scholarly journals Paleoclimate in continental northwestern Europe during the Eemian and Early-Weichselian (125–97 ka): insights from a Belgian speleothem

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stef Vansteenberge ◽  
Sophie Verheyden ◽  
Hai Cheng ◽  
Lawrence R. Edwards ◽  
Eddy Keppens ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Last Interglacial serves as an excellent time interval for studying climate dynamics during past warm periods. Speleothems have been successfully used for reconstructing the paleoclimate of Last Interglacial continental Europe. However, all previously investigated speleothems are restricted to southern Europe or the Alpine region, leaving large parts of northwestern Europe undocumented. To better understand regional climate changes over the past, a larger spatial coverage of European Last Interglacial speleothems is essential. Here, we present new, high-resolution data from a stalagmite (Han-9) obtained from the Han-sur-Lesse cave in Belgium. The Han-9 formed between 125.3 and ~97 ka, with interruptions of growth occurring at 117.3–112.9 ka and 106.6–103.6 ka. The speleothem was investigated for its growth, morphology and stable isotope (δ13C and δ18O) content. Speleothem formation within the Last Interglacial started relatively late in Belgium, as this is the oldest sample of that time period found so far, dated at 125.3 ka. Other European continental archives suggest that Eemian optimum conditions were already present during that time, therefore it appears that the initiation of the Han-9 growth is caused by an increase in moisture availability, linked to wetter conditions around 125.3 ka. The δ13C and δ18O proxies indicate a period of relatively stable conditions after 125.3 ka, however at 120 ka the speleothem δ18O registered the first signs of regionally changing climate conditions, being a modification of ocean source δ18O linked to an increase in ice volume towards the MIS 5e-5d transition. The end of the Eemian is marked by drastic vegetation changes recorded in the speleothem δ13C at 117.5 ka, immediately followed by a stop in speleothem growth at 117.3 ka, suggesting that climate became significantly dryer. The Han-9 record covering the Early-Weichselian displays larger amplitudes in both the isotope proxies and the stalagmite morphology, evidencing increased variability compared to the Eemian. Greenland Stadials are recognized in the Han-9 and the chronology is consistent with other European (speleothem) records. Greenland Stadial 25 is reflected as a cold/dry period within the stable isotope proxies and the second interruption in speleothem growth occurs simultaneously with Greenland Stadial 24.

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1445-1458 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stef Vansteenberge ◽  
Sophie Verheyden ◽  
Hai Cheng ◽  
R. Lawrence Edwards ◽  
Eddy Keppens ◽  
...  

Abstract. The last interglacial serves as an excellent time interval for studying climate dynamics during past warm periods. Speleothems have been successfully used for reconstructing the paleoclimate of last interglacial continental Europe. However, all previously investigated speleothems are restricted to southern Europe or the Alps, leaving large parts of northwestern Europe undocumented. To better understand regional climate changes over the past, a larger spatial coverage of European last interglacial continental records is essential, and speleothems, because of their ability to obtain excellent chronologies, can provide a major contribution. Here, we present new, high-resolution data from a stalagmite (Han-9) obtained from the Han-sur-Lesse Cave in Belgium. Han-9 formed between 125.3 and  ∼  97 ka, with interruptions of growth occurring at 117.3–112.9 and 106.6–103.6 ka. The speleothem was investigated for its growth, morphology and stable isotope (δ13C and δ18O) composition. The speleothem started growing relatively late within the last interglacial, at 125.3 ka, as other European continental archives suggest that Eemian optimum conditions were already present during that time. It appears that the initiation of Han-9 growth is caused by an increase in moisture availability, linked to wetter conditions around 125.3 ka. The δ13C and δ18O proxies indicate a period of relatively stable conditions after 125.3 ka; however, at 120 ka the speleothem δ18O registered the first signs of regionally changing climate conditions, being a modification of ocean source δ18O linked to an increase in ice volume towards the Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 5e–5d transition. At 117.5 ka, drastic vegetation changes are recorded by Han-9 δ13C immediately followed by a cessation of speleothem growth at 117.3 ka, suggesting a transition to significantly dryer conditions. The Han-9 record covering the early Weichselian displays larger amplitudes in both isotope proxies and changes in stalagmite morphology, evidencing increased variability compared to the Eemian. Stadials that appear to be analogous to those in Greenland are recognized in Han-9, and the chronology is consistent with other European (speleothem) records. Greenland Stadial 25 is reflected as a cold/dry period within Han-9 stable isotope proxies, and the second interruption in speleothem growth occurs simultaneously with Greenland Stadial 24.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Danielle Grant ◽  
Kristine Steinsland ◽  
Sigrid Mugu ◽  
Katrine Sandnes Skaar ◽  
Umer Z. Ijaz ◽  
...  

<p>The Last Interglacial (LIG, ~128–116ka) was characterized by a warmer climate, increased sea level, and a reduced Greenland ice sheet compared to today. Climate projections suggest our future climate may resemble LIG conditions if anthropogenic climate change progresses unabated. Previous studies have identified key shifts in the Labrador Sea oceanography and climate before, during, and after the LIG, making this time interval an exciting target for exploring high-latitude marine ecological dynamics. In recent years, the application of sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) has provided new glimpses into past ocean and climate conditions. Here, we have explored sedaDNA alongside other, traditional, paleoceanography proxies, to better understand the changing Labrador Sea biome across climate transitions and in a globally warmer world. We have generated a sedaDNA record from a giant piston core at the Eirik Drift (Labrador Sea). Our sedaDNA record, dating back to ~135 ka, was sampled at 4 cm depth intervals and covers the glacial-interglacial transition, as well as the LIG. SedaDNA was purified using a commercial spin column kit and analysed using a metabarcoding approach targeting the V7 hypervariable region of the eukaryote small subunit RNA. Illumina MiSeq analysis of metabarcoding libraries revealed PCR-amplifiable eukaryotic DNA throughout the investigated downcore section. Shifts in relative taxon abundance and alpha- and beta-diversity metrics paralleled shifts in foraminifer isotope records (δ<sup>18</sup>Ο), palynological assemblages, and biomarkers suggesting that the molecular genetic signal preserved in downcore sediments shows promise for identifying ecological shifts across the LIG. We are currently investigating the potential utility of specific taxa identified in the sedaDNA record to act as indicators of the glacial-interglacial transition. This study strengthens the growing potential of marine sedaDNA as a supplemental proxy for climate reconstructions in the Late Quaternary.</p>


2001 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 155-164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henriette Linge ◽  
Stein-Erik Lauritzen ◽  
Joyce Lundberg

AbstractA stalagmite from Rana, northern Norway, dated by the TIMS uranium-series technique, yields records of stable oxygen and carbon isotopes covering the period from late marine oxygen isotope substages (MIS) 5e to 5a, that is, 123,350 to 73,300 yr ago. Rapid growth (∼46 μm/yr) between 123,350 and 119,500 yr ago reflects climatic conditions favorable for speleothem growth. This period is characterized by century- to millennial-scale oscillations in both stable isotope records, where both the absolute values and the isotope ranges are similar to Holocene and older samples from the region. From 119,500 to 107,700 yr ago, speleothem growth was slow (∼0.7 μm/yr), and between 107,700 and 73,300 yr ago growth is barely noticeable (0.07 μm/yr). During the period of slow growth the stable isotope records show an overall enrichment trend. The transition between rapid and slow growth rate occurring sometime between 119,500 and 107,700 yr ago is believed to reflect the termination of interglacial climate in this region. The absence of detritus and corrosion features in the slowly deposited calcite suggests that the valley outside the cave remained sufficiently ice free for speleothem growth to occur until at least 73,300 yr ago.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carole Nehme ◽  
Sophie Verheyden ◽  
Tobias Kluge ◽  
Therese Weissbach ◽  
Fadi Nader ◽  
...  

<p>An improved understanding of medium and short-term changes in temperature and rainfall in the East Mediterranean is necessary for a comprehensive description of the regional climate regime. In particular, it can help advancing current climate models and predictions. A new paleoclimate record from Cyprus gives new insights into climatic variations during MIS 6 and 5 for this region. A 66 cm long speleothem from Pentadactylos cave in the Kyrenia range (800 m asl) was extensively dated with the U/Th method and investigated for petrography, fluid inclusions, stable and clumped isotopes. The stalagmite grew from 174.6 ± 0.7 to 112.2 ± 0.5 ka BP. The growth rate varies from 31 to 5 mm/ka during the early-MIS6 and evolving from 123 to 18 mm/ka at the end-MIS6. The onset of MIS5e is marked by a high growth rate (125 mm/ka) until growth decreased drastically after 122 ka. Growth rate and stalagmite diameter as well as δ<sup>18</sup>O and δ<sup>13</sup>C curves are positively correlated. We interpret the δ<sup>18</sup>Oc signal as being controlled by effective infiltration and thus rainfall amount. Climate conditions during early-MIS6 were highly variable (δ<sup>18</sup>O<sub>c</sub>) on a millennial-scale with several short-lived wet episodes during sapropel 6. From 141 to 132 ka, δ<sup>18</sup>O<sub>c</sub> suggests general dry/cold conditions with low bio-pedological activity, followed by a growth stop during H11. The δ<sup>18</sup>O values during the Eemian wet period in Cyprus are driven by the source effect (sapropel 5). Stable conditions during MIS 5e were rather short: ~2 ka, as shown in the δ<sup>13</sup>C signal. After 122 ka, a slow deterioration of the soil cover coupled with low rainfall amounts during the glacial inception period show rather a regional decoupling phase. Fluid inclusions show a clear shift (4-5‰) in δ<sup>18</sup>O<sub>w</sub> between end-MIS 6 and MIS 5e. Clumped isotopes measurements indicate kinetic effects between calcite and water of up to ~1‰. After correction for kinetics using Δ<sub>47</sub>, an estimate for the MIS6-5 temperature shift in the East-Mediterranean is >10°C.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Alexis Augusto Hernández-Mansilla ◽  
Francisco Estrada-Porrúa ◽  
Oscar Calderón-Bustamante ◽  
Graciela Lucía Binimelis de Raga

Current changes in climate conditions due to global warming affect the phenological behavior of economically important cultivable plant species, with consequences for the food security of many countries, particularly in small vulnerable islands. Thus, the objective of this study was to evaluate the thermal viability of Solanum tuberosum (L.) through the behavior of the Thermal Index of Biological Development (ITDB) of two cultivation areas in Cuba under different climate change scenarios. For the analysis, we elaborated bioclimatic scenarios by calculating the ITDB through a grounded and parameterized stochastic function based on the thermal values established for the phenological development of the species. We used the mean temperature values from the period 1980 to 2010 (historical reference period) of the Meteorological Stations: 78320 “Güira de Melena” and 78346 “Venezuela”, located at the western and central of Cuba respectively. We also used modeled data from RCP 2.6 scenarios; 4.5 and 8.5 from the PRECIS-CARIBE Regional Climate Model, which used global outputs from the ECHAM5 MCG for the period 2010 to 2100. As result, the scenarios showed that the annual average ITDB ranges from 0.7 to 0.8, which indicates that until 2010 there were temporary spaces with favorable thermal conditions for the species, but not for the period from 2010 to 2100 in RCP 4.5 and 8.5. In these scenarios, there was a progressive decrease in the indicator that warned of a marked loss of Viability of S. tuberosum, reduction of the time-space to cultivate this species (particularly the month of April is the most inappropriate for the ripening of the tuber). These results showed that Cuba requires the establishment of an adaptation program with adjustments in the sowing and production calendar, the use of short-cycle varieties of less than 120 days, the management of genotypes adaptable to high temperatures, and the application of “Agriculture Climate Smart”, to reduce risks in food safety.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4651
Author(s):  
Ming-Lun Alan Fong

The analysis of ventilation strategies is fundamentally affected by regional climate conditions and local cost databases, in terms of energy consumption, CO2 emission and cost-effective analysis. A systematic approach is covered in this paper to estimate a local economic and environmental impact on a medium-sized space located in two regions during supply-and-installation and operation phases. Three ventilation strategies, including mixing ventilation (MV), displacement ventilation (DV) and stratum ventilation (SV) were applied to medium-sized air-conditioned space with this approach. The trend of the results for three ventilation systems in the life cycle assessment (LCA) and life cycle cost (LCC) analysis is SV < DV < MV. The result of CO2 emission and regional LCC shows that SV is the lowest one in both regional studies. In comparison with the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) during 20 Service years, the case analysis demonstrates that the percentage differences in LCC analysis of MV, DV & SV in Guangdong are less than 20.5%, 19.4% and 18.82% respectively. Their CO2 emission of MV, DV and SV in Guangdong are more than HKSAR in 10.69%, 11.22% and 12.05%, respectively. The present study could provide information about regional effects in the LCA and LCC analysis of three ventilation strategies emissions, and thereby help set up models for decision-making on high efficiency and cost-effective ventilation strategy plans.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 2109-2124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge Baño-Medina ◽  
Rodrigo Manzanas ◽  
José Manuel Gutiérrez

Abstract. Deep learning techniques (in particular convolutional neural networks, CNNs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for statistical downscaling due to their ability to learn spatial features from huge spatiotemporal datasets. However, existing studies are based on complex models, applied to particular case studies and using simple validation frameworks, which makes a proper assessment of the (possible) added value offered by these techniques difficult. As a result, these models are usually seen as black boxes, generating distrust among the climate community, particularly in climate change applications. In this paper we undertake a comprehensive assessment of deep learning techniques for continental-scale statistical downscaling, building on the VALUE validation framework. In particular, different CNN models of increasing complexity are applied to downscale temperature and precipitation over Europe, comparing them with a few standard benchmark methods from VALUE (linear and generalized linear models) which have been traditionally used for this purpose. Besides analyzing the adequacy of different components and topologies, we also focus on their extrapolation capability, a critical point for their potential application in climate change studies. To do this, we use a warm test period as a surrogate for possible future climate conditions. Our results show that, while the added value of CNNs is mostly limited to the reproduction of extremes for temperature, these techniques do outperform the classic ones in the case of precipitation for most aspects considered. This overall good performance, together with the fact that they can be suitably applied to large regions (e.g., continents) without worrying about the spatial features being considered as predictors, can foster the use of statistical approaches in international initiatives such as Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX).


2007 ◽  
Vol 88 (3) ◽  
pp. 375-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. S. Takle ◽  
J. Roads ◽  
B. Rockel ◽  
W. J. Gutowski ◽  
R. W. Arritt ◽  
...  

A new approach, called transferability intercomparisons, is described for advancing both understanding and modeling of the global water cycle and energy budget. Under this approach, individual regional climate models perform simulations with all modeling parameters and parameterizations held constant over a specific period on several prescribed domains representing different climatic regions. The transferability framework goes beyond previous regional climate model intercomparisons to provide a global method for testing and improving model parameterizations by constraining the simulations within analyzed boundaries for several domains. Transferability intercomparisons expose the limits of our current regional modeling capacity by examining model accuracy on a wide range of climate conditions and realizations. Intercomparison of these individual model experiments provides a means for evaluating strengths and weaknesses of models outside their “home domains” (domain of development and testing). Reference sites that are conducting coordinated measurements under the continental-scale experiments under the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Hydrometeorology Panel provide data for evaluation of model abilities to simulate specific features of the water and energy cycles. A systematic intercomparison across models and domains more clearly exposes collective biases in the modeling process. By isolating particular regions and processes, regional model transferability intercomparisons can more effectively explore the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of predictability. A general improvement of model ability to simulate diverse climates will provide more confidence that models used for future climate scenarios might be able to simulate conditions on a particular domain that are beyond the range of previously observed climates.


Author(s):  
S.V. Emelina ◽  
◽  
V.M. Khan ◽  

The possibility of developing specialized seasonal forecasting within the framework of the North Eurasia Climate Centre is discussed. The purpose of these forecasts is to access the impacts of significant large-scale anomalies of meteorological elements on various economic sectors for the timely informing of government services and private businesses to select optimal strategies for planning preventive measures. A brief overview of the groups of climatic risks in the context of the impacts on the socio-economic sphere is given according to the Russian and foreign bibliographic sources. Examples of the activities of some Regional Climate Centers that produce forecast information with an assessment of possible impacts of weather and climate conditions at seasonal scales on various human activities are given. Keywords: climate services, regional climate forums, weather and climate risks, North Eurasia Climate Centre


Author(s):  
Ivo Machar ◽  
Marián Halás ◽  
Zdeněk Opršal

Regional climate changes impacts induce vegetation zones shift to higher altitudes in temperate landscape. This paper deals with applying of regional biogeography model of climate conditions for vegetation zones in Czechia to doctoral programme Regional Geography in Palacky University Olomouc. The model is based on general knowledge of landscape vegetation zonation. Climate data for model come from predicted validated climate database under RCP8.5 scenario since 2100. Ecological data are included in the Biogeography Register database (geobiocoenological data related to landscape for cadastral areas of the Czech Republic). Mathematical principles of modelling are based on set of software solutions with GIS. Students use the model in the frame of the course “Special Approaches to Landscape Research” not only for regional scenarios climate change impacts in landscape scale, but also for assessment of climate conditions for growing capability of agricultural crops or forest trees under climate change on regional level.


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