On the role of atmospheric feedbacks in sustaining the anomalous warmth of the MIS-11 interglacial

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Crow ◽  
Matthias Prange ◽  
Michael Schulz
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Interglacial Period ◽  
Climate Modelling ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
The North ◽  
Atmospheric Feedbacks ◽  
The North Atlantic

<p>Historical estimates of the melt rate and extent of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) are poorly constrained, due both to incomplete understanding of relevant ice dynamics and the magnitude of forcing acting upon the ice sheet (e.g., Alley et al. 2010). Previous assessments of the Marine Isotope Stage 11 (MIS-11) interglacial period have determined it was likely one of the warmest and longest interglacial periods of the past 800 kyr, leading to melt of at least half the present-day volume of the Greenland ice sheet (Robinson et al. 2017). An enhanced Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is commonly cited as sustaining the anomalous warmth across the North Atlantic and Greenland (e.g., Rachmayani et al. 2017), but little is known about potential atmospheric contributions. Paleorecords from this period are sparse, and detailed climate modelling studies of this period have been heretofore very limited. The climatic conditions over Greenland and the North Atlantic region, and how they may have contributed to the melt of the GrIS during MIS-11, are therefore not well understood. By utilizing climate simulations with the Community Earth System Model (CESM), our study indicates that changes in atmospheric eddy behavior, including eddy fluxes of heat and precipitation, made significant contributions to the negative mass balance conditions over the GrIS during the MIS-11 interglacial. Thus, accounting for the effects of atmospheric feedbacks in a warmer-than-present climate is a necessary component for future analyses attempting to better constrain the extent and rate of melt of the GrIS.</p>

scholarly journals Impact of a realistic Greenland ice sheet melting on the North Atlantic over the period 1920-2014

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Didier Swingedouw ◽  
Marion Devilliers ◽  
Juliette Mignot ◽  
Julie Deshayes ◽  
Gilles Garric ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Subpolar Gyre ◽  
Nordic Seas ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

<p>Greenland experienced intensive melting over the last century, especially in the 1920s and over the last decades. The supplementary input into the ocean is influencing the freshwater budget of the North Atlantic. Simultaneously, some signs of a recent weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) have been reported. In order to better understand the possible impact of the melting on the North Atlantic circulation, salinity and temperature trends, we construct an observation-based estimate of the freshwater fluxes from 1840 to 2014 associated to the runoff fluxes from Greenland ice sheet and surrounding glaciers and ice caps. Input from iceberg melting is also included and spatially distributed over the North Atlantic following an observed climatology. We force historical simulations of the IPSL-CM6A-LR coupled climate model with this reconstruction from 1920 to 2014. The 10-member ensemble mean displays freshened and cooled waters around Greenland, which spread in the subpolar gyre, and then towards the subtropical gyre and the Nordic Seas. Over the whole period, the convection is reduced in the Labrador and Nordic Seas, while it is slightly enhanced in the Irminger Sea, and the AMOC is reduced by 0.32±0.35 Sv at 26°N. This highlights that the AMOC decrease due to Greenland melting remains modest in these simulations and can only explain a very moderate amount of the 3±1 Sv weakening suggested in a recent study. The multi-decadal trend of the North Atlantic surface temperature obtained with the additional freshwater forcing is more in line with observations than in standard historical simulations. We also show a clear improvement of the representation of the 1995 abrupt warming in the subpolar gyre in the melting ensemble, which may thus be partly forced by Greenland ice sheet melting. Mechanisms at play imply changes in the variability of the AMOC in the melting ensemble as compared to the historical one. Such an impact on forced decadal variability has crucial consequences for decadal prediction systems that may gain skill by including observed Greenland ice sheet melting.</p>

scholarly journals Climatic impacts of fresh water hosing under Last Glacial Maximum conditions: a multi-model study

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 935-953 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Kageyama ◽  
U. Merkel ◽  
B. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
M. Prange ◽  
A. Abe-Ouchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Fresh Water ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The North ◽  
Tropical North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Fresh water hosing simulations, in which a fresh water flux is imposed in the North Atlantic to force fluctuations of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, have been routinely performed, first to study the climatic signature of different states of this circulation, then, under present or future conditions, to investigate the potential impact of a partial melting of the Greenland ice sheet. The most compelling examples of climatic changes potentially related to AMOC abrupt variations, however, are found in high resolution palaeo-records from around the globe for the last glacial period. To study those more specifically, more and more fresh water hosing experiments have been performed under glacial conditions in the recent years. Here we compare an ensemble constituted by 11 such simulations run with 6 different climate models. All simulations follow a slightly different design, but are sufficiently close in their design to be compared. They all study the impact of a fresh water hosing imposed in the extra-tropical North Atlantic. Common features in the model responses to hosing are the cooling over the North Atlantic, extending along the sub-tropical gyre in the tropical North Atlantic, the southward shift of the Atlantic ITCZ and the weakening of the African and Indian monsoons. On the other hand, the expression of the bipolar see-saw, i.e., warming in the Southern Hemisphere, differs from model to model, with some restricting it to the South Atlantic and specific regions of the southern ocean while others simulate a widespread southern ocean warming. The relationships between the features common to most models, i.e., climate changes over the north and tropical Atlantic, African and Asian monsoon regions, are further quantified. These suggest a tight correlation between the temperature and precipitation changes over the extra-tropical North Atlantic, but different pathways for the teleconnections between the AMOC/North Atlantic region and the African and Indian monsoon regions.

Greenland melting signatures in model simulations and oceanic observations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sophie Stolzenberger ◽  
Roelof Rietbroek ◽  
Claudia Wekerle ◽  
Bernd Uebbing ◽  
Jürgen Kusche
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
The North ◽  
Sea Level Anomalies ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

<p>The impact of Greenland freshwater on oceanic variables in the North Atlantic has been controversially discussed in the past. Within the framework of the German research project GROCE (Greenland Ice Sheet Ocean Interaction), we present a comprehensive study using ocean modelling results including and excluding the Greenland freshwater flux. The aim of this study is whether signatures of Greenland ice sheet melting found in ocean model simulations are visible in the observations. Therefore, we estimate changes in temperature, salinity, steric heights and sea level anomalies since the 1990s. The observational database includes altimetric and gravimetric satellite data as well as Argo floats. We will discuss similarities/differences between model simulations and observations for smaller regions around Greenland in the North Atlantic. As these experiments are available for two different horizontal resolutions, we will furthermore be able to assess the effects of an increased model resolution.</p>

Accelerated mass loss from Greenland ice sheet: Links to atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic

2015 ◽  
Vol 128 ◽  
pp. 61-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ki-Weon Seo ◽  
Duane E. Waliser ◽  
Choon-Ki Lee ◽  
Baijun Tian ◽  
Ted Scambos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

scholarly journals The Occurrence and Properties of Long-Lived Liquid-Bearing Clouds over the Greenland Ice Sheet and Their Relationship to the North Atlantic Oscillation

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 921-935 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Edwards-Opperman ◽  
Steven Cavallo ◽  
David Turner
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Positive Phase ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

AbstractStratiform liquid-bearing clouds (LBCs), defined herein as either pure liquid or mixed-phase clouds, have a large impact on the surface radiation budget across the Arctic. LBCs lasting at least 6 h are observed at Summit, Greenland, year-round with a maximum in occurrence during summer. Mean cloud-base height is below 1 km for 85% of LBC cases identified, 59% have mean liquid water path (LWP) values between 10 and 40 g m−2, and most produce sporadic light ice-phase precipitation. During their occurrence, the atmosphere above the ice sheet is anomalously warm and moist, with southerly winds observed over much of the ice sheet, including at Summit. LBCs that occur when the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is in the negative phase correspond to strong ridging centered over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS), allowing for southwesterly flow over the GIS toward Summit. During the positive phase of the NAO, the occurrence of LBCs corresponds to a cyclone located off the southeastern coast of the ice sheet, which leads to easterly-to-southeasterly flow toward Summit. Furthermore, air parcels at Summit frequently originate from below the elevation of Summit, indicating that orographic lift along the ice sheet is a factor in the occurrence of LBCs at Summit. LBCs are more frequently observed during the negative NAO, and both the LWP and precipitation rate are larger in LBCs occurring during this phase. Mean LWP in LBCs occurring during the negative NAO is 15 g m−2 larger than in LBCs occurring during the positive phase.

scholarly journals Small impact of surrounding oceanic conditions on 2007–2012 Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1453-1477 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Noël ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
W. J. van de Berg ◽  
M. R. van den Broeke ◽  
M. Erpicum
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Katabatic Winds ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North-Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), favouring warmer than normal conditions over the GrIS. In addition, it has been suggested that significant anomalies in sea ice cover (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) may partially explain recent anomalous GrIS surface melt. To assess the impact of 2007–2012 SIC and SST anomalies on GrIS surface mass balance (SMB), a set of sensitivity experiments was carried out with the regional climate model MAR. These simulations suggest that changes in SST and SIC in the seas surrounding Greenland do not significantly impact GrIS SMB, due to the katabatic winds blocking effect. These winds are strong enough to prevent oceanic near-surface air, influenced by SIC and SST variability, from penetrating far inland. Therefore, the ice sheet SMB response is restricted to coastal regions, where katabatic winds are weaker. However, anomalies in SIC and SST could have indirectly affected the surface melt by changing the general circulation in the North Atlantic region, favouring more frequent warm air advection to the GrIS.

North Atlantic footprint of summer Greenland ice sheet melting on interannual to interdecadal timescales: A Greenland blocking perspective

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-52
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Event Frequency ◽  
The North ◽  
Poleward Shift ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract Recent rapid melting of summer Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) and its impact on the Earth’s climate has attracted much attention. In this paper, we establish a connection between the melting of GrIS and the variability of summer sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over North Atlantic on interannual to interdecadal timescales through changes in sub-seasonal Greenland blocking (GB). It is found that the latitude and width of GB are important for the spatial patterns of the GrIS melting. The melting of GrIS on interdecadal timescales is most prominent for the positive Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation phase (AMO+) because the high latitude GB and its large width, long lifetime and slow decay are favored. However, the North Atlantic mid-high latitude warm-cold-warm (cold-warm-cold) tripole or NAT+ (NAT−) pattern on interannual timescales tends to strengthen (weaken) the role of AMO+ in the GrIS melting especially on the northern or northeastern periphery of Greenland by promoting (inhibiting) high-latitude GB and increasing (decreasing) its width. It is further revealed that AMO+ (NAT+) favors the persistence and width of GB mainly through producing weak summer zonal winds and small summer meridional potential vorticity gradient (PVy) in the North Atlantic mid-high latitudes 55°-70°N (55°-65°N) compared to the role of AMO− (NAT−). The event frequency and zonal width of GB events and their poleward shift are favored by the combination of NAT+ with AMO+. In contrast, the combination of NAT− and AMO+ tends to suppress reduced summer zonal winds and PVy, thus inhibiting the event frequency of GB events and their poleward shift and zonal width.

The North Atlantic Oscillation and the Greenland ice sheet in CMIP6

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruth Mottram ◽  
Susann Ascheneller ◽  
Florian Sauerland ◽  
Rasmus Anker Pedersen ◽  
Peter Thejll ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Atmospheric Blocking ◽  
Atlantic Region ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Mass Budget ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

<div><span><span>The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is an important control on both northern European weather and Greenland ice sheet surface mass budget via the path of storm tracks that deliver precipitation, particularly in the winter, and by the strength and persistence of the Greenland blocking high that promotes melt in summer. Within CMIP5 models, atmospheric blocking was generally poorly represented regardless of location, we here examine an ensemble of 10 CMIP6 fully coupled earth system models (ESMs) that were available by Summer</span><span> 20</span><span>19 </span><span>in order to examine if model improvements better represent the NAO in CMIP6.</span></span></div><div><span><span>We examine </span><span> temperature over Greenland and the north Atlantic region as well as NAO position, persistence and strength in winter and summer for each model in the historical scenario. No single model performs well on all characteristics but the UKESM and EC-EARTH3 perform the best when compared to the ERA5 climate reanalysis.</span></span></div><div><span><span>We also show how the NAO is expected to change in </span><span>8 of</span><span> the</span><span>se</span><span> models under different future climate scenarios.</span><span>  </span><span>The location</span><span> </span><span>of the Icelandic low in particular migrates northwards by varying amounts, likely related to Arctic sea ice changes within the models and with a consequent impact on precipitation.</span></span></div><div><span><span>Downscaling experiments carried out using the HIRHAM5 regional climate model over the Greenland ice sheet show the importance of accurately characterising the NAO in order to correctly </span><span> </span><span>estimate both winter accumulation and summer melt and the combination that gives the ice sheet mass budget. Our study emphasises the importance of assessing a range of different climate and weather variables when selecting models to downscale for </span><span>obtaining </span><span>ice sheet mass balance. We also note that while some progress has been made in </span><span>better representing </span><span>atmospheric blocking in ESMs, largely down to higher resolution in atmospheric models, there is still a substantial improvement required before ESMs can be said to accurately characterise the climate of the North Atlantic region with consequent impacts on ice sheet surface mass budget projections.</span></span></div>

scholarly journals Synoptic Forcing of Precipitation over Greenland: Climatology for 1961–99

2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keah C. Schuenemann ◽  
John J. Cassano ◽  
Joel Finnis
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Synoptic Climatology ◽  
North Atlantic Region ◽  
Atlantic Region ◽  
Synoptic Patterns ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract Analysis of the synoptic climatology and precipitation patterns over the North Atlantic region allows for a better understanding of the atmospheric input to the mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. The self-organizing map (SOM) technique was applied to the 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis (ERA-40) daily sea level pressure (SLP) data from 1961 to 1999 to objectively identify synoptic SLP patterns over the North Atlantic region. A total of 35 different SLP patterns were identified. Patterns common to the winter season are characterized by deep low pressure systems that approach Greenland through an active North Atlantic storm track, whereas patterns most common to the summer months are generally weaker and approach the ice sheet from the west through Baffin Bay. The blocking, splitting, and intensification of cyclones by the high elevations of the Greenland ice sheet were identified in this analysis. Analysis of ERA-40 precipitation associated with each SLP pattern revealed that the largest precipitation events were associated with passing cyclones that created onshore flow, allowing the air to be lifted orographically by the steep margins of the ice sheet. The ERA-40 annual mean precipitation over Greenland from 1961 to 1999 was 35.8 cm yr−1. Greenland was divided into five subregions, and the preferred synoptic patterns for receiving precipitation in each region include cyclones positioned to allow dynamic and orographic lift in each region. Annual precipitation contributions from each SLP pattern were isolated to reveal that half of the annual mean precipitation over Greenland comes from only 11 of the 35 identified synoptic patterns (31.4%), highlighting the importance of studying Greenland precipitation on an event-by-event basis on a daily time scale.

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