scholarly journals Integration of Indonesian Coffee Markets with World Coffee Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Haposan Orlando Napitupulu ◽  
Ana Arifatus Sa'diyah ◽  
Farah Mutiara
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Dynamic Equilibrium ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Robusta Coffee ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
Coffee Markets

This study aims to analyze the integration of the Arabica and Robusta coffee markets in Indonesia with world coffee prices. The study uses secondary data in the form of annual time series data during the period 1985 - 2015. The study uses the VECM analysis method. This method explains the relationship of long-term dynamic equilibrium and short-term equilibrium in a system of equations. The analysis shows that Indonesian and world Arabica coffee is not integrated in the long term or the short term. In Robusta coffee VECM estimation analysis shows that there is a significant value at the 10% level in a long-term relationship with a value of 0.08579, which means that there is a short-term relationship between world Robusta coffee prices and domestic Robusta coffee prices in the previous year, but no relationship in the long run.

scholarly journals Integration of Indonesian coffee markets and world coffee markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Haposan Orlando Napitupulu ◽  
Ana Arifatus Sa’diyah ◽  
Farah Mutiara
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Robusta Coffee ◽  
A Value ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Annual Time Series ◽  
Coffee Markets

This study aims to analyze the integration of the Arabica and Robusta coffee markets in Indonesia and world coffee prices. The study uses secondary data in the form of annual time series data from 1985-2015. The study uses the VECM analysis method. This method explains the relationship between long-term dynamic and short-term equilibrium in a system of equations. The analysis shows that Indonesian and world Arabica coffee did not integrate into the long term or the short term. In Robusta coffee, VECM estimation shows that there is the significant at the 10% level in a long-term relationship with a value of 0.086. It means that there is a short-term relationship between world Robusta coffee prices and domestic Robusta coffee prices in the previous year, but no relationship in the long run.

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF INTERNATIONAL INDEX ON INDONESIAN SHARIA STOCK INDEX

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 60
Author(s):  
Shofal Iman ◽  
Imron Mawardi ◽  
Md Atiqur Rahman Sarker
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Global Stock

This study aims to determine the influence of long-term and short-term global stock index on the Indonesian Islamic stock index. The approach used is a quantitative approach and uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. ECM is an analytical model that can be used in time series data to estimate the effect of independent variables on long-term and short-term use variables. The sample used was taken from secondary data, namely global stock index data consisting of the DJIA, N225 and HSI indices, and the Indonesian sharia stock index in the form of the ISSI index in the period of January 2013 to December 2017, so that 60 samples were obtained. The test results show that in the long run, the DJIA and HSI indices have a significant positive effect on the ISSI index, while the N225 index has a significant negative effect on the ISSI index. In the short term, only the DJIA index has a significant positive effect on the ISSI index.

scholarly journals Analisis Peningkatan Upah Minimum Terhadap Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja di Provinsi Jawa Tengah

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 134-143
Author(s):  
Annisa Yulianti ◽  
Hadi Sasana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Minimum Wage ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Meaningful Relationship ◽  
Short Time ◽  
Relationship Of

 This study aims to analyze the short-term and long-term relationship of increasing the minimum wage in Central Java on employment. The research method used is ECM. The variables of this study include labor, minimum wages, PMDN, and economic growth. The data used are time-series data from 1990-2020. The results show that the minimum wage has a positive and significant relationship to the employment in the long term but not significantly in the short time. PMDN has a negative but significant correlation in the short and long term. At the same time, the variable economic growth has a positive but not meaningful relationship to employment absorption in the long and short term.

scholarly journals Investment, Poverty and Growth Nexus in Pakistan: Empirical Evidence from ARDL Modeling Approach to Co-Integration

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Hina Ali ◽  
Imran Sharif
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Driving Forces ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Modeling Approach ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Adf Test

This study analyzes the nexus of investment, poverty and growth in Pakistan. It will develop comprehensive macro economic model of Pakistan economy with the desire of amplification and provided that a long-term result for the determined investment-poverty-growth discrepancy veterans. The significant level of investment and sustained economic growth may be the major driving forces for poverty decrease in Pakistan. The level of investment also assists the poor through a direct allocation influence as well as tortuous growth effect, in both the long run and short run. To detect the long term and short term effects of economic development, poverty and investment, an ARDL modeling approach to co- integration is functional, which is the suitable technique  in excess of method of integration after examining the stationary level of the data through ADF Test. The bound testing approach is exploited for cointegration to analyze the presence of long term association amid variables and ECM models are verbalized for short term analysis. The model is predictable with time-series data from 1972 to 2013 confine mutually the long-run and short-run forceful goods of the economy. The model is subjected to a sequence of strategy situation  that assesses a mixture of options for government to recover the prolific ability of the economy, thus attain continued hasten growth and a decrease in  Pakistan`s poverty. JEL Classification Codes: G12, G 14

scholarly journals The Effect Of Inflation, Problem Finance, And Financing To Deposit Ratio (FDR) On Sharia Banking Deposits

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 125
Author(s):  
Nur Syamsiyah ◽  
Misfi Laili Rohmi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run

Islamic banks collect funds from the public and then send them for financing as an intermediary institution. In practice, the distribution of financing, which is the main characteristic of Islamic banks, is not as easy as the existing theory. This study will discuss the short-term and long-term effects of inflation, financing, and financing problems on deposit ratios in Indonesia's Islamic banking deposits. This study uses an Error Correction Model with monthly time series data starting from 2019-2020. The results show that all variables significantly affect deposits in Islamic banking in Indonesia in the long run. Meanwhile, in the short term, the inflation and financing variables significantly affect Islamic banking deposits in Indonesia, and the Financing to Deposit Ratio has no significant effect.

scholarly journals ALAT PEMBAYARAN MENGGUNAKAN KARTU DAN PERMINTAAN UANG KARTAL DI INDONESIA

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Tiara Nirmala
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Payment Card ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Currency Demand

This study aimed to analyze the effect to using a payment card on the demand for money, especially in Indonesian currency in the long and short term. The data used in this study is a secondary data in the form of time series data months of the year 2008:1 until 2010:12. The variables used are real currency demand as the dependent variable, while the real GDP, interest rate, interest parity condition, and payment transactions using cards as independent variables. The method of analysis used in this study is the Engle-Granger Cointegration Test and Error Correction Model (ECM).  The results of the assessment for Indonesia in the short term and long term, means of payment using the card have a positive influence on the demand for currency. Thus the increase in payment card has not been able to reduce the demand for currency.

PENGARUH KONSUMSI ENERGI DAN PENGELUARAN PERTAHANAN TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 393
Author(s):  
Roza Revika ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Defense Spending ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Defense Expenditure ◽  
Long Run

This study aims to analyze the effect of energy consumption and defense expenditure on economic growth partially in theshort and long term in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data with descriptive analysis using Time Series data from 1988 to 2017. The analytical method used is Auto Regression Distributed Lag (ARDL). The results of this study indicate that energy consumption in the long run has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. Energy consumption in the short term has a negative and not significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. Defense spending has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia in the long term and in the short term. It can be concluded that in the long run energy consumption and defense expenditure significantly influence economic growth in Indonesia.

Does Public Debt Service Expenditure Crowd-Out Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from an African Developing Country

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 23-38
Author(s):  
Talknice Saungweme ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper contributes to the ongoing debate on the impact of public debt service on economic growth; and it provides an evidence-based approach to public policy formulation in Zimbabwe. The empirical analysis was performed by applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique to annual time-series data from 1970 to 2017. The study findings reveal that the impact of public debt service on economic growth in Zimbabwe is negative in the short run but positive in the long run. The results are suggestive of the existence of a crowding-out effect of public debt service in Zimbabwe in the short run and a crowding-in effect in the long run. In view of these findings, the government should consider fiscal and financial policies that promote a constant supply of long-term finance, long-term fixed investments, and extension of a government securities maturity structure so as to ensure sustainable short- and long-term public debt service expenditures. The study further recommends the strengthening of non-distortionary revenue mobilisation reforms to reduce market distortions and boost domestic investment.

scholarly journals THE TESTING OF MONEY NEUTRALITY IN ECONOMIC GROWTH OF INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Muammil Sun’an ◽  
Amran Husen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Broad Sense ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model

<p>This study aim is to test the money neutrality in a narrow sense (M1) and a broad sense (M2) to the growth of output (GDP) in Indonesia, both in short term and long term. This research uses quarterly time series data at 2010 - 2016 periods. The analysis tool used is Error Correction Model (ECM). The results show that short-term money supply (M1 and M2) affect on output growth. However, in the long term, only money circulation in a broad sense (M2) affects on output growth, which also means that money is not neutral because it affects the real sector (GDP).</p><p> <strong>Keywords:</strong> M1, M2, Population, Capital, and Economic Growth.</p>

scholarly journals PENGARUH ZIS (ZAKAT, INFAK, SEDEKAH) DAN ZAKAT FITRAH TERHADAP PENURUNAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1998 - 2010

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Jumadin Lapopo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Independent Variables

<p>Poverty is being a problem in all developing countries including Indonesia. Among goverment programs, poverty has become the center offattention in policy at both of the regional and national levels. Looking at thephenomenon of poverty, Islam present with solution to reduce poverty through Zakat. This study aims to analyze the effect of ZIS and Zakat Fitrah against poverty in Indonesia in 1998 until 2010, data used in this study is secondary data and uses time series data, for the dependent variabel is poverty and for independent variables are ZIS and Zakat Fitrah. The analysis tools used in this study is to use multiple regression analysis model and the assumptions of classical test using the software Eviews-4. In this study also concluded that the ZIS variables significantly affect to the reduction of poverty in Indonesia although the effect is very small. In the variable Zakat Fitrah not significantly affect poverty reduction in Indonesia because of the nature of Zakat Fitrah is for consumption and not for long-term needs. The results of this study can be used for the management of zakat to be able to develop the management and to get a better system for distribution of zakat so that the main purpose of zakat can be achieved to reduce poverty.<br />Keywords : Poverty, Zakat Fitrah, ZIS.</p>

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