Tax-to-GDP Ratio and the Relation of Tax Revenue with GDP: Nepalese Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 80-96
Author(s):  
Arjun Kumar Dahal
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Exploratory Research ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Ratio Condition ◽  
The Government ◽  
Integrated Or ◽  
High Degree

 This study aims to show the tax-to-GDP ratio condition and explore the relation of tax revenue with Nepal's GDP. It is based on the secondary data that is collected from various published sources. Descriptive and exploratory research designs are used to explore the relationship between tax revenue and GDP. Some statistical and econometric tools like mean, depression, correlation, Johnsen Co-integration Test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), serial correlation, heteroskedasticity test, and normality test are used. There is a high degree of the positive relationship between tax revenue and GDP of Nepal. The tax revenue and GDP are co-integrated, or they have a long-run association ship. The tax-to-GDP ratio of Nepal lies in the high rank among the various developing countries. So, tax to GDP ratio alone cannot ensure its economic growth. It is advised to the concerned authorities to increase the income to increase the tax revenue; otherwise, it increases the general public's dissatisfaction with the government.

scholarly journals Role of Tax Revenue, Non-tax Revenue, and Foreign Aid to Increase the Size of Budget in Nepal

2020 ◽  
pp. 31-48
Author(s):  
Arjun Kumar Dahal ◽  
Ghanshyam Dhakal ◽  
Khagendra Kumar Thapa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Exploratory Research ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: The purpose of the present study is to find the impact of tax revenue, non-tax revenue, and foreign aid to increase the size of the budget in Nepal. Methods: This study is based on descriptive, analytical, and exploratory research designs. The Johnsen Co-integration Test, VECM, Wald Test, and Granger Causality Test are used to find long-run relation, impact, short-run causality, and granger cause between the pairs of variables. Results: The tax revenue, non-tax revenue, foreign aid, and budget are co-integrated, or they have a long-run association ship. The result of VECM shows that tax revenue, non-tax revenue, foreign aid is nicely fitted, and they are jointly significant to explain the size of the budget in Nepal. Short-run causality was found between the size of budget and tax revenue and size of budget and foreign aid, but there was an absence of short-run causality between budget and non-tax revenue in Nepal. The granger cause was not found between the pair of variables. Implications: It seems to increase the tax revenue and decrease the dependency on foreign aid. Limitations: This study was based on the secondary data of 40 years from the fiscal year 1979/80 to 2018/19.  Only three variables, tax revenue, non-tax revenue, and foreign aid, are considered the effecting factor of the budget size. Hence, further study is necessary by employing other tools and variables. Originality: The author was not affected by the study and findings of others.

scholarly journals Does Monetary Policy Induce Economic Growth? An Empirical Evaluation of the Nigerian Economy

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 331
Author(s):  
Anthony Ilegbinosa Imoisi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Empirical Evaluation ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
National Bureau ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government

Monetary and Fiscal policies are instruments which the government of any nation can employ to effectively achieve the desired growth of their respective economies. This study investigates the extent to which monetary policies can promote economic growth in Nigeria from 1980-2017. Secondary data were used from the Statistical Bulletin of the apex bank in Nigeria (CBN) and National Bureau of Statistics. Unit root test, Johansen co-integration and the vector error correction model (VECM) were employed in analyzing the data collected for this study. The result showed that approximately 62% of GDP is explained by variables in the model while 38% is accounted for and explained by other variables not included in the model but are captured by the error term. In addition, monetary policies did not have a significant impact on Nigeria’s economic growth in the short run, but significantly affected the country’s growth in the long run.

scholarly journals Tax Revenue Productivity of Tax Reforms in Kenya

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
James Murunga ◽  
Nelson W. Wawire ◽  
Moses K. Muriithi
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Budget Deficits ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Tax System ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Government

Kenya has continued to experience increasing budget deficits. This is despite implementing various tax reforms. To finance the deficit, the Kenyan government should either raise more tax revenue or resort to borrowing. Domestic borrowing crowds out investment while external debt specifically non-concessional loans are tied to some unpopular conditions. The government has an option of considering non-concessional loans but this comes with a price of high interest rates and short payment periods. This means raising more tax with minimum burden is the best option. This study therefore seeks to investigate the responsiveness of Kenya’s tax system to GDP and Discretionary tax measures for the period between 1970 and 2018. Variables used in the study are integrated of order one. Johansen cointegration test reveals presence long run relationship thus informing the study to consider Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results reveal that Kenya’s tax system is inelastic but buoyant. This implies that the Kenyan tax system is unresponsive to GDP but responsive to discretionary tax measures. The finding of inelastic tax system has implications for the fiscal policy. The fiscal policy’s managers should target reducing or eliminating the tax exemptions, which might be eroding the effective tax base.

scholarly journals Investment and Economic Indicators in Malaysia

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Masturah Ma’in ◽  
Norfaiezah Nordin ◽  
Izza Hazira Zailan ◽  
Saliza Sulaiman ◽  
Zuraidah Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Trade Openness ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

This study is to investigate the relationship between economic indicators and investment in Malaysia using secondary data spanned through 1982-2015. This study employs an empirical analysis by adapting the unit root test, Johansen co-integration test and vector error correction model (VECM) to determine the short-run and long run effect among variables. The cointegrating test indicates that investment is significantly related to the trade openness, GDP and population. Based on the VECM results, the findings show that a long run relationship exists between the trade openness and investment in Malaysia. Hence, these reveal that it is important for the Malaysian government to enhance the economic policy in liberalizing foreign trade in order to encourage more investments.

scholarly journals Do Erratic Rainfalls Hamper Grain Production? Analysis of Supply Response of Rice to Price and Non-Price Factors

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 1463
Author(s):  
Ghulam Mustafa ◽  
Azhar Abbas ◽  
Bader Alhafi Alotaibi ◽  
Fahd O. Aldosri
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Supply Response ◽  
Target Time ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Increasing rice production has become one of the ultimate goals for South Asian countries. The yield and area under rice production are also facing threats due to the consequences of climate change such as erratic rainfall and seasonal variation. Thus, the main aim of this work was to find out the supply response of rice in Malaysia in relation to both price and non-price factors. To achieve this target, time series analysis was conducted on data from 1970 to 2014 using cointegration, unit root test, and the vector error correction model. The results showed that the planted area and rainfall have a significant effect on rice production; however, the magnitude of the impact of rainfall is less conspicuous for off-season (season 2) rice as compared to main-season rice (season 1). The speed of adjustment from short-run to long-run for season-1 rice production is almost two-and-a-half years (five production seasons), while for season-2 production, it is only about one-and-a-half year (three production seasons). Consequently, the study findings imply the supply of water to be enhanced through better water infrastructure for both seasons. Moreover, the area under season 2 is continuously declining to the point where the government has to make sure that farmers are able to cultivate the same area for rice production by providing uninterrupted supply of critical inputs, particularly water, seed and fertilizers.

scholarly journals Implikasi Penerapan Undang-Undang Nomor 11 Tahun 2016 Tentang Pengampunan Pajak (Tax Amnesty) Dalam Meningkatkan Kepatuhan Wajib Pajak

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Agus Saiful Abib ◽  
Efi Yulistyowati ◽  
Amri Panahatan Sihotang
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Descriptive Research ◽  
Tax Amnesty ◽  
The Government ◽  
To Come ◽  
National Tax

<p>Tahun 2016, pemerintah mengeluarkan kembali kebijakan <em>Tax</em> <em>Amnesty </em>yang dituangkan dalam Undang-Undang Nomor 11 Tahun 2016 tentang Pengampunan Pajak. Pengampunan Pajak (<em>Tax</em> <em>Amnesty)</em> ini diharapkan dapat meningkatkan penerimaan pajak dalam jangka pendek melalui pembayaran uang tebusan, meningkatkan penerimaan pajak dalam jangka panjang melalui perluasan basis data pemajakan, meningkatkan kepatuhan Wajib Pajak, transisi ke sistem perpajakan baru yang lebih kuat dan adil, dan mendorong rekonsiliasi perpajakan nasional. Sehubungan dengan hal tersebut, untuk mengetahui apakah program <em>Tax</em> <em>Amnesty</em> Indonesia Tahun 2016 berhasil atau tidak, khususnya dalam meningkatkan kepatuhan wajib pajak, maka perlu dilakukan penelitian tentang : “Implikasi Penerapan Undang-Undang Nomor 11 Tahun 2016 tentang Pengampunan Pajak (<em>Tax</em> <em>Amnesty</em>) dalam Meningkatkan Kepatuhan Wajib Pajak”. Adapun permasalahan yang akan dibahas adalah bagaimana implikasi penerapan Undang-Undang Nomor 11 Tahun 2016 tentang Pengampunan Pajak<em> (Tax</em> <em>Amnesty)</em> dalam meningkatkan kepatuhan Wajib Pajak ? Berdasarkan implikasi tersebut, maka bagaimana sebaiknya pengaturan perpajakan yang akan datang ? Berdasarkan permasalahan tersebut jenis penelitian ini adalah yuridis normatif yang akan dikaji dengan pendekatan perundang-undangan, spesifikasi penelitiannya diskriptif analitis, data yang dipergunakan data sekunder, yang dianalisis secara kualitatif. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa implikasi penerapan Undang-Undang Nomor 11 Tahun 2016 tentang Pengampunan Pajak<em> (Tax</em> <em>Amnesty)</em> dapat meningkatkan kepatuhan Wajib Pajak, dan berdasarkan implikasi tersebut SE Dirjen Pajak No. SE - 06/PJ/2017 seharusnya tidak hanya untuk tahun pajak 2017 saja, tetapi juga untuk tahun-tahun yang akan datang. Di samping itu perlu ada peraturan yang mengatur tentang pengawasan terhadap pelaksanaan hak Wajib Pajak.</p><pre>In 2016, the government re-issue the Tax Amnesty policy as outlined in Law Number 11 Year 2016 on Tax Amnesty. The Tax Amnesty is expected to increase tax revenue in the short term through ransom payments, increase tax revenues over the long term through the expansion of taxation databases, increase taxpayer compliance, transition to a stronger and more just tax system, and encourage national tax reconciliation. In relation to this matter, to find out whether the program of Tax Amnesty Indonesia Year 2016 succeed or not, especially in increasing taxpayer compliance, it is necessary to do research on: "Implications Implementation of Law Number 11 Year 2016 on Tax Amnesty in Improving Taxpayer Compliance ". The problem to be discussed is how the implications of the implementation of Law Number 11 Year 2016 on Tax Amendment (Tax Amnesty) in improving taxpayer compliance? Based on these implications, then how should the taxation arrangements to come? Based on the problem, this type of research is normative juridical which will be studied with the approach of legislation, the analytical descriptive research specification, the data used secondary data, which analyzed qualitatively. The result of the research shows that the implication of the implementation of Law Number 11 Year 2016 on Tax Amnesty can improve Taxpayer compliance, and based on the implication of SE Dirjen Pajak No. SE - 06 / PJ / 2017 should not only be for the fiscal year 2017 alone, but also for the years to come. In addition, there should be a regulation that regulates the supervision of the implementation of taxpayers' rights.</pre>

scholarly journals COVID-19 Pandemic and Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs): Policy Response for Revival

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 213-228
Author(s):  
Minaketan Behera ◽  
Sanghamitra Mishra ◽  
Niharika Mohapatra ◽  
Alok Ranjan Behera
Keyword(s):  
Small And Medium Enterprises ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Fiscal Stimulus ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Market Linkage ◽  
The Government ◽  
Medium Enterprises ◽  
High Degree ◽  
The Relationship

The outburst of COVID-19 has not only distressed the economic and social activities of Indian economy but also the world economy as a whole. Out of different economic activities, the micro, small and medium Enterprises (MSMEs) affected a lot. This article attempts to measure the contribution of MSMEs towards Indian economy and also attempts to find out the challenges and problems in pre- and during COVID period. We have used different descriptive statistics to measure the impacts of MSMEs and also use of correlation and co-integration to measure the relationship among the variables such as number of MSMEs, investment amount, employment and output. This pandemic is an exceptional shock for MSMEs. It is evident that there is a high degree of significant positive correlation among the variables. Johansen’s co-integration analysis resulted in the rejection of the null hypothesis signifying the existence of long-run co-integrating relationship. Given the extensive COVID-19 chaos, the government needs to establish an ongoing monitoring system and declare urgent relief steps to improve the MSMEs sector’s confidence. E-market linkage for MSMEs should be promoted, and fiscal stimulus should increase for this sector. The Government of India should take various measures to improve Indian MSMEs and achieve the vision of Self-reliant India.

scholarly journals Agriculture Sector Credit and Output Relationship in Nepal

2020 ◽  
pp. 33-53
Author(s):  
Arjun Kumar Dahal ◽  
Khagendra Kumar Thapa
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Agriculture Sector ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to find out the condition of priority of commercial banks to provide loans to the agricultural sector and to find the relationship and impact of agricultural loans to the agricultural GDP of Nepal. Objectives: This study aims to compare the condition of loan disbursements in agricultural and manufacturing sectors. It further aims to compare loan percent with growth and contribution to the GDP of the agricultural and industrial sectors and tries to show the impact of agricultural loans to the agricultural GDP of Nepal. Methods: It was based on a descriptive and analytical research design. Statistical tools standard deviation, correlation, regression, etc. are used and Excel, and EViews software are used for the statistical calculations. Statistical calculations and graphs are simultaneously used to show and compare the condition of variables. Results: Commercial banks give higher priority to the manufacturing sector for loans than the agricultural sector. The Johansen Co-integration test indicates no long-run relationship between loans of commercial banks and agricultural output in Nepal. However, the least-squares method, it indicates that a positive causal relationship between agricultural loans and agricultural growth. Implications: The loans of commercial banks directly stimulate the growth of agriculture but the amount of growth is less noticeable. Thus, it is concluded that the commercial bank's loan alone cannot affect and control the growth of the agricultural sector of the Nepalese economy therefore the government should increase its expenditure on the agricultural sector.

scholarly journals Impact of Capital Flight on Tax Revenue in Nigeria: A Co-integration Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 141
Author(s):  
Damilola Felix Eluyela ◽  
Inemesit Bassey ◽  
Olufemi Adebayo Oladipo ◽  
Adekunle Emmanuel Adegboyegun ◽  
Abimbola Ademola ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
National Bureau ◽  
Tax System ◽  
Positive Direction ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Inland Revenue ◽  
The Impact

This study presents an empirical analysis of the impact of capital flight on tax revenue in Nigeria. We made use of secondary data collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of various issues, Federal Inland Revenue Services and National Bureau of Statistics. The empirical measurement covers the sample period between 1980 and 2015. An Ordinary Least Square, Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Error Correction Mechanism and Co-integration test was adopted in the study. The results revealed that the Gross Domestic Product has a significant effect in the positive direction, while capital flight and inflation rate have a significant effect in the negative direction. The study recommended that the Federal Inland Revenue System, the department saddled with the responsibility of tax collection, should review the tax system and policies with the aim of plugging loopholes in the existing tax system thereby preventing organizations from evading and avoiding taxes.

Impact of Trade Openness on Nigerian Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation, 1970–2011

2020 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 239-247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerald C. Nwadike ◽  
Ani Kelechi Johnmary ◽  
Chukwuma Samuel Alamba
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Total Import ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Geopolitical territories have often engaged in one form of trade or another with their neighbours. That is because no nation in the world can survive without one form of trade with other sovereign states. This study examines the nature of trade openness and economic growth in Nigeria from 1970–2011. The emphasis of this empirical study is to ascertain the impact of trade openness on Nigeria’s economic growth. Causal comparative or ex-post facto research design was adopted in the study. Econometric time series analyses like ADF unit root test, co-integration test and the ordinary least squared (OLS) were employed in the study. The result obtained was used to test the hypotheses, and it was revealed that (i) Trade Openness has positive significant impact on Nigeria’s economic growth; while (ii) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) responds to the shock of Trade Openness value as a proxy of total import and total export divided by GDP as well as change in Exchange Rate (DEXR) within Nigeria’s economy during the period of study. Thus, the co-integration results indicate that there exists long-run relationship among the variables used; hence; the researchers then recommended that there is urgent need for the government to create enabling environment for good trade policy that would attract both foreign and domestic private sector investment in the country. JEL Codes: F13, B27

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