scholarly journals INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRIALIZATION WITH NEGATIVE POPULATION GROWTH

2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 1647-1658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroaki Sasaki

This paper builds a small-open-economy nonscale-growth model with negative population growth and investigates the relationship between trade patterns and per capita consumption growth. Under free trade, if the population growth rate is negative and its absolute value is small, the home country becomes an agricultural country. Then the long-run growth rate of per capita consumption is positive and depends on the world population growth rate. On the other hand, if the population growth rate is negative and its absolute value is large, the home country becomes a manufacturing country. Then the long-run growth rate of per capita consumption is positive and depends on both the home country and the world population growth rates. Moreover, the home country is better off under free trade than under autarky in terms of per capita consumption growth irrespective of whether the population growth is positive or negative.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Gore

The world’s richest 1% are set to have per capita consumption emissions in 2030 that are still 30 times higher than the global per capita level compatible with the 1.5⁰C goal of the Paris Agreement, while the footprints of the poorest half of the world population are set to remain several times below that level. By 2030, the richest 1% are on course for an even greater share of total global emissions than when the Paris Agreement was signed. Tackling extreme inequality and targeting the excessive emissions linked to the consumption and investments of the world’s richest people is vital to keeping the 1.5⁰C Paris goal alive.


Author(s):  
Luis Currais

This paper firstly deals with the evolution of the literature on fertility and mortality growth rates and secondly discusses the extent to which both fertility and mortality affect the population growth rate as an endogenous variable. We develop an economic growth model using an infinite horizon setup in which economic development and health status influence the population growth rate. Mortality depends on health expenditure and fertility is endogenously determined. Each generation of family is linked altruistically and adults within each household take into account the welfare and resources of their actual and future descendants. The current generation maximizes utility and incorporates a budget constraint over an infinite horizon. Their decisions determine not also the evolution of the population growth rate but even the evolution of the per capita income.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. G. Egbulonu ◽  
Erasmus E. Duru ◽  
Henry C. Dim

This research work focuses on the relationship between population growth and industrial output in Nigeria for the period 1980 to 2017. It is particularly interesting to study the relationship between population growth and industrialization in Nigeria because at present, Nigeria is making rapid effort to advance her economy while undergoing a demographic transition that has been projected to be geometric in nature. This research developed an Auto-regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) model using Index of Industrial Output as the dependent variable and Population growth rate, Birth rate, Total Labour Force (as a percentage of total population that are employed), Capacity Utilization and Manpower Development Index as the independent variables. The data was obtained from the World Bank, the National Population Commission and the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletins (various issues). The findings reveal that Population Growth Rate has an inverse relationship with Industrial Output both in the short run and in the long run while Total Labour Force and Capacity Utilization also decrease Industrial Output both in the short and long-run periods. Since the Bounds test reveals a long-run relationship between population and Industrial Output, we recommend a renewed determination and political will to implement the National Policy on Population for sustainable development that outlines a sectoral strategy to manage our rising population.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 1051-1068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sushant Kumar ◽  
Vishlavath Giridhar ◽  
Pradip Sadarangani

The study investigates the impact of culture on environmental performance across 78 countries. The article explores the possible relationship with two datasets of international indices: (a) the six dimensional index of national culture proposed by Hofstede and (b) the environmental performance index (EPI) published by Yale Center for Environmental Law and Policy. It is widely established that population and economic development of a country play significant role in the improvement of environmental performance. In our study, we examine the impact of population growth rate and per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) on environmental performance using structure equation modelling. The results show that environmental performance is significantly influenced by the culture of the country. Per-capita GDP and population growth rate have a positive and negative relationships on the environmental performance. By measuring the cultural dimensions and their impact on global environmental performance, countries could identify the favouring cultural dimensions and design appropriate strategy to optimize the environmental performance. The article proposes the practical implication of results and strategies to improve environmental performance. The study is among the first in studying the cultural dynamics on environment and identify its favourable and adverse relationships for an optimum strategy.


2019 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Alberto Bucci ◽  
Lorenzo Carbonari ◽  
Giovanni Trovato

We provide aggregate macroeconomic evidence on how, in the long run, a diverse degree of complexity in production may affect not only the rate of economic growth, but also the correlation between the latter, population growth and the monopolistic (intermediate) markups. For a sample of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, we find that the impact of population change on economic growth is slightly positive. According to our theoretical model, this implies that the losses due to more complexity in production are lower than the corresponding specialization gains. Using a finite mixture model, we also classify the countries in the sample and verify for each cluster the impact that the population growth rate and the intermediate sector’s markups exert on the 5-year average real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alemayehu Temesgen Befikadu ◽  
Berhanu Alemu Tafa

Abstract ObjectiveThe study examines An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Population Growth on Economic Growth in Ethiopia using an Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Model Approach from the period of 1980 through 2019 with specific focus on total population, Growth Domestic Product, population growth rate, and foreign direct investment, inflow. This study investigated to understand the effects of total population on economic growth, and to analyze the short run and long run relationship of economic growth with respect to population growth.ResultsFrom the results of the study, personal remittance is stationary at level, while total population, FDI net inflows, population growth rate, rate of inflation, and gross capital formation are stationary at first difference. From the finding of long run equilibrium relationships between RGDP, population number, FDI, personal remittance, population growth rate, rate of inflation and GCF is existed since the value of F-statics is greater than the upper boundary line. Finally, to increase the economic growth of Ethiopia; the government should adopt policies that can attract the foreign investors. The government also should put a standard to guarantee that the economy grows at a larger rate than the population growth.


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