scholarly journals Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices in Turkey

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evrim Tören ◽  
Mehmet Balcılar
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Important Relationship ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Asset markets and the asset prices affect financial institutions, consumers, producers and policy makers while they are making decisions. There is an important relationship not only between the financial market and banking system but also between the housing market and the credit market. Therefore, the study analyzes the impact of fiscal policy on asset prices by using beyasian vector autoregressive models. The sample data has been gathered from the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. The aim is to demonstrate the effects of fiscal policy shocks on stock prices and housing prices. The data covers the period between 1988:Q1 and 2014:Q2. Overall, the results confirm that the spending shocks coming from fiscal policy have a greater influence on the stock prices. In addition, the government revenue shocks are more influential on the house prices compared to the stock prices in Turkey.

scholarly journals A time-varying approach to analysing fiscal policy and asset prices in South Africa

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Charl Jooste ◽  
Kanyane Matlou
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Marked Change ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Time Varying Parameter ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – This paper aims to study the interplay of fiscal policy and asset prices in a time-varying fashion. Design/methodology/approach – Using South African data since 1966, the authors are able to study the dynamic shocks of both fiscal policy and asset prices on asset prices and fiscal policy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model. This enables the authors to isolate specific periods in time to understand the size and sign of the shocks. Findings – The results seem to suggest that at least two regimes exist in which expansionary fiscal policy affected asset prices. From the 1970s until 1990, fiscal expansions were associated with declining house and slightly increased stock prices. The majority of the first decade of 2000 had asset prices increasing when fiscal policy expanded. On the other hand, increasing asset prices reduced deficits for the majority of the sample period, while the recent financial crises had a marked change on the way asset prices affect fiscal policy. Originality/value – This is the first attempt in the literature of fiscal policy and asset prices to use a TVP-VAR model to not only analyse the impact of fiscal policy on asset prices, but also the feedback from asset prices to fiscal policy over time.

scholarly journals Impact of Public Policy Shocks on Components of Aggregate Demand in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
pp. 95-111
Author(s):  
Saima Shafique ◽  
Muhammad Mansoor Ali ◽  
Saif Mujahid Shah
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Tax Rates ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Government ◽  
Tax Changes ◽  
The Impact

Fiscal policy has strong distributional effects as the alteration in tax rates and spending decisions cause different sectors of the economy to respond differently. Correct information about this reaction and understanding transmission mechanism is essential to create policies that can have development and growth effects. The study analyzed the impact of fiscal policy on disaggregated data of Pakistan in a SVAR setting. The analysis reveals an uneven distribution of fiscal policy shocks across different sectors of Pakistan with varying degrees of responsiveness. There is heterogeneity in the response of different sectors as well as components of aggregate demand in Pakistan to fiscal policy shocks as revealed in impulse response functions. It is results reveal that tax revenue shock generated a higher response in different sectors than the government expenditure shock conforming to the theoretical expectation that tax changes impact the agents faster than the expenditure decisions. This regressive behavior in Pakistan seems mostly due to higher spending on debt servicing and maintaining a large public sector with huge spending on pensions and social security networks.

Policy Shocks in a Monetary Asset-Pricing Model with Endogenous Production / Politikeffekte in einem monetären Asset-Pricing-Modell mit Produktion

1999 ◽  
Vol 218 (1-2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulrich K. Schittko ◽  
Markus Müller
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Exchange Process ◽  
Monetary Shocks ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Asset Pricing Model ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Price Functions ◽  
The Impact

SummaryIn a framework of a monetary asset pricing model with production the effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks are investigated. The model is kept simple enough to generate explicit formulae for the equilibrium price functions. With money yielding liquidity services in the exchange process real stock prices are negatively correlated with stochastic fiscal policy changes, while the impact of structural fiscal policy on the stock market depends on the level of private consumption in the economy. Moreover, shares provide protection against inflation from monetary shocks, and a suitably chosen structural fiscal policy can be used to achieve a stabilization of the real rates of return of both assets.

scholarly journals Asset Prices, Real Exchange Rate and Current Account Fluctuations: Some Structural VAR Evidence for Thailand

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 163
Author(s):  
Komain Jiranyakul
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

This paper is motivated by the controversial issue in the literature pertaining to the impact of real exchange rate, housing prices and stock prices on current account fluctuations. Thailand’s quarterly data are used to examine the impacts of shocks to asset prices and real exchange rate on the current imbalances. The paper employs a structural VAR methodology with short-run restrictions. The estimates of structural VAR models are able to identify interactions among asset prices, real exchange rate, and the current account. The estimated results from two different structural models show that the responses of current account to shocks are different. It can be concluded that shocks to real exchange rate affect current account and that shocks to real housing prices can better explain current account fluctuations than shocks to real stock prices. Based upon the results from this study, policymakers should take into account the importance of shocks to real exchange rate and real housing prices that can affect the current account of the country. 

Housing Prices and Government Approval: The Impact of Housing Booms on Left- and Right-Wing Governments in 16 Advanced Industrialized Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 163-185
Author(s):  
Sung Min Han ◽  
Mi Jeong Shin
Keyword(s):  
Housing Prices ◽  
Right Wing ◽  
Industrialized Countries ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
Approval Ratings ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Left And Right ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

AbstractIn this article, we argue that rising housing prices increase voter approval of incumbent governments because such a rise increases personal wealth, which leads to greater voter satisfaction. This effect is strongest under right-wing governments because those who benefit from rising prices—homeowners—are more likely to be right-leaning. Non-homeowners, who are more likely to vote for left-leaning parties, will view rising housing prices as a disadvantage and therefore feel the government does not serve them well, which will mitigate the advantage to left-wing governments. We find support for our arguments using both macro-level data (housing prices and government approval ratings in 16 industrialized countries between 1960 and 2017) and micro-level data (housing prices and individuals’ vote choices in the United Kingdom using the British Household Panel Survey). The findings imply that housing booms benefit incumbent governments generally and right-wing ones in particular.

scholarly journals Spillover Effect of Global Financial Cycle To Asset Markets in Asean-5 Countries: A Structural VAR Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Sri Andaiyani ◽  
Telisa Aulia Falianty
Keyword(s):  
Risk Aversion ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Equity Prices ◽  
Financial Cycle ◽  
Property Prices ◽  
The Impact

<p><em>An upsurge and volatility of capital flows to Emerging Asian Economies indicated that there is the potential effect of global financial cycle to emerging market. It provides an overview of investor risk aversion in short term investment after financial crisis 2008. Global financial cycle could have a significant impact to asset prices, including equity prices and property prices. Rey (2015) has triggered an interesting discussion about global financial cycle. She found that there was a global financial cycle in capital flows, asset prices and credit growth. This cycle was co</em><em>‐</em><em>moves with the VIX, a measure of uncertainty and risk aversion of the markets. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze empirically global financial cycle shocks, measured by the VIX, on equity prices and property prices in ASEAN-5, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines. We estimate quarterly frequency data from Q1 1990 to Q2 2016 with Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach. The result of this study showed that global financial cycle has a negative significant impact on the ASEAN-5 asset markets, in spite of the response of shock differs by country and size. This result is consistent with ASEAN-5 as small open economies that remain vulnerable to the global factor. This study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, we identify not only cyclical expansions or contraction in asset markets but also the impact of global financial cycle to asset markets in ASEAN-5 countries. Second, we investigate whether there are heterogeneous responses of ASEAN-5 countries to global financial cycle shocks. Third, we also identify the pattern of cycle in ASEAN-5 countries</em>.</p><p><strong><em>J</em></strong><strong><em>EL Classification: </em></strong>F30, F37, F42</p><strong><em>Keywords: </em></strong><em>ASEAN, Asset Markets, Global Financial Cycle, SVAR</em>

Empirical Study on Adoption of Islamic Banking System Using Quantitative Method:A Case Study of Afghanistan

10.26414/a169 ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khatera Naseri ◽  
Ashurov Sharofiddin
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Of Innovation ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Relative Advantage ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Product Knowledge ◽  
Diffusion Of Innovation Theory ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Although the background of the banking system goes back as far as 1933, Islamic finance isstill new in Afghanistan. The history of the firstfull-fledged Islamic bank began asrecently as 2018 with the conversion ofBakhtarBank, a conventional bank, to the IslamicBank of Afghanistan (IBA). There have been numerousstudies done worldwide, but no empiricalstudy has examined the subject of Islamic banking adoption in the specific context of Afghanistan. Therefore, this presentstudy investigatesthe adoption ofIslamic banking in Afghanistan, using a case study of Herat province, based on Rogers’ (1983) Diffusion of Innovation Theory, to determine the impact of awareness,productknowledge,religiosity,relativeadvantage,compatibility, and complexity on the adoption of Islamic banking. A quantitative approach to the stratified convenience sampling method was used in this study. Questionnaires were distributed to 334 bank customers and the responses analyzed using SPSS v22. The multiple regression analysis finding indicated that product knowledge, relative advantage, and religiosity significantly and positively influenced the adoption of Islamic banking. It is suggested that the government and financial institutions should support Islamic banking with beneficial policies and initiatives to enhance the knowledge of the public about the significance of Islamic banking activities.

Restructuring Measurements Impact on Bank Risk After the Global Financial Crisis — Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

2021 ◽  
pp. 2150019
Author(s):  
Tu T. T. Tran ◽  
Yen Thi Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
The State ◽  
Bank Risk ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bank System ◽  
The Impact

Project 254 signed in November 2011 which is relating to “Restructuring the system of credit institutions in the period of 2011–2015” has been considered as a milestone in marking the Vietnamese government to prevent the influence of the financial crisis of 2008. This paper identifies hypotheses evaluating the impact of restructuring measurements on the risk of the Vietnamese’s commercial banks in 10 years, starting from 2008. Using the OLS regression method for analysis by running Eviews and ANOVA test in SPSS with a unique database of 216 observations of 31 commercial banks in Vietnam, it was found that: (i) The bail-out activities of the State Bank of Vietnam in 2015 does not influence on bank risk, (ii) The mergers and acquisitions (M&A) do not support the bank to reduce risk, it increases the risk for acquiring banks, (iii) The global crisis 2008 exerts dire consequence on the bank system in Vietnam, (iv) There is the difference of risk among the groups of the bank experiencing a different number of years of operation. Basing on this result, the paper also makes recommendations to the Government, The State Bank of Vietnam and the commercial banks for effective risk management toward the development of the Vietnamese banking system.

Study of Increasing Adoption Trends of Digital Banking and FinTech Products in Indian Payment Systems and Improvement in Customer Services

2021 ◽  
pp. 229-255
Author(s):  
Narinder Kumar Bhasin ◽  
Anupama Rajesh
Keyword(s):  
Customer Satisfaction ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Government Agencies ◽  
Payment Systems ◽  
Online Payment ◽  
Customer Services ◽  
The Government ◽  
Digital Payments ◽  
The Impact

The objective of massive adaptation of digital payments by the banks with the support of the central bank of any country along with their government agencies is to improve customer services and satisfaction in the online payment systems in place of cashless and paperless payment systems. There are very few researches that have focused to measure the higher customer satisfaction based on factors like trust, risk-free, secure, transparent, accountability of banks, fintech, regulator, and payment system operators. This chapter analyzes the impact of digital banking and fintech in the Indian banking system, initiatives taken by RBI, NPCI, and the government to build the strong trust of customers in online payment systems to ensure improvement in customer services with higher customer satisfaction.

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