scholarly journals China’s Economic Growth in 2010–2017: Analysis from the Perspective of the Input-Output Model and Modern Monetary Theory

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-184
Author(s):  
A. A. Bykov ◽  
S. A. Tolkachev ◽  
U. A. Parkhimenka ◽  
T. V. Shablinskaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Modern China ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Trade Surplus ◽  
Scientific Publications ◽  
The Republic

The article aims to analyze the external and internal growth factors of the People’s Republic of China in 2010–2017. The authors use methods such as input-output modeling, statistical methods, content analysis of scientific publications. The study explores different perspectives on China’s rapid economic growth in recent decades. In particular, the authors consider neoclassical models that investigate and explain the dynamics of the Chinese economy due to the accumulation and development of factors of domestic production. Some studies are analyzed, which consider economic growth as a result of the final demand, both internal and external, on the basis of the input-output approach. The article examines the views that interpret the monetary policy as one of the most important factors in stimulating economic growth. The authors, based on the economic growth decomposition method, determine the components due to domestic demand and the components due to exports, both for the entire Chinese economy and for particular industries. Сalculations based on the data of input-output balances for 2010–2017 allowed the authors to draw a conclusion about the significant contribution of domestic demand to the economic growth of China in the context of active monetary stimulus. Thus, the novelty of the study is ensured by the fact that Thirlwall’s law does not apply to modern China –– stimulating the economy in China does not lead to a decrease in the trade surplus due to the monetary and financial sovereignty, industrial competitiveness, and the innovative economic development. The search for tools for adapting China’s monetary policy to the realities of Russia and the Republic of Belarus opens up opportunities for future research on the topic.

Credit Restriction or Economic Growth?

2019 ◽  
pp. 45-54
Author(s):  
E.Y. Sokolova ◽  
A.S. Tanasova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Credit Restriction

At the end of 2018 — the very beginning of 2019 Russia faced negative consequences of the economic measures that took place in 2018, such as the retirement age rising, tightening sanctions against Russia, VAT rising which caused increased inflation expectations of people. The Bank of Russia increased the key rate in response. All these measures lead to decrease of domestic demand, and not stimulate economic growth. The article examines the possibility of using the monetary policy method of credit restriction to fulfil the presidential act to stimulate economic growth.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF DIRECTION FOR COORDINATION OF MONETARY REGULATION OF INVESTMENT IN THE INTEGRATION UNIONS

2021 ◽  
pp. 27-36
Author(s):  
Marina Zelenkevich ◽  
Natallia Bandarenka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Eurasian Economic Union ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Economic Union ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Method Of Correlation

In the context of globalization and regionalization, central banks pursuing monetary policy in the country at the same time become subjects of monetary regulation within the framework of the integrational associations of which they are members. The purpose of the article is to assess the impact of monetary policy on investment and economic growth in integration unions and determine the appropriateness of their coordination. To achieve the goal, a method of correlation-regression analysis is proposed, one which allows for the identifying and assessing of the degree of influence of certain directions of monetary policy of the countries of the integration association on the indicators of investment and economic growth. As a result of the analysis, the expediency of coordination and implementation of a coordinated policy of central banks to stimulate the deposit and credit policy of commercial banks was proved, which positively affects the characteristics of supply and demand in the integrated investment market. The assessment of the directions of the coordination of monetary investments regulation was carried out on the example of an integration association - the Union of Belarus and Russia and can be extended to other integration associations with the participation of Belarus, in particular, to the monetary interaction of countries within the Eurasian Economic Union. The analysis is based on the statistical data of the National Statistical Committee and the National Bank of the Republic Belarus, the EAEU Department of Statistics, as well as statistical information from the Central Bank of Russia and the Union of Russia and Belarus.

scholarly journals «New normality» as a step in the evolution of China's economic model

2019 ◽  
pp. 45-48
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Vsevolodovich Milenkiy ◽  
Chen Li
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Economic Model ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Development Model ◽  
Cheap Labor ◽  
Labor Power ◽  
Economic Development Model ◽  
Current Stage

The article discusses the current stage of evolution of China’s economic model which is called the «New normality». The author emphasizes that «New normality» is the stage of creating a new economic development model, involving the process of changing the extensive type of economic growth through the use of cheap labor power to the intensive type based on innovations, growing domestic demand. The conditions of transition to a new model, changes in economic policy, and the result that they want to achieve when implementing this model to the Chinese economy are shown.

scholarly journals COVID-19 Pandemic, Sustainability of Macroeconomy, and Choice of Monetary Policy Targets: A NK-DSGE Analysis Based on China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 3362
Author(s):  
Xinping Zhang ◽  
Yimeng Zhang ◽  
Yunchan Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Social Inequality ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Policy Targets

This paper studies the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the sustainability of Chinese economic growth, government debt, and income inequality by constructing a new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NK-DSGE) model. The choice of monetary policy targets is then analyzed to hedge the impact of the pandemic. We find that: (1) the aggregate demand and labor demand shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic posed serious challenges to the sustainable development of the economy and debt, and increased social inequality; (2) when the impact of the pandemic is mainly reflected in the recession in aggregate demand, monetary policy should pay more attention to the target of price stability; (3) when the impact of the pandemic is mainly reflected in a decline in labor demand, monetary policy should focus more on the target of economic growth; (4) when the pandemic has a significant impact on both aggregate demand and labor demand, a monetary policy which focuses more on the target of economic growth is conducive to minimizing welfare losses. Targeted policy implications, such as selecting monetary policy targets according to different manifestations of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and placing emphasis on monetary policy tools to stimulate consumption, alleviate unemployment, and alleviate social inequality, are suggested to improve the sustainability of the Chinese economy.

scholarly journals Analysis of monetary regulation of the investment sphere in the Republic of Belarus

2021 ◽  
Vol 107 ◽  
pp. 09001
Author(s):  
Marina Zelenkevich ◽  
Natallia Bandarenka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Price Stability ◽  
Practical Implementation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the article is to substantiate the possibility and necessity of the central bank’s monetary policy to stimulate investment and economic growth for developing economies on the example of the investment sphere and monetary policy in Belarus. It was determined that the impact of monetary regulation on investment and economic growth is achieved in the course of the central bank’s activities to maintain indicators of price and financial stability which reflect favourable conditions for investment. Price stability is achieved through the implementation of various central bank strategies such as targeting the exchange rate, money supply and inflation. These strategies are defined as the objectives of monetary policy. The article discusses the advantages of monetary regulation in comparison with fiscal regulation, and also contains an analysis of its practical implementation in the Republic of Belarus in the period 2000–2019. As a result of the study the economic and financial results of the strategies applied at different stages were determined, their consequences for the economy were substantiated, and the strategies that best affect the financial and economic indicators in the country were identified. For countries with a small open economy which includes Belarus maintaining price and financial stability is complemented by a set of measures to reduce the devaluation expectations of market entities and create a favorable foreign economic environment.

Entrepreneurial state vs liberal market

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 550-573 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tariq H. Malik ◽  
Chunhui Huo
Keyword(s):  
Value Chain ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Innovation System ◽  
High Technology ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Scientific Publications ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Science ◽  
Chinese State

Purpose This paper aims to assess the comparative position of the national innovation system of Chinese state entrepreneurship versus liberal market entrepreneurship. Based on the comparative institutional framework, it asks whether Chinese state entrepreneurship has a comparative disadvantage because of its incoherent institutions in liberal or coordinated economies. Hence, does the Chinese institutional system of innovation lag behind that of US or liberal countries of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) economies in the transformation of national science into economic products measured as high-technology exports? Design/methodology/approach This study uses panel data analysis based on 29 OECD economies and the Chinese economy over 23 years. Regarding national science productivity (explorative capabilities), it includes published and patented science streams; regarding technological transformation (exploitative capabilities), it measures the percentage of high-technology exports in gross domestic product (GDP). The interactions between the types of entrepreneurship and national science institutions serve as predictors in the design. Findings The results show that Chinese state entrepreneurship has a comparative advantage over liberal economies in published science. However, Chinese state entrepreneurship has a comparative disadvantage compared to liberal entrepreneurship in patent science. Regarding the dyadic level of comparability between the national economies, there are mixed results in the transformation of national science. Research limitations/implications This study supports the three following theoretical points: national institutions differ regardless of the pressure of convergence through globalization; national science contingencies influence different paths of the transformation of national science to technology; and mixed economies, such as state entrepreneurship, can achieve high performance without fully conforming to liberal markets. Practical implications This study emphasizes institutional mechanisms for future research to support the innovation of incoherent institutions and suggests the benefit of cross-pollination of senior managers between state and private organizations for a defined duration. Originality/value Theoretically, this research combines an interdisciplinary and interinstitutional level of analysis, and in so doing, it deals with the transformation of national science in scientific publications and patents in the vertical value chain. Empirically, this study links the national published and patented science with the national economic artifacts in high-technology sectors. This novel approach to assess the national and discipline-level interaction sets a context for the future research in other settings. It also informs policy decisions regarding the growth of science, innovation and development.

Is inflation targeting useful for economic growth?

2017 ◽  
pp. 62-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Kartaev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Test Performance ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Growth Regime ◽  
Potential Channels

The paper presents an overview of studies of the effects of inflation targeting on long-term economic growth. We analyze the potential channels of influence, as well as modern empirical studies that test performance of these channels. We compare the effects of different variants of inflation targeting (strict and mixed). Based on the analysis recommendations on the choice of optimal (in terms of stimulating long-term growth) regime of monetary policy in developed and developing economies are formulated.

The world and Russia: Inflation is minimal, economic growth is slowing, risks are rising

2019 ◽  
pp. 5-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mikhail V. Ershov ◽  
Anna S. Tanasova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
New Combination ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The World ◽  
World Economic ◽  
Money Creation ◽  
Main Factors

Russian economy has reached the low level of inflation, but economic growth has not accelerated. Moreover, according to official forecasts, in the following years it will still be low. The article concludes that domestic demand, which is one of the main factors of growth, is significantly constrained by monetary, budgetary and fiscal spheres. The situation in the Russian economy is still hampered by the decline of the world economic growth. The prospects of financial markets are highly uncertain. This increases the possibility of crisis in the world. Leading countries widely use non-traditional measures to support their economies in the similar environment. In the world economy as well as in Russia a principally new combination of factors has emerged, which create specific features of economic growth. It requires special set of measures to stimulate such growth. The article proves that Russian regulators have large unused potential to stimulate growth. It includes monetization, long-money creation, budget and tax stimuli. It is important that the instruments, which will be used, should be based on domestic mechanisms. This will strengthen financial basis of the economy and may encourage economic growth. Some specific suggestions as to their use are made.

ECONOMIC GROWTH ANALYSIS: A STUDY ON MALAYSIAN MARKET

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suhaily Maizan Abdul Manaf ◽  
Shuhada Mohamed Hamidi ◽  
Nur Shafini Mohd Said ◽  
Siti Rapidah Omar Ali ◽  
Nur Dalila Adenan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Correlation Method ◽  
Research Direction ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Internal And External Factors

Economic performance of a country is mostly determined by the growth and any other internal and external factors. In this study, researchers purposely focused on Malaysian market by examining the relationship between export, inflation rate, government expenditure and foreign direct investment towards economic growth in Malaysia by applying the yearly data of 47 years from 1970 to 2016 using descriptive statistics, regression model and correlation method analysis. By applying Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method, the result suggests that export, government expenditure and foreign direct investment are positively and significantly correlated with the economic growth. However, inflation rate has negative and insignificant relationship with the economic growth. The outcome of the study is suggested to be useful in providing the future research direction towards the economic growth in Malaysia. Keywords: economic growth; export; inflation rate; government expenditure

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