Predicting socio-economic development of regions in the conditions of uncertainty

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-43
Author(s):  
Абрамова ◽  
Galina Abramova ◽  
Крюкова ◽  
Olga Kryukova

In solving current economic problems predicting plays a significant role. The prospect of the development of the region depends on the ability to predict trends in the development of the situation and the results of management decisions. The article presents the main stages of predicting; important approaches of predicting practices are considered. The concepts of risk and uncertainty, as a major source of problems in predicting the social and economic processes, are revealed; the model choice of decisions under conditions of risk and uncertainty is marked, as well as the mathematical tools of decision making under uncertainty and risk; the factors affecting the quality of predicting the regional development are presented.

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 492-507
Author(s):  
Nataliya P. Kuznetsova ◽  
Galina Chernova ◽  
Evgenija Prokopjeva ◽  
Natalja Boldyreva

Insurance is the most important institution for social and financial protection. Therefore, the development level of the regional insurance market not only determines the volume and quality of this protection, but also influences the social and economic development of the region through the coverage of risks and the provision of additional jobs. In turn, many factors have a significant impact on the development of the regional insurance market itself. This study is aimed at developing a model for governing the development factors of the regional insurance market, which (governance) focuses on improving the development efficiency of not only the regional insurance market itself, but also the socio-economic development of the relevant region. In this regard, the model for governing the factors of development of the regional insurance market involves solving the following scientific problems: identifying national factors for the functioning and development of the Russian insurance market that influence the development of the regional insurance market; determining regional development factors affecting the regional insurance market; identifying the impact of the regional insurance market on the socio-economic development of the region; developing recommendations on the effective impact of national and regional factors on the regional insurance market development and, through it, on the socio-economic development of the region. Implementation of the proposed model for governing the factors for the regional insurance market development will increase its efficiency and strengthen the socio-economic development of the region.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (44) ◽  
pp. 99-114
Author(s):  
S.A. Petrova ◽  
◽  
G.N. Grigor’yants ◽  
I.A. Yasinskaya ◽  
Yu.A. Aleksentseva ◽  
...  

The relevance of an independent assessment of the quality of the conditions for the delivery of services (IAQ) as a tool for assessing the state of the social sphere is determined by the ability to use it to identify the expectations of a modern consumer, his needs, to detail shortcomings in the delivery of services and develop measures to eliminate them. Independent assessment acts as a form of public control, contributing to the development of civil society, allowing to eliminate problems and improve the system of providing services in the social sphere. The aim of the study is to consider the potential of using IAQ in solving problems of public administration. The research methods used in the work serve as a significant empirical base based on the results of monitoring studies of the implementation of IAQ in the regions of the Russian Federation based on surveys of government representatives and citizens who receive services, as well as on the basis of information provided on the official website for posting information about state (municipal) institutions bus.gov.ru, and have a formal and logical component in terms of conducting a comparative analysis of regulatory sources, using analytical methods of functional and statistical analysis. The choice of research tools was determined by the presence in the current database of the functioning of the IAQ from the moment of its creation in 2013 to the present. The analysis of the results of an independent quality assessment made it possible to identify key shortcomings in the social sphere, the structure of problems that are most often found in the regions and their relationship with the main directions of socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. According to the results of the study, the hypothesis was confirmed that the incorporation of an independent assessment into the system of executive authorities, which allows to quickly obtain objective data on the state of the social sphere, makes it possible to put its results into practice aiming to analyze the achievement of national goals and ensuring the socio-economic development of Russia. The use of the results of the IAQ to increase the validity and efficiency of management decisions to improve the activities of public organizations for officials of state authorities of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation and representatives of public organizations responsible for their development, allows for a comprehensive impact on improving the quality of life of the population.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 111-116
Author(s):  
A. N. Leontieva

Aim. The presented study aims to identify the most significant changes in the global and national development agenda associated with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.Tasks. The authors analyze the performance of the financial sector; summarize the assessments of leading consulting companies and the results of public opinion polls regarding the actual and projected state of the global and Russian economy and changes in consumption patterns; determine challenges that national authorities are currently facing.Methods. This study uses general scientific methods of cognition: observation, generalization, comparison, deduction and induction, methods of institutional and structural analysis.Results. Major trends of socio-economic development during the post-crisis period are examined and analyzed; factors affecting changes in the social structure and potential directions of managerial influence are determined.Conclusions. The 2020 coronavirus pandemic has been a huge stress for the established management systems at all levels, generating additional public demands that need to be reflected in the social contract. Changes in the main trends of socio-economic development caused by quarantine measures determine the parameters of a different environment for national and social development. Production and industry are affected by regionalization, while consumption is becoming increasingly globalized. Human capital is undergoing transformation in response to the digitalization of the economy, which creates the prerequisites for increasing inequality.


2020 ◽  
Vol 92 (3) ◽  
pp. 135-142
Author(s):  
N. M. Medvedeva ◽  
◽  
E. A. Medvedev ◽  

The article considers conceptual approaches to the development, formation and development of personnel potential of the region, analyzes its growing importance as a vector of economic development, interrelation of human potential, quality of labor resources and the efficiency of labor productivity. The multidimensional complex indicator «quality of life», which characterizes the social development of territories, is considered. The human development index of the country's regions is analyzed, which demonstrates the correlation between the quality of human potential and indicators of socio-economic development of the regions. An approach to the formation of human resources at the regional level is formulated. Factors of the socio-economic development of the region and their impact on the formation of human resources are analyzed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (10) ◽  
pp. 3-18
Author(s):  
Valeriy HEYETS ◽  

Self-realization of the individual in the conditions of using the policy of “social quality” as a modern tool of public administration in a transitional society is largely related to overcoming the existing limitations of the individual in acting in such a society and economy transitioning to a market character. Given that, in particular, in Ukraine the market is hybrid (and this is especially important), the existing limitations in self-realization of the individual must be overcome, including, and perhaps primarily, through transformations in the processes of socialization, which differ from European practices and institutions that ensure its implementation. Thus, it is a matter of overcoming not only and not so much the natural selfish interests of the individual, but the existing gap in skills, which are an invisible asset to ensure the endogenous nature of economic growth. It is shown that there is an inverse relationship between the formation of socialization and the policy of “social quality”, which is characterized by the dialectic of interaction between the individual and the group and which is a process of increasing the degree of socialization. The latter, due to interdependence, will serve to increase the effectiveness of interaction between the individual and the group, which expands the possibilities of self-realization of the individual in terms of European policy of “social quality” as a tool of public administration, whose successful application causes new challenges and content of the so-called secondary sociology. The logic of Ukraine's current development shows that new approaches are needed to achieve the social development goals set out in the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the European Union and to minimize the potential risks and threats that accompany current reforms in Ukrainian society. They should introduce new forms of public administration to create policy interrelationships of all dimensions, as proposed, in particular, by the social quality approach to socialization, the nature of which has been revealed in the author's previous publications. As a result, the socio-cultural (social) dimension will fundamentally change, the structure of which must include the transformational processes of socialization of a person, thanks to which they will learn the basics of life in the new social reality and intensify their social and economic interaction on the basis of self-realization, thereby contributing to the success of state policy of social quality and achieving stable socio-economic development.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 662-674
Author(s):  
S.G. Serikov

Subject. This article explores the changes in the economic development of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug during the Soviet and post-Soviet periods. Objectives. The article aims to identify trends and features of the socio-economic development of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug. Methods. For the study, I used the comparative, computational, constructive, and statistical analysis methods. Results. The article reveals key factors in the growth of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug's gross regional product and the economic challenges to the region. As well, the article considers and proposes some possible options for further socio-economic development of the Okrug. Conclusions. The Okrug's current socio-economic problems are caused by not objective reasons only, but subjective factors, as well.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 652-661
Author(s):  
Sh.Ch. Soyan ◽  
V.K. Sevek ◽  
R.S. Taibyl

Subject. This article deals with the issues of determining the level of financial literacy of the population of the Tyva Republic. Objectives. The article aims to analyze the level of financial literacy of the population of the Tyva Republic and identify factors that cause the financial illiteracy rates. Methods. For the study, we used a questionnaire method within a sociological survey. Results. The article presents results of the sociological survey of respondents and highlights the main reasons for the financial illiteracy of the majority of the population of the Tyva Republic. Conclusions. The results obtained can be taken into account when developing the area's socio-economic development programmes improving the quality of life of the population.


2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (9) ◽  
pp. 154-160
Author(s):  
Dr. Kartikey Koti

The essential idea of this assessment is investigate the social factors affecting particular theorists' decisions making limit at Indian Stock Markets. In the examination coordinated standard of direct is Classified subject to two estimations the first is Heuristic (Decision making) and the resulting one is prospect.. For the assessment coordinated the data used is basic natured which is assembled through a sorted out survey from 100 individual money related authorities based out in Hubli and Dharwad city, Karnataka State in India on an accommodating way. The respondents were both sex and overwhelming part male were 68% . These theorists were having a spot with the age bundle between35-45 which is 38%. These respondents have completed their graduation were around 56%. These respondents had work inclusion of 5 to 10 years which is 45% and the majority of which were used in government portion which is 56%. Their compensation was between 4 to 6 Lakh and were fit for placing assets into business areas. The money related experts were widely masterminded placing assets into different portfolios like 32% in Share market and 20 % in Fixed store. These examiners mode to known various endeavor streets were through News, family and allies.  


1978 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 380-382
Author(s):  
M. Javed Akbar Zaki

To many social theoreticians, the population explosion, particularly in the developing nations presents a crippling threat to their developmental pro¬cesses. Their argument's validity rests mainly on the assumption that expected economic progress is swallowed up by unbalanced rise of numbers in the population. The book being reviewed deals mainly with this subject matter and is divided into two parts, each containing three articles contributed by various researchers. Part one, 'The Social context of Fertility Decision' is focused on analyzing the role of factors affecting fertility at the micro-level decision making process. The first article 'Fertility decision in rural India' by Vinod Jainath, examines the applicability to rural India of various models of the process of fertility decision making and finds most of these wanting with respect to the Indian social situation. While analyzing the fertility patterns of Rural India, he points out the positive need for larger families among the poor small farmers mainly due to labour supply considerations. The author argues that unemployment and under¬employment actually motivate the poor to have more children as it better ensures their economic security in their old age. As the chances of gaining employ¬ment for their offspring diminish, they are induced to increase the total number of children in order that atleast one will be able to support them. Thus a vicious circle of poverty arises in large families because of each of the parents wanting to increase their children's chances of employment by ultimately reducing the overall employment opportunities even further and exacerbating their poverty.


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