scholarly journals COVID-19 Impact on Nifty Banks: An Event Study Methodology

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-108
Author(s):  
Sabat Kumar Digal ◽  
Yashmin Khatun ◽  
Braja Sundar Seet
Keyword(s):  
Developing Economies ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Investor Confidence ◽  
First Case ◽  
Catalytic Role ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Adjusted Model ◽  
Model Market ◽  
Event Study Methodology

The financial sector, because of its catalytic role in the economy, has always been in the eye of the storm in economic difficulties. Due to the pandemic, the stock market had lost about 27 percent by April 2020 and bank nifty has had a lion’s share in pushing the index down to this level. Uncertainty arose as the containment of the disease and the availability of vaccines remain uncertain; this contributed to the plunge in investor confidence. Because of the central role of banks in the development initiatives of the governments, COVID-19 has become a significant threat to the sustainability of the banks globally, especially in developing economies. However, we believe every downfall brings in new opportunities for the investors. Therefore, the present study attempted to study both the gloom and boon and observed that there were short-term abnormal returns to the investors of nifty banks in two different periods - the detection of the first case of COVID-19 in India and the lockdown periods in India. The impacts of both the events are calculated by applying Market and Risk Adjusted model, Market Adjusted Return model and Mean Adjusted Return model. The paper concludes that the impacts were insignificant during the first period and was quite significant in the subsequent period. Nifty banks have earned negative abnormal returns during the pre-lockdown period and positive abnormal returns during post lockdown period which indicates that the markets reacted positively as India implemented the first lockdown.

scholarly journals Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Indian Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 558
Author(s):  
Yashraj Varma ◽  
Renuka Venkataramani ◽  
Parthajit Kayal ◽  
Moinak Maiti
Keyword(s):  
Market Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Major Index ◽  
Business Operations ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Adjusted Model ◽  
First Time ◽  
Model Market ◽  
Event Study Methodology

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown announcements by governments have created uncertainty in business operations globally. For the first time, a health shock has impacted the stock markets forcefully. India, one of the major emerging markets, has witnessed a massive fall of around 40% in its major stock indices’ value. Therefore, we examined the short-term impact of the pandemic on the Indian stock market’s major index (NIFTY50) and its constituent sectors. For our analysis, we used three different models (constant return model, market model, and market-adjusted model) of event study methodology. Our results are heterogeneous and largely depend on the sectors. All the sectors were impacted temporarily, yet the financial sector faced the worst. Sectors like pharma, consumer goods, and IT had positive or limited impacts. We discuss the potential explanations for the same. These results may be useful for investors in safeguarding equity portfolios from unforeseen shocks and making better investment decisions to avoid large, unexpected losses.

scholarly journals How Does Split Announcement Affect Stock Liquidity? Evidence from Bursa Malaysia

Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 85
Author(s):  
S. Amir Tabibian ◽  
Zhaoyong Zhang ◽  
Mohsen Jafarian
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Stock Liquidity ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Event Study Methodology

This study examines the impact of stock splits on stock liquidity in Bursa Malaysia from 2004–2018. The study uses event study methodology and investigates liquidity changes, the role of liquidity, and the relationship between abnormal returns and liquidity as well. We found a significant liquidity improvement on the splits announcement, announcement of book closing date and split execution date (Ex-date), while it declined after the split Ex-date. The findings also indicate that firms with a low-level liquidity prior to split announcements experienced an increase in liquidity after Ex-date. Using panel data analysis, we find that the fixed effect model is more appropriate than the pooled OLS, and the abnormal announcement returns are driven by stock liquidity.

New product announcement: spokesperson a manifestation of increasing firm value

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1635-1655
Author(s):  
Bikram Jit Singh Mann ◽  
Sonia Babbar
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Source Credibility ◽  
Shareholder Value ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
New Product ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Before introducing new products, companies make announcements regarding the launch of the product which influences stock market yields of the announcing companies. Information content of the new product announcement has never been an exclusive focused stream of research. Therefore, an assessment of the impact of the content characteristics of the new product announcement on the shareholder value and the impact of source credibility (spokesperson) in making such announcements is a major gap in the existing literature. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach First, the standard event study methodology has been employed on the sample to measure the abnormal gains/losses accruing to the announcing firms. Second, moderated regression analysis (MRA) is employed to identify the characteristics of the new product announcement and to check the role of the spokesperson in creating shareholder value. Findings The results of the event study indicate that the abnormal returns are generated during the new product announcement. The results of MRA disclose the variables having a positive and a significant influence on the effective returns of the announcing companies. Likewise, the role of the spokesperson has come out brightly as a credible communicator. Originality/value The research provides a direction to the announcing companies regarding the content of the announcement leading to a positive perception among the investing community. Likewise, it also provides direction to the investor community about the characteristics of the announcement content they give weight age in forming a perception of strength in evaluating the new product announcement, to which they are largely unaware.

scholarly journals Impact of Smoking Ban Fatwa on Indonesian Tobacco’s Company

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 76-86
Author(s):  
Gatot Soepriyanto ◽  
Paulina Santoso
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Tobacco Consumption ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Smoking Ban ◽  
Muslim Population ◽  
Stock Market Return ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Event Study Methodology

The objective of this study is to assess the share price reactions to smoking ban fatwa on Indonesia tobacco’s company. We expect that the smoking ban fatwa in the world’s largest Muslim population will hit the tobaccos industry revenues, lower tobacco’s company profit and eventually affect the share price of those firms. We use event study methodology and standard market model to calculate abnormal returns of the tobacco’s firms related to the news of smoking ban fatwa. Our study failed to find a statistically significant effect of smoking ban fatwa on tobacco’s firm stock market return. It suggests that the investors do not see the fatwa as a factor that may control the tobacco consumption in Indonesia – thus it may not affect the tobacco’s firm revenues and profit in the future

Signaling Effect of Shifts in Dividend Policy: Evidence from Indian Capital Markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 142-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohit Gupta ◽  
Navdeep Aggarwal
Keyword(s):  
Capital Markets ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Event Window ◽  
Developed Markets ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Signaling Effect ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Event Study Methodology

Empirical evidence suggests that a large number of studies support the signaling impact of dividends, but the results are more pronounced in developed markets as compared to emerging markets, where because of the weak form of market efficiency, signaling impact is not well-established. This study tests this hypothesis in Indian capital markets, in terms of signaling impact due to shifts in dividend policy. The study has defined the shift in dividend policy as an increase or a decrease of dividend by 20 percent from the previous dividend payout rate. Standard event study methodology was applied on 129 such events in the selected time period and these events were further classified according to market capitalization. Large-cap stocks displayed the presence of significant abnormal returns in the pre-event period, whereas the mid-cap stocks displayed the same in the post-event period. The results of the small-cap stocks mirrored that of large-cap stocks but they are the only ones in which cumulative average abnormal returns were found to be significantly displaying the lagged response toward the event. The decrease in dividend rate by 20 percent or more did not result in average abnormal returns in either pre-event or post-event window.

EFFECT OF BONUS ISSUE ON STOCK PRICES OF COMPANIES QUOTED AT THE NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Patrick Maina Gachuhi ◽  
Cyrus Iraya
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Event Study Methodology

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of bonus issue on stock prices of companies quoted at the Nairobi securities exchangeMethodology: The study adopted an event study methodology since the study was concerned with the establishment of the information content of bonus issue announcement on share performance at the NSE. The population of this study was 61 companies listed in the NSE. A sample size of 10 listed companies was focused on as there were only 10 companies which had issued bonuses between 2009 and 2012. The study used secondary data to gather information. The collected secondary data was coded and entered into Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS, Version 20) for analysisResults: The study findings revealed that there was a drastic incline from year 2009 to year 2010 followed by a slight decrease in abnormal returns in the following years, Abnormal returns present the difference between the actual returns and the expected returns over a certain period of time. Study findings from the market model indicated that the market return is a good predictor of stock returns.  ANOVA results indicated that abnormal returns after bonus issue were significantly higher than abnormal returns before bonus issue. ANOVA results also indicated that actual stock returns were significantly higher after bonus issue than before the bonus issuePolicy recommendation: The study recommends the NSE to establish and enhance policies for investing so as to attract and encourage large institutional and foreign investors to participate at the NSE. The study also recommends that policy makers and regulators at the NSE are encouraged to encourage more research on the NSE form of efficiency; this will provide a forum for investors to get the information on the form of efficiency of the market and boost their confidence when investing at the NSE

Market Reaction To Changes In Dividend Payments Policy In Jordan

2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 1193
Author(s):  
Wasim K. Al-Shattarat ◽  
Jamal A. Al-Khasawneh ◽  
Husni K. Al-Shattarat
Keyword(s):  
Market Reaction ◽  
Value Relevance ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Dividend Payments ◽  
Adjusted Model ◽  
Model Market ◽  
Non Parametric

The purpose of this paper is to examine empirically the signalling theory for a sample of firms listed at Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) during the period 2001 to 2006. The sample consists of 215 observations. The Event Study Methodology (ESM) is employed to examine the market reaction to dividend change announcements. The nave model is used to classify the sample under four sub samples; Dividend Increase, Dividend Decrease, Dividend No Change and No Dividend No Change. The market model, mean adjusted model, market adjusted model, market model adjusted with Scholes and Williams and market model adjusted with Fowler and Rorke models are used to generate the expected returns. Also, the t-test, ZD test and Corrados non-parametric test are used to examine the significance of the mean and cumulative abnormal returns. Overall, the results show that the market reacts positively to dividend increase, dividend decrease and dividend no change announcements. In addition, the results indicate that there is no significant market reaction to dividend no change sample with zero distributions. This result indicated that there is little value-relevance to dividend change announcements. The interpretation of the positive market reaction is related to dividend release announcements rather than dividend changes. Therefore, there is some support to the signalling hypothesis to dividend release. Furthermore, applying thin trading models and non-parametric tests leads to the same conclusion.

scholarly journals Does leverage level matter for return anomaly during rights issue announcements? The case of Islamic countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-155
Author(s):  
Murat Isiker ◽  
Oktay Tas
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Debt Level ◽  
Islamic Countries ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Rights Issue ◽  
Return Anomaly ◽  
One Way Anova ◽  
Event Study Methodology

PurposeThis paper aims to measure investors' perception of the rights issue announcement of publicly listed companies in five stock markets of Islamic countries. Then, these firms are grouped according to their debt level to examine whether abnormal returns are different from those that are highly leveraged. Moreover, Sharīʿah compatibility of firms is checked to understand if return anomaly shows different behaviour around rights issue announcement days.Design/methodology/approachThe analysis period includes the years 2010–2019, which includes 362 rights issue announcements. The event study methodology is applied to measure the level of impact that is triggered by the rights issue announcements. Hereafter, one-way ANOVA test is performed to identify whether there exists a difference among the sample groups according to their debt level.FindingsFindings suggest that rights issue announcements cause −3.90% fall in share prices on average for the whole sample. However, negative abnormal return is found significant only in Egypt and Turkey. Individual regression analysis results suggest that an increase in debt level worsens the return anomaly only in Egypt. This refers that the rights issue announcement is perceived as less favourable for highly leveraged companies compared to others in this country. Finally, Sharīʿah-compliant companies show better performance compared to non-compliant counterparts around the event dates.Originality/valueThis paper is novel in evaluating market reaction during rights issue announcements in multiple Islamic countries. Also, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first attempt to compare return behaviour of Sharīʿah-compliant and non-compliant firms around the rights issue announcements.

scholarly journals The CAC 40 Index’s Reaction to Terrorist Attacks: The Case of Charlie Hebdo

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-72
Author(s):  
Khoury Rim El
Keyword(s):  
Terrorist Attack ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Terrorist Attacks ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Available Information ◽  
Abnormal Profits ◽  
Event Study Methodology ◽  
Charlie Hebdo

Abstract Over the last decades, terrorism has become a global phenomenon to which every society is exposed from time to time. Terrorist attacks can have many economic consequences that may affect a number of sectors, including the capital market. The main goal of this paper is to examine the reaction of the CAC40 index to one terrorist attack, mainly “Charlie Hebdo” using an event study methodology. By calculating the abnormal returns and the cumulative abnormal returns in the event period, the results obtained show no significant abnormal returns on the day of the terrorist attack suggesting that the market had directly absorbed the effect of the attack. Thus, the findings suggest that the French market is semi-strong efficient. Investors can rely neither on past information nor on publicly available information to make abnormal profits.

scholarly journals A critical evaluation of event study approach using M&A events in the Indian banking industry

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 266-272
Author(s):  
Ullas Rao
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Critical Evaluation ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Wealth Effects ◽  
Wealth Status ◽  
Inherent Limitation ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Event Study Methodology

The present study seeks to critically evaluate the most extensively employed technique – event study methodology, employed to capture the returns generated from M&A events on the wealth status of shareholders. Notwithstanding the popularity of the technique, authors in this paper argue that conceptual bases on which the methodology is founded is flawed. In the light of the extensive limitations attributable to event study methodology, there exists an urgent need to suggest improvement in the conceptual framework of the traditional method capable of lending application to capture the wealth effects of M&A events. The authors believe that application of such a modified approach will be much more salvageable as the results derived therefrom will command greater credibility as well as reliability. In order to highlight the inherent limitation of the event study approach, the authors have used the sample of Indian Banking M&A events retrieved from the M&A data available at etintelligence.com . Given the conceptual flaws of the event study approach, the authors argue that researchers must exercise great caution while commenting on the t-statistic observed for CAR (Cumulative Abnormal Returns) values as the statistical insignificance could be arising more out of the conceptual deficiency of the event study approach than pointing towards the neutral impact of an M&A event on the wealth status of the shareholders.

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