scholarly journals EVALUATION OF THE MODEL PREDICTION TOXICITY (LD50) FOR SERIES OF 42 ORGANOPHOSPHORUS PESTICIDES

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
FIKRI HANANE ◽  
FECHTALI TAOUFIQ ◽  
MAMOUMI MOHAMED

<p>Structure-Toxicity Relationships have been studied for a set of 42 organophosphorous pesticides (OPs) through multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural networks (ANN). A model with three descriptors, including: total lipophilicity [log (P)], widths radicals R<sub>1</sub> [(LR<sub>1</sub>)] and R<sub>2</sub> [(LR<sub>2</sub>)] has achieved good results in phase Training and phase prediction of toxicity [log LD50 (lethal dose 50, Oral rat)]. The linear model (MLR: n=40, r²=0.86, s=40 and q<sup>2</sup> = 0.66) and non-linear model with a configuration [3-6-1] (ANN: r²=0.95, s=0.73 and q<sup>2</sup> = 0.17) have proved very successful and complementary. The selected descriptors indicate the importance of lipophilicity and widths radicals R<sub>1</sub> and R<sub>2</sub> in the contribution of the toxicity of pesticides derived from OPs used in this study. This information is relevant for the design of a new model of non-toxic pesticides OPs.</p>

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-35
Author(s):  
HANANE FIKRI ◽  
TAOUFIQ FECHTALI ◽  
MOHAMED MAMOUMI

Structure-Toxicity Relationships have been studied for a set of 42 organophosphorous pesticides (OPs) through multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural networks (ANN). A model with three descriptors, including: total lipophilicity [log (P)], widths radicals R1 [(LR1)] and R2 [(LR2)] has achieved good results in phase Training and phase prediction of toxicity [log LD50 (lethal dose 50, Oral rat)]. The linear model (MLR: n=40, r²=0.86, s=40 and q2 = 0.66) and non-linear model with a configuration [3-6-1] (ANN: r²=0.95, s=0.73 and q2 = 0.17) have proved very successful and complementary. The selected descriptors indicate the importance of lipophilicity and widths radicals R1 and R2 in the contribution of the toxicity of pesticides derived from OPs used in this study. This information is relevant for the design of a new model of non-toxic pesticides OPs.


Metals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Rahel Jedamski ◽  
Jérémy Epp

Non-destructive determination of workpiece properties after heat treatment is of great interest in the context of quality control in production but also for prevention of damage in subsequent grinding process. Micromagnetic methods offer good possibilities, but must first be calibrated with reference analyses on known states. This work compares the accuracy and reliability of different calibration methods for non-destructive evaluation of carburizing depth and surface hardness of carburized steel. Linear regression analysis is used in comparison with new methods based on artificial neural networks. The comparison shows a slight advantage of neural network method and potential for further optimization of both approaches. The quality of the results can be influenced, among others, by the number of teaching steps for the neural network, whereas more teaching steps does not always lead to an improvement of accuracy for conditions not included in the initial calibration.


2003 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 693-706 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Gaume ◽  
R. Gosset

Abstract. Recently Feed-Forward Artificial Neural Networks (FNN) have been gaining popularity for stream flow forecasting. However, despite the promising results presented in recent papers, their use is questionable. In theory, their “universal approximator‿ property guarantees that, if a sufficient number of neurons is selected, good performance of the models for interpolation purposes can be achieved. But the choice of a more complex model does not ensure a better prediction. Models with many parameters have a high capacity to fit the noise and the particularities of the calibration dataset, at the cost of diminishing their generalisation capacity. In support of the principle of model parsimony, a model selection method based on the validation performance of the models, "traditionally" used in the context of conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling, was adapted to the choice of a FFN structure. This method was applied to two different case studies: river flow prediction based on knowledge of upstream flows, and rainfall-runoff modelling. The predictive powers of the neural networks selected are compared to the results obtained with a linear model and a conceptual model (GR4j). In both case studies, the method leads to the selection of neural network structures with a limited number of neurons in the hidden layer (two or three). Moreover, the validation results of the selected FNN and of the linear model are very close. The conceptual model, specifically dedicated to rainfall-runoff modelling, appears to outperform the other two approaches. These conclusions, drawn on specific case studies using a particular evaluation method, add to the debate on the usefulness of Artificial Neural Networks in hydrology. Keywords: forecasting; stream-flow; rainfall-runoff; Artificial Neural Networks


Author(s):  
Patricia Cerrito

Predictive modeling includes regression, both logistic and linear, depending upon the type of outcome variable. It can also include the generalized linear model. However, there are other types of models also available, including decision trees and artificial neural networks under the general term of predictive modeling. Predictive modeling includes nearest neighbor discriminant analysis, also known as memory based reasoning. These other models are nonparametric and do not require that you know the probability distribution of the underlying patient population. Therefore, they are much more flexible when used to examine patient outcomes. Because predictive modeling uses regression in addition to these other models, the end results will improve upon those found using just regression by itself.


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