Assessment of Urban Road Traffic Safety Based on Bayes Discriminant Analysis Method

2013 ◽  
Vol 639-640 ◽  
pp. 544-547
Author(s):  
Chang Ping Wen ◽  
Qing Qing Tian

Bayes discriminant analysis theory (BDAT) is used to create an evaluation method to determine the condition of urban road traffic safety. The resulting Bayes discriminant model (BDM) is designed to strictly adhere to BDAT. Three indexes including death ratio per ten thousand vehicles, death ratio per hundred thousand bicycles and death ratio per hundred thousand citizens are selected as the factors in the analysis of urban road traffic safety. The grade of condition of urban road traffic safety is divided into three grades that are regarded as three normal populations in Bayes discriminant analysis. Bayes discriminant functions rigorously constructed through training a set of samples are employed to compute the Bayes function values of the evaluating samples, and the maximal function value is used to judge which population the evaluating sample belongs to. The optimality of the proposed model is verified by back-substitution method. The study shows that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is 100% and could be used in practice.

2013 ◽  
Vol 639-640 ◽  
pp. 573-576
Author(s):  
Yan Jun Qiu ◽  
Chang Ping Wen

Based on the principle of Bayes discriminant analysis, Bayes discriminant model (BDM) for evaluation of expansive soil in sub-grades is established. Four indexes including free expansive ratio, liquid limit, plasticity index and moisture content of standard absorption are selected as the factors for synthetic evaluation of expansive soil. The grade of shrink and expansion is divided into four grades that are regarded as four normal populations in Bayes discriminant analysis. Bayes discriminant functions obtained through training a set of expansive soil samples are employed to compute the Bayes function values of the evaluating samples, and the maximal function value is used to judge which population the evaluating sample belongs to. The optimality of the proposed model is verified by back-substitution method. The study shows that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is 100% and could be used in practical engineering.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qizhou Hu ◽  
Zhuping Zhou ◽  
Xu Sun

This paper examines a new evaluation of urban road traffic safety based on a matter element analysis, avoiding the difficulties found in other traffic safety evaluations. The issue of urban road traffic safety has been investigated through the matter element analysis theory. The chief aim of the present work is to investigate the features of urban road traffic safety. Emphasis was placed on the construction of a criterion function by which traffic safety achieved a hierarchical system of objectives to be evaluated. The matter element analysis theory was used to create the comprehensive appraisal model of urban road traffic safety. The technique was used to employ a newly developed and versatile matter element analysis algorithm. The matter element matrix solves the uncertainty and incompatibility of the evaluated factors used to assess urban road traffic safety. The application results showed the superiority of the evaluation model and a didactic example was included to illustrate the computational procedure.


2011 ◽  
Vol 97-98 ◽  
pp. 360-366
Author(s):  
Jian Cheng Sun ◽  
Lin Song Wang

The subject Introduced the analysis method of the black-spot, established the black-spot discriminant model, And gave its algorithm. According to the characteristics of China's traffic flow, we develope black-spot database, so that the work of the black-spot identification can be quickly carried out。The Road black-spot traffic accidents describes the road sections which have significantly higher accident rate than the average level . Road black-spots identification, analysis and processing are widely considered to be the most efficient way to prevent traffic accidents. The identification of Road accident black-spots is the concern of road design, road safety review, operation management, and security studies , The research studies of road black-spot identification,and determines risk road sections, so that countermeasures can be put forward, and we can achieve the goals of design improvement, strengthen management, improvement of road safety operation environment, decrease of the number of traffic accidents and improvement of the whole road traffic safety performance.


2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 5337-5346
Author(s):  
Zhun Tian ◽  
Shengrui Zhang

With the development of the social economy, the level of motorization has been greatly improved, and the traffic safety problem has been paid more and more attention. In recent years, China’s road traffic accident rate showed a trend of decline after rising first, suggests that the Chinese road traffic safety level is on the decline. Road traffic safety evaluation has a positive effect in found risk factors of road traffic safety in time and reduce the traffic accident rate, so the study of traffic safety evaluation method is imperative. And the urban road traffic safety evaluation is frequently viewed as the multi-attribute group decision-making (MAGDM) problem. Depending on the conventional VIKOR method and interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IVIFSs), this paper designs a novel IVIF-VIKOR method to assess the urban road traffic safety. In addition, since subjective randomness frequently exists in determining criteria weights, the weights of criteria is [Z1] decided objectively by utilizing CRITIC method. Eventually, an application and some comparative analysis are given. The results show that the designed algorithms are useful for assessing the urban road traffic safety.


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