The Effect of Television Advertising in United States Elections

We provide a comprehensive assessment of the influence of television advertising on United States election outcomes from 2000–2018. We expand on previous research by including presidential, Senate, House, gubernatorial, Attorney General, and state Treasurer elections and using both difference-in-differences and border-discontinuity research designs to help identify the causal effect of advertising. We find that televised broadcast campaign advertising matters up and down the ballot, but it has much larger effects in down-ballot elections than in presidential elections. Using survey and voter registration data from multiple election cycles, we also show that the primary mechanism for ad effects is persuasion, not the mobilization of partisans. Our results have implications for the study of campaigns and elections as well as voter decision making and information processing.

Voting Results Concurrent Election in Indonesia in 2019

Dalam konteks Indonesia yang sedang membangun peradaban politik yang sehat, penyelenggaraan pemilu tanpa kehadiran pengawasan struktural dan fungsional yang intens berpotensi mengakibatkan hilangnya hak pilih warga negara, bangkitnya politik uang, kampanye hitam, dan pemilu. yang tidak sesuai aturan. Tulisan ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hasil pemungutan suara pemilu serentak di Indonesia tahun 2019. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan deskriptif analitik. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian menunjukkaan bahwa pelaksanaan pemilu serentak merupakan sejarah baru di Indonesia karena pelaksanaan secara serentak mulai pemilihan cadidat tiangkat pusat hingga daerah. Adanya pemilu serentak ini dapat memberikan catatan baru bila dibandingkan dengan pemilu sebelumnya, pemilu serentak ini menghasilkan beberapa hal penting terhadap pemilu Indonesia yaitu dapat mengefisiensi anggaran dana, partisipasi partai politik secara ketat, partisipasi peserta pemilu dan menghasilkan calon presdient dan wakil presiden, anggota legislative dan dewan perwakilan daerah yang terpilih sesuai pilihan rakyat.In the sense of Indonesia which is building a stable democratic civilization, it is possible to hold elections without intensive institutional and functional oversight that can result in the erosion of the rights of people to vote, an increase in money policy, black campaigns and elections. The rules don't suit. The goal of this paper is to determine the outcome of the 2019 simultaneous elections in Indonesia. This research uses an analytical-descriptive approach. The results show that the conduct of concurrent elections is a new history in Indonesia because the success begins at the same time from election of central to regional candidates. The simultaneous election will provide new records compared with previous elections, which will produce many critical elements in the Indonesian elections, namely the ability to simplify the budget, tight political party membership, participation of electoral participants and the presidential and vice-presidential candidates, parliamentarians and members of the Parliament.

Candidate Matters

In Candidate Matters: A Study of Ethnic Parties, Campaigns, and Elections in Latin America, Karleen Jones West argues that the characteristics of individual candidates campaigning in their districts shapes party behavior. She does so through a detailed examination of the Pachakutik indigenous party in Ecuador, as well as with the analysis of public opinion in fifteen Latin American countries. Ethnic parties that are initially programmatic can become personalistic and clientelistic vehicles because vote-buying is an effective strategy in rural indigenous areas, and because candidates with strong reputations and access to resources can create winning campaigns that buy votes and capitalize on candidates’ personal appeal. When candidates’ legislative campaigns are personalistic and clientelistic in their districts, niche parties are unable to maintain unified programmatic support. By combining in-depth fieldwork on legislative campaigns in Ecuador with the statistical analysis of electoral results and public opinion, this book demonstrates how important candidates and their districts are for how niche parties compete, win, and become influential in developing democracies. In the process, the author shows that, under certain conditions, niche parties—such as ethnic parties—are not that different from their mainstream counterparts.