scholarly journals Mode Choice Modeling Using Personalized Travel Time and Cost Data

Author(s):  
Mahmoud Javanmardi
Author(s):  
Youssef Dehghani ◽  
Thomas Adler ◽  
Michael W. Doherty ◽  
Randy Fox

The Florida Department of Transportation Turnpike Enterprise’s recent toll mode-choice model development activities are described. Because the simple toll travel forecasting analysis methods used were not adequate for reliably addressing contemporary toll study issues, there was a need for toll modeling innovations that address trip makers’ toll route decisions as a mode-choice step sensitive to changes in service levels by time of day, trip purpose, and socioeconomic attributes. Innovations developed for Florida’s turnpike began with data-collection efforts and toll model development for the Central Florida (Orlando) region. This represents the next generation of modeling system. Similar efforts are under way for the Miami–Fort Lauderdale area. The Orlando region toll mode-choice model, which is in its final validation phase, includes a statistically estimated nested mode-choice modeling system with a discrete choice for toll travel. The models were developed for a combination of four periods and four trip purposes, including visitor trips. Other key features are ( a) a pre-mode-choice time-of-day process; ( b) a generalized cost-assignment procedure that uses travel time and costs by time of day (rather than travel time alone); ( c) production of zone-to-zone travel time and costs consistent with travel paths; and ( d) a feedback loop process that uses an iterative successive averaging procedure to estimate travel times.


2011 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 581-585 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maya Abou-Zeid ◽  
Darren M. Scott

2018 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 268-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.C. de Haas ◽  
R.G. Hoogendoorn ◽  
C.E. Scheepers ◽  
S. Hoogendoorn-Lanser

2013 ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Hagen-Zanker ◽  
Ying Jin

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rolf Moeckel ◽  
Rhett Fussell ◽  
Rick Donnelly

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Eui-Jin Kim

Understanding choice behavior regarding travel mode is essential in forecasting travel demand. Machine learning (ML) approaches have been proposed to model mode choice behavior, and their usefulness for predicting performance has been reported. However, due to the black-box nature of ML, it is difficult to determine a suitable explanation for the relationship between the input and output variables. This paper proposes an interpretable ML approach to improve the interpretability (i.e., the degree of understanding the cause of decisions) of ML concerning travel mode choice modeling. This approach applied to national household travel survey data in Seoul. First, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) was applied to travel mode choice modeling, and the XGB outperformed the other ML models. Variable importance, variable interaction, and accumulated local effects (ALE) were measured to interpret the prediction of the best-performing XGB. The results of variable importance and interaction indicated that the correlated trip- and tour-related variables significantly influence predicting travel mode choice by the main and cross effects between them. Age and number of trips on tour were also shown to be an important variable in choosing travel mode. ALE measured the main effect of variables that have a nonlinear relation to choice probability, which cannot be observed in the conventional multinomial logit model. This information can provide interesting behavioral insights on urban mobility.


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