SPACECRAFT RELIABILITY CALCULATIONS USING STATISTICAL REGULARITIES IN OCCURRENCES OF FAILURES IN DEVICES, UNITS AND ASSEMBLIES DURING THEIR OPERATION

2021 ◽  
pp. 53-65
Author(s):  
Viktor A. MILOVANOV
Keyword(s):  
Fault Tolerance ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Dispersion Analysis ◽  
Product Reliability ◽  
Manned Spacecraft ◽  
Statistical Regularities ◽  
Validity Criteria ◽  
Criticality Analysis

The paper addresses reliability analysis of manned spacecraft with the use of statistical regularities in in-flight failures of their devices, units and assemblies. It formulates validity criteria for using a device failure in reliability analysis, proposes a method for analyzing and classifying failures which enables factoring in different types of failures in reliability analyses. It considers a hypothesis of the absence of statistically significant differences in probabilities of individual valid failures and demonstrates the feasibility of its adoption with the use of dispersion analysis. A method is developed for evaluating product reliability using a functional relationship between reliability and the number of failures occurring in flight which makes it possible to significantly simplify reliability analysis for complex products, to establish the number of in-flight failures that is acceptable from the standpoint of the product reliability requirements, to study various product architectures from the standpoint of reliability criteria. It proposes a method for evaluating the lower boundary for the probability of manned spacecraft completing their missions based on the failure modes, effects and criticality analysis, and demonstrates the feasibility of optimizing the product redundancy scheme based on the fault tolerance requirements. Key words: manned spacecraft, flight, failure, fault tolerance, classification of failures, reliability, probability of failure-free operation, statistical analysis, dispersion analysis.

ANN-Based Relaying Algorithm for Protection of SVC- Compensated AC Transmission Line and Criticality Analysis of a Digital Relay

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 381-393
Author(s):  
Farhana Fayaz ◽  
Gobind Lal Pahuja
Keyword(s):  
Transmission Line ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Reactive Power ◽  
Circuit Breaker ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Static Var Compensator ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Ac Transmission ◽  
Criticality Analysis

Background:The Static VAR Compensator (SVC) has the capability of improving reliability, operation and control of the transmission system thereby improving the dynamic performance of power system. SVC is a widely used shunt FACTS device, which is an important tool for the reactive power compensation in high voltage AC transmission systems. The transmission lines compensated with the SVC may experience faults and hence need a protection system against the damage caused by these faults as well as provide the uninterrupted supply of power.Methods:The research work reported in the paper is a successful attempt to reduce the time to detect faults on a SVC-compensated transmission line to less than quarter of a cycle. The relay algorithm involves two ANNs, one for detection and the other for classification of faults, including the identification of the faulted phase/phases. RMS (Root Mean Square) values of line voltages and ratios of sequence components of line currents are used as inputs to the ANNs. Extensive training and testing of the two ANNs have been carried out using the data generated by simulating an SVC-compensated transmission line in PSCAD at a signal sampling frequency of 1 kHz. Back-propagation method has been used for the training and testing. Also the criticality analysis of the existing relay and the modified relay has been done using three fault tree importance measures i.e., Fussell-Vesely (FV) Importance, Risk Achievement Worth (RAW) and Risk Reduction Worth (RRW).Results:It is found that the relay detects any type of fault occurring anywhere on the line with 100% accuracy within a short time of 4 ms. It also classifies the type of the fault and indicates the faulted phase or phases, as the case may be, with 100% accuracy within 15 ms, that is well before a circuit breaker can clear the fault. As demonstrated, fault detection and classification by the use of ANNs is reliable and accurate when a large data set is available for training. The results from the criticality analysis show that the criticality ranking varies in both the designs (existing relay and the existing modified relay) and the ranking of the improved measurement system in the modified relay changes from 2 to 4.Conclusion:A relaying algorithm is proposed for the protection of transmission line compensated with Static Var Compensator (SVC) and criticality ranking of different failure modes of a digital relay is carried out. The proposed scheme has significant advantages over more traditional relaying algorithms. It is suitable for high resistance faults and is not affected by the inception angle nor by the location of fault.

Dynamic reliability analysis of mechanical system with wear and vibration failure modes

2021 ◽  
Vol 163 ◽  
pp. 104385
Author(s):  
We Wang ◽  
Gang Shen ◽  
Yimin Zhang ◽  
Zhencai Zhu ◽  
Changyou Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mechanical System ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Dynamic Reliability

Operation and approximation based on the history of failure modes recorded by SCADA system of Amougdoul Moroccan wind farm using FMECA maintenance model

2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2199245
Author(s):  
Kawtar Lamhour ◽  
Abdeslam Tizliouine
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Scada System ◽  
History Of ◽  
Criticality Analysis ◽  
Maintenance Model ◽  
Reliability And Availability ◽  
Critical Subsystems

The wind industry is trying to find tools to accurately predict and know the reliability and availability of newly installed wind turbines. Failure modes, effects and criticality analysis (FMECA) is a technique used to determine critical subsystems, causes and consequences of wind turbines. FMECA has been widely used by manufacturers of wind turbine assemblies to analyze, evaluate and prioritize potential/known failure modes. However, its actual implementation in wind farms has some limitations. This paper aims to determine the most critical subsystems, causes and consequences of the wind turbines of the Moroccan wind farm of Amougdoul during the years 2010–2019 by applying the maintenance model (FMECA), which is an analysis of failure modes, effects and criticality based on a history of failure modes occurred by the SCADA system and proposing solutions and recommendations.

Fuzzy risk assessment for electro-optical target tracker

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 830-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soumen Kumar Roy ◽  
A K Sarkar ◽  
Biswajit Mahanty
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Linear Equations ◽  
Mode Analysis ◽  
Failure Behavior ◽  
Membership Functions ◽  
Design And Development ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Criticality Analysis

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to evolve a guideline for scientists and development engineers to the failure behavior of electro-optical target tracker system (EOTTS) using fuzzy methodology leading to success of short-range homing guided missile (SRHGM) in which this critical subsystems is exploited. Design/methodology/approach – Technology index (TI) and fuzzy failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) are used to build an integrated framework to facilitate the system technology assessment and failure modes. Failure mode analysis is carried out for the system using data gathered from technical experts involved in design and realization of the EOTTS. In order to circumvent the limitations of the traditional failure mode effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), fuzzy FMCEA is adopted for the prioritization of the risks. FMEA parameters – severity, occurrence and detection are fuzzifed with suitable membership functions. These membership functions are used to define failure modes. Open source linear programming solver is used to solve linear equations. Findings – It is found that EOTTS has the highest TI among the major technologies used in the SRHGM. Fuzzy risk priority numbers (FRPN) for all important failure modes of the EOTTS are calculated and the failure modes are ranked to arrive at important monitoring points during design and development of the weapon system. Originality/value – This paper integrates the use of TI, fuzzy logic and experts’ database with FMEA toward assisting the scientists and engineers while conducting failure mode and effect analysis to prioritize failures toward taking corrective measure during the design and development of EOTTS.

Criticality Analysis for Maintenance Purposes of Platform Supply Vessels in Remote Areas

2017 ◽  
Vol 139 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Marhaug ◽  
A. Barabadi ◽  
E. Stagrum ◽  
K. Karlsen ◽  
A. Olsen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Failure Modes ◽  
Oil And Gas Industry ◽  
Spare Parts ◽  
Acceptable Level ◽  
Component Level ◽  
Screening Process ◽  
Essential Information ◽  
Remote Areas ◽  
Critical Components ◽  
Criticality Analysis

The oil and gas industry is pushing toward new unexplored remote areas, potentially rich in resources but with limited industry presence, infrastructure, and emergency preparedness. Maintenance support is very important and challenging in such remote areas. A platform supply vessel (PSV) is an essential part of maintenance support. Hence, the acceptable level of its availability performance is high. Identification of critical components of the PSV provides essential information for optimizing maintenance management, defining a spare parts strategy, estimating competence needs for PSV operation, and achieving the acceptable level of availability performance. Currently, there are no standards or guidelines for the criticality analysis of PSVs for maintenance purposes. In this paper, a methodology for the identification of the critical components of PSVs has been developed, based on the available standard. It is a systematic screening process. The method considers functional redundancy and the consequences of loss of function as criticality criteria at the main and subfunction levels. Furthermore, at the component level, risk tools such as failure modes, effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), and fault tree analysis (FTA) will be applied in order to identify the most critical components. Moreover, the application of the proposed approach will be illustrated by a real case study.

Failure mode, effects and criticality analysis improvement by using new criticality assessment and prioritization based approach

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ammar Chakhrit ◽  
Mohammed Chennoufi
Keyword(s):  
Failure Mode ◽  
Conventional Method ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Risk Evaluation ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Criticality Analysis

Purpose This paper aims to enable the analysts of reliability and safety system to assess the criticality and prioritize failure modes perfectly to prefer actions for controlling the risks of undesirable scenarios. Design/methodology/approach To resolve the challenge of uncertainty and ambiguous related to the parameters, frequency, non-detection and severity considered in the traditional approach failure mode effect and criticality analysis (FMECA) for risk evaluation, the authors used fuzzy logic where these parameters are shown as members of a fuzzy set, which fuzzified by using appropriate membership functions. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system process is suggested as a dynamic, intelligently chosen model to ameliorate and validate the results obtained by the fuzzy inference system and effectively predict the criticality evaluation of failure modes. A new hybrid model is proposed that combines the grey relational approach and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to improve the exploitation of the FMECA conventional method. Findings This research project aims to reflect the real case study of the gas turbine system. Using this analysis allows evaluating the criticality effectively and provides an alternate prioritizing to that obtained by the conventional method. The obtained results show that the integration of two multi-criteria decision methods and incorporating their results enable to instill confidence in decision-makers regarding the criticality prioritizations of failure modes and the shortcoming concerning the lack of established rules of inference system which necessitate a lot of experience and shows the weightage or importance to the three parameters severity, detection and frequency, which are considered to have equal importance in the traditional method. Originality/value This paper is providing encouraging results regarding the risk evaluation and prioritizing failures mode and decision-makers guidance to refine the relevance of decision-making to reduce the probability of occurrence and the severity of the undesirable scenarios with handling different forms of ambiguity, uncertainty and divergent judgments of experts.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document