Some features of the epidemic spread of the new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov Region

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 99-106
Author(s):  
E. V. Kovalev ◽  
S. S. Slis ◽  
E. G. Yanovich ◽  
N. L. Pichurina ◽  
S. V. Volovikova ◽  
...  

Purpose: to analyze the epidemiological situation for a new coronavirus infection (COVID-19), to identify some regional features of the Rostov region that contribute to spread of infection.Materials and methods: when assessing the epidemiological situation for a new coronavirus infection in the Rostov region, we used information provided by the Department of the Federal service for supervision of consumer protection and human welfare in the Rostov region. Processing of statistical data was performed by means of generally accepted method.Results: the spreading of a new coronavirus infection in the Rostov region is uneven in nature. When differentiating the territories of the region we identified groups of municipalities with a very high, medium and low number of patients. The administrative territories division of the Rostov region into the “Rostov urban agglomeration” and cluster of municipalities in which pronounced factors and conditions determining the “pendulum” migration of the population are absent, allow analyzing the specific features of the region and identification of territory with the highest risk of epidemic process intensification of a new coronavirus infection.Conclusions: the carried out differentiation of municipalities made it possible to identify and analyze some territorial features of the Rostov region, contributing to the spread of a new coronavirus infection. The obtained results could be used for development of measures aimed at reducing intensification of the epidemic process COVID-19 in condition infection. 

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 69-78
Author(s):  
E. V. Kovalev ◽  
T. I. Tverdokhlebova ◽  
G. V. Karpushenko ◽  
E. G. Erganova ◽  
V. V. Agafonova ◽  
...  

Objective: monitoring, analysis and forecast of the spread of new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region.Materials and methods: analysis of data on the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, obtained on the basis of agencies: Department of the Federal service for supervision of consumer protection and human welfare in the Rostov region, Center of hygiene and epidemiology in Rostov region, Rostov research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, as well as the monitoring of information on the Internet sites of the Government of the Rostov region and the regional headquarters for the fight against the spread of COVID-19. Application of the SEIR analytical platform to build a mathematical model for predicting the spread of infection in the Rostov region.Results: the article presents an analysis of the epidemiological situation for the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, analyzes the effectiveness of preventive and anti-epidemic measures with the ability to predict the development of the epidemiological process in the region.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-29
Author(s):  
A.R. Litovko ◽  
◽  
T.I. Tverdokhlebova ◽  
E.V. Kovalev ◽  
G.V. Karpushchenko ◽  
...  

Material and methods. We evaluated the incidence of COVID-19 in Rostov region. The data was obtained from the Rostov Department of the Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing, Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology of Rostov region, and Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology. In addition to that, we monitored the information on the official websites of the Government of Rostov region and regional COVID-19 headquarters. The SEIR analytical platform was used to build a mathematical model for predicting the spread of infection in Rostov region. Results. We have evaluated the epidemiological situation of COVID-19 in Rostov region and analyzed the effectiveness of preventive and anti-epidemic measures with the possibility of predicting the development of the epidemic process in the region. Key words: coronavirus infection, prognosis, anti-epidemic measures, epidemiological situation, COVID-19


Author(s):  
Л.А. Балыкова ◽  
Л.Ф. Сабиров ◽  
Е.В. Семелева

Возникновение нового варианта вируса и эпидемический потенциал, проявленный возбудителем COVID-19, поставили перед специалистами здравоохранения задачи, связанные с быстрой разработкой диагностики и профилактики новой инфекции, а также тактики оказания медицинской помощи больным. Активное распространение коронавирусной инфекции заставило активно вносить изменения в систему медицинского образования. Целью данной работы был анализ эпидемиологической ситуации по COVID-19 в Республике Мордовия для понимания особенностей развития эпидемического процесса и составления его прогноза, а также рассмотрения перестройки образовательного процесса в условиях пандемии. Проведен ретроспективный анализ эпидемиологической ситуации по заболеваемости COVID-19 в Республике Мордовия, проанализирована эффективность реализации профилактических и противоэпидемических мероприятий, приведены данные по динамике заболеваемости, выздоровлению и летальности пациентов. Изучены элементы перестройки образовательного процесса. Проанализирована эпидемиологическая ситуация в сравнении с некоторыми регионами РФ, изучены данные по проведению вакцинации, по динамике коечного фонда за период пандемии. Вероятность смерти от коронавируса COVID-19 в Республике Мордовия аналогична мировым показателям. Можно предположить, что дистанционное обучение займет одну из лидирующих позиций в высшей школе. Благополучная ситуация в Республике Мордовия с заболеваемостью и летальностью от новой коронавирусной инфекции складывалась благодаря реализации научно обоснованной стратегии опережающего реагирования – на основе постоянной оценки масштабов распространения новой коронавирусной инфекции, анализа тенденций эпидемического процесса, моделирования развития эпидемической ситуации и проводимых превентивных мероприятий. Непосредственное участие преподавателей университета в лечебной работе, использование их опыта и знаний в решении практических задач будут способствовать повышению качества медицинской помощи и развитию системы здравоохранения Республики Мордовия не только в условиях пандемии COVID-19, но и в дальнейшем. The emergence of a new variant of the virus and the epidemic potential manifested by the causative agent of COVID-19 have set health professionals tasks related to the rapid development of diagnostics and prevention of a new infection, as well as tactics for providing medical care to patients. The active spread of coronavirus infection has forced active changes to the system of medical education. The goal is to analyze the epidemiological situation of COVID-19 in the Republic of Mordovia in order to understand the development of the epidemic process and make a forecast, consideration of the restructuring of the educational process in the context of a pandemic. In this article, a retrospective analysis of the epidemiological situation on the incidence of COVID-19 in the Republic of Mordovia is carried out, the effectiveness of the implementation of preventive and anti-epidemic measures is analyzed, data on the dynamics of morbidity, recovery and mortality of patients are presented. The elements of the restructuring of the educational process are studied. The epidemiological situation was analyzed in comparison with some regions of the Russian Federation, data on vaccination, on the dynamics of the bed fund during the pandemic period were studied. The probability of death from the COVID-19 coronavirus in the Republic of Mordovia is similar to the indicators around the world. It can be assumed that distance learning will take one of the leading positions in the process of studying in higher education. A favorable situation in the Republic of Mordovia with morbidity and mortality from a new coronavirus infection was formed positive to the implementation of a scientifically grounded strategy of proactive response – based on a constant assessment of the scale of the spread of a new coronavirus infection, analysis of trends in the epidemic process, modeling the development of the epidemic situation and ongoing preventive measures. The direct participation of university teachers in medical work, the use of their experience and knowledge in solving practical problems will contribute to improving the quality of medical care and the development of the healthcare system of the Republic of Mordovia not only in the conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic, but also in the future.


Author(s):  
Andrey Palyuh ◽  
Mihail Popov ◽  
Viktor Splender

At the end of January 2020, our country faced a new threat to national security, namely the infection of the population with a coronavirus infection, from which a vaccine has not yet been developed. As a result of the activity of COVID-19, there are cases of death, carriers of this virus. The main problem of the new virus is its increased level of infectivity, transmission is carried out by airborne droplets (when coughing or sneezing) and by contact (handrails in vehicles, door handles and other contaminated surfaces and objects). The epidemic, which has grown into a pandemic, does not allow maintaining the appropriate level of security of the country and the implementation of the constitutional rights and freedoms of citizens of the Russian Federation, and therefore, to restore these rights and freedoms, it is necessary to use all the state's capabilities to prevent the spread of infection and develop a medicine. The process of self-isolation of citizens of our country does not give the expected results, a huge number of people are forced to continue to carry out their work, and therefore, with the help of conscious self-isolation of citizens, it will not work to stop the spread of a new infection and it is necessary to resort to other measures that regulate the movement of citizens and social activity. To this end, legislative and executive authorities introduce new measures to prevent the spread of infection. The Federal Service of the National Guard Troops does not stand aside and directs all its efforts to preventing the spread of infection.


Author(s):  
S. V. Balakhonov ◽  
M. V. Chesnokova ◽  
A. N. Perezhogin ◽  
A. Ya. Nikitin ◽  
S. V. Kaverzina ◽  
...  

Assessment of a particular territory by its epidemiological significance is very relevant in the light of widespread occurrence of new coronavirus infection, COVID-19, in the Russian Federation.Objective. Detection of the epidemiological features and revealing trends in the epidemic process of new coronavirus infection in the Irkutsk Region and forecasting of its spread.Materials and methods. An operational analysis of the epidemiological situation on COVID-19 in the Irkutsk Region as of August 16, 2020 was performed. Restrictive measures were substantiated based on the calculation of the infection spread rate (Rt).Results and discussion. Irkutsk Region remained one of the adverse territories as regards human COVID-19 incidence in the Siberian Federal District and the Russian Federation as of August 16, 2020. The gradual dynamics of the epidemic process was revealed: at the first stage of the epidemic development it was facilitated by the imported cases from affected countries and regions of the Russian Federation, and subsequently by local transmission. The incidence increase was registered 2 months later than in central regions of the Russian Federation. Currently there is a consistent downward trend. The increase in the cases prevailed among rotation workers staying for shift and seasonal activities in the administrative center and northern districts of the Irkutsk Region. The epidemic pattern was determined by gender, age and social characteristics. It is demonstrated that the risk of the new coronavirus infection is determined by the intensity of contacts in family foci, the spread of infection in medical organizations and a significant proportion of asymptomatic carriers. High lethality rates (0.7 %) and mortality rates (31.1 o / oooo) were established among persons over 65 years. The stationary time series observed since June for changing the Rt-indicator with fluctuations ranging from 0.92 to 1.01 requires maintaining control of restrictive measures with prompt management decisions making based on the evolving epidemiological situation in the Irkutsk Region and taking into account the assessment of its possible complication risks. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 72-90
Author(s):  
Violetta Rusova ◽  
Anait Mkrtumova

The modern era of globalization creates specific socio-ecological conditions for the existence of the world human community, which, in turn, determine the singularity of the epidemiological behaviour of many infectious diseases. The year 2020 has challenged the humanity with a pandemic that is rapidly spreading around the world. Global relationships are fraught with global epidemiological problems. Such manifestations of globalization as intensified international migration of population, roaring international trade in agricultural products, domestic and wild animals and birds, food, raw materials and goods, development of high-speed transport, turn the world into a single global socio-ecological epidemiological system, in which all processes are interconnected and mutually dependent. The purpose of this research is to study and analyse the system of institutional regulation of the health system in the context of a pandemic. The study used such methods as the analysis method, analogies, comparisons, observations, as well as statistical methods to analyse various indicators necessary for research. Using the above methods, a large amount of literature, legislation, regulatory and institutional regulations on this issue was analysed, some existing indicators were summarized, and a conclusion was made about the process of institutional regulation in an unfavourable epidemiological situation. As a result of the study based on a large number of official documents, it was concluded that measures were taken in the Russian Federation to counteract the active spread of a new coronavirus infection. Implementation of the state policy on preventing the spread of the pandemic resulted in no high mortality rate from new coronavirus infection compared to other world states. It should be noted that due to the federal structure of the country, the heads of regions independently decide on the regulation of mechanisms to counter the spread of infection on the territory of the subject. In this regard, it is not possible to promptly update information on the effectiveness of the measures taken. Currently, the risk-based approach described in the article is a mechanism for studying the epidemiological situation, which allows determining the risk factors that affect it and, on this basis, to rank epidemiological problems by their degree of importance. Due to the fact that the pandemic as a new virus was an unexpected risk, the clinical picture remains blurred, but the institutional form of state regulation is fused to protect the rights of citizens to health care under conditions of the pandemic.   


Author(s):  
Seyyed Shamsadin Athari

The novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) firstly, was identified in December 2019 in Wuhan, China. The isolated virus was identified as genus β-coronavirus, placing it alongside other SARS and MERS. At the 1 May 2020, over 200 countries have confirmed cases, the number of patients infected by the virus has now surpassed 3,301,792 and with 233,729 deaths from the virus. Compared with mortality for the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), COVID-19 is being responsible for more total deaths because of the increased transmission speed. The WHO has raised global coronavirus Disease outbreak risk to "Very High", and SARS-CoV-2 infection was become a serious threat to public health. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is main problem is infected patients that leads to hospitalization of large number of people.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 203-210
Author(s):  
Yulia Shikhova ◽  
◽  
Alexey Nikitin ◽  
Inna Velichko ◽  
◽  
...  

The purpose of our work was to increase the efficiency of medical care provided to patients with the new coronavirus infection COVID-19 who were admitted to a multidisciplinary hospital, based on a retrospective analysis of the work carried out to reorganise material-technical and personnel support, organise operations in an unfavourable epidemiological situation in the period from 16.05–06.11.2020. During the specified work period, data on 677 hospitalised patients were analysed. The practical experience of the FGBUZ CCH RAS demonstrated the feasibility of a quick response to unfavourable development of the epidemiological situation associated with the spread of COVID-19 via solving the problem of reorganising a multidisciplinary hospital, taking into account the implementation of organisational measures that provide the material and technical basis for the diagnosis and treatment of patients and measures aimed at preventing the spread of infection among medical personnel and patients. Our data confirmed that complications related to infection with COVID-19 and which led to the need to use intensive care measures were more typical for people in the older age group: with an average age of 57 ± 6 years for men and 64 ± 7 years for women that were admitted to the hospital. A set of measures to ensure the safety of personnel involved in providing medical care to patients with the new coronavirus infection minimises the risks of personnel infection.


Author(s):  
Nikitin A.E. ◽  
Znamenskiy I.А ◽  
Shikhova Yu.A. ◽  
Kuzmina I.V. ◽  
Melchenko D.S. ◽  
...  

This study provides a retrospective analysis of work to ensure high quality of medical care in an unfavorable epidemic situation. The consequence of COVID-19 was the implementation of a program to prevent the spread of infection, the re-profiling of medical institu-tions, and the introduction of restrictive and anti-epidemic measures. The experience of our work has shown the effectiveness of changing the order of med-ical care, the organization of the functioning of de-partments and patient routing. The study reflects the measures implemented in the hospital departments, the Department of clinical and laboratory diagnostics, radiation diagnostics and pathology Department. To ensure the safety of patients, it was decided to place patients on a single bed according to the type of infec-tious boxes. The safety of employees was ensured by the use of personal protective equipment, minimiza-tion of contact time with patients, and preventive weekly examination of staff for SARS-CoV-2 infection. The organized and well-coordinated work of the en-tire staff of the institution made it possible to prevent the spread of COVID-19 among employees, to detect cases of infection in a timely manner, and to carry out appropriate isolation and monitoring measures. At the time of completion of infectious diseases departments, the mortality rate among patients was less than 9%. Our experience in reorganizing a multi-specialty facil-ity can be used in the future when working with pa-tients who have undergone COVID-19, as well as in the context of a worsening epidemic situation.


Objective: In this review, we highlight the importance of an optimal nutrient status to strengthen the immune system during the COVID-19 crisis, focusing on the most relevant constituents that reduce inflammation and Provide a holistic perspective nutritional therapy the new coronavirus (covid-19) to assist researchers and improving areas for future response plans to deal with these diseases, and to provide a summary of the nutrients that help stop their development. Methods: This is a theoretical study conducted through a comprehensive review of the literature and research in the research engines (PubMed), (Read) and (ELSEVIER) and other new studies published in Chinese; we obtained information nutritional treatment who contributed to increasing the immunity of patients, due to the lack of treatment for this disease. Results: Until now no effective drug for the treatment of new coronavirus, pneumonia (covid-19) has been found. The development of vaccines is still in animal experiments. Recommendations and measures to control the spread of infection and nutritional therapy are still the only way to prevent the spread of covid-19 virus. Because, People relied only on treatments that were effective on previous viruses, for example those that have been used during the SARS and MERS epidemics. Discussion: The Covid-19 virus remains a global concern and more research is needed to control it. In addition, people need to know the nutrition ingredients that have a positive effect on increasing the immunity of the human body.


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