scholarly journals ANALYSIS RELATES TO THE IMPACT FROM MACROECONOMIC FACTORS TO BANKING STOCK RETURNS WHICH MEDIATED BY PROFITABILITY

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 742-755
Author(s):  
Hedwigis Esti Riwayati ◽  
Muhammad Affid Diena
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Path Analysis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Good Investment ◽  
The Impact

This research aims to analyze the impact which caused by macroeconomic factors to stock returns which mediated by profitability. This research used purposive sampling method with BUKU IV Banks who Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as sample in this research period. The data was taken from the quarterly financial reports of the sample banks and Bank Indonesia. The analysis technique that used in this research are panel data regression and used path analysis to reveal the impact which caused by intervening variable. The results found that interest rates had no significant impact towards stock returns, while the inflation rate and the rupiah exchange rate had a direct significant impact on stock returns. Path analysis found that interest rates, inflation rates and Rupiah exchange rate had no significant affect on stock returns which indirectly mediated by profitability. This research results are very useful as an information for investors and stakeholders to determine good investment decisions in the banking sector.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INFLASI, NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN PERBANKAN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

KINDAI ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 262-275
Author(s):  
Richson Pardamean Silaban
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Company Stock

Abstrak : Kondisi moneter dan pergerakan variabel makro ekonomi merupakan hal yang perlu diperhatikan oleh seorang investor dalam melakukan aktivitas perdagangan saham di suatu negara. Keadaan ekonomi dan pergerakan variabel makro dalam suatu negara dapat mempengaruhi return saham, termasuk dalam sektor perbankan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel makro ekonomi yaitu inflasi, nilai tukar rupiah, dan suku bunga terhadap return saham perusahaan perbankan yang terdaftar di BEI. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh perusahaan perbankan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada periode 2014-2018, sedangkan sampel dalam penelitian ini adalah 29 perusahaan perbankan yang memenuhi kriteria penelitian. Teknik analisis data dalam penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan variabel inflasi, nilai tukar rupiah, dan suku bunga berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap return saham perusahaan perbankan. Secara parsial variabel inflasi, nilai tukar rupiah, dan suku bunga juga berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap return saham perusahaan perbankan. Variabel yang memiliki pengaruh paling dominan adalah nilai tukar rupiah.   Kata kunci: Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Suku Bunga, Return Saham     Abstact : Monetary conditions and movement of macroeconomic variables are things that need to be considered by an investor in carrying out stock trading activities in a country. Economic conditions and movements of macro variables in a country can affect stock returns, including in the banking sector. This study aims to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables, namely inflation, rupiah exchange rate, and interest rates on stock returns of banking companies listed on the IDX. This research uses quantitative methods. The population in this study were all banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2014-2018 period, while the sample in this study was 29 banking companies that met the research criteria. Data analysis techniques in this study used multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously inflation, rupiah exchange rate, and interest rates variables significantly influence the stock returns of banking companies. Partially, inflation, rupiah exchange rate, and interest rates also have a significant effect on banking company stock returns. The variable that has the most dominant influence is the rupiah exchange rate.   Keywords: Inflation, Rupiah Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, Stock Returns  

scholarly journals SENSITIVITAS FAKTOR EKONOMI MAKRO DAN MIKRO DALAM MEMPREDIKSI VOLATILITAS HARGA SAHAM PERUSAHAAN SEKTOR INDUSTRI FOOD & BEVERAGES

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-100
Author(s):  
Abdul Kohar ◽  
Nurmala Ahmar ◽  
Suratno Suratno
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Price Volatility ◽  
The Impact

The movement of macroeconomic factors can be used to predict the movement of the stock price, but different researchers are using different macroeconomic factors because there is still no consensus among them which macroeconomic factors that have an influence on stock prices. This study aimed to analyze and test the impact of macroeconomics factors which consisting of inflation, interest rates, exchange rate, and microeconomy factors, consisting of asset growth, growth earnings and sales growth to the volatility of stock prices on food and beverages companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange between 2011 and 2015 period. The study measure the sensitivity of inflation and interest rates and stock price volatility by regressing each variable with a share price which will produce the sensitivity value of each variable. A total of 66 samples are tested by using the classic assumption as the precondition for regression analysis techniques (multiple regressions). The results showed that inflation is partially affect the stock price volatility, Indonesia Interest Rate (SBI) is partially effect on stock price volatility, and exchange rate and microeconomics are partially no effect on stock price volatility.

scholarly journals PENGARUH KURS, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT DAN SOLVABILITAS TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM INVESTOR PADA PERUSAHAAN PERTAMBANGAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 6262
Author(s):  
Martina Carissa Dewi ◽  
Luh Gede Sri Artini
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Mining Company ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Regression Test

The level of return obtained by investors is influenced by microeconomic and macroeconomic factors. This study aims to obtain empirical evidence regarding the effect of exchange rates, Gross Domestic Product and solvency on stock returns. This research was conducted at the mining company in the coal sub-sector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. All the coal mining sub-sector companies listed on the Stock Exchange for the period 2014-2017 used as the population. The method of determining the sample used is using a saturated sampling technique. Multiple linear regression test used as the data analysis on this research. Based on the results of the analysis of this study it was found that the exchange rate and GDP had a negative and significant effect on stock returns. The solvency proxied by DER has a positive and significant effect on stock returns. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Gross Domestic Product, Solvability and Return.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Inflasi dan Suku Bunga dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah serta Jumlah Uang Beredar terhadap Return Saham

FORUM EKONOMI ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 148
Author(s):  
La Rahmad Hidayat ◽  
Djoko Setyadi ◽  
Musdalifah Azis
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Significant Variable ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Relationship Of

This research is to examine the effect of inflation, interest rate, exchange rate and money supply on stock returns LQ 45 listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The object of this research is the return - shares out of the category LQ 45 years of research by 2010-2015. Its Sampling using purposive sampling and get the 24 stocks that meet the criteria of 45 stocks LQ 45 as a sample. Thus, the number of samples studied was 144 shares for 6 years. The method used is multiple linear regression analyzes that examine whether or not a significant variable - the independent variable on the dependent variable. Based on the results known that R indicates that there is an ideal relationship of Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate and Money Supply toward to Return shares in LQ 45. R square indicates that the variable inflation rates, interest rates, the value of exchange rate and the money supply can explain the variable return shares at LQ 45 index. Based on F test indicates the same that the variable inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate and money supply have a significant influence on shares returns in LQ 45 listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange. The results of T test showed that the rate of inflation significant and negative effect on shares returns and interest rates positive and significant effect on shares returns while exchange Rate and the money supply no significant effect on shares returns in LQ 45 Listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange.Keywords: stock return, Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Money Supply.

Implementasi Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, dan CAR Terhadap Profitabilitas Bank Konvensional

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vyonita Anggraeni Ningrum
Keyword(s):  
Data Collection ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Bank Profitability ◽  
Collection Method ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
Conventional Banks

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates, and CAR on the profitability of conventional banks. This study uses four variables, namely inflation, interest rates, and CAR as the dependent variable, and bank profitability as the independent variable. The population in this study are banking sector companies that have been listed on the IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange) for the period 2015-2019, totaling 43 companies. The data collection method uses purposive sampling using financial reports on conventional banks in Indonesia which are listed on the IDX in the 2015-2019 period. The results show that inflation, interest rates, and CAR simultaneously affect the profitability of conventional banks listed on the IDX for the 2015-2019 period, inflation has no significant effect on ROA, interest rates do not have a significant effect on ROA, and CAR has a significant effect on ROA. Keywords: Inflation; Interest rates; CAR (capital education ratio)

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI, SUKU BUNGA DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PADA PERIODE 2013-2016

2019 ◽  
pp. 101-113
Author(s):  
Hotmauli Sitanggang ◽  
Kornel Munthe
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Testing Hypotheses ◽  
Analysis Technique

This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of inflation, interest rates and exchange rates on stock returns on manufacturing companies that go public on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2013-2014 period. The population in this study were 149 companies that went public on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013-2016. By using the Slovin method, a sample of 60 companies was obtained. This type of data is secondary data obtained by documentation techniques. The data analysis technique used is multiple linear regression by testing hypotheses using F and t. The results showed that partially inflation and interest rates had a negative and insignificant effect on stock returns while the rupiah exchange rate had a positive and significant effect on stock returns. Simultaneously that the variables of inflation, interest rates and exchange rates have a significant effect on stock returns on manufacturing companies that go public on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The amount of variation in inflation, interest rates and exchange rates is only able to explain variations in stock returns by 4.4 percent, while the remaining 95.6 percent is explained by other variables outside of this research variable.

scholarly journals Do Instabilities in National Macroeconomic Factors Contribute to Channeling Volatility Spillover from the Global to the Islamic Equity Market?

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-121
Author(s):  
Harjum Muharam ◽  
Najmudin Najmudin ◽  
Wisnu Mawardi ◽  
Erman Denny Arfinto
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Equity Market ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Volatility Spillover ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Central European ◽  
Production Growth ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of macroeconomic instabilities on returns volatility spillover that is transmitted from the global to the Islamic equity market. The economic factors examined are the exchange rate, inflation rate, interest rate, and production growth. To achieve the purpose of the study, we utilize three analysis tools: a GARCH(p,q) model to derive values of volatility for all variables; an asymmetry dynamic conditional correlation (ADCC) model to produce a measure of volatility spillover as the dependent variable; and a panel data regression technique to assess the causality significance of macroeconomic factors to volatility spillover. This study is the first which expands such approaches. We observe monthly data of world and Islamic market indices, exchange rates, consumer price indices, interest rates, and industrial production indices. The data, which range from May 2002 to February 2019, are taken from the world market, and twenty-three economies, which consist of fourteen developed and nine emerging markets that have Islamic stock indices. In several sections, we provide important additional analysis for five stock markets in Central European economies, which are compared to the others. The finding suggests that the presence of volatility spillover on the Islamic markets that originates from the global market is affected by the internal instabilities of macroeconomic factors, except for industrial production instability for developed markets, including Central European markets. An implication of the study is that regulators should anticipate and prevent adverse consequences of volatility spillover by arranging their internal economic policy to control inflation rates, interest rates, and industrial production growth, as well as exchange rate flexibility. Moreover, market practitioners should include both global market volatility and macroeconomic instabilities in their prediction to create minimum risk.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic sensitivity and firm level volatility: the case of New York Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (02) ◽  
pp. 198-211
Author(s):  
Muhammad Saqib Bashir Butt ◽  
Hasniza Mohd. Taib
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Yield Spread ◽  
New York Stock Exchange ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
York Stock Exchange

Purpose – This paper investigates whether the macroeconomic factors affect the firm stock returns volatility differently depending on their location in different sectors. For this purpose, daily financial time-series data for 683 firms located in nine US sectors for the period of 2000 to 2017 are employed. Research methodology – The GARCH (1,1) model was applied to each firm located in nine US sectors. The four macroeconomic factors, namely, exchange rate, treasury yield spread, oil prices, and market return, are included in both mean and variance equations of GARCH (1,1) model to estimate the effect. Research limitations – This research study is limited to the New York Stock Exchange; therefore, it can be extended to the other economies as well. Further, this study uses one firm feature that is the sectoral location of the firm; it is recommended that some other firm features should be studied to explore the volatility behaviour of firms. In the methodological part, this study does not include the lag effect, since it is recognised in the literature that the investors underreact to public information, so future research can be extended to test the underreaction hypothesis. Practical implications – This study has implications for the investors and policymakers. Since it has emerged from the findings that some sectors are more sensitive than others to macroeconomic changes, so this knowledge will help the investors to diversify their portfolio and policymakers to maintain macroeconomic discipline. Originality/Value – The main contribution of this study is that it undertakes the assumption of heterogeneous nature of firms and conducts a detailed firm level analysis by sector covering a more extended period of time to investigate the impact of four macroeconomic factors, namely, exchange rate, treasury yield spread, oil prices, and market return on firm stock returns, volatility using daily data. Further, this study contributes by including all the macroeconomic factors together as an exogenous variable in mean and conditional variance equations of the GARCH (1,1) model to investigate the effect simultaneously.

scholarly journals The Impact of Fair Value Accounting on Information Asymmetry: Evidence from Jordanian Banking Sector

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Mohammad Abdullah Fayad Altawalbeh
Keyword(s):  
Information Asymmetry ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Fair Value ◽  
Fair Value Accounting ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Bid Ask Spread ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
The Impact

This study aims at examining the impact of Fair value accounting measured by other comprehensive income on information asymmetry measured by the bid-ask spread in the Jordanian banking sector between 2010 and 2017. The study sample consisted of the thirteen commercial banks listed in Amman Stock Exchange, and panel data analyses were employed to test the study hypothesis, data for the study was gathered through the annual financial reports disclosed on Amman Stock Exchange. The findings revealed that fair value has a negative and significant impact on information asymmetry in the Jordanian commercial banks, indicating that fair value accounting supplies stakeholders with accurate and appropriate data and reflects the informational value of fair value numbers to investors.

Macroeconomic factors and stock returns: Evidence from the emerging market of Asia

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 16-20
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asad Saleem Malik ◽  
Saher Touqeer ◽  
Shumaila Zeb
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns of Pakistan, India and Sri Lanka for the period of 1997-2014. GMM approach is used to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns. Variables of the study were T-Bills, Exchange Rate, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Industrial Production Index (IPI). The results of study show that T-bills rate has significant negative impact while Exchange rate has a significant positive impact on the Stock Returns of the study period.

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