Real-Time Ground Motion Forecasting Using Front-Site Waveform Data Based on Artificial Neural Network

2009 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 588-594 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Serdar Kuyuk ◽  
◽  
Masato Motosaka ◽  

Real-time earthquake information made available by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) publicly since October 2007 is intended to dramatically reduce human casualties and property damage following earthquakes. Its current limitations, however, such as a lack of applicability to near-source earthquakes and the insufficient accuracy of seismic ground motion intensity leave much to be desired. The authors have suggested that the forward use of front-site waveform data leads to improve accuracy of real-time ground motion prediction. This paper presents an advanced methodology based on artificial neural networks (ANN) for the forward forecasting of ground motion parameters, not only peak ground acceleration and velocity but also spectral information before S wave arrival using the initial P waveform at a front site. Estimated earthquake ground motion information can be used as a warning to lessen human casualties and property damage. Fourier amplitude spectra estimated highly accurately before strong shaking can be used for advanced engineering applications, e.g., feed-forward structural control. The validity and applicability of the proposed method have been verified using Kyoshin Network (K-NET) observation datasets for 39 earthquakes occurring in the Miyagi Oki area.

2011 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroaki Yamanaka ◽  
Kaoru Ohtawara ◽  
Rhommel Grutas ◽  
Robert B. Tiglao ◽  
Melchor Lasala ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pamela Poggi ◽  
Emilia Fiorini ◽  
Daniela Tonoli ◽  
Francesca Ioele ◽  
Eric John Parker ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives/Scope This paper presents an innovative web tool developed for the seismic monitoring of critical infrastructure. As an example, we describe an application for the ENI offshore facilities, Jangkrik and Merakes Fields Development, offshore Indonesia. Methods, Procedures, Process The system monitors reported seismic activity in a project area, and issues warnings when earthquakes detected may have directly or indirectly impacted facilities. Notifications allow the owner to optimize decisions regarding post-earthquake asset surveys and maintenance, avoiding the need for inspections in areas not significantly affected. A system of email alerts and a web based GIS platform provide the end-user with a tool to control its own assets. Results, Observations, Conclusions The purpose of the tool is to indirectly monitor earthquakes in an area and identify those which may have damaged the Oil and Gas facilities of interest. This identification requires accurate near real-time earthquake data such as date, time, location, magnitude, and focal depth. To this end, the system retrieves earthquake data from a qualified set of public seismic agencies. The system computes the expected values of shaking at the specific offshore facilities (platforms, subsea structures, pipelines, etc.). Calculations are based on sets of Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) selected to match the seismotectonic environment. The expected values of seismic acceleration generated by an earthquake are compared with threshold values and a warning message is issued to the facilities supervisors when the ground acceleration exceeds design values. Threshold values related to secondary seismic effects (e.g., seismically induced landslides, debris flow) which could affect facilities integrity are also considered in the alert system. Threshold values are defined considering project seismic and geohazard documents, to summarize strong ground motion parameters that could potentially trigger damaging seismic geohazards, and project design documents to collect all data about seismic design of the assets. Monitoring intervals are defined based on the documentation screening. Several alarm levels are selected, based on the potential severity of earthquake effects. The more severe levels of ground motion, with high damage potential, can trigger recommendation for inspection. Novel/Additive Information Asset integrity and safety are key drivers in the offshore petroleum industry. Safety performance with respect to earthquakes is a fundamental issue in all seismic prone areas. The seismic alert system presented highlights, in near real time, earthquakes that are potentially critical for structures in an Oil and Gas field. This allows the owners to make quick decisions and plan necessary intervention regarding assets affected directly or indirectly by earthquakes. Exploiting the wide background of knowledge in engineering and geoscience and the modern availability of global earthquake data, the tool can provide useful assistance in managing asset integrity, regardless of the availability of local seismic networks or strong motion stations.


2020 ◽  
Vol 224 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Mianshui Rong ◽  
Xiaojun Li ◽  
Lei Fu

SUMMARY Given the improvements that have been made in the forward calculations of seismic noise horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratios (NHVSRs) or earthquake ground motion HVSRs (EHVSRs), a number of HVSR inversion methods have been proposed to identify underground velocity structures. Compared with the studies on NHVSR inversion, the research on the EHVSR-based inversion methods is relatively rare. In this paper, to make full use of the widely available and constantly accumulating strong-motion observation data, we propose an S-wave HVSR inversion method based on diffuse-field approximation. Herein, the S-wave components of earthquake ground motion recordings are considered as data source. Improvements to the objective function has been achieved in this work. An objective function with the slope term is introduced. The new objective function can mitigate the multisolution phenomenon encountered when working with HVSR curves with multipeaks. Then, a synthetic case is used to show the verification of the proposed method and this method has been applied to invert underground velocity structures for six KiK-net stations based on earthquake observations. The results show that the proposed S-wave EHVSR inversion method is effective for identifying underground velocity structures.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masayoshi Ichiyanagi ◽  
Mikhaylov Valentin ◽  
Dmitry Kostylev ◽  
Yuri Levin ◽  
Hiroaki Takahashi

Abstract The southwestern Kuril trench is seismically active due to the subduction of the Pacific plate. Great earthquakes in this zone have frequently induced fatal disasters. Seismic monitoring and hypocenter catalogues provide fundamental information on earthquake occurrence and disaster mitigation. Real-time hypocenter and magnitude estimates are extremely crucial data for tsunami warning systems. However, this region is located in the international border zone between Japan and Russia. The Japan Meteorological Agency and Russian Academy of Sciences have routinely determined hypocenters and issued earthquake information independently. Waveform data have not yet been exchanged internationally in real time. Here, we evaluated how a hypothetical Japan-Russia joint seismic network could potentially improve the hypocenter estimation accuracy. Experiments using numerical and observed data indicated that the joint network extended the distance over which hypocenters can be accurately determined over 100 km eastward compared to the Japan network only. This fact suggests that joint seismic data have the potential to improve the hypocenter accuracy in this region, which would provide improved performance in gathering disaster information at the moment of a tsunami warning.


2009 ◽  
Vol 61 (4) ◽  
pp. 191-205
Author(s):  
Hiroaki SATO ◽  
Hiroaki YAMANAKA ◽  
Sadanori HIGASHI ◽  
Kiyotaka SATO ◽  
Yoshiaki SHIBA ◽  
...  

1995 ◽  
Vol 85 (5) ◽  
pp. 1343-1358
Author(s):  
Gilbert L. Molas ◽  
Fumio Yamazaki

Abstract New attenuation equations for peak ground acceleration and velocity for Japan are developed. The equations are derived using extensive data recorded by the new JMA-87-type accelerometers, which do not require instrumental corrections that the older SMAC-type accelerometers do. Earthquakes with depths up to 200 km are used to make the equation applicable to subduction zone regions, which are common in Japan. Effects of depth and local site on the attenuation are considered simultaneously with the distance dependence and magnitude dependence using a two-stage regression procedure to separate the magnitude dependence from the distance dependence. Since the resulting normal equations become singular, an iterative partial regression algorithm is proposed. It is found that for the same magnitude and distance, peak ground motion increases as depth increases. The variation of the station coefficients with respect to the corresponding soil-type classification is quite wide. The station coefficients for the peak ground acceleration are found to be weakly correlated with the general soil classification, while a stronger correlation was found for the peak ground velocity. The resulting attenuation relations are given by log10PGA=0.206+0.477MJ−log10r−0.00144r−0.00144r+0.00311h+cia,log10PGV=−1.769+0.628MJ−log10r−0.00130r−0.00144r+0.00222h+civ, where PGA (cm/sec2) and PGV (cm/sec) are the larger of the peak accelerations and velocities from two horizontal components, MJ is the JMA magnitude, r is the closest distance to the fault rupture, h is the depth, and ci is the station coefficient of the recording station. The mean of the coefficients of the JMA stations is given by ci = 0.


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