Cold-water corals in the Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean exposed to aragonite undersaturation if Paris 2 ºC is not met

<p>The uptake of carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) from the atmosphere is changing the ocean’s chemical state. Such changes, commonly known as ocean acidification, include reduction in pH and the carbonate ion concentration ([CO<sub>3</sub><sup>2-</sup>]), which in turn lowers oceanic saturation states (Ω) for calcium carbonate (CaCO<sub>3</sub>) minerals. The Ω values for aragonite (Ω<sub>aragonite</sub>; one of the main CaCO<sub>3</sub> minerals formed by marine calcifying organisms) influence the calcification rate and geographic distribution of cold-water corals (CWCs), important for biodiversity. In this work we use high-quality data of inorganic carbon measurements, collected on thirteen cruises along the same track during 1991–2018, to determine the long-term trends in Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> in the Irminger and Iceland Basins of the North Atlantic Ocean, providing the first trends of Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> in the deep waters of these basins. The entire water column of both basins showed significant negative Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> trends between -0.0015 ± 0.0002 and -0.0061 ± 0.0016 per year. The decrease in Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> in the intermediate waters, where nearly half of the CWC reefs of the study region are located, caused the Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> isolines to migrate upwards rapidly at a rate between 6 and 34 m per year. The main driver of the observed decline in Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> in the Irminger and Iceland Basins was the increase in anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub>. But this was partially offset by increases in salinity (in Subpolar Mode Water), enhanced ventilation (in upper Labrador Sea Water) and increases in alkalinity (in classical Labrador Sea Water, cLSW; and overflow waters). We also found that water mass aging reinforced the Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> decrease in cLSW. Based on the observed Ω<sub>aragonite</sub> trends, we project that the entire water column of the Irminger and Iceland Basins will likely be undersaturated for aragonite when in equilibrium with an atmospheric mole fraction of CO<sub>2</sub> (xCO<sub>2</sub>) of ~860 ppmv, corresponding to climate model projections for the end of the century based on the highest CO<sub>2</sub> emission scenarios. However, intermediate waters will likely be aragonite undersaturated when in equilibrium with an atmospheric xCO<sub>2</sub> of ~600 ppmv, an xCO<sub>2</sub> level slightly above that corresponding to 2 ºC warming, thus exposing CWCs inhabiting the intermediate waters to undersaturation for aragonite.</p>

Export of newly oxygenated Labrador Sea Water at 53N

<div> <p>Most of the life-sustaining oxygen found in the global deep ocean is supplied in one of only a handful of key regions around the globe, such as the Labrador Sea in the subpolar North Atlantic. Here, oxygen is supplied directly to the deep ocean during the formation of Labrador Sea Water (LSW), when convective mixing continuously brings low-oxygen deep water towards the surface and into contact with the atmosphere. The continuous exchange between the surface and deep ocean during convection can bring newly oxygenated waters as deep as 2000m. Although the associated oxygen uptake has been observed and quantified, and the resulting oxygen-rich water mass in the deep ocean is readily detected throughout the Atlantic Ocean, relatively little is known about the exact mechanisms and timing of its export out of the basin.</p> </div><div> <p>In this talk, we will present a novel dataset of oxygen sensors deployed within the boundary current at the exit of the Labrador Sea to investigate oxygen variability in the deep ocean. This is the first time that a continuous time series of oxygen has been collected in the boundary current of the Labrador Sea, with a total of 10 sensors deployed on 4 moorings from 2016 to 2020. The sensors at 600m depth show a sudden change in oxygen, temperature, and salinity in the spring, which we discuss in relation to deep convection in the interior. We also use data from Argo floats to analyse export pathways from the convection region to the location of the moorings. Our results give new insights into how the oxygen taken up in the central Labrador Sea subsequently spreads into the global deep ocean, and lay the basis for future work on quantifying variability of oxygen transport at the exit of the Labrador Sea.</p> </div>

Using reconstructed Irminger Water changes within the past three decades to connect the West Greenland shelf to the production of Labrador Sea Water

<p>In this study we analyze the exchange processes between the West Greenland shelf and the Labrador Sea. This region is affected by warm and saline waters originating from the subtropical North Atlantic, as well as cold and fresh waters from the Arctic and the Greenland Ice Sheet. Heat and freshwater both impact the local formation of Labrador Sea Water (LSW) that itself is a major contributor to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.</p><p>We use the ARMOR3D large-scale hydrographic data set from the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service (CMEMS) and validate it with ship-based measurements in the period between 1993 to 2018. By extracting cross-shelf sections from ARMOR3D for various locations around Greenland, we reconstruct time series of local water masses like the Irminger Water (IW) for the past three decades. Previous studies from the West Greenland shelf have shown that IW properties are locally anti-correlated to changes in LSW. We analyze the interannual and decadal variability of these IW time series and compare them towards hydrographic changes observed in the interior Labrador Sea.</p><p>Since ARMOR3D allows us to investigate interannual and decadal changes along cross-shelf sections, the goal of this study is to unravel the complex connection between changes in the shelf regions around Greenland and the interior Labrador Sea, especially the local water mass production.</p>

Introducing LAB60: A 1∕60° NEMO 3.6 numerical simulation of the Labrador Sea

A high-resolution coupled ocean–sea ice model is set up within the Labrador Sea. With a horizontal resolution of 1∕60∘, this simulation is capable of resolving the multitude of eddies that transport heat and freshwater into the interior of the Labrador Sea. These fluxes strongly govern the overall stratification, deep convection, restratification, and production of Labrador Sea Water. Our regional configuration spans the full North Atlantic and Arctic; however, high resolution is only applied in smaller nested domains within the North Atlantic and Labrador Sea. Using nesting reduces computational costs and allows for a long simulation from 2002 to the near present. Three passive tracers are also included: Greenland runoff, Labrador Sea Water produced during convection, and Irminger Water that enters the Labrador Sea along Greenland. We describe the configuration setup and compare it against similarly forced lower-resolution simulations to better describe how horizontal resolution impacts the representation of the Labrador Sea in the model.

Introducing LAB60: A 1/60° NEMO 3.6 numerical simulation of the Labrador Sea

A high-resolution coupled ocean-sea ice model is set up within the Labrador Sea. With a horizontal resolution of 1/60°, this simulation is capable of resolving the multitude of eddies which transport heat and freshwater into the interior of the Labrador Sea. The transport of these fluxes strongly governs the overall stratification, deep convection, and subsequent production of Labrador Sea Water. We implement nested domains within our regional configuration to reduce computational costs, allowing for a simulation that spans over 10 years. Three passive tracers are also included: Greenland runoff, Labrador Sea Water produced during convection, and Irminger Water which enters the Labrador Sea along Greenland. We describe the configuration setup and compare against similarly forced lower-resolution simulations to better describe how horizontal resolution impacts the Labrador Sea.