scholarly journals Northern Hemisphere atmospheric pattern enhancing Eastern Mediterranean Transient-type events during the past 1000 years

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 1523-1532
Author(s):  
Aleix Cortina-Guerra ◽  
Juan José Gomez-Navarro ◽  
Belen Martrat ◽  
Juan Pedro Montávez ◽  
Alessandro Incarbona ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Eastern Mediterranean ◽  
Aegean Sea ◽  
East Atlantic ◽  
The Past ◽  
Gulf Of Lion ◽  
Main Driver ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Past 1000 Years

Abstract. High-resolution climate model simulations for the last millennium were used to elucidate the main winter Northern Hemisphere atmospheric pattern during enhanced Eastern Mediterranean Transient (EMT-type) events, a situation in which an additional overturning cell is detected in the Mediterranean at the Aegean Sea. The differential upward heat flux between the Aegean Basin and the Gulf of Lion was taken as a proxy of EMT-type events and correlated with winter mean geopotential height at 500 mbar in the Northern Hemisphere (20–90∘ N and 100∘ W–80∘ E). Correlations revealed a pattern similar to the East Atlantic/Western Russian (EA/WR) mode as the main driver of EMT-type events, with the past 1000 years of EA/WR-like mode simulations being enhanced during insolation minima. Our model results are consistent with alkenone sea surface temperature (SST) reconstructions that documented an increase in the west–east basin gradients during EMT-type events.

scholarly journals Northern Hemisphere atmospheric pattern enhancing Eastern Mediterranean Transient-type events during the past 1000 years 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleix Cortina-Guerra ◽  
Juan José Gomez-Navarro ◽  
Belen Martrat ◽  
Juan Pedro Montávez ◽  
Alessandro Incarbona ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Eastern Mediterranean ◽  
Aegean Sea ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The West ◽  
The Past ◽  
Main Driver ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Past 1000 Years

Abstract. High resolution climate model simulations for the last millennium were used to elucidate the main winter Northern Hemisphere atmospheric pattern during enhanced Eastern Mediterranean Transient (EMT-type) events, a situation in which an additional overturning cell is detected in the Mediterranean at the Aegean Sea. The differential upward heat flux between the Aegean Basin and the Gulf of Lions was taken as a proxy of EMT-type events and correlated with winter mean geopotential height at 500 mb in the Northern Hemisphere (200 N-900 N and 1000 W-800 E). Correlations revealed a pattern similar to the Eastern Atlantic/Western Russian (EA/WR) mode as the main driver of EMT-type events, with the past 1000 yr of EA/WR-like mode simulations being enhanced during insolation minima. Our model results are consistent with alkenone Sea Surface Temperature (SST) reconstructions that documented an increase in the west-east basin gradients during EMT-type events.

scholarly journals Teleconnections and relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) in reconstructions and models over the past millennium

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 743-756 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Dätwyler ◽  
Martin Grosjean ◽  
Nathan J. Steiger ◽  
Raphael Neukom
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
The Past ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Past Millennium

Abstract. The climate of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) is strongly influenced by variations in the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Because of the limited length of instrumental records in most parts of the SH, very little is known about the relationship between these two key modes of variability over time. Using proxy-based reconstructions and last-millennium climate model simulations, we find that ENSO and SAM indices are mostly negatively correlated over the past millennium. Pseudo-proxy experiments indicate that currently available proxy records are able to reliably capture ENSO–SAM relationships back to at least 1600 CE. Palaeoclimate reconstructions show mostly negative correlations back to about 1400 CE. An ensemble of last-millennium climate model simulations confirms this negative correlation, showing a stable correlation of approximately −0.3. Despite this generally negative relationship we do find intermittent periods of positive ENSO–SAM correlations in individual model simulations and in the palaeoclimate reconstructions. We do not find evidence that these relationship fluctuations are caused by exogenous forcing nor by a consistent climate pattern. However, we do find evidence that strong negative correlations are associated with strong positive (negative) anomalies in the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and the Amundsen Sea Low during periods when SAM and ENSO indices are of opposite (equal) sign.

scholarly journals Episodic Neoglacial expansion and rapid 20th century retreat of a small ice cap on Baffin Island, Arctic Canada, and modeled temperature change

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 1527-1537 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon L. Pendleton ◽  
Gifford H. Miller ◽  
Robert A. Anderson ◽  
Sarah E. Crump ◽  
Yafang Zhong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Change ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Baffin Island ◽  
Radiocarbon Dates ◽  
The Past ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Glacier Advance

Abstract. Records of Neoglacial glacier activity in the Arctic constructed from moraines are often incomplete due to a preservation bias toward the most extensive advance, often the Little Ice Age. Recent warming in the Arctic has caused extensive retreat of glaciers over the past several decades, exposing preserved landscapes complete with in situ tundra plants previously entombed by ice. The radiocarbon ages of these plants define the timing of snowline depression and glacier advance across the site, in response to local summer cooling. Erosion rapidly removes most dead plants that have been recently exposed by ice retreat, but where erosive processes are unusually weak, dead plants may remain preserved on the landscape for decades. In such settings, a transect of plant radiocarbon ages can be used to construct a near-continuous chronology of past ice margin advance. Here we present radiocarbon dates from the first such transect on Baffin Island, which directly dates the advance of a small ice cap over the past two millennia. The nature of ice expansion between 20 BCE and ∼ 1000 CE is still uncertain, but episodic advances at ∼ 1000 CE, ∼ 1200, and  ∼ 1500 led to the maximum Neoglacial dimensions ~ 1900 CE. We employ a two-dimensional numerical glacier model calibrated using the plant radiocarbon ages ice margin chronology to assess the sensitivity of the ice cap to temperature change. Model experiments show that at least ∼ 0.44 °C of cooling over the past 2 kyr is required for the ice cap to reach its 1900 CE margin, and that the period from ∼ 1000 to 1900 CE must have been at least 0.25° C cooler than the previous millennium, results that agree with regional temperature reconstructions and climate model simulations. However, significant warming since 1900 CE is required to explain retreat to its present position, and, at the same rate of warming, the ice cap will disappear before 2100 CE.

Extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere land temperature variability over the past 1000 years

2004 ◽  
Vol 23 (20-22) ◽  
pp. 2063-2074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward R. Cook ◽  
Jan Esper ◽  
Rosanne D. D’Arrigo
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Temperature Variability ◽  
The Past ◽  
Past 1000 Years

scholarly journals Orbital controls on Namib Desert hydroclimate over the past 50,000 years

Geology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (9) ◽  
pp. 867-871 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian M. Chase ◽  
Eva M. Niedermeyer ◽  
Arnoud Boom ◽  
Andrew S. Carr ◽  
Manuel Chevalier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Namib Desert ◽  
Low Latitude ◽  
Rock Hyrax ◽  
Sea Temperature ◽  
The Past ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Past Climate Change ◽  
Hydroclimatic Variability

Abstract Despite being one of the world’s oldest deserts, and the subject of decades of research, evidence of past climate change in the Namib Desert is extremely limited. As such, there is significant debate regarding the nature and drivers of climate change in the low-latitude drylands of southwestern Africa. Here we present data from stratified accumulations of rock hyrax urine that provide the first continuous high-resolution terrestrial climate record for the Namib Desert spanning the past 50,000 yr. These data, spanning multiple sites, show remarkably coherent variability that is clearly linked to orbital cycles and the evolution and perturbation of global boundary conditions. Contrary to some previous predictions of southwestern African climate change, we show that orbital-scale cycles of hydroclimatic variability in the Namib Desert region are in phase with those of the northern tropics, with increased local summer insolation coinciding with periods of increased aridity. Supported by climate model simulations, our analyses link this to variations in position and intensity of atmospheric pressure cells modulated by hemispheric and land-sea temperature gradients. We conclude that hydroclimatic variability at orbital time scales is driven by the combined influence of direct low-latitude insolation forcing and the influence of remote controls on the South Atlantic anticyclone, with attendant impacts on upwelling and sea-surface temperature variations.

Variability of the Azores High and regional hydroclimate over the past millennium

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline Ummenhofer ◽  
Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay ◽  
Diana Thatcher ◽  
Alan Wanamaker ◽  
Rhawn Denniston
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Atlantic Sector ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
The Past ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Azores High

<p>The subtropical dry zones, including the broader Mediterranean region, are likely to experience considerable changes in hydroclimate in a warming climate. An expansion of the atmosphere’s meridional overturning circulation, the Hadley circulation, over recent decades has been reported, with implications for regional hydroclimate. Yet, there exists considerable disagreement in magnitude and even sign of these trends among different metrics that measure various aspects of the Hadley circulation, as well as discrepancies in trends between different analysis periods and reanalysis products during the 20<sup>th</sup> century. In light of these uncertainties, it is therefore of interest to explore variability and trends in subtropical hydroclimate and its dominant driver, the Hadley Circulation. We focus on the North Atlantic sector and explore variability in the Azores High, the manifestation of the Hadley Circulation’s downward branch, and hydroclimate across the Iberian Peninsula using a combination of observational/reanalysis products, state-of-the-art climate model simulations, and hydroclimatically-sensitive stalagmite records over the past 1200 yr. The Last Millennium Ensemble (LME) with the Community Earth System Model provides thirteen transient simulations covering the period 850 to 2005 A.D. with prescribed external forcing (e.g. greenhouse gas, solar, volcanic, land use, orbital, and aerosol) and smaller subsets with individual forcing only. The LME is shown to accurately simulate the variability and trends in the Azores High when compared to observational records from the 20<sup>th</sup> century. We evaluate variability in the Azores High (e.g., size, intensity, position) in relation to other key metrics that measure different aspects of the Hadley circulation throughout the course of the last millennium, as well as during key periods, such as the Little Ice Age or Medieval Climate Anomaly. The smaller subsets of LME simulations with individual forcing factors (e.g., solar, volcanic) allow for an attribution of past changes in regional hydroclimate to external drivers. Results from the climate model simulations are compared with hydroclimate reconstructed from stalagmites from Portuguese caves.</p>

Stratosphere-Mesosphere exchange: Long term changes and drivers

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Radek Zajíček ◽  
Petr Pišoft ◽  
Roland Eichinger ◽  
Petr Šácha
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Residual Circulation ◽  
Research Attention ◽  
Mass Fluxes ◽  
Main Driver ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Conceptual Study ◽  
Mass Circulation ◽  
Mean Circulation

<p>The meridional overturning mass circulation in the middle atmosphere, i.e. the Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC), was first discovered before decades based on the distribution of trace gases and a basic analytical concept of BDC has been derived using the transformed Eulerian mean equations. Since then, BDC is usually defined as consisting of a diffusive part, and an advective, residual mean circulation. In the vertical, BDC is separated into two branches – a shallow branch in the lower stratosphere and a deep branch higher in the middle atmosphere.<br />Climate model simulations robustly show that the advective BDC part accelerates in connection to the greenhouse gas-induced climate change and this acceleration dominates the middle atmospheric changes in climate model projections. A prominent quantity that is being studied as a proxy for advective BDC changes is the net tropical upwelling across the tropopause, which measures the amount of mass advected by residual circulation from the troposphere to the stratosphere per unit of time. The upper BDC branch received considerably less research attention than its shallow part, but features some striking phenomenon in the terrestrial atmosphere. It couples the stratosphere and mesosphere and is also responsible for a large portion of interhemispheric transport and coupling in the middle atmosphere.<br />In our research, for the first time, we produce a conceptual study of the advective stratosphere-mesosphere exchange. The analysis of advective exchange of mass between the stratosphere and mesosphere, i.e. the advective mass transport across the stratopause represents another step towards a better understanding of the structure of the upper BDC part and at the same time provides valuable insights into the relatively little-explored stratopause region. We investigate the variability and trends in mass fluxes from the stratosphere to the mesosphere and vice versa based on data from the EMAC-L90 model CCMI-1 simulation for the period 1960-2100. We develop an analytical method that allows us to attribute the changes of transport to causative factors such as acceleration of residual circulation, variable height of the stratopause, change of a geometric shape of the stratopause and changes in width of the upwelling and downwelling regions. The main driver of the increasing mass exchange between the stratosphere and the mesosphere is the faster circulation, however, the other terms are not negligible. The derived methodology offers the possibility of using an analogous procedure also for the tropopause in the future.</p>

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