zaid Chalabi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rural Health ◽  
Agricultural Policy ◽  
Potential Role ◽  
Food System ◽  
Global Level ◽  
Agent Based Model ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Trade Offs

Undernutrition is a major contributor to the global-burden of disease, and global-level health impact models suggest that climate change-mediated reductions in food quantity and quality will negatively affect it. These models, however, capture just some of the processes that will shape future nutrition. We adopt an alternative standpoint, developing an agent-based model in which producer-consumer smallholders practice different ‘styles of farming’ in the global food system. The model represents a hypothetical rural community in which ‘orphan’ (subsistence) farmers may develop by adopting an ‘entrepreneurial’ style (highly market-dependent) or by maintaining a ‘peasant’ style (agroecology). We take a first look at the question: how might patterns of farming styles—under various style preference, climate, policy, and price transmission scenarios—impact on hunger and health-supporting conditions (incomes, work, inequality, ‘real land productivity’) in rural areas? imulations without climate change or agricultural policy found that style preference patterns influence production, food price, and incomes, and there were trade-offs between them. For instance, entrepreneurial-oriented futures had the highest production and lowest prices but were simultaneously those in which farms tended towards crisis. Simulations with climate change and agricultural policy found that peasant-orientated agroecology futures had the highest production, prices equal to or lower than those under entrepreneurial-oriented futures, and better supported rural health. There were, however, contradictory effects on nutrition, with benefits and harms for different groups. Collectively the findings suggest that when attempting to understand how climate change may impact on future nutrition and health, patterns of farming styles—along with the fates of the households that practice them—matter. These issues, including the potential role of peasant farming, have been neglected in previous global-level climate-nutrition modelling but go to the heart of current debates on the future of farming: thus, they should be given more prominence in future work.

scholarly journals Threat and Anxiety in the Climate Debate:An Agent-Based Model to investigate Climate Scepticism and Pro-Environmental Behaviour

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marie Lisa Kapeller ◽  
Georg Jäger
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Psychological Theory ◽  
Agent Based Model ◽  
Environmental Behaviour ◽  
Self Identity ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Threatening Information ◽  
Climate Change Information ◽  
Defence Behaviour

How people react to threatening information such as climate change is a complicated matter. While people with a high environmental self-identity tend to react approach-motivated by engaging in pro-environmental behaviour, people of low environmental self-identity may exhibit proximal defence behaviour, by avoiding and distracting themselves from potentially threatening stimuli caused by identified anxious thoughts and circumstances. This psychological theory has recently been tested in experimental studies in which the results suggest that the promotion of climate change information can also backfire. Based on these findings, we propose an agent-based model to address influences on anxiety and correlated pro-environmental actions in relation to societal attitudes of climate change scepticism and environmental self-identity.

scholarly journals Threat and Anxiety in the Climate Debate:An Agent-Based Model to investigate Climate Scepticism and Pro-Environmental Behaviour

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marie Lisa Kapeller ◽  
Georg Jäger
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Psychological Theory ◽  
Agent Based Model ◽  
Environmental Behaviour ◽  
Self Identity ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Threatening Information ◽  
Climate Change Information ◽  
Defence Behaviour

How people react to threatening information such as climate change is a complicated matter. While people with a high environmental self-identity tend to react approach-motivated by engaging in pro-environmental behaviour, people of low environmental self-identity may exhibit proximal defence behaviour, by avoiding and distracting themselves from potentially threatening stimuli caused by identified anxious thoughts and circumstances. This psychological theory has recently been tested in experimental studies in which the results suggest that the promotion of climate change information can also backfire. Based on these findings, we propose an agent-based model to address influences on anxiety and correlated pro-environmental actions in relation to societal attitudes of climate change scepticism and environmental self-identity.

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