On forecasting tracks of tropical disturbances using ATOVS data over Bay of Bengal

lkj &,d m".kdfVca/kh; vonkc ds thou pØ ds vkadMs+ rFkk nks m".kdfVca/kh; pØokrh rwQkuksa ds o"kZ 2002&03 dh vof/k ds vkadMs+ mPp Vh- vks- oh- ,l- ¼,- Vh- vks- oh- ,l-½ /kzqod{kh; mixzgksa ,u- vks- ,- , 15 rFkk 16] ftuesa mPp lw{e rjaxh; ifjKkiu bdkbZ ¼,- ,e- ,l- ;w½ yxh gqbZ gaS ls izkIr fd, x, gSa ftudk fo’ys"k.k bu rwQkuksa ds ekxZ dk iwokZuqeku djus ds fy, fd;k x;k gSA bu ekSle fo{kksHkksa ds 700&400 gsDVkikLdy ¼gs-ik-½ Lrj esa e/; {kksHkeaMyh; m".krk e/; Lrjh ckfgokZg ds dkj.k gksrh gS tks rwQku ds 200&700 fd-eh- vkxs rd foLrkfjr gksrh gS rFkk fo{kksHkksa dh xfr’khyrk dk djhc 6 ls 24 ?kaVs igys iwokZuqeku djus esa iwoZ ladsrd dk dk;Z djrh gSA ;g fo{kksHk yxHkx mlh v{k dks vuqxeu djrk gS tks e/; {kksHkeaMy esa foLrkfjr ¼vkxs c<s+ gq,½ ftg~okdkj m".k {ks= dks dsUnz ls tksM+rk gSA e/;e rhozrk okys nks HkweaMyh; pØokrksa dh fLFkfr esa tc 7º ls 13º lsfYl;l rkieku dk m"edksj Åijh {kksHkeaMyh; Lrj ¼250&200 gs-ik-½ ds djhc dsafnzr jgk ml le; vonkc dh fLFkfr esa fdlh fo’ks"k m".krk dk irk ugha pyk gSA Advanced TOVS (ATOVS), comprising the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU), data obtained from polar orbiting satellites NOAA 15 and 16 during the life cycle of a tropical depression and two tropical cyclonic storms during 2002-03 have been analysed to predict the track of these disturbances. The mid-tropospheric warming due to altostratus outflow from these weather disturbances in the layer 700 – 400 hPa which protrudes about 200 -700 km ahead the storm acts as a pre-cursor to predict the movement of the disturbances with a lead time of about 6 to 24 hours. The disturbance almost follows the axis connecting the centre with the warm tongue that protrudes ahead of the disturbance in the mid-troposphere. While warm core of 7 to 13° C is centered around the upper tropospheric level (250 – 200 hPa) in the case the two moderate intensity tropical cyclones, no significant warmness could be seen in the depression stage.

Combining FY-3D MWTS-2 with AMSU-A Data for Inter-Decadal Diurnal Correction and Climate Trends of Atmospheric Temperature

Microwave temperature sounding observations from polar-orbiting meteorological satellites have been widely used for research on climate trends of atmospheric temperature at different heights around the world. Taking the Amazon rainforest as the target area, this study combined the Microwave Temperature Sounder-2 (MWTS-2) data onboard the Chinese FengYun-3D (FY-3D) satellite with the Advanced Microwave Sounding unit-A (AMSU-A) data onboard the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the European Meteorological Operational (MetOp) polar-orbiting meteorological satellites (i.e., NOAA-15, −18, −19, MetOp-A, -B). The double difference method was used to estimate and thus eliminate the inter-sensor bias, and a decadal diurnal correction was used to reduce the impact of different local equator crossing times on climate trends. The “no-rain” conditions were determined for AMSU-A data by channels 1 and 15, and for MWTS-2 data by channels 1 and 7. Finally, the decadal linear trends of atmospheric temperature from 1998 to 2020 were obtained after applying the inter-sensor bias calibration and inter-decadal diurnal correction to AMSU-A and MWTS-2 data from NOAA-15, −18, −19; MetOp-A, -B; and FY-3D. A warming trend was found in the AMSU-A window and tropospheric channels (1–9 and 15) and a cooling trend in stratospheric channels (10–14). The warming (cooling) trends of channels 7–9 (10) were relatively small. The warming (cooling) trends of AMSU-A channels 1–6 (14–15) were significantly reduced after the inter-decadal diurnal correction.

Impact of Assimilating FY-3D MWTS-2 Upper Air Sounding Data on Forecasting Typhoon Lekima (2019)

In this study, the Fengyun-3D (FY-3D) clear-sky microwave temperature sounder-2 (MWTS-2) radiances were directly assimilated in the regional mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation system. The assimilation experiments were conducted to compare the track errors of typhoon Lekima from uses of the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) radiances (EXP_AD) with those from FY-3D MWTS-2 upper-air sounding data at channels 5–7 (EXP_AMD). The clear-sky mean bias-corrected observation-minus-background (O-B) values of FY-3D MWTS-2 channels 5, 6, and 7 are 0.27, 0.10 and 0.57 K, respectively, which are smaller than those without bias corrections. Compared with the control experiment, which was the forecast of the WRF model without use of satellite data, the assimilation of satellite radiances can improve the forecast performance and reduce the mean track error by 8.7% (~18.4 km) and 30% (~58.6 km) beyond 36 h through the EXP_AD and EXP_AMD, respectively. The direction of simulated steering flow changed from southwest in the EXP_AD to southeast in the EXP_AMD, which can be pivotal to forecasting the landfall of typhoon Lekima (2019) three days in advance. Assimilation of MWTS-2 upper-troposphere channels 5–7 has great potential to improve the track forecasts for typhoon Lekima.

Temperature decadal trends, and their relation to diurnal variations in the lower thermosphere, stratosphere, and mesosphere, based on measurements from SABER on TIMED

We have derived the behavior of decadal temperature trends over the 24 h of local time, based on zonal averages of SABER data, for the years 2012 to 2014, from 20 to 100 km, within 48∘ of the Equator. Similar results have not been available previously. We find that the temperature trends, based on zonal mean measurements at a fixed local time, can be different from those based on measurements made at a different fixed local time. The trends can vary significantly in local time, even from hour to hour. This agrees with some findings based on nighttime lidar measurements. This knowledge is relevant because the large majority of temperature measurements, especially in the stratosphere, are made by instruments on sun-synchronous operational satellites which measure at only one or two fixed local times, for the duration of their missions. In these cases, the zonal mean trends derived from various satellite data are tied to the specific local times at which each instrument samples the data, and the trends are then also biased by the local time. Consequently, care is needed in comparing trends based on various measurements with each other, unless the data are all measured at the same local time. Similar caution is needed when comparing with models, since the zonal means from 3D models reflect averages over both longitude and the 24 h of local time. Consideration is also needed in merging data from various sources to produce generic, continuous, longer-term records. Diurnal variations of temperature themselves, in the form of thermal tides, are well known and are due to absorption of solar radiation. We find that at least part of the reason that temperature trends are different for different local times is that the amplitudes and phases of the tides themselves follow trends over the same time span of the data. Many of the past efforts have focused on the temperature values with local time when merging data from various sources and on the effect of unintended satellite orbital drifts, which result in drifting local times at which the temperatures are measured. However, the effect of local time on trends has not been well researched. We also derive estimates of trends by simulating the drift of local time due to drifting orbits. Our comparisons with results found by others (Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit, AMSU; lidar) are favorable and informative. They may explain, at least in part, the bridge between results based on daytime AMSU data and nighttime lidar measurements. However, these examples do not form a pattern, and more comparisons and study are needed.

Assessing Sensitivity of MERRA-2 to AMSU-A in the Upper Stratosphere

Microwave temperature sounders provide key observations in data assimilation, both in the current and historical global observing systems, as they provide the largest amount of horizontal and vertical temperature information due to their insensitivity to clouds. In the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2), microwave sounder radiances from the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) are assimilated beginning with NOAA-15 and continuing through the current period. The time series of observation minus background statistics for AMSU-A channels sensitive to upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere show variabilities due to changes in AMSU-A constellation in the early AMSU-A period. Noted discrepancies are seen at the onset and exit of AMSU-A observations on the NOAA-15, NOAA-16, NOAA-17, and NASA EOS Aqua satellites. This effort characterizes the sensitivity, both in terms of the observations and the MERRA-2 analysis. Furthermore, it explores the use of reprocessed and inter-calibrated datasets to evaluate whether these homogenized observations can reduce the disparity due to change in instrumental biases against the model background. The results indicate that the AMSU-A radiances used in MERRA-2 are the fundamental cause of this inter-platform sensitivity which can be mitigated by using reprocessed data. The results explore the importance of the reprocessing of the AMSU-A radiances as well as their inter-calibration.

A New Method for Hail Detection from the GPM Constellation: A Prospect for a Global Hailstorm Climatology

A new method for detecting hailstorms by using all the MHS-like (MHS, Microwave Humidity Sounder) satellite radiometers currently in orbit is presented. A probability-based model originally designed for AMSU-B/MHS-based (AMSU-B, Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-B) radiometers has been fitted to the observations of all microwave radiometers onboard the satellites of the Global Precipitation Measurements (GPM) constellation. All MHS-like frequency channels in the 150–170 GHz frequency range were adjusted on the MHS channel 2 (157 GHz) in order to account for the instrumental differences and tune the original model on the MHS-like technical characteristics. The novelty of this approach offers the potential of retrieving a uniform and homogeneous hail dataset on the global scale. The application of the hail detection model to the entire GPM constellation demonstrates the high potential of this generalized model to map the evolution of hail-bearing systems at very high temporal rate. The results on the global scale also demonstrate the high performances of the hail model in detecting the differences of hailstorm structure across the two hemispheres by means of a thorough reconstruction of the seasonality of the events particularly in South America where the largest hailstones are typically observed.

Inter-Calibration of AMSU-A Window Channels

More than one decade of observations from the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) onboard the polar-orbiting satellites NOAA-15 to NOAA-19 and European Meteorological Operational satellite program-A (MetOp-A) provided global information on atmospheric temperature profiles, water vapor, cloud, precipitation, etc. These observations were primarily intended for weather related prediction and applications, however, in order to meet the requirements for climate application, further reprocessing must be conducted to first eliminate any potential satellites biases. After the geolocation and cross-scan bias corrections were applied to the dataset, follow-on research focused on the comparison amongst AMSU-A window channels (e.g., 23.8, 31.4, 50.3 and 89.0 GHz) from the six different satellites to remove any inter-satellite inconsistency. Inter-satellite differences can arise from many error sources, such as bias drift, sun-heating-induced instrument variability in brightness temperatures, radiance dependent biases due to inaccurate calibration nonlinearity, etc. The Integrated microwave inter-calibration approach (IMICA) approach was adopted in this study for inter-satellite calibration of AMSU-A window channels after the appropriate standard deviation (STD) thresholds were identified to restrict Simultaneous Nadir Overpass (SNO) data for window channels. This was a critical step towards the development of a set of fundamental and thematic climate data records (CDRs) for hydrological and climatological applications. NOAA-15 served as the main reference satellite for this study. For ensuing studies that expand to beyond 2015, however, it is recommended that a different satellite be adopted as the reference due to concerns over potential degradation of NOAA-15 AMSU-A.

Calibration and Validation of Antenna and Brightness Temperatures from Metop-C Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A)

This study carries out the calibration and validation of Antenna Temperature Data Record (TDR) and Brightness Temperature Sensor Data Record (SDR) data from the last National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) flown on the Meteorological Operational satellite programme (MetOp)-C satellite. The calibration comprises the selection of optimal space view positions for the instrument and the determination of coefficients in calibration equations from the Raw Data Record (RDR) to TDR and SDR. The validation covers the analyses of the instrument noise equivalent differential temperature (NEDT) performance and the TDR and SDR data quality from the launch until 15 November 2019. In particular, the Metop-C data quality is assessed by comparing to radiative transfer model simulations and observations from Metop-A/B AMSU-A, respectively. The results demonstrate that the on-orbit instrument NEDTs have been stable since launch and continue to meet the specifications at most channels except for channel 3, whose NEDT exceeds the specification after April 2019. The quality of the Metop-C AMSU-A data for all channels except channel 3 have been reliable since launch. The quality at channel 3 is degraded due to the noise exceeding the specification. Compared to its TDR data, the Metop-C AMSU-A SDR data exhibit a reduced and more symmetric scan angle-dependent bias against radiative transfer model simulations, demonstrating the great performance of the TDR to SDR conversion coefficients. Additionally, the Metop-C AMSU-A data quality agrees well with Metop-A/B AMSU-A data, with an averaged difference in the order of 0.3 K, which is confirmed based on Simultaneous Nadir Overpass (SNO) inter-sensor comparisons between Metop-A/B/C AMSU-A instruments via either NOAA-18 or NOAA-19 AMSU-A as a transfer.