scholarly journals MONETARY POLICY AND INFLATION CONTROL: THE CASE OF NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Clement I. Ezeanyeji ◽  
Cyril Ogugua Obi ◽  
Chika Priscilla Imoagwu ◽  
Ugochukwu Frank Ejefobihi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Treasury Bill ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Inflation is a major problem facing Nigeria as a country today. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), however, has made efforts to fight it using different policy measures, of which monetary policy is one of them. Thus, this study focuses on the impact of monetary policy on inflation control in Nigeria. The study is based on time series data from 1980 to 2019. The Augmented Dickey Fuller test, Johansen’s co-integration test, the Error Correction model (ECM) estimation was employed in the analysis. The variables include – exchange rate, inflation rate, money supply (% GDP), Treasury bill rate and monetary policy rate. The research findings showed that monetary policy has no significant impact on inflation control in Nigeria both in the short – run and long – run. Money supply has negative and insignificant impact on inflation control in Nigeria both in the short – run and long – run. Again, exchange rate has negative and insignificant effect on inflation control in Nigeria both in the short – run and long – run. The Treasury bill rate has negative but significant effect on inflation control in Nigeria in the short – run, while in the long – run it has positive but insignificant effect on inflation control in Nigeria. The study, therefore, recommends that, Government should provide monetary policies that will preferred efficient provider of favourable environment in terms of the implementation of the appropriate monetary policy rate, exchange rate etc in order to attract both domestic and foreign investment which will create employment opportunities for the Nigerian populace and in turn lead to the expansion of the industries in the country. JEL: E42; E52; E31

IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY TARGETS ON CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-95
Author(s):  
Abdulkarim Musa ◽  
◽  
Uwaleke Uche ◽  
Nwala Nneka ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study empirically examines the impact of monetary policy targetson capital market development in Nigeria from 1986-2018. Time series data and econometric tools were used to test for the stationarity and causality effect. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) techniques were used to examine the short-run and long-run impact and relationship between Monetary Policy and Capital Market Development in Nigeria. The study revealed that both in the long run and short run Exchange Rate (EXCHR), Inflation Rate (INFR), and Interest Rate in Nigeria (INTR)were negatively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria and they were statistically insignificant in explaining changes in Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria. On the other hand, inthe long run, Money Supply was positively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria and was statistically significant at a 5% level significant while Money Supply (M2) was positively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria both in the long run and short-run and was statistically significant at 5% level of significance. Therefore, the study recommends that government should improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the money supply in Nigeria since it was statistically significant in determining the improvement of Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria.

Impact of exchange rate and oil price on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk: Evidence from Malaysian capital market

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Huda Arshad ◽  
Ruhaini Muda ◽  
Ismah Osman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sovereign Bond ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study analyses the impact of exchange rate and oil prices on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk for Malaysian capital market. This study aims to ascertain the effect of weakening Malaysian Ringgit and declining of crude oil price on the fixed income investors in the emerging capital market. This study utilises daily time series data of Malaysian exchange rate, oil price and the yield of Malaysian sovereign bond and sukuk from year 2006 until 2015. The findings show that the weakening of exchange rate and oil prices contribute different impacts in the short and long run. In the short run, the exchange rate and oil prices does not have a direct relation with the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk. However, in the long run, the result reveals that there is a significant relationship between exchange rate and oil prices on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk. It is evident that only a unidirectional causality relation is present between exchange rate and oil price towards selected yield of Malaysian sovereign bond and sukuk. This study provides numerical and empirical insights on issues relating to capital market that supports public authorities and private institutions on their decision and policymaking process.

scholarly journals MONETARY POLICY AND TELECOMMUNICATION OUTPUT IN NIGERIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-73
Author(s):  
John Abiodun Akinde ◽  
Elijah Oludayo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Favourable Effect ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Positive Effect

Different policies impact on the growth of the telecommunication sector in Nigeria. One of these policies which influence the expansion or contraction of the telecommunication output is monetary policy. To this end, this research examined the effect of monetary policy on telecommunication output in Nigeria. For the purpose of analysis, time series secondary data were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin covering the periods1986 to 2018. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was employed after examining the stationarity of the data series using Augmented Dickey-Fuller technique. The bound co-integration test revealed that there is long run equilibrium between the monetary policy variables employed and telecommunication output. The ARDL result revealed that money supply had significant and positive effect on telecommunication output in the short and long run; liquidity ratio produced an insignificant and negative relationship with telecommunication output in the short run and insignificant positive effect in the long run; exchange rate had insignificant negative effect in the short run and a significant positive effect on telecommunication output in the long run; consumer price index had significant negative influence on telecommunication outputboth in the short run and long run. The study concluded that monetary policy stimulates telecommunication output in Nigeria. Thus, it was recommended that the monetary authority should pursue an expansionary monetary policy to sustain the positive influence of money supply on telecommunication output in Nigeria while rolling out policy to reduce the liquidity ratio of banks in the short run but increase it in the long run so that the long term favourable effect of liquidity ratio can be felt on telecommunication output.  

scholarly journals An econometric analysis of the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Nadar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

This study investigatesthe effectiveness of fiscal policy and monetary policy in India. We collected thetime series data for India ranging from 1960 to 2019 from World Development Indicator (WDI). Weapplied the bound test co-integration approach to check the long-run relationship between fiscalpolicy, monetary policy, and economic growth in the context of Indian economy. The short-run andlong-run effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy have been estimated using ARDL models. Theresults showed that there is a long-run relationship between fiscal and monetary policies witheconomic growth. The estimated short-run coefficients indicated that a few immediate short runimpacts of fiscal and monetary policies are insignificant. However, the short-run impacts becomesignificant as time passes. The long-run results suggested that the long-run impact of both fiscal andmonetary policies on economic growth are positive and significant. More specifically, the GDP levelincreases if the money supply and government expenditure increase (Expansionary fiscal andmonetary policies). On the other hand, the GDP level decreasesif the money supply and governmentexpenditure decrease (contractionary fiscal and monetary policies). Therefore, this studyrecommends to use expansionary policies to spur the Indian economy.

scholarly journals An Econometrics Analysis of the Impact Exchange Rate on Economic Growth of Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 185-198
Author(s):  
Okosu Napoleon David
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
National Account ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

The study interrogates the impact of exchange rate on the economic growth of Nigeria from 1981 to 2020 using quarterly time-series data from the Central Bank of Nigeria and the World Bank National Account. The dependent variable in the model was Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP), and the independent variables were Exchange Rate (EXCHR), inflation (INFL), Interest Rate (INTR), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Broad Money Supply (M2) and Current Account Balance of Payment (CAB). The methodology employed was the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model which incorporates the Cointegration Bond test and Error-Correction Mechanism. The finding indicates that in the short run, EXCHR, CAB, M2 and FDI, had a positive impact on economic growth. The impact of EXCHR and CAB were significant on growth while that of M2 and FDI were insignificant to growth. However, INTR and INFL had a negative impact on economic growth with both variables being statistically significant. The bound test showed that there was a long-run relationship among the study variables, and the results from the long run reveal that the exchange rate has a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Inflation, Interest rate, FDI, Current Account Balance of Payment (CAB) and Broad Money Supply all have a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Based on the findings the study recommended that monetary authority should strictly monitor the operations of banks and other forex dealers with a view of ensuring unethical practices are adequately sanctioned to serve as a deterrent to others.

scholarly journals Imperative of Exchange Rates Policy and Industrial Growth in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 187-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olatunji A. Shobande
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Industrial Growth ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Tax Incentive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper looks at the impact of foreign exchange rate policies on industrial growth in Nigeria between 1981 and 2016. The study employed the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) techniques, following the results of Johansen Cointegration techniques that shows the existence of long run relationship among the variables considered. While, VECM estimates showed that money supply (monetary policy) impacted positively effects, evidence on, TAX (fiscal policy) impacted negative on industrial growth. Besides, the Exchange rate and Inflation impacted negatively on industrial growth., suggesting that the issue of stability remained a challenge unresolved by the Apex bank. The emanating policy antidotes are that there is urgent need to use proactive monetary policy through money supply to speed up the rate of industrial growth on one hand, while providing tax incentive to various industrial good that can further have enhanced the contribution of the sector to industrial growth on the other. In all, the need to align the objective of exchange rate policy with broader macroeconomic goals is necessary for effective policy transmission mechanism to speed up the rate of industrial progress in the country.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Shocks and Manufacturing Output in Nigeria (1981-2018)

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-37
Author(s):  
Yinka Sabuur Hammed
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
The Impact

This study empirically investigates the impact of monetary policy shock on the manufacturing output in Nigeria using time series data covering the period between 1981 and 2018. Co-integration test was used to establish the long run relationship among the variables and Structural Vector Auto-Regressive model was employed to test for the shocks. It was found that shock to broad money supply would bring about positive and significant impact on the manufacturing output while the impact of shock to interest rate was found to be negative and insignificant. This study however concludes that shock to broad money is the main monetary policy instrument which can bring about positive change to manufacturing output in Nigeria. This paper then suggests that government and policy makers should primarily focus on this variable in their implementation of unanticipated monetary policy.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows: Evidence from China, Pakistan and India

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarfaraz Ahmed Shaikh ◽  
Ouyang Hongbing
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Series Data ◽  
General Level ◽  
Negatively Associated ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on trade flows in case of China, Pakistan and India by using the time series data from 1980 to 2013. Most of the researchers have advocated that exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with general level of trade. In this study we have used the standard deviation of the moving average of the logarithm of the exchange rate as a proxy for volatility. And to investigate this relationship, we have applied the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) approach for co-integration which estimates the short and long run relationship among the variables for the said period. The results of this empirical work have suggested that exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with Chinese exports in short run while positively associated in long run. However, in the case of Pakistan and India both in the short run and long run, the exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with total volume of trade.

scholarly journals Implication of Monetary Policy Rate and Interest Rate on Exchange Rate in Nigeria: 1981-2017

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Nnamani, Vincent ◽  
Anyanwaokoro, Mike
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Statistical Tool ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The study investigated the implication of monetary policy rate on the exchange rate and interest rate in Nigeria, 1981-2017. Because of the above-stated problems, the specific objectives are to: Investigate the effect of monetary policy rate on the exchange rate in Nigeria, determine the effect of the monetary policy rate on interest rate in Nigeria. The analysis of error correction and autoregressive lags fully covers both long-run and short-run relationships of the variable under study. The statistical tool of analysis employed in the study is Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) and Philips Peron method of stationary testing and structural breakpoint unit root test., these methods were employed to check the stationarity and breakpoint analysis of the time series data employed in this study. The study observed that monetary policy rate has a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate in Nigeria. It was also observed that the monetary policy rate has a positive and significant effect on the interest rate in Nigeria. Overall, our results indicated that the impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate was significant. There was a positive and significant relationship between monetary policy variables and exchange rate. The conclusion that is drawn from our results is that monetary policy remains an effective and potent tool for ensuring a stable exchange rate in Nigeria. The study recommended that monetary policy should be used to create a favourable investment environment by facilitating the emergence of market-based interest rate and exchange rate regimes which could attract domestic and foreign investments. Second; the Central bank of Nigeria (CBN) need to avoid ordination and balance between monetary and fiscal policies to ensure the smooth realization of monetary policy goals. Policy inconsistency or summersault to determine its policy impact before contemplating a change. Finally, there should be a coo.

scholarly journals DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP STABILITAS RUPIAH

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Azhar Bafadal
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Small Magnitude ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This research aimed to study the impact of monetary policy on the rupiah stability. Variables used were the interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate (SBI), the rate of inflation (IHK), the exchange rate of rupiah against the US dollar (Kurs) and the money supply in the narrow sense (M1). Data used were of quarterly time series data of Bank Indonesia and Central Bureau of Statistic, covering 2002.1-2010.4. The analysis was undertaken by using a vector autoregression model (VAR), through the Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD). The research results showed that in the sort run shocks of SBI  decreased the inflation rate, and in the long run the inflation rate was constant. The exchange rate tended to be appreciated in the short run and long run although in a small magnitude. Money supply decreased with a minor fluctuation. Initially, the money supply shocks increased the interest rate of SBI, but decreased in the long run. The rate of inflation fluctuated in the sort run but it was constant in the long run. The exchange rate was depreciated both in the sort run and in the long run.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document