Covariance

Author(s):  
Virginie Van Ingelgom ◽  
Alban Versailles

This chapter examines the covariance, which is either a comprehensive qualitative approach or the first step of a quantitative approach to the analysis of the relationship between two variables. On the one hand, in qualitative studies, and in particular in case study methods, covariation is an analytical approach used alongside causal process-tracing and congruence analysis. In the co-variational approach, causal inferences are drawn based on observed covariation between causal factors (independent variables) and causal effects (dependent variables). On the other hand, when the type of data allows a quantitative approach, looking at the covariance constitutes a first step in the statistical analysis. The covariance is then a measure of linear association between two variables.

Author(s):  
Edy Effendi ◽  
Muhammad Imron

Research on the role of the APIP review of the Ministry/agency Work Plan and Budget document to determine the impact on the efficiency of ministry/agency spending (case study at the Ministry of Religion). The method used in this study uses simple linear regression with dummy. The use of linear regression is used to examine the relationship between independent variables (certain types of expenditure) and dependent variables (total expenditure). Whereas, dummy is used to find out before and after the APIP review is done. Throughout the author's search, this research has never been done. Based on the results of linear regression obtained, the APIP review significantly had a positive effect on official travel expenditure and honorarium but did not significantly affect building spending and equipment. Abstrak   Penelitian atas peran reviu APIP atas dokumen Rencana Kerja dan Anggaran Kementerian Negara/Lembaga untuk mengetahui dampaknya terhadap efisiensi belanja kementerian/lembaga (studi kasus pada Kementerian Agama). Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan regresi linier sederhana dengan dummy. Penggunaan regresi liner digunakan untuk meneliti hubungan antara variable independen (jenis belanja tertentu) dan variable dependen (total belanja). Sedangkan, dummy digunakan untuk mengetahui sebelum dan setelah reviu APIP dilakukan. Sepanjang penelusuran penulis, penelitian ini belum pernah dilakukan. Berdasarkan hasil regresi linier diperoleh, reviu APIP signifikan berpengaruh positif terhadap  belanja perjalanan dinas dan honorarium tetapi tidak signifikan berbengaruh terhadap belanja gedung dan alat.


2021 ◽  
Vol 893 (1) ◽  
pp. 012017
Author(s):  
I D G A Putra ◽  
A Sopaheluwakan ◽  
B P Adi ◽  
K A Sudama ◽  
J Rizal ◽  
...  

Abstract Heavy rains on February 24, 2020, caused flooding in most parts of Jakarta and its surroundings. The one-day observation of accumulated rainfall from the Laser Precipitation Monitor (LPM) was recorded at 358.6 mm/day at the Kemayoran station on February 25, 2020, at 00.00 UTC (07.00 Jakarta Time). In this study, analysis of the microphysical characteristics of extreme rainfall using LPM installed at Kemayoran meteorology station and weather radar at Cengkareng meteorology station with a spatial radius of 250 km. LPM is used to measure the diameter of the raindrops, the velocity of falling raindrops, LPM reflectivity, and the amount of accumulated rainfall with time resolution per minute and stored in excel data format. While the weather radar is used to measure the reflectivity spatially and temporally in the data volume format (.vol). The method used is, first, to find the relationship between LPM reflectivity and the amount of LPM rainfall with regression analysis. Second, the radar reflectivity is converted into estimated rainfall intensity for the Jakarta area and its surroundings. The results of this study found a relationship between LPM reflectivity (X) and rainfall accumulation LPM (Y) to form a regression relationship with the formula Y = 0.013X with R2 = 0.3777. Based on the record of the LPM time series, the peak of rainfall occurred at 18.17 UTC with 1000 raindrops, the maximum fall speed was 10 m/s, and the maximum diameter is 8.5 millimeters. Based on the results of microphysical measurements of LPM, spatial plots, and vertical cross-section radar, it can be concluded that flooding in Jakarta is due to heavy rain from convective clouds.


Author(s):  
Derek Beach

Process tracing is an in-depth case study method that can be used to study how causal processes play out within cases. Given its focus on processes and temporality, process tracing is a useful method for analyzing crisis and crisis decision making in the fields of foreign policy analysis and public policy. As can be seen from its name, process tracing involves theorizing a causal process that is then traced by investigating the observable manifestations of the operation of the process as a whole in the more minimalist variant, or for each of its parts in the more maximalist variant. Minimalist process tracing is typically used early in a research program as a form of plausibility probe to understand what types of processes might be linking a crisis event with particular outcomes like policy change. Maximalist process tracing can then be used once there is preliminary knowledge about processes, and where the goals become gaining a better theoretical understanding of how they operate, and making stronger causal inferences using more direct evidence of their operation.


2013 ◽  
Vol 664 ◽  
pp. 270-275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Zhong ◽  
Qiu Wen Zhang

Due to the uncertainty and complexity of the causes in reservoir-induced seismicity, the relationship between the environmental factor and the possible earthquake magnitude can be described by membership function. This study aims to propose a fuzzy method to contribute the membership function in which the normal cloud model is applied. Firstly, the cloud model is introduced in detail. Based on normal cloud model, the one-to-many mapping model is presented to deal with the fuzziness and randomness in the membership function. Finally, the case study in Yangtze Three Gorges Reservoir is presented to illustrate the membership cloud function in fuzzy risk assessment of reservoir-induced seismicity. The obtained results show that the proposed method is the viable approaches in solving the problem when the memberships are vague and imprecise.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-107
Author(s):  
Taufiq Ramdani ◽  
Muhammad Arwan Rosyadi ◽  
Azhari Evendy ◽  
Anisa Puspa Rani

An inevitability that natural disasters such as earthquakes will be perceived differently by different individuals within a community, some may perceive earthquakes as a natural occurrence plain and others perceive in transcendental meaning (the relationship of creatures and their Lord), namely the relationship causality between human behavior on the one hand as the cause and the punishment of God through the natural disaster on the other side as a result. This study aims to (1) determine how the perception of Gili Trawangan people to the cause of earthquake that has ever happened, (2) to determine the factors that affect the perception of Gili Trawangan people to the cause of earthquake. This research is down with qualitative paradigm, and case study research as design. Then, the technique of purposive samping and snow ball sampling are used to determine some key informans and support informans.  As for in-depth interviews, observation, and documentation are some of the data collection techniques. The research showed that the majority of Gili Trawangan people (71%) perceive that all behaviour and activity of Gili Trawangan community, then the type of tourism business that correlate to party activity, promiscuity, alcohol, as the cause of the earthquake. As for the small percentage (16%) of Gili Trawangan people who are the owner of tourism business perceiving that the earthquake is a natural phenomenon that occurs naturally due to the cyclical annual. As for those who perceive ambiguously are their backgrounds as tourism workers, such as waiters, porters, coachman of horse cart, and others, the amount are 14%. Perception ambiguous question in this research is at one time informants perceive that the cause of the earthquake transcendentally based on religious beliefs but at the same time agree well with the perception that the earthquake is a natural annual cycle. The factors that influence the perception of the above is the level of education, various professions, understanding delivered by preachers and religious leaders, and presentation of information from the mass media.


2021 ◽  
pp. 115-124
Author(s):  
Jan Zavodny Pospisil

The Czech Republic is not a typical wine-growing country, yet winemaking and viticulture are among the oldest Czech crafts. Although the situation is slightly improving today, domestic wine production is not very preferred by Czech consumers since more than two-thirds of the wine that Czechs drink each year is imported. In the long term, the worst situation prevailed with the sales of a young wine. The cause was twofold: On the one hand, the market was already penetrated by imported Beaujolais nouveau, which became a synonym for the young wine. On the other, a peculiar Czechs’ taste for young wine was also an obstacle. As a young wine, many Czechs drink partially fermented must from grapevine fruits called “Burčák”. The young wine market was therefore seemingly penetrated with a low possibility of new brands entering it. The proposed case study will describe an ongoing campaign in which a new brand, “Svatomartinské víno”, was created. With this brand, it was possible to change the Czech consumers’ view of immature wines fundamentally. Thanks to the innovative branding approach, the product, which Czech consumers had neglected for many years, became a superior and must-have product for broad consumers. Also, the relationship between the brand and consumers has been established. The new brand has become a potential for many other related events. Last but not least, the consumption of domestic wine increased, which led to the support of local wineries and related regions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-107
Author(s):  
Taufiq Ramdani ◽  
Muhammad Arwan Rosyadi ◽  
Azhari Evendy ◽  
Anisa Puspa Rani

An inevitability that natural disasters such as earthquakes will be perceived differently by different individuals within a community, some may perceive earthquakes as a natural occurrence plain and others perceive in transcendental meaning (the relationship of creatures and their Lord), namely the relationship causality between human behavior on the one hand as the cause and the punishment of God through the natural disaster on the other side as a result. This study aims to (1) determine how the perception of Gili Trawangan people to the cause of earthquake that has ever happened, (2) to determine the factors that affect the perception of Gili Trawangan people to the cause of earthquake. This research is down with qualitative paradigm, and case study research as design. Then, the technique of purposive samping and snow ball sampling are used to determine some key informans and support informans.  As for in-depth interviews, observation, and documentation are some of the data collection techniques. The research showed that the majority of Gili Trawangan people (71%) perceive that all behaviour and activity of Gili Trawangan community, then the type of tourism business that correlate to party activity, promiscuity, alcohol, as the cause of the earthquake. As for the small percentage (16%) of Gili Trawangan people who are the owner of tourism business perceiving that the earthquake is a natural phenomenon that occurs naturally due to the cyclical annual. As for those who perceive ambiguously are their backgrounds as tourism workers, such as waiters, porters, coachman of horse cart, and others, the amount are 14%. Perception ambiguous question in this research is at one time informants perceive that the cause of the earthquake transcendentally based on religious beliefs but at the same time agree well with the perception that the earthquake is a natural annual cycle. The factors that influence the perception of the above is the level of education, various professions, understanding delivered by preachers and religious leaders, and presentation of information from the mass media.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 368-396
Author(s):  
Maarten Bogaards

Abstract Sponsorships on YouTube – i.e., video creators on YouTube promoting a third-party product or service to their audience – have attracted considerable research interest recently in various disciplines. This multidisciplinary study analyzes it from the perspective of argumentation theory, specifically pragma-dialectics, which offers valuable new insights into the discursive tensions inherent to this type of promotion. These tensions arise between the creator’s relationship with their audience on the one hand, which is built upon ‘parasocial’ evaluations of authenticity and community, and the commercial third party brand on the other. The insights provided by the pragma-dialectic analysis are demonstrated by means of a case study examining a sponsorship segment by YouTuber PewDiePie, which shows that creators can employ specific types of presentational choices and audience adaptation strategically to undercut commitment to the sponsor while furthering the relationship with their viewers.


Author(s):  
Gary Goertz ◽  
James Mahoney

This chapter examines how the qualitative and quantitative research traditions empirically assess theories about mechanisms when making causal inferences. In the qualitative paradigm, researchers carry out this assessment by attempting to observe causal mechanisms through process tracing and through the analysis of causal-process observations. In the qualitative paradigm, the within-case analysis of specific cases is combined with the effort to observe mechanisms. By contrast, statistical methods are not designed to observe mechanisms within particular cases. The chapter considers the importance of mechanisms in causal inference as well as the use of process tracing in multimethod vs. qualitative research. It shows that multimethod research, which integrates regression and case study analysis, is increasingly regarded as a best practice.


2021 ◽  
pp. 163-188
Author(s):  
Paola Guglielmotti

The essay addresses the problem of the relationship between large aristocratic families and “noble parishes” in Genoa, by considering the case of the Doria and the church of San Matteo, founded in 1125 and whose reconstruction was planned in 1278. On the one hand, three qualifying aspects of the Doria kinship are examined in order to understand the role of the small church in enhancing the coordination of the group: i.e., positions of leadership and command in the maritime city and in its government; dispersion and presence outside Genoa; numerical strength, residence and leadership. On the other hand, the article considers the insertion of San Matteo in the monastic network (not only in Liguria) headed by the abbey of San Fruttuoso, and how its reconstruction allowed for the diversification of the large family internal and external relevance. The conclusion, thanks to the comparison with the experiences of other important urban families, shows the uniqueness of this case study and how broader and more systematic comparisons should be made, even outside the Genoese context.


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