scholarly journals Palaeo-earthquake magnitudes on the Dzhungarian fault, N. Tien shan, and implications for the rupture processes of intraplate strike-slip faults

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chia-Hsin Tsai ◽  
Richard Walker ◽  
Simon Daout ◽  
Kanatbek Abdrakhmatov ◽  
Aidyn Mukambayev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kinematic Model ◽  
Strike Slip ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
High Mountain ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Lithospheric Deformation ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Northern Tien Shan ◽  
Fault Length

<p>Long-term and present-day crustal deformation in the northern Tien Shan is poorly known, but is a key to understanding the mode of lithospheric deformation deep within the continental interiors, as well as the hazards posed by the slow-moving intraplate faults. Driven by the India-Asia collision, the NW-SE strike-slip faults and the E-W range-front thrust faults in the interior of Tien Shan together accommodate about 15-20 mm/yr of shortening. Here we focus on the NW-SE striking Dzhungarian fault (DZF) and the E-W striking Lepsy fault (LPF), which are large oblique strike-slip faults bounding the Dzhungarian Alatau, northern Tien Shan. Two large historical earthquakes in ~1716 and 1812 (Mw 8) were recorded in this region, and clear fault traces as well as scarps are visible from satellite images along some of the main faults. However, their geometries, slip rates, mode of deformation, expected earthquake magnitudes and recurrence interval have not been studied in details. A previous study suggested that the LPF ruptured in a seismic event around 400 yrBP that might be the 1716 earthquake known from historical records. Offsets of over 15 m were found over a fault length of 120 km, indicating a magnitude in the range Mw 7.5-8.2. The slip to length ratio for the LPF is unusally high, suggesting either that faults in this region are capable of generating very large earthquakes for a given fault length, or that the rupture length is underestimated.</p><p>Using a combination of high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) and orthophotos from High Mountain Asia (NASA), Pleiades optical imagery (CNES), drone photos and multi-temporal interferometric synthetic-aperture radar (InSAR) from the Sentinel-1 satellites, we identify the geomorphic signatures and quantify the long-term and short-term strain accumulation along the faults. The ~400 km DZF shows evidence for relatively ‘fresh’ rupturing along much of its length. We calculate an average lateral slip per event of 9.9 m from offset stacking analysis, which underlines the potential future large earthquakes on this fault. The proximity of the DZF and LPF ruptures and equivalent level of preservation opens the possibility that they were formed in a single earthquake event, with a moment-magnitude greater than 8. We also present estimates of long-term and short-term rates of slip across the DZF in order to estimate average recurrence intervals and to build a kinematic model of the faulting in the Northern Tien Shan.</p>

scholarly journals High Mountain Asian glacier response to climate revealed by multi-temporal satellite observations since the 1960s

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Atanu Bhattacharya ◽  
Tobias Bolch ◽  
Kriti Mukherjee ◽  
Owen King ◽  
Brian Menounos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
High Mountain ◽  
Glacier Mass Balance ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
The 1960S ◽  
Northern Tien Shan

AbstractKnowledge about the long-term response of High Mountain Asian glaciers to climatic variations is paramount because of their important role in sustaining Asian river flow. Here, a satellite-based time series of glacier mass balance for seven climatically different regions across High Mountain Asia since the 1960s shows that glacier mass loss rates have persistently increased at most sites. Regional glacier mass budgets ranged from −0.40 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Central and Northern Tien Shan to −0.06 ± 0.07 m w.e.a−1 in Eastern Pamir, with considerable temporal and spatial variability. Highest rates of mass loss occurred in Central Himalaya and Northern Tien Shan after 2015 and even in regions where glaciers were previously in balance with climate, such as Eastern Pamir, mass losses prevailed in recent years. An increase in summer temperature explains the long-term trend in mass loss and now appears to drive mass loss even in regions formerly sensitive to both temperature and precipitation.

scholarly journals Health and sustainability of glaciers in High Mountain Asia

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Evan Miles ◽  
Michael McCarthy ◽  
Amaury Dehecq ◽  
Marin Kneib ◽  
Stefan Fugger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Current Knowledge ◽  
Field Measurements ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
High Mountain ◽  
Specific Mass ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Mass Redistribution ◽  
Glacier Ablation

AbstractGlaciers in High Mountain Asia generate meltwater that supports the water needs of 250 million people, but current knowledge of annual accumulation and ablation is limited to sparse field measurements biased in location and glacier size. Here, we present altitudinally-resolved specific mass balances (surface, internal, and basal combined) for 5527 glaciers in High Mountain Asia for 2000–2016, derived by correcting observed glacier thinning patterns for mass redistribution due to ice flow. We find that 41% of glaciers accumulated mass over less than 20% of their area, and only 60% ± 10% of regional annual ablation was compensated by accumulation. Even without 21st century warming, 21% ± 1% of ice volume will be lost by 2100 due to current climatic-geometric imbalance, representing a reduction in glacier ablation into rivers of 28% ± 1%. The ablation of glaciers in the Himalayas and Tien Shan was mostly unsustainable and ice volume in these regions will reduce by at least 30% by 2100. The most important and vulnerable glacier-fed river basins (Amu Darya, Indus, Syr Darya, Tarim Interior) were supplied with >50% sustainable glacier ablation but will see long-term reductions in ice mass and glacier meltwater supply regardless of the Karakoram Anomaly.

Insight on the results of three different correlation analyses between satellite TIR anomalies and earthquake occurrence

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolina Filizzola ◽  
Roberto Colonna ◽  
Alexander Eleftheriou ◽  
Nicola Genzano ◽  
Katsumi Hattori ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
International Workshop ◽  
Statistical Correlation ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correlation Analyses ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
Casual Relation ◽  
Large Earthquakes

<p>In order to evaluate the potentiality of the parameter “RST-based satellite TIR anomalies” in relation with earthquake (M≥4) occurrence, in recent years we performed three long-term statistical correlation analyses on different seismically active areas, such as Greece (Eleftheriou et al., 2016), Italy (Genzano et al., 2020), and Japan (Genzano et al., 2021).</p><p>With this aim, by means of the RST (Robust Satellite Techniques; Tramutoli, 1998, 2007) approach we analysed ten-year time series of satellite images collected by the SEVIRI sensor (on board the MSG platforms) over Greece (2004-2013) and Italy (2004-2014), and by the JAMI and IMAGER sensors (on board the MTSAT satellites) over Japan (2005-2015).  By applying empirical spatial-temporal rules, which are established also taking account of the physical models up to now proposed to explain seismic TIR anomaly appearances, the performed long -term correlation analyses put in relief that a non-casual relation exists between satellite TIR anomalies and the occurrence of earthquakes.</p><p>At the same time, in the carried out studies we introduced and validated refinements and improvements to the RST approach, which are able to minimize the proliferation of the false positives (i.e. TIR anomalies independent from the seismic sources, but due to other causes such as meteorological factors).    </p><p>Here, we summarize the achieved results and discuss them from the perspective of a multi-parameter system, which could improve our present knowledge on the earthquake-related processes and increase our capacity to assess the seismic hazard in the medium-short term (months to days).</p><p> </p><p>References</p><p>Eleftheriou, A., C. Filizzola, N. Genzano, T. Lacava, M. Lisi, R. Paciello, N. Pergola, F. Vallianatos, and V. Tramutoli (2016), Long-Term RST Analysis of Anomalous TIR Sequences in Relation with Earthquakes Occurred in Greece in the Period 2004–2013, Pure Appl. Geophys., 173(1), 285–303, doi:10.1007/s00024-015-1116-8.</p><p>Genzano, N., C. Filizzola, M. Lisi, N. Pergola, and V. Tramutoli (2020), Toward the development of a multi parametric system for a short-term assessment of the seismic hazard in Italy, Ann. Geophys, 63, 5, PA550, doi:10.4401/ag-8227.</p><p>Genzano, N., C. Filizzola, K. Hattori, N. Pergola, and V. Tramutoli (2021), Statistical correlation analysis between thermal infrared anomalies observed from MTSATs and large earthquakes occurred in Japan (2005 - 2015), Journal of Geophysics Research – Solid Earth, doi: 10.1029/2020JB020108 (accepted).</p><p>Tramutoli, V. (1998), Robust AVHRR Techniques (RAT) for Environmental Monitoring: theory and applications, in Proceedings of SPIE, vol. 3496, edited by E. Zilioli, pp. 101–113, doi: 10.1117/12.332714</p><p>Tramutoli, V. (2007), Robust Satellite Techniques (RST) for Natural and Environmental Hazards Monitoring and Mitigation: Theory and Applications, in 2007 International Workshop on the Analysis of Multi-temporal Remote Sensing Images, pp. 1–6, IEEE. doi: 10.1109/MULTITEMP.2007.4293057</p>

Long and short time evolution of deep seated gravitational slope deformation: contribution to knowledge of phenomena for the management of alea in the Alpine mountains

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clément Boivin
Keyword(s):  
Time Evolution ◽  
Slope Deformation ◽  
Tectonic Activity ◽  
High Mountain ◽  
Mountain Range ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Future Evolution ◽  
Short Time ◽  
Short Time Evolution

<p>"LONG AND SHORT TIME EVOLUTION OF DEEP SEATED GRAVITATIONAL SLOPE DEFORMATION: CONTRIBUTION TO KNOWLEDGE OF PHENOMENA FOR THE MANAGEMENT OF ALEA IN THE ALPINE MOUNTAINS"</p><p> </p><p>C.Boivin <sup>a</sup>, J.P. Malet <sup>a</sup>, C. Bertrand <sup>b</sup>, F. Chabaux <sup>c</sup>, J. van der Woerd <sup>a</sup>, Y. Thiery <sup>d</sup>, F. Lacquement <sup>d</sup></p><p><sup>a  </sup>Institut de Physique du Globe de Strasbourg – IPGS/DA - UMR 7516 CNRS-Unistra</p><p><sup>b </sup> Laboratoire Chrono-Environnement – LCE / UMR 6249 CNRS – UFC</p><p><sup>c</sup>  Laboratoire d’Hydrologie et de Géochimie de Strasbourg – BISE / UMR 7517 – Unistra</p><p><sup>d</sup>  Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières</p><p> </p><p>          The <strong>Deep Seated Gravitational Slope Deformation (DSGSD)</strong> are defined like a set of rock mass characterized by a generally slow movement and which can affect all the slopes of a valley or a mountain range (Agliardi and al., 2001, 2009; Panek and Klimes., 2016). The DSGSD is identified in many mountains (ex: Alps, Alaska, Rocky Mountains, Andes…) and it can affect both isolated low relief and very high mountain ranges (Panek and Klimes., 2016). This deep instability are identified in many case like the origin zone for important landslide like the example of La Clapière landslide in the Alpes Maritimes (Bigot-Cormier et al., 2005). The DSGSD represent an important object we must understand to anticipate catastrophic landslides.</p><p>          Actually, many factors that could be at the origin or controlling the evolution of DSGSD have been identified such as for example the structural heritage, the climate or the tectonic activity (Agliardi 2000; 2009; 2013; Jomard 2006; Sanchez et al., 2009; Zorzi et al., 2013; Panek and Klimes., 2016; Ostermann and Sanders., 2017; Blondeau 2018). The long-term and short-term evolution of DSGSD is still poorly understood but represents an important point to characterize in order to predict future major landslides. A first inventory of DSGSD began to be carried out by certain studies such as Blondeau 2018 or Crosta et al 2013 in the Alps. These same studies have also started to prioritize the factors controlling the evolution of DSGSD.</p><p>          It is in order to better understand the short-term (<100 years) and long-term (> 100 years) evolution of the DSGSD of the French Alpine massifs and the link with the occurrence of landslides, that this thesis project is developed. The main objective of this project, will be proposed models of the evolution of DSGSD since the last glaciations. But also to propose key interpretations of the future evolution to locate the areas likely to initiate landslides. Two study areas in the French Alpine massifs were chosen because they represent areas of referencing and localization gaps in DSGSD: Beaufortain and Queyras. They have the advantage of having a low lithological diversity making it possible to simplify the identification of the factors influencing the evolution of DSGSD. A geomorphological analysis on satellite data and on the ground is carried out to locate the DSGSD. Several dating (<sup>14</sup>C, <sup>10</sup>Be or <sup>36</sup>Cl) will be carried out to reconstruct the history of these objects and understand the factors that controlled their evolution.</p>

scholarly journals The Dzhungarian fault: Late Quaternary tectonics and slip rate of a major right-lateral strike-slip fault in the northern Tien Shan region

2013 ◽  
Vol 118 (10) ◽  
pp. 5681-5698 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. E. Campbell ◽  
R. T. Walker ◽  
K. Abdrakhmatov ◽  
JL. Schwenninger ◽  
J. Jackson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Late Quaternary ◽  
Slip Rate ◽  
Strike Slip ◽  
Strike Slip Fault ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
Lateral Strike Slip ◽  
Northern Tien Shan

Recent strike-slip deformation of the northern Tien Shan

2003 ◽  
Vol 210 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. M. Buslov ◽  
J. Klerkx ◽  
K. Abdrakhmatov ◽  
D. Delvaux ◽  
V. Yu. Batalev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Strike Slip ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
Slip Deformation ◽  
Northern Tien Shan

scholarly journals Deformation along an apparent seismic barrier: a palaeoseismological study along the North Anatolian Fault

1996 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
G. W. Michel ◽  
C. Janssen
Keyword(s):  
Strike Slip ◽  
North Anatolian Fault ◽  
Deformation Mechanisms ◽  
Normal Faulting ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The North ◽  
Spatial Changes ◽  
Major Fault ◽  
Event Triggered

An overstep in the North Anatolian Fault, possibly acting as a seismic barrier, was investigated for its structural and palaeoseismological characteristics. Study interests were: i) to find overstep related spatial changes in deformation which would help assess the structure as a long term singularity in the fault; ii) to identify short term, event-triggered changes in structures where the major fault enters the overstep i.e., in an area where seismogenic slip is impeded or even arrested; iii) to investigate whether or not the surface overstep is related to a seismic barrier, and iv) to discuss structures that might possibly be characteristic of barriers. In order to achieve this: a) largescale faults were mapped in the area, b) fault-slip data were measured in 56 outcrops along and within the overstep, and c) trenches were dug at the eastern rim of the overstep where recent earthquake structures had been reported. Derived long term stretching directions and ratios change significantly over the fault step and structures of recent major earthquakes suggest different deformation mechanisms for different events at the same Location e.g. strike-slip, thrust and normal faulting.

scholarly journals Late Holocene tectonic land-level changes and tsunamis at Mitla lagoon, Guerrero, Mexico

2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 195-209
Author(s):  
M. T. Ramírez Herrera ◽  
A. B. Cundy ◽  
V. Kostoglodov ◽  
M. Ortíz
Keyword(s):  
Late Holocene ◽  
Tide Gauge ◽  
Geochemical Data ◽  
Tide Gauge Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Plate Interface ◽  
Gauge Data ◽  
Data Record ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Sedimentological, stratigraphic and geochemical data record abrupt land elevation change, coastal subsid- ence, and changes in the salinity of Mitla lagoon that may be associated with a tsunami around 3400-3500 yr BP. The observations are supported by microfossil data (pollen, diatoms and phytolith) from other studies on the Guerrero coast. Stratigraphic data indicate an average Late Holocene sedimentation rate of about 1 mm/yr. Short-term sea-level records from 1952 of tide gauge data are compared with expected coseismic coastal deformation, and long-term records of coastal deformation from the sediment record c. 3500 yr BP. Recent large earthquakes in the Central Mexico subduction zone ruptured an area of limited width of about ~60 km, but some prehistoric earthquakes may have ruptured the entire coupled plate interface almost up to the trench, thus generating signifi- cant coastal subsidence and possibly a large tsunami.

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