Distributionally Robust Inverse Covariance Estimation: The Wasserstein Shrinkage Estimator

Note. The best result in each experiment is highlighted in bold.The optimal solutions of many decision problems such as the Markowitz portfolio allocation and the linear discriminant analysis depend on the inverse covariance matrix of a Gaussian random vector. In “Distributionally Robust Inverse Covariance Estimation: The Wasserstein Shrinkage Estimator,” Nguyen, Kuhn, and Mohajerin Esfahani propose a distributionally robust inverse covariance estimator, obtained by robustifying the Gaussian maximum likelihood problem with a Wasserstein ambiguity set. In the absence of any prior structural information, the estimation problem has an analytical solution that is naturally interpreted as a nonlinear shrinkage estimator. Besides being invertible and well conditioned, the new shrinkage estimator is rotation equivariant and preserves the order of the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix. If there are sparsity constraints, which are typically encountered in Gaussian graphical models, the estimation problem can be solved using a sequential quadratic approximation algorithm.

Improved Shrinkage Estimator of Large-Dimensional Covariance Matrix under the Complex Gaussian Distribution

Estimating the covariance matrix of a random vector is essential and challenging in large dimension and small sample size scenarios. The purpose of this paper is to produce an outperformed large-dimensional covariance matrix estimator in the complex domain via the linear shrinkage regularization. Firstly, we develop a necessary moment property of the complex Wishart distribution. Secondly, by minimizing the mean squared error between the real covariance matrix and its shrinkage estimator, we obtain the optimal shrinkage intensity in a closed form for the spherical target matrix under the complex Gaussian distribution. Thirdly, we propose a newly available shrinkage estimator by unbiasedly estimating the unknown scalars involved in the optimal shrinkage intensity. Both the numerical simulations and an example application to array signal processing reveal that the proposed covariance matrix estimator performs well in large dimension and small sample size scenarios.

Oops! I Shrunk the Sample Covariance Matrix Again: Blockbuster Meets Shrinkage

Existing shrinkage techniques struggle to model the covariance matrix of asset returns in the presence of multiple-asset classes. Therefore, we introduce a Blockbuster shrinkage estimator that clusters the covariance matrix accordingly. Besides the definition and derivation of a new asymptotically optimal linear shrinkage estimator, we propose an adaptive Blockbuster algorithm that clusters the covariance matrix even if the (number of) asset classes are unknown and change over time. It displays superior all-around performance on historical data against a variety of state-of-the-art linear shrinkage competitors. Additionally, we find that for small- and medium-sized investment universes the proposed estimator outperforms even recent nonlinear shrinkage techniques. Hence, this new estimator can be used to deliver more efficient portfolio selection and detection of anomalies in the cross-section of asset returns. Furthermore, due to the general structure of the proposed Blockbuster shrinkage estimator, the application is not restricted to financial problems.

Bayesian Shrinkage Estimator of Burr XII Distribution

In this paper, we derive the generalized Bayesian shrinkage estimator of parameter of Burr XII distribution under three loss functions: squared error, LINEX, and weighted balance loss functions. Therefore, we obtain three generalized Bayesian shrinkage estimators (GBSEs). In this approach, we find the posterior risk function (PRF) of the generalized Bayesian shrinkage estimator (GBSE) with respect to each loss function. The constant formula of GBSE is computed by minimizing the PRF. In special cases, we derive two new GBSEs under the weighted loss function. Finally, we give our conclusion.