The impact of ENSO and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) on the upper tropospheric large scale flow in the PRIMAVERA models.

Author(s):  
Paolo Ghinassi ◽  
Federico Fabiano ◽  
Virna L. Meccia ◽  
Susanna Corti

<p>Rossby waves play a fundamental role for both climate and weather. They are in fact associated with heat, momentum and moisture transport across large distances and with different types of weather at the surface. Assessing how they are represented in climate models is thus of primary importance to understand both predictability and the present and future climate. In this study we investigate how ENSO and the AMV affect the large scale flow pattern in the upper troposphere of the Northern Hemisphere, using reanalysis data and data from the PRIMAVERA simulations.</p><p>The upper tropospheric large scale flow is investigated in terms of the Rossby wave activity associated with persistent and recurrent patterns over the Pacific-North American and Euro-Atlantic regions during winter, the so called weather regimes. In order to quantify the vigour of Rossby wave activity associated with each weather regime we make use of a recently developed diagnostic based on Finite Amplitude Local Wave Activity in isentropic coordinates, partitioning the total wave activity into the stationary and transient components. The former is associated with quasi-stationary, planetary Rossby waves, whereas the latter is associated with synoptic scale Rossby wave packets. This allows one to quantify the contribution from stationary versus transient eddies in the total Rossby wave activity linked to each weather regime.</p><p>In this study we explore how ENSO and the AMV affect both the weather regimes frequencies and the upper tropospheric waviness in the Pacific and Atlantic storm tracks, respectively. Furthermore we analyse how both the stationary and transient wave activity component modulate the onset and transition between different regimes.</p>

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Ghinassi ◽  
Federico Fabiano ◽  
Susanna Corti

<p><span>In this study we </span><span>aim to assess how the upper tropospheric Rossby wave activity is represented in the PRIMAVERA models. </span><span>The low and high resolution historical coupled simulations will be compared with ERA5 reanalysis </span><span>(spanning the 1979-2014 period)</span><span> to enlight</span><span>en</span><span> model deficiencies in representing the spatial distribution </span><span>and temporal evolution</span><span> of Rossby wave activity </span><span>and to emphasize the benefits of </span><span>increased resolution. </span><span>Our analysis focuses </span><span>on </span><span>the wintertime large scale circulation over</span><span> the Euro-</span><span>A</span><span>tlantic </span><span>sector</span><span>. </span></p><p><span>A</span><span> diagnostic based on Local </span><span>W</span><span>ave </span><span>A</span><span>ctivity </span><span>(LWA)</span><span> in isentropic coordinates </span><span>is used </span><span>to </span><span>identify Rossby waves and to </span><span>quantify </span><span>their amplitude</span><span>. </span><span>LWA is partitioned into its stationary and transient components, </span><span>to </span><span>distinguish</span><span> the contribution from </span><span>planetary</span><span> versus </span><span>synoptic scale waves (i.e. wave packets)</span><span>. </span><span>This diagnostic is then combined with another </span><span>one</span><span> to identify persistent and recurrent large scale circulation patterns, the so called weather regimes</span><span>. Weather regimes in the Euro-Atlantic sector are identified with the usual approach </span><span>of EOF decomposition and k-mean clustering applied to daily anomalies of Montgomery streamfunction, </span><span>in order </span><span>to have a consistent framework with LWA </span><span>(</span><span>which is defined in isentropic coordinates</span><span>)</span><span>. </span><span>A</span><span> composite of transient LWA is realised for each weather regime to obtain the spatial distribution of Rossby wave activity associated with each weather regime.</span></p><p><span>Results show a marked intermodel variability in the ability of reproducing the correct (i.e. the one observed in reanalysis data) LWA distribution. Many of the models in fact fails to reproduce the localized (in space) maxima of LWA associated with each weather regime and to distribute LWA over a larger region compared to reanalysis. High resolution helps to correct this bias in the majority of the models, in particular in those where the low-resolution LWA distribution was already close to reanalysis. Finally, the temporal behaviour of the spatially averaged LWA in the examined period is discussed.</span></p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (5) ◽  
pp. 1283-1301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacopo Riboldi ◽  
Matthias Röthlisberger ◽  
Christian M. Grams

Abstract The interaction of recurving tropical cyclones (TCs) with midlatitude Rossby waves during extratropical transition (ET) can significantly alter the midlatitude flow configuration. This study provides a climatological investigation of Rossby wave initiation (RWI) by transitioning TCs in the specific configuration of an initially zonal midlatitude waveguide and elucidates physical processes governing ab initio flow amplification during ET. Recurving TCs interacting with a zonally oriented waveguide in the western North Pacific (WNP) basin from 1979 to 2013 are categorized into cases initiating Rossby waves (TC-RWI) or not (TC-noRWI). Interactions with a zonally oriented waveguide occurred for 22.7% of the recurving TCs, and one-third of these resulted in TC-RWI. In the presence of a TC, the probability of RWI on a zonally oriented waveguide is 3 times larger than in situations without a TC. The occurrence of TC-RWI exhibits a seasonality and is relatively more common during boreal summer than in autumn. We further reveal that a strong preexisting upper-level jet stream, embedded in a deformative large-scale flow pattern, hinders TC-RWI as air from the diabatic outflow of the TC is rapidly advected downstream and does not lead to strong ridge building. In contrast, an enhanced monsoon trough favors TC-RWI as the poleward moisture transport strengthens diabatic outflow and leads to strong ridge building during ET. Thus, we conclude that TC-related ab initio flow amplification over the WNP is governed by characteristics of the large-scale flow more so than by characteristics of the recurving TC.


2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (10) ◽  
pp. 3159-3178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gwendal Rivière

Barotropic dynamics of upper-tropospheric midlatitude disturbances evolving in different configurations of the zonal weather regime (i.e., in different zonal-like large-scale flows) were studied using observational analyses and barotropic model experiments. The contraction stage of upper-level disturbances that follows their elongation stage leads to an increase of eddy kinetic energy that is called the barotropic regeneration process in this text. This barotropic mechanism is studied through notions of barotropic critical regions (BtCRs) and effective deformation that have been introduced in a previous paper. The effective deformation field is equal to the difference between the square of the large-scale deformation magnitude and the square of the large-scale vorticity. Regions where the effective deformation is positive correspond to regions where the large-scale flow tends to strongly stretch synoptic disturbances. A BtCR is an area separating two large-scale regions of positive effective deformation, one located upstream and on the south side of the jet and the other downstream and on the north side. Such a region presents a discontinuity in the orientation of the dilatation axes and is a potential area where the barotropic regeneration process may occur. Winter days presenting a zonal weather regime in the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis dataset are decomposed, via a partitioning algorithm, into different configurations of the effective deformation field at 300 hPa. A six-cluster partition is obtained. Composite maps of the barotropic generation rate for each cluster exhibit a succession of negative and positive values on both sides of the BtCRs. It confirms statistically that the barotropic regeneration mechanism occurs preferentially about BtCRs. Numerical experiments using a forced barotropic model on the sphere are performed. Each experiment consists of adding a synoptic-scale perturbation to one of the zonal-like jet configurations found in observations, which is kept fixed with time. The combined effects of the effective deformation and nonlinearities are shown to be crucial to reproduce the barotropic regeneration process about BtCRs.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sem Vijverberg ◽  
Dim Coumou

<p>Heatwaves can have devastating impact on society and reliable early warnings at several weeks lead time are needed. Heatwaves are often associated with quasi-stationary Rossby waves, which interact with sea surface temperature (SST). Previous studies showed that north-Pacific SST can provide long-lead predictability for eastern U.S. temperature, moderated by an atmospheric Rossby wave. The exact mechanisms, however, are not well understood. Here we analyze Rossby waves associated with heatwaves in western and eastern US. Causal inference analyses reveal that both waves are characterized by positive ocean-atmosphere feedbacks at synoptic timescales, amplifying the waves. However, this positive feedback on short timescales is not the causal mechanism that leads to a long-lead SST signal. Only the eastern US shows a long-lead causal link from SSTs to the Rossby wave. We show that the long-lead SST signal derives from low-frequency PDO variability, providing the source of eastern US temperature predictability. We use this improved physical understanding to identify more reliable long-lead predictions. When, at the onset of summer, the Pacific is in a pronounced PDO phase, the SST signal is expected to persist throughout summer. These summers are characterized by a stronger ocean-boundary forcing, thereby more than doubling the eastern US temperature forecast skill, providing a temporary window of enhanced predictability.</p>


Author(s):  
Paulo Yu ◽  
Vibhav Durgesh

An aneurysm is an abnormal growth in the wall of a weakened blood vessel, and can often be fatal upon rupture. Studies have shown that aneurysm shape and hemodynamics, in conjunction with other parameters, play an important role in growth and rupture. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of varying inflow conditions on flow structures in an aneurysm. An idealized rigid sidewall aneurysm model was prepared and the Womersley number (α) and Reynolds number (Re) values were varied from 2 to 5 and 50 to 250, respectively. A ViVitro Labs pump system was used for inflow control and Particle Image Velocimetry was used for conducting velocity measurements. The results showed that the primary vortex path varied with an increase in α, while an increase in Re was correlated to the vortex strength and formation of secondary vortical structures. The evolution and decay of vortical structures were also observed to be dependent on α and Re.


2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (9) ◽  
pp. 3312-3327 ◽  
Author(s):  
Semion Sukoriansky ◽  
Nadejda Dikovskaya ◽  
Boris Galperin

Abstract The notion of the cascade arrest in a β-plane turbulence in the context of continuously forced flows is revised in this paper using both theoretical analysis and numerical simulations. It is demonstrated that the upscale energy propagation cannot be stopped by a β effect and can only be absorbed by friction. A fundamental dimensional parameter in flows with a β effect, the Rhines scale, LR, has traditionally been associated with the cascade arrest or with the scale that separates turbulence and Rossby wave–dominated spectral ranges. It is shown that rather than being a measure of the inverse cascade arrest, LR is a characteristic of different processes in different flow regimes. In unsteady flows, LR can be identified with the moving energy front propagating toward the decreasing wavenumbers. When large-scale energy sink is present, β-plane turbulence may attain several steady-state regimes. Two of these regimes are highlighted: friction-dominated and zonostrophic. In the former, LR does not have any particular significance, while in the latter, the Rhines scale nearly coincides with the characteristic length associated with the large-scale friction. Spectral analysis in the frequency domain demonstrates that Rossby waves coexist with turbulence on scales smaller than LR thus indicating that the Rhines scale cannot be viewed as a crossover between turbulence and Rossby wave ranges.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgios Fragkoulidis ◽  
Volkmar Wirth

<p>The large-scale extratropical upper-tropospheric flow tends to organize itself into eastward-propagating Rossby wave packets (RWPs). Investigating the spatiotemporal evolution of RWPs and the underlying physical processes has been beneficial in showcasing the role of the upper-tropospheric flow in temperature and precipitation extremes. The use of recently developed diagnostics of local in space and time wave properties has provided further insight in this regard. Motivated by the above, these diagnostic methods are now being employed to investigate the intraseasonal to decadal variability of key RWP properties such as their amplitude, phase speed, and group velocity in reanalysis datasets. It is shown that these properties exhibit a distinct seasonal and interregional variability, while interesting patterns thereof emerge. Moreover, the interannual and long-term variability in these RWP properties is explored and significant decadal trends for specific regions and seasons are highlighted. Ongoing work aims at further utilizing the presented diagnostics and analyses toward an improved understanding of the extratropical large-scale flow variability from weather to climate time scales.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 876 ◽  
pp. 1108-1128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Till Zürner ◽  
Felix Schindler ◽  
Tobias Vogt ◽  
Sven Eckert ◽  
Jörg Schumacher

Combined measurements of velocity components and temperature in a turbulent Rayleigh–Bénard convection flow at a low Prandtl number of $Pr=0.029$ and Rayleigh numbers of $10^{6}\leqslant Ra\leqslant 6\times 10^{7}$ are conducted in a series of experiments with durations of more than a thousand free-fall time units. Multiple crossing ultrasound beam lines and an array of thermocouples at mid-height allow for a detailed analysis and characterization of the complex three-dimensional dynamics of the single large-scale circulation roll in a cylindrical convection cell of unit aspect ratio which is filled with the liquid metal alloy GaInSn. We measure the internal temporal correlations of the complex large-scale flow and distinguish between short-term oscillations associated with a sloshing motion in the mid-plane as well as varying orientation angles of the velocity close to the top/bottom plates and the slow azimuthal drift of the mean orientation of the roll as a whole that proceeds on a time scale up to a hundred times slower. The coherent large-scale circulation drives a vigorous turbulence in the whole cell that is quantified by direct Reynolds number measurements at different locations in the cell. The velocity increment statistics in the bulk of the cell displays characteristic properties of intermittent small-scale fluid turbulence. We also show that the impact of the symmetry-breaking large-scale flow persists to small-scale velocity fluctuations thus preventing the establishment of fully isotropic turbulence in the cell centre. Reynolds number amplitudes depend sensitively on beam-line position in the cell such that different definitions have to be compared. The global momentum and heat transfer scalings with Rayleigh number are found to agree with those of direct numerical simulations and other laboratory experiments.


2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Klasa ◽  
Marco Arpagaus ◽  
André Walser ◽  
Heini Wernli

Abstract Dynamical processes determining the time evolution of difference kinetic energy (DKE) in a limited-area domain are investigated with the convection-permitting ensemble model COSMO-E for a forecasting period of 4 days. DKE is quantified by means of ensemble variance of the irrotational and nondivergent horizontal wind. For three case studies characterized by contrasting predictability levels of precipitation, it is shown that DKE of the irrotational wind strongly increases during periods of solar-forced moist convective activity and decreases when the latter ceases. The response of DKE of the nondivergent wind is also clearly related to the convective activity, but delayed by a few hours, pointing to interactions between both wind components. Apart from the impact of moist convection, DKE of the nondivergent wind is primarily governed by large-scale advection, imposed at the lateral domain boundaries of the limited-area ensemble. This forcing may also sustain or increase DKE of the irrotational wind when moist convection is absent. Consequently, the large-scale flow and diurnal solar forcing, associated with higher spatiotemporal predictability, determines the overall evolution of the limited-area ensemble variance of the horizontal wind, which increases in the presence of moist convective activity or strong synoptic-scale forcing, and stagnates or decreases otherwise, rendering forecasts of convection-permitting ensembles valuable beyond the very short forecast range.


2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (12) ◽  
pp. 3253-3276 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Zülicke ◽  
Dieter Peters

Poleward-breaking Rossby waves often induce an upper-level jet streak over northern Europe. Dominant inertia–gravity wave packets are observed downstream of this jet. The physical processes of their generation and propagation, in such a configuration, are investigated with a mesoscale model. The study is focused on an observational campaign from 17 to 19 December 1999 over northern Germany. Different simulations with the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5) have been performed. For a high-resolution process study, three domains were set up that encompass the evolution of Rossby waves and that of inertia–gravity waves. To minimize the impact of model damping, the horizontal and vertical resolution has been adjusted appropriately. With a novel statistical approach, the properties of inertia–gravity wave packets have been estimated. This method uses the horizontal divergence field and takes into account the spatial extension of a wave packet. It avoids the explicit treatment of the background field and works for arbitrary wavelength. Two classes of inertia–gravity waves were found: subsynoptic waves with a horizontal wavelength of about 500 km and mesoscale waves with a horizontal wavelength of about 200 km. The subsynoptic structures were also detected in radiosonde observations during this campaign. The similarity between simulated and observed wavelengths and amplitudes suggests that the simulations can be considered as near realistic. Spontaneous radiation from unbalanced flow is an important process of inertia–gravity wave generation. Synoptic-scale imbalances in the exit region of the upper-tropospheric jet streak were identified with the smoothed cross-stream Lagrangian Rossby number. In a number of simulations with different physics, it was found that the inertia–gravity wave activity was related to the tropospheric jet, orography, and moist convection. The upward propagation of inertia–gravity waves was favored during this event of a poleward-breaking Rossby wave. The presence of the polar vortex induced background winds exceeding the critical line. Consequently, the activity of inertia–gravity waves in the lower stratosphere increased by an order of magnitude during the case study. The successful simulation of the complex processes of generation and propagation showed the important role of poleward Rossby wave breaking for the appearance of inertia–gravity waves in the midlatitudes.


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