scholarly journals Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Riau tahun 2000-2018

SOROT ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Miftakul Khoiri ◽  
Syapsan Syapsan ◽  
Sri Endang Kornita
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

Terdapat beberapa permasalahan yang berbeda pada sumber daya di setiap daerah, yaitu investasi, tenaga kerja dan teknologi sebagai faktor pembentuk output perekonomian daerah. Penelitian ini menganalisis hubungan antara investasi dalam bentuk Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA), Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN), belanja modal pemerintah, angkatan kerja dan ekspor dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Tujuan penelitian adalah melihat pengaruh besarnya faktor-faktor tersebut terhadap Pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Riau 2000-2018. Untuk kepentingan khusus penelitian dengan tujuan melihat pengaruh krisis keuangan global tahun 2008 terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi maka dimasukkan variabel dummy krisis keuangan. Penelitian ini adalah penelitian kuantitatif dengan metode regresi berganda log-log linier dan data time series. Model diestimasi dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa PMA, PMDN, angkatan kerja dan ekspor signifikan positif mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi yang diukur dengan nilai Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB). Begitu juga dengan dummy krisis keuangan global meskipun berlangsung singkat ternyata berpengaruh terhadap PDRB di Provinsi Riau. Namun demikian ditemukan bahwa belanja modal pemerintah tidak signifikan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan PDRB.There are some problems in resources of the regions, namely investment, labour force, and technology as the component factors to make the output of the region’s economy. This study aims to analyze the relationship between investment as consist of foreign direct investment (FDI), private investment, government capital expenditure, labour force, export and economic growth to the gross regional domestic product growth of regency in Riau Province 2000-2018. For the specific purpose of describing global financial crises in 2008 influence the economic growth, we put the dummy variable of the financial crisis in the model. This research is quantitative descriptive with the multiple regression model of log-linear and time series method using Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The study shows that government capital expenditure is statistically not significant to affect the gross regional domestic product growth. FDI, private investment, labour force and export is statistically significant to affect the gross regional domestic product growth. As well as a dummy of the global financial crisis is statistically significant to affect the gross regional domestic product growth.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SWASTA , PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, DAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yandiles Weya ◽  
Vecky A.J. Masinambow ◽  
Rosalina A.M. Koleangan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
North Sulawesi ◽  
The City

ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SWASTA , PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, DAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG Yandiles Weya, Vecky A.J. Masinambow, Rosalina A.M. Koleangan. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Magister Ilmu EkonomiUniversitas Sam Ratulangi, Manado ABSTRAKPada suatu periode perekonomian mengalami pertumbuhan negatif berarti kegiatan ekonomi pada periode tersebut mengalami penurunan. Kota Bitung periode tahun 2004-2014 mengalami pertumbuhan ekonomi yang fluktuasi. Adanya fluktuasi ini dapat dipengaruhi oleh investasi swasta, belanja langsung, dan penduduk Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan salah satu tolok ukur keberhasilan pembangunan ekonomi di suatu daerah. Pertumbuhan ekonomi mencerminkan kegiatan ekonomi. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dapat bernilai positif dan dapat pula bernilai negatif. Jika pada suatu periode perekonomian mengalami pertumbuhan positif berarti kegiatan ekonomi pada periode tersebut mengalami peningkatan. Sedangkan jikaTahun 2004-2014 yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sulut dan Kota Bitung. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah model ekonometrik regresi berganda double-log (log-log) dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah perkembangan investasi swasta, belanja langsung, dan penduduk berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung. Data yang dipakai menggunakan data time series periodeHasil regresi model pertumbuhan ekonomi dengan persamaan regresinya yaitu  LPDRB  =  - 4,445    +  0.036 LINV  +  0.049 LBL  +  2,229 LPOP.  Dari hasil tersebutmenunjukkan perkembangan investasi swasta, belanja langsung dan penduduk berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung.Kata Kunci :pertumbuhan ekonomi, belanja langsung, penduduk, regresi bergandaABSTRACT    The economy experienced a period of negative growth means economic activity in this period has decreased. Bitung-year period 2004-2014 economic growth fluctuations. These fluctuations can be influenced by private investment, direct spending, and population Economic growth is one measure of the success of economic development in an area. Economic growth reflects economic activity. Economic growth can be positive and can also be negative. If the economy experienced a period of positive growth means economic activity during the period has increased. Whereas if  years 2004-2014 are sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of North Sulawesi Province and Bitung. The analytical method used is an econometric model double-log regression (log-log) with Ordinary Least Square (OLS). This study aims to determine whether the development of private investment, direct spending, and population affect the economic growth of the city of Bitung. The data used using time series data period.    The results of the regression model of economic growth with the regression equation is LPDRB = - LINV 4.445 + 0.036 + 0.049 + 2.229 LPOP LBL. From these results show the development of private investment, direct expenditure and population positive and significant impact on economic growth of Bitung.Keywords: Economic growth, direct spending, population, regression.

scholarly journals PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN SBI TERHADAP PENERIMAAN PAJAK DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahmanta Ginting
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Dependent Variables ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

The research to analyse effect net domestic product and SBI on tax revenue in Indonesia with independent variables  net domestic product and SBI also dependent variables tax revenue. Data is a time series between 1981 - 2010 with ordinary least square (OLS) and the model of formula used is multiply linier regression.  The research result shows that net domestic product gives a positive effect and significant on tax revenue in Indonesia on 99% level. While SBI has a negative effect and significant on tax revenue in Indonesia on 90% level.

Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Sumatera Selatan

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Novegya Ratih Primandari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Linear Regression Model ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

This research aims to analyze effect of economic growth, inflation and Unemployment on the Rate of Poverty in the Province of South Sumatera. This research used secondary data in the form of time series data from 2001-2017. The method used quantitative approach by applying a linear regression model with OLS estimation Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study indicate that partially and simultaneously Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment have a significant effect on the Poverty Rate in the Province of South Sumatera.

scholarly journals Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Daerah Provinsi Jambi

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Nurdin Nurdin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Regression Equation ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Working Population ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Investment Capital

This study uses secondary data collected by the object of research in Jambi Province in the form of factors affecting the economic growth of Jambi Province sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). Data were collected during the period 2004 to 2015. The purpose of this study is to analyze and know what factors affect the economic growth of Jambi Province period 2004-2015. The analytical tool used is this research using econometric analysis tool with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method with multiple linear regression equation through the aid of SPSS software program. 21:00. Based on the discussion of data analysis results in this study, it can be concluded the result of R-squared calculation shown in the above equation obtained R2 value of 0.989. This shows that about 98.90 percent of the upturned economic growth (Yt) in Jambi Province is influenced by investment variable (X1t), capital expenditure (X2t), working population (X3t), unemployment (X4t) and poverty (X5t). While the remaining 1.10 percent, explained by other variables that are not included into the regression equation. Keywords: Economic Growth, Investment, Capital Expenditure, Working Population, Unemployment And Poverty

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERAN BELANJA MODAL DAN INVESTASI SWASTA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SERTA DAMPAKNYA PADA KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Akhlis Priya Pambudy ◽  
Muhamad Imam Syairozi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Public Welfare ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of economic development is to improve public welfare. Many factors influenceeconomic growth, including sustainable development. This study is aimed to analyze the impactof capital expenditure and private investment on economic growth of the regency/municipalduring the period of 2010-2015 as well as the impact of economic growth on public welfareproxied by the human development index figures. Using WarpPLS, used purposive samplingmethode, testing is done for the 415 autonomous regional and 93 autonomous municipalsin Indonesia using time series data 2010-015. The results of this study shows that capitalexpenditure positively effect economic growth as well as private investment has positive effecton economic growth. Furthermore, the economic growth has been proven to improve publicwalfare.Keywords: capital expenditure, private investment, economic growth, public welfare

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG (FDI) DAN INVESTASI DALAM NEGERI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-68
Author(s):  
Firdaus Jufrida ◽  
Mohd. Nur Syechalad ◽  
Muhammad Nasir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

This study aims to analyze the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic investment on Indonesian economic growth. The data used was time series data on Indonesian economy from year. Furthermore, the analysis was conducted with quantitative method using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method with multiple regression model. The result shows that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has a positive but not significantly affected Indonesia economic growth, while Domestic Investment has a positive significant effect on Indonesian economic growth. Based on the research results, it is recommended that the Indonesia government has to maintain the stability of economic variables that can stimulate foreign and domestic investment in order to achieve sustainable economic growth.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh investasi asing langsung (FDI) dan investasi domestik pada pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series pada perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun. Selanjutnya, analisis dilakukan dengan metode kuantitatif dengan menggunakan metode regresi Ordinary Least Square (OLS) dengan model regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) memiliki positif tetapi tidak pertumbuhan ekonomi secara signifikan mempengaruhi Indonesia, sedangkan PMDN memiliki efek positif yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, disarankan agar pemerintah Indonesia harus menjaga stabilitas variabel ekonomi yang dapat merangsang investasi asing dan domestik dalam rangka mencapai pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan.

scholarly journals PENGARUH PENERIMAAN REMITANSI TERHADAP PENGENTASAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-54
Author(s):  
Misdawati Misdawati ◽  
Syahrituah Siregar
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Poverty Alleviation ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Linear Regression Method ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

Abstract—Remittance is a source of external finance for developing countries. This research aims to determine the remittance influence on poverty alleviation in Indonesia, as well as to determine the influence of the control variables on poverty alleviation which is                  unemployment and gross domestic product. This study uses a descriptive quantitative       approach, using time series data from 1999 to 2018 obtained From the World Bank, BPS, Bank Indonesia and BNP2TKI. Data analysis techniques using double linear regression method (multiple linear Regression method) with smallest squared Method (Ordinary Least Square).  The results showed that remittance had significant negative correlation on poverty alleviation in Indonesia by 3,08%. Unemployment has a significant positive impact on      poverty alleviation, and gross domestic product has a significant negative impact on poverty alleviation in Indonesia. Still low delivery remittance that enter Indonesia due to low levels of education that has migrants, low wages, and expensive remittance shipping costs through financial institutions. Keywords: Remittance, Poverty, Indonesia, OLS (DEA)   Abstrak - Remitansi menjadi sumber keuangan eksternal bagi negara berkembang. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh remitansi terhadap pengentasan kemiskinan di   Indonesia, serta  untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari variabel kontrol terhadap pengentasan  kemiskinan  yaitu Pengangguran dan Produk Domestik Bruto.  Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif deskriptif, menggunakan data time series dari tahun 1999 hingga tahun 2018 yang diperoleh dari World Bank, Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia dan BNP2TKI. Teknik Analisis data menggunakan Metode Regresi Linier Berganda (Multiple Linier       Regression Method) dengan Metode Kuadrat Terkecil (Ordinary Least Square).  Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa  Remitansi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap           pengentasan kemiskinan di Indonesia sebesar 3,08 persen. Pengangguran berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pengentasan kemiskinan, dan Produk Domestik Bruto  berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pengentasan kemiskinan di Indonesia. Masih rendahnya         pengiriman remitansi yang masuk ke Indonesia disebabkan karena  rendahnya tingkat       pendidikan yang   dimiliki migran, rendahnya tingkat upah, serta mahalnya biaya pengiriman remitansi melalui lembaga keuangan. Kata kunci: Remitansi, Kemiskinan, Indonesia, OLS    

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN INVESTASI SWASTA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa Irma Abigael Lebang ◽  
Debby Ch. Rotinsulu ◽  
George M.V. Kawung
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Coconut Oil ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
North Sulawesi ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The City

ANALISIS PENGARUH PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN INVESTASI SWASTA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMIDI KOTA BITUNG Lisa Irma Abigael Lebang, Debby Ch. Rotinsulu, George M.V.KawungFakultas Ekonomi dan Binis, Magister Ilmu Ekonomi dan BisnisUniversitas Sam Ratulangi, Manado ABSTRAKKota Bitung merupakan daerah di Sulawesi Utara yang memiliki banyak industri yang dikelola oleh pihak swasta. Industri perikanan dan minyak kelapa merupakan industri utama di Kota Bitung. Hal ini merupakan kenyataan bahwa investasi  swasta di Kota Bitung cukup besar. Kondisi ini tentunya memberikan dampak bagi perekonomian Kota Bitung antara lain, dengan kehadiran  industri-industri tersebut  telah mampu menyerap tenaga kerja dan mengurangi pengangguran di Kota Bitung. Hal yang  lebih penting juga untuk diketahui adalah tentang pengaruh investasi swasta di Kota Bitung  terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk menganalisis bagaimana pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah, investasi swasta terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung. Teknik analisis yang digunakan Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa pengeluran pemerintah tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung sedangkan investasi swasta tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung dan secara bersama-sama pengeluaran pemerintah dan investasi swasta di Kota Bitung. Kata Kunci     : Pengeluaran Pemerintah, Investasi Swata, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi ABSTRACT Bitung City is a region in North Sulawesi that has many industries managed by private parties. The fishery and coconut oil industry is the main industry in Bitung City. This is a fact that private investment in Bitung City is quite large. This condition certainly has an impact on the economy of Bitung City, among others, with the presence of these industries have been able to absorb labor and reduce unemployment in the city of Bitung. It is also important to know about the influence of private investment in Bitung City on economic growth. The purpose of this study is to analyze how the influence of government spending, private investment on the economic growth of Bitung City. Analysis technique used Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The result of the research shows that government expenditure has no influence on Bitung City's economic growth while private investment does not have influence to economic growth of Bitung City and jointly government expenditure and private investment in Bitung City. Keyword          : Government spending, Private investment, Economic Growth

scholarly journals Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Sarolangun

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-100
Author(s):  
Rosminah Rosminah ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah ◽  
Etik Umiyati
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

Investment (PMDN) and government expenditures have on economic growth in Sarolangun Regency. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data for 2000-2017, in the form of data on economic growth, the number of workers, PMDN, and government spending. The analytical method used in this study is multiple linear regression or Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the analysis results indicate that the workforce has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. PMDN has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Likewise, government spending has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Keywords: Economic growth, Labor, Domestic investment (PMDN), Goverment expenditure.

scholarly journals The Impact of Financing Risk on Islamic Banking Performance in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Iwan Setiawan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Financing Risk ◽  
Capital Financing

The financing risk is a significant issue in the Islamic banking industry that affects its performance. This research aims to examine the factors that influence financing risk on the financial performance of Islamic banking in Indonesia. This study utilized time-series data quarterly from 2009-2020 collected from three types of Islamic banking in Indonesia: Islamic Commercial Bank (ICB), Islamic Business Unit (IBU), and Islamic Rural Bank (IRB). It was analyzed using multiple regression estimation techniques with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. This study revealed that the Islamic banks’ financing risk is significantly influenced by bank capital, financing, economic growth, inflation, and central bank’ rate (BI rates), both negatively and positively. In detail, the increase of bank capital, financing, and economic growth will reduce the financing risks, whilst inflation and BI rate increase the financing risks. The findings also disclosed that Islamic banks' financial performance is influenced by bank capital, operating costs, financing risks, inflation, and BI rates. Thus, the decrease in bank capital, operational costs, and financing risks will subsequently decrease the financial performance, while the increase of inflation and BI rates will increase the financial performance of Islamic banks. Economic growth is the most influential factor in reducing financing risk, while financing risk is the most significant factor in improving banks’ financial performance. The government's efforts to boost economic growth are crucial to reducing financing risks and improving the financial performance of Islamic banks.==========================================================================================================ABSTRAK – Dampak Risiko Pembiayaan terhadap Kinerja Bank Syariah di Indonesia. Risiko pembiayaan merupakan persoalan utama bagi industri perbankan termasuk perbankan syariah. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi risiko pembiayaan dan pengaruhnya terhadap kinerja keuangan perbankan syariah di Indonesia. Objek penelitian meliputi Bank Umum Syariah, Unit Usaha Syariah dan Bank Perkreditan Rakyat syariah. Model analisis menggunakan teknik estimasi regresi berganda dengan menggunakan metode  Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Penelitian ini menggunakan data time-series periode kuartalan dari 2009-2020. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa risiko pembiayaan bank syariah dipengaruhi oleh modal bank, pembiayaan, pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan BI Rate. Hasil ini mengindikasikan bahwa peningkatan modal bank, pembiayaan, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi akan mengakibatkan penurunan risiko pembiayaan, sementara peningkatan inflasi dan BI Rate akan meningkatkan risiko pembiayaan. Selain itu, hasil kajian juga mendapati bahwa kinerja keuangan bank syariah dipengaruhi oleh modal bank, biaya operasional bank, risiko pembiayaan, inflasi dan BI Rate. Secara detil, penurunan modal bank, biaya operasional dan risiko pembiayaan akan meningkatkan kinerja keuangan bank syariah, sementara peningkatan inflasi dan BI Rate akan meningkatkan kinerja keuangan. Faktor yang berpengaruh paling terhadap penurunan risiko pembiayaan adalah pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penurunan risiko pembiayaan merupakan faktor yang berpengaruh paling besar terhadap peningkatan kinerja keuangan perbankan syariah. Upaya pemerintah untuk mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan langkah yang sangat strategis mengurangi risiko pembiayaan dan meningkatkan kinerja keuangan perbankan syariah di Indonesia. 

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