Are They Immune to Financial Crises? An Empirical Study on Financial Crises on the Stock Prices of Exporting Firms on Istanbul Stock Exchange

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Berna Kocaman
Author(s):  
Oguzhan Ahmet Arik

This paper proposes a mixed integer programming approach for seasonal anomalies in stock markets and presents a case study for the XU030 index in the stock market of Istanbul Stock Exchange (BIST). Stock markets are significant for economies of countries all over the world. Investors get economical wealth or lose some of their investment by selling and buying stocks. Therefore, buying and selling times of stocks are so important. This paper investigates a well-known effect called as ‘Sell in May and Go Away’ by proposing a MIP approach that searches best times for buying and selling of stocks in a year. Furthermore, this paper includes a numerical example of XU030 stock prices for the past 5 years and shows that most of the XU030 stocks have seasonal anomalies.Keywords: First keyword, second keyword, third keyword, forth keyword.


Author(s):  
Umran Munire Kahraman ◽  
Neslihan Iyit

In this study, performances of LAD regression, M-regression, Q25 and Q75 quantile regression models as robust regression methods alternative to the classical LS method are compared in the case of violations from the normality assumption of the error terms and the presence of an outlier. By using these alternative regression methods, stock prices of the 12 commercial banks and 1 participation bank listed in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (BIST) bank index between 2012 and 2016 are investigated in terms of equity size and equity profitability. As a result of this study, M-regression is the most suitable robust regression model with the smallest value of the mean squared error (MSE) measure and the small values for the standard errors of the parameter estimates belonging to the equity size and equity profitability. The smaller the standard errors of the parameter estimates, the narrower the resulting confidence intervals are obtained in M- regression. The accuracy as a measure of closeness of parameter estimates to the true values of the parameters is also obtained higher in M-regression.


2013 ◽  
pp. 1206-1221
Author(s):  
Emre Ergin

Stock markets are the barometers of an economy. They are very sensitive to the news and can measure economic pressures to forecast economy. They react momentarily to crises that might be triggered by such events as a currency crisis, a debt crisis, a political crisis, or an accounting fraud crisis. According to technical analysts, drastic decreases in stock prices recover from their crash value rapidly since these decreases are realized with low traded values. The overreaction hypothesis affirms that extreme price movements are subsequently adjusted by opposite direction. This chapter analyses these assertions by measuring the impacts of the crises on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) over the last decade. The duration of the crises and weekly negative abnormal percentage returns in the period of 01.01.2000-31.12.2011 are analyzed using a regression model. In this period, from a total of 621 weeks, 277 weeks have negative returns, 93 of which are identified as negative abnormal returns. The results are statistically significant, and suggest that the duration of the crises is related to the magnitude of negative returns. On the other hand, research shows that the duration of the crisis and traded value are positively correlated. This study offers empirical observations that would be useful for technical analysts and stock investors.


2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-116
Author(s):  
Ayhan Kapusuzoglu

The purpose of this study is the examination of the effect of the unexpected exchange rate risk on the stock prices of the energy companies which are transacted in the ISE (Istanbul Stock Exchange) National 100 index, for the period of 03/01/2005 – 29/06/2012. In addition, the study has investigated the effect of the market return on the stocks of the related companies in the same period. In line with that purpose, a multi-regression analysis has been realized in order to examine whether there was any effect or not. At the end of this inquiry, it was concluded that the unexpected exchange rate risk had a very small effect on the companies which are active in the energy sector and the return on market, on the contrary, had a very big effect thereon.


Author(s):  
Emre Ergin

Stock markets are the barometers of an economy. They are very sensitive to the news and can measure economic pressures to forecast economy. They react momentarily to crises that might be triggered by such events as a currency crisis, a debt crisis, a political crisis, or an accounting fraud crisis. According to technical analysts, drastic decreases in stock prices recover from their crash value rapidly since these decreases are realized with low traded values. The overreaction hypothesis affirms that extreme price movements are subsequently adjusted by opposite direction. This chapter analyses these assertions by measuring the impacts of the crises on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) over the last decade. The duration of the crises and weekly negative abnormal percentage returns in the period of 01.01.2000-31.12.2011 are analyzed using a regression model. In this period, from a total of 621 weeks, 277 weeks have negative returns, 93 of which are identified as negative abnormal returns. The results are statistically significant, and suggest that the duration of the crises is related to the magnitude of negative returns. On the other hand, research shows that the duration of the crisis and traded value are positively correlated. This study offers empirical observations that would be useful for technical analysts and stock investors.


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