scholarly journals IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC FACTORS IN NONPERFORMING LOANS IN KOSOVO

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-131
Author(s):  
Donjeta Morina
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Influential Factors ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Impact

An efficient and developed banking system is essential for the growth of any economy and the purpose of any banking system is to operate profitably in order to maintain sustainability and financial stability. Banks carry out many activities to make a profit, and the main activity of each bank is lending, thus enabling consumption and investment in the economy. Despite the importance of this activity in terms of income for banks, the lending process is not as easy as one might imagine. During this activity, banks faced delays from borrowers, which resulted in non-performing loans, as an obstacle to the efficiency of banking activities. The level of these loans varies from country to country and is nowadays considered as an integral part of the commercial banking of each country. There are many factors that directly or indirectly affect the level of these loans and the key influential factors are considered the macroeconomic factors. They are considered to be the main cause of the increase in non-performing loans as they generally affect all sectors of the economy. As a result of the negative reversal of these factors, borrowers will encounter liquidity shortages, which in turn will increase the likelihood of delays in fulfilling liabilities to the bank, in this case directly affecting the level of nonperforming loans. The key macroeconomic factors examined in the literature are Economic Growth, Unemployment, Inflation, Credit Interest Rates and Exchange Rates.The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic factors such as GDP Growth, Inflation, Interest Rates on credits and Unemployment on the level of non-performing loans in Kosovo by looking at macroeconomic indicators over the period 2010 - 2018. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic factors such as GDP Growth, Inflation, Interest Rates on the credits and Unemployment on the level of non-performing loans in Kosovo by looking at macroeconomic indicators over the period 2010 - 2018. A multiple regression model was applied to see the effect of these factors on the level of non-performing loans in Kosovo over the years taken in the study. To realize the purpose of the study through this model are defined macroeconomic factors as independent variables as necessary for analysis and is seeing their impact in non-performing loans defined in study as the dependent variable. The results show that interest rates are considered as the main macroeconomic factor affecting the level of nonperforming loans in Kosovo and is the main factor positively related to this type of loans. In recent years, the decline of interest rates in the banking sector has had a positive impact on the decline of non-performing loans, which has increased the financial stability within this sector.

scholarly journals Investigating the Determinants of Nonperforming Loans in the Romanian Banking System: An Empirical Study with Reference to the Greek Crisis

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sofoklis D. Vogiazas ◽  
Eftychia Nikolaidou
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Greek Crisis ◽  
Time Series Modelling ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis ◽  
Greek Banks ◽  
The Impact

This paper aims to investigate the determinants of nonperforming loans in the Romanian banking sector by means of time series modelling. It is motivated by the hypothesis that macroeconomic-cyclical indicators, monetary aggregates, interest rates, financial markets, and bank-specific variables influence the nonperforming loans in the Romanian banking system. Using monthly series that span from December 2001 to November 2010, we cover both the booming period and the recent financial crisis. Given the significant presence of the Greek banks in Romania, the novelty of the paper lies in the introduction of variables that proxy the Greek crisis. Thus, we examine the existence of a potential transmission channel to the Romanian banking system by investigating the impact of the Greek crisis to the Romanian nonperforming loans. Our findings indicate that macroeconomic variables, specifically the construction and investment expenditure, the inflation and the unemployment rate, and the country's external debt to GDP and M2 jointly with Greek crisis-specific variables influence the credit risk of the Romanian banking system. The results have several implications for policymakers, regulators, and managers as the most recent published stress tests on the Romanian banking system are based on end 2008 data.

scholarly journals EVALUATION OF FUNCTIONAL PERFORMANCE OF THE BANKING SYSTEM OF UKRAINE IN CONDITIONS FINANCIAL INSTABILITY

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nataliia Danik ◽  
Kateryna Novak ◽  
Anastasiia Yakovenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Synergistic Effects ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Scientific Article ◽  
Financial Instability ◽  
Industrial Complex ◽  
The Impact

The article covers the problems of the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine during 2018-2021, as one of the main sectors of the financial market and the national economy as a whole. When analyzing the state of the banking sector, regularities and general trends in the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine have been established, and appropriate calculations have been made. The impact of global financial crises on the activities of banking structures, which must operate in conditions of constant financial instability, is described. Today, the whole world, including Ukraine, is on the verge of a global financial and economic crisis. This raises the question of whether Ukrainian banks have the necessary margin of resilience to vulnerabilities to the financial and economic crisis. In recent years, the functioning and development of the banking system has been characterized by increased financial stability, the level of bank capitalization, liquidity, some improvement in asset quality, reducing risks in banking, as well as the presence of positive structural changes. Today, Ukraine's banking system operates in a complex socio-economic and legal environment, most of which - macroeconomic instability, irrational structure of the industrial complex, the crisis of science and technology, imperfect fiscal and monetary policy, low level of effective demand - complicate sustainable development banking sector and increase competitiveness. In conditions of instability, intensification of turbulent processes, the development of the banking system requires new innovative approaches to determining the mechanisms of effective functioning and stable development based on a system-synergetic approach, which led to the choice and relevance of the chosen topic of this scientific article. Efficiency of banks is a multicomponent, multifaceted, multidimensional system characteristic that depends on many factors and is an effective indicator of performance of functions and achievement of goals and objectives of banks development provided financial stability based on financial stability and dynamic balance, achievement of multiplicative and synergistic effects.

scholarly journals The Bahamas

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (199) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Banking Supervision ◽  
Property Market ◽  
The Bahamas ◽  
Poor Growth ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Consumer Loans ◽  
Risk Monitoring

The Bahamas appears to be resilient to current threats to its financial stability, but action is needed to safeguard against potential weaknesses. There is a large stock of problem assets that needs to be dealt with from a variety of perspectives: systemic risk monitoring, banking supervision, and crisis management. Vulnerabilities to natural disasters and external economic contagion heighten this need. The banking sector dominates the financial system and has focused on residential mortgages and consumer loans during a long period of economic stagnation. Despite poor growth the sector has remained profitable. However, the small domestic residential property market backing most secured lending is prone to shocks and illiquidity. This has historically led to high and persistent levels of nonperforming loans (NPLs), which significantly increase uncertainty and fragility in the banking system.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Cost Efficiency in the Banking Sector of Kyrgyzstan

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dastan Aseinov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Cost Efficiency ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Foreign Banks ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Domestic Banks ◽  
The Impact

Instabilities in the banking sector have had an adverse effect on the economy as a whole, since the largest share in the financial system and financial intermediation in Kyrgyzstan have been captured by banking sector. Economic efficiency in banking can be viewed as a source of financial stability of banking system. Economic efficiency of the banking is more important challenge not only for shareholders and managers of banks, and also for regulation and supervision authorities, and public and potential investors. The aim of this study is to examine factors affecting the banking cost efficiency for Kyrgyz banks. It is also important to choose the appropriate approach in measurement of banking cost efficiency, since there are many different methods. In this study preferred stochastic frontier approach which assumes random error term which captures sampling, measurement and specification errors. We adopted stochastic cost frontier model proposed by Battese ve Coelli (1995) which also allow to examine investigate the impact of variables on efficiency. We used unbalanced panel data set captured 17-23 Kyrgyz commercial banks for period of 2000-2013. Obtained results suggest that capitalization, foreign ownership, credit risk, liquidity risk and currency risk have most influence on cost efficiency scores of banks calculated averagely at level of 0,766. Overall results indicate that domestic banks more cost efficient than domestic private and foreign banks. Average cost efficiency scores of domestic banks, foreign and separately public banks are 0,848; 0,649 and 0,875, respectively.

scholarly journals Financial stability instruments for the banking systems of Ukraine

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Classification Criterion ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Organizational Influences ◽  
Policy Goals ◽  
Credit Cycle ◽  
The Impact

The article focuses on the issues of systematization, analysis and development of the classification of instruments for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system, which is a determining factor in the formation of the necessary influences to ensure the financial stability of the banking system. For the selection and application of the toolkit that most precisely meets the goals, current conditions and priorities of ensuring the financial stability of the banking system, its classification was supplemented by the introduction of new classification features. In particular, in order to take into account the importance of maintaining the continuous circulation of financial flows in the banking system, their consistency and synchrony, we developed a classification criterion ‘for influencing the inflow and outflow of financial flows’, which makes it possible to use the appropriate instrument to complete such specific tasks as ensuring continuity, streamlining the cost of resources, smoothing the impact on interest rates of liquidity changes. Based on the presence of different levels of regulatory influences on ensuring the financial stability of the banking system – strategic and operational – the classification criteria ‘to influence the achievement of monetary policy operational goals’ and ‘to influence the achievement of strategic monetary policy goals’ were introduced. The classification criterion ‘impact on systemic/state-owned banks’ is justified by the significance of systemically important banks for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system, since a significant concentration of assets and capital in such banks requires the use of special tools aimed at preventing systemic risks. Taking into account the need for balancing the flows of credits provided by the banking system, the impact of risks on banking activities, the classification features of instruments for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system ‘by impact on the credit cycle’, ‘by key risks’, ‘by organizational elements’ were proposed. Allocation of the classification features of the instruments for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system will contribute to the achievement of targeting of regulatory and organizational influences and compliance with the criteria of rationality and adequacy when choosing specific instruments. This will create the basis for the selection and application of such a combination of instruments that most closely meets the goals, current conditions and priorities for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system.

scholarly journals MODEL OF ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF MAIN CHALLENGES OF MODERNITY ON EMPLOYMENT IN BANKING SECTOR ACCORDING TO STRESS TESTING METHODOLOGY

2021 ◽  
pp. 214-227
Author(s):  
O.O. Domuz ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stress Testing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Extreme Values ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Criteria And Indicators ◽  
Banking Institutions ◽  
System 2 ◽  
The Impact

According to results of the study, globalization factors that require specific approaches to analysis in the context of changes and transformations that occur in socio-economic sphere of banking system; A model of stress testing to assess the impact of global factors on changes in the level and structure of employment of employees of banking institutions, based on the use of tools to find extreme values ​​at the level of individual banking institutions and the banking system as a whole are showen; In order to test the model, the stages of its application are formed: 1. selection of criteria for stress testing of changes in the bank's employment system; 2. the choice of indicators that characterize changes in the level and structure of employment of a bank; 3. conducting stress testing of criteria and indicators based on the use of tools for detecting extreme quantities; 4. construction of a stress test map by periods; 5. comparison of stress test maps of impact criteria and indicators, analysis of common sensitivity points in order to identify the causes and degree of influence of global factors; Within the framework of the model, special attention is paid to analytical methods to determine the impact and sensitivity of the employment response to trends and changes in the macro- and microeconomic environment; Using the method of determining extreme values, the existence of a relationship between the criteria that characterize the financial and economic performance of national banks and the degree of transformational changes in bank employment; As a result of the construction of stress test maps, it was determined that the criteria of financial and economic activity of banks and employment indicators in banking sector are highly sensitive to crises in respective periods, but respond differently to macroeconomic factors of different periods; The proposals on the expediency and necessity of using the model of stress testing in national banking system are formed.

FINANCIAL LITERACY AND FINANCIAL INCLUSION EFFECTS ON STABILITY AND COMPETITIVENESS INDICATORS IN THE BANKING SECTOR: CROSS COUNTRY EVIDENCE FOR AFRICA AND THE WORLD

2021 ◽  
pp. 2150009
Author(s):  
JOÃO JUNGO ◽  
MARA MADALENO ◽  
ANABELA BOTELHO
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Financial Education ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

Financial inclusion has allowed financial products with very high-interest rates and complex conditions to become increasingly affordable. Financial inclusion programs, which aim to reach all social strata, strongly expose financial institutions to risk and particularly credit risk. That said, additional interventions such as financial education of those included are needed. We aim to examine the impact of financial literacy and financial inclusion of households on bank performance. Specifically, we want to examine the impact of financial literacy on credit risk, competitiveness among banks and financial stability. The FGLS estimation results suggest that financial literacy and financial inclusion reduce credit risk and enhance the stability of banks, and regarding competitiveness, our results were inconclusive as they show different effects for each competitiveness indicator, although they point to improved competitiveness in some cases. This research allows policymakers to understand that individual financial attitudes can be reflected in the general welfare of financial institutions and encourages the intensification of programs aimed at improving household financial literacy.

Nonperforming loans and bank profitability: evidence from an emerging market

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 462-481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Laryea ◽  
Matthew Ntow-Gyamfi ◽  
Angela Azumah Alu
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Bank Profitability ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Panel Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants of nonperforming loans (NPLs) as well as the impact of NPLs on bank profitability. Design/methodology/approach Using a sample of 22 Ghanaian banks over the period 2005-2010, the study employs a fixed effect panel model in estimating three different empirical models. Findings The study finds new evidence of bank-specific factors as well as macroeconomic factors determining NPLs. Inflation and industry concentration are not significant in determining NPLs, although both are positively related to NPLs. Practical implications The findings of this study have important implications for policy makers and bank managers. Originality/value The paper offers significant value in shaping and improving the banking sector of emerging markets.

scholarly journals CREDIT AND INVESTMENT ACTIVITY IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 51-59
Author(s):  
P. P. Pastushenko ◽  
V. M. Vasylkovskyi
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Lending Activity ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Investment Process ◽  
The Impact

The article is devoted to the practical analysis of credit and investment activity in the conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic. A vision of the factors influencing the COVID- 19 pandemic on the global economy has been formed. The dynamics of issued loans is analyzed and the scale of lending activity is calculated. It is noted that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on lending occurs in the presence of the following risks: declining incomes of potential borrowers limit their ability to service loans, and there is uncertainty about the recovery of income of citizens and businesses in the near future; deteriorating creditworthiness of borrowers and increasing credit risk lead to higher interest rates on loans, which limits the demand for them; banks are tightening lending standards, including lowering limits on credit products; restriction of borrowers' mobility, which has become an obstacle to obtaining a loan and is absolutely critical for those of them who do not use remote banking; lack of capital in banks to increase lending. Areas of participation of banks in the investment process are highlighted: mobilization of funds by banks for investment purposes; providing loans of investment nature; investing in securities (both at the expense of the bank and on behalf of the client). The comparison of credit and investment activity is carried out. It is proved that the period of the COVID-19 pandemic did not significantly affect the credit and investment activities of the banking system of Ukraine. It is determined that the economic consequences of the pandemic and the slowdown in economic growth may further affect the banking sector of Ukraine, and this will require unprecedented action at both the individual and national levels. Further research involves identifying different scenarios.

scholarly journals ANALYSIS RELATES TO THE IMPACT FROM MACROECONOMIC FACTORS TO BANKING STOCK RETURNS WHICH MEDIATED BY PROFITABILITY

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 742-755
Author(s):  
Hedwigis Esti Riwayati ◽  
Muhammad Affid Diena
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Path Analysis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Good Investment ◽  
The Impact

This research aims to analyze the impact which caused by macroeconomic factors to stock returns which mediated by profitability. This research used purposive sampling method with BUKU IV Banks who Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as sample in this research period. The data was taken from the quarterly financial reports of the sample banks and Bank Indonesia. The analysis technique that used in this research are panel data regression and used path analysis to reveal the impact which caused by intervening variable. The results found that interest rates had no significant impact towards stock returns, while the inflation rate and the rupiah exchange rate had a direct significant impact on stock returns. Path analysis found that interest rates, inflation rates and Rupiah exchange rate had no significant affect on stock returns which indirectly mediated by profitability. This research results are very useful as an information for investors and stakeholders to determine good investment decisions in the banking sector.

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