reliability calculation
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2021 ◽  
Vol 2137 (1) ◽  
pp. 012028
Author(s):  
Dengjie Zhu ◽  
Yongli Liao ◽  
Hao Li ◽  
Jie Tang ◽  
Zenghao Huang ◽  
...  

Abstract Transmission lines inevitably cross railroads, highways, and other facilities, and in order to ensure the safety and reliability of the cross-crossing section, the influence of various random factors on important cross-crossing transmission lines needs to be fully considered. In this paper, the transmission line crossing section is treated as a tandem system according to the force transmission route, and the reliability calculation method of the cross-crossing transmission line system based on the tandem system is proposed. The reliability calculation method of each component and the reliability calculation method of the tandem system are given. Finally, an example of the reliability calculation of a 220kV cross-crossing transmission line system is given, and the results show that the cross-crossing section has the highest reliability of tower FSJ404, with a reliability index of 8.61, the second highest reliability of insulators, with a reliability index of 7.22, and the lowest reliability of tower FSJ302, with a reliability index of 4.28. The failure probability of the cross-crossing section is 0.000009245, and the reliability index is 4.28.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2137 (1) ◽  
pp. 012014
Author(s):  
Yuehao Yan ◽  
Wei Bao ◽  
Shuai Gao ◽  
Quan Wang

Abstract With the rapid development of power system, the distribution network structure is gradually mature and the connection situation is more complex. The traditional distribution network reliability calculation method can not accurately calculate the reliability index of complex distribution network. Based on the traditional simple power supply reliability evaluation method of radial distribution network, this paper completely considers the influence of circuit breaker, tie switch, branch line, standby transformer and other equipment, and puts forward an improved network equivalence method model. The model first treats the complex distribution system in layers, and then gradually equates it into a simple radial distribution network to calculate the reliability of the system. At the same time, this paper analyzes the distribution network with multi connection structure in a provincial capital city. The results show that this model simplifies the complexity of distribution system reliability calculation, improves the accuracy and speed of reliability calculation, and more truly reflects the reliability of actual distribution system.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyuan Liu ◽  
Chunfu Shao

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Yongfeng Fang ◽  
Kong Fah Tee ◽  
Zhengwei Cheng ◽  
Xu Yong

For series, parallel, and k-out-of-n voting system reliability calculation methods, the six σ principles have been proposed in this study to derive the interchange relationship between interval parameters and random parameters. The interval reliability index can be expressed in the function of the random reliability index. The interval reliability index can then be transformed into a random reliability index. The computational method of the reliability for series, parallel, and k-out-of-n voting systems with interval parameters is established. Finally, it has been shown that the proposed method is rational, practical, and applicable with two engineering practical simulations.


Author(s):  
Yanjie Xiao ◽  
Xun'an Zhang ◽  
Ronggang Xue

The seismic reliability calculation of complex building structures requires a lot of simulation analysis and therefore the calculation cost is high. Fitting performance function with surrogate model can improve computational efficiency, but how to ensure the calculation accuracy while improving the reliability analysis efficiency of the engineering structure is a problem worthy of study. This paper proposes a Kriging-based reliability analysis method, which establishes the Kriging surrogate model with fewer calculations of the performance function, improves the accuracy of the surrogate model of performance function by infill-sampling, and obtains the approximate failure probability combined with Monte Carlo simulation. Two numerical examples are analyzed; the results show that this method is efficient and accurate. The method is applied to the seismic reliability calculation of mega-sub controlled structural system, in which the randomness of structure and seismic action is considered. The application results show that it is an effective method for reliability analysis of complex building structures.


Author(s):  
A.I. Pashentsev ◽  
A.A. Garmider

The author’s vision of the methodological aspect of assessing the reliability of medium pressure gas pipelines is presented. Analysis of existing methods for assessing the reliability of gas pipelines with the identification of positive and negative features was carried out, a methodological approach to assessing the reliability of medium pressure gas pipelines by gas flow rate and pressure was developed and tested, and a scale for identifying the results of reliability calculation was developed. The test conducted on the example of a really working gas pipeline with a test for reliability showed its promise.


2021 ◽  
pp. 210-219
Author(s):  
Denis A. Migov ◽  
Tatyana V. Snytnikova ◽  
Alexey S. Rodionov ◽  
Vyacheslav I. Kanevsky

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