scholarly journals Stabilization Policies and Technological Shocks: Towards a Sustainable Economic Growth Path

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anelí Bongers ◽  
Carmen Díaz-Roldán
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Stabilization Policies ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The purpose of this paper is to explore the extent to which traditional economic policies can be oriented by sound practices. It is becoming widely accepted that sustainable economic growth (and not only economic growth) is the final target of economic policies, but some economic policies are applied just looking to the short-run without taking in account the long-run perspective. Our aim is to show how a sustainable economic policy-making would be possible, making compatible the stabilization of the economy in the short-run with a sustainable economic growth in the long-run. We confront the design of economic policies with the 17 goals of the 2030 Agenda. We argue that all sustainable development goals can be attained by the design and implementation of sustainable economic policies. Finally, to illustrate this point, we will conduct a simulation exercise to show under which combinations of demand policies technological shocks would promote a path of sustainable growth. Our results will provide a reference framework for a sustainable economic policy-making.

scholarly journals Stabilization Policies and Technological Shocks: Towards a Sustainable Economic Growth Path

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anelí Bongers ◽  
Carmen Díaz-Roldán
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Stabilization Policies ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The purpose of this paper is to explore the extent to which traditional economic policies can be oriented by sound practices. It is becoming widely accepted that sustainable economic growth (and not only economic growth) is the final target of economic policies; but most economic policies are applied just looking to the short-run without taking in account the long-run perspective. Our aim will be to show how a sustainable economic policy-making would be possible, making compatible the stabilization of the economy in the short-run with a sustainable economic growth in the long-run. We confront the design of economic policies with the 17 goals of the 2030 Agenda. We argue that all sustainable development goals can be attained by the design and implementation of sustainable economic policies. Finally, to illustrate this point we will conduct a simulation exercise to show under which combinations of demand policies technological shocks would promote a path of sustainable growth. Our results will provide a reference framework for a sustainable economic policy-making.

scholarly journals Examining the impact of Exports and Exchange rate on Economic Growth of Turkey

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iftikhar Muhammad ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Purpose This study intends to analyze the long-run and short-run relationships along with the identification of causal links between exports, economic growth, and exchange rate in Turkey. Data/Design: This study uses auto-regressive distributed lags (ARDL) and Granger causality over time series monthly data from the year 2010–2018. The results indicate that exports are significantly positively related to economic growth while the exchange rate is found to be negatively related to economic growth. Findings: Moreover, findings from the test of Granger causality indicate that a unidirectional causal association is found from exports to foreign direct investment and economic growth and from economic growth to foreign direct investment. The Granger causality results indicate that an increase in exports accelerates the economic growth of Turkey and a change in growth rate and exchange rate leads to a change in foreign direct investment. Originality of work: The overall findings suggest that exports should be promoted along with the liberal-investment economic policies to boost the overall economic growth in Turkey.

scholarly journals The Combined Effects of Public and Private Investments on Economic Growth in the CEMAC Zone

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Noula Armand Gilbert ◽  
Chouafi Nguekam Orfé ◽  
Kamajou François
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Panel Data Estimation ◽  
Public Investments ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Private Investments ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study evaluates the simultaneous impact of public and private investments on economic growth in the CEMAC zone between 1984 and 2017.To attain this aim, we use the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to test the direction of causality between the three variables above at the level of each country. We find that the direction of causality is not the same in all the countries both in the short as in long-run. We then develop an ideal model going from the Cobb Douglas production function which we quantitatively validate using panel data estimation through the method of Pool Mean Group which takes into account individual specificities. It arises that contrary to economic theory, private sector investments have positive and significant effects in short-run. However, the impact of public investments is negative and significant. In the long-run, the effects are reversed and call on the authorities of the CEMAC zone to reinforce the political risk to strengthen the public-private partnership in the process of sustainable growth.

Innovation, Finance, and Economic Growth in OECD Countries: New Insights from a Panel Causality Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 2150013
Author(s):  
Rudra P. Pradhan ◽  
Tamal Nath ◽  
Rana P. Maradana ◽  
Ajoy K. Sarangi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Growth Policy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
Innovation Support

In this paper, using a panel causality approach, we examine endogenous connections between financial development, innovation, and economic growth in OECD countries for the period 1961–2018. The empirical results of our study show that financial development and innovation support long-run economic growth and that the short-run dynamics facet the multifarious interconnections between financial development, innovation, and economic growth. The strategic insight drawn from this research is that to ensure sustainable economic growth, policy-makers in the OECD countries must pay attention to establishing an integrated structure that looks into co-improvement policies concerning the activities that enhance financial development, innovation, and economic growth.

Effects of Terms of Trade on Economic Growth of Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 53 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalil Jebran ◽  
Amjad Iqbal ◽  
Zia Ur Rehman Rao ◽  
Arshad Ali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Lag Model

This paper analyzes the effect of terms of trade on economic growth of Pakistan considering annual time series data from 1980 to 2013. This study opted autoregressive distributed lag model for purpose of analyzing short- and long-run relationship. The results reveal significant negative long-run and short-run effects of terms of trade on economic growth. The analyses also indicate significant positive long-run and short-run effects of labour on economic growth. Further, capital stock is influencing positively the economic growth in long run only. We suggest that economic policies may be implemented to deteriorate terms of trade which will further enhance the economic growth of Pakistan. JEL: F13, F43

scholarly journals The Asymmetric Relationship Between Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Industrial Productivity: An Empirical Analysis of India, China and Pakistan Via the NARDL Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aamir Syed
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Military Expenditure ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Industrial Productivity

This research work aims to verify how military expenditure promotes economic growth and industrial productivity, as suggested by the Military Keynesianism postulate. The NARDL method is employed to achieve the above objective on the panel data of India, China, and Pakistan, covering the period between 1990 and 2018. The study finds that the positive and negative impact of military expenditure has a significant positive and negative effect on economic growth in the long run for China and India; however, in the short-run, only positive impact favors economic growth. Thus, there is a symmetric effect in the short-run and an asymmetric impact in the long-run. This asymmetric result supports the work of Military Keynesianism, helping policymakers in devising appropriate macro-economic policies.

scholarly journals The Impact of FDI on the Economic Growth of Sri Lanka: An ARDL Approach to Co-integration

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samantha NPG ◽  
Liu Haiyun
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Policy Reforms ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Greenfield Investments ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The impact of foreign direct investment(FDI) on host country economic growth is a debatable issue in the recent economic literature. The purpose of this study is to examine this issue for a country which practiced comparatively more liberal economic policies within the South Asian region over four decades. The ARDL approach to cointegration is applied to identify long-run relationship and short-run dynamics between selected variables for the period of 1978 to 2015 for Sri Lanka. The empirical result confirms the long run relationship between the variables. FDI is positively correlated with economic growth in the short run and long run, but it is not a significant factor for economic growth in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka will have to undertake policy reforms related to FDI in order to attract more greenfield investments to boost economic growth creating new job opportunities and expanding exports in the manufacturing sector. These findings would be an example for other small open economies with similar economic characteristics.

scholarly journals The Significance of Military Expenditure, Tourism, and Exports for Sustainable Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ghazala Aziz ◽  
Majid Ibrahim Alsaggaf ◽  
Mohd Saeed Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Military Expenditure ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Long Run ◽  
International Labor ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The current empirical study addresses the recent economics of Saudi Arabia such as the uncertainty of economic growth and dependence on oil export. For this purpose, labor, capital, oil price, terrorism, military expenditure, tourism, and exports are added to the analysis. ARDL long-run and short-run analyses are used, and the results of the study have revealed that labor is negatively related to economic growth, which suggests that efforts should be done to reduce dependence on international labor through the installation of production facilities in those countries where labor is cheap. Also, it is noted that capital, tourism, and non-oil exports enhance economic growth, whereas oil price is the main problem for the economic growth of the country. These results suggest that the diversification of exports to non-oil products is a good strategy to boost economic growth. Alongside, domestic tourism should be promoted to enhance its share in economic activities. The current study helps the policy makers to open new earning avenues such as enhanced tourism sectors and modernized industries which help in technology exports.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Effects of Growth, Financial Development and Trade Openness on Tax Revenue in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-62
Author(s):  
Nanthakumar Loganathan ◽  
Norsiah Ahmad ◽  
Thirunaukarasu Subramaniam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Tax Collection ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rolling Window ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

This study explores the effects of domestic financial development, growth and trade openness on tax collection for Malaysia using the ARDL and bootstrap rolling window estimates covering the period 1970-2017. The empirical results suggest that, the presence oflong-run relationship between tax revenue and per capita GDP and short-run relationship between tax collection, economic growth, financial development and trade openness. We foundthatthere is a short-run unidirectional causality running between tax collection, economic growth and financial development. This result suggests that, in the long-run, economic performance and financial development have an adverse effect on tax collection, while trade openness has no significant causality impact on tax collection in Malaysia. Based on the empirical results of the study, the country should pay more attention to enhance the effectiveness of future public expenditure programs and put more emphasisson dynamic fiscal policy targeting on tax reform and securing new sourcesof tax revenues to ensure continuous flow of long-term tax revenue coupled with sustainable economic growth, trade and financial performances in up-coming years.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Money Supply, Price Level and Economic Growth In Pakistan: Keynesian versus Monetarist View

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 49-64
Author(s):  
Abdul Mansoor ◽  
Quratulain Shoukat ◽  
Shagufta Bibi ◽  
Khushbakht Iqbal ◽  
Romana Saeed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Supply Price

AbstractThe objective of the study is to examine the relationship between money supply, price level and economic growth in the context of Pakistan by using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, covered a period of 1980 to 2016. The results confirm the long-run relationship between the variables while using broad money supply as a response variable. However, in the price and income modeling, the variables do not support the cointegration relationship between the variables. The causality results confirmed the unidirectional relationship running from income to money supply, which implies that income do causes money supply in the short run, whereas money supply leads to inflation to support Monetarist view of inflation in a country. The results conclude that economic growth is imperative to stabilize money supply and price level through sound economic policies in a country.

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