Modeling Mobility Pattern for the Corona-Virus Epidemic Spread Propagation and Death Rate in Nigeria using the Movement-Interaction-Return Model

Modeling the propagation rate of diseases in a society via social interaction has continued to pose its many challenges. The recent spread of the covid-19 epidemic cannot be left out. Thus, social interactions heralds its many benefits and has becomes a vehicle for epidemic outbreaks –which has continually left the world puzzled as the disease itself has come to stay. The nature of its rapid propagation on exposure alongside its migration spread pattern of this contagion (with retrospect of other epidemics) on daily basis, has also left experts rethinking the set protocols. Our study models the spread propagation of the corona-virus contagion using the movement-interaction-return on a social graph. Thus, weseek to measure if the corona-virus (covid-19)spread propagation can be minimized alongside its death rate using movement pattern as a threshold feature and set of protocols. We design a Markovian block model to help minimize targeted propagation with the advent of seed-node(s) using the susceptible-infect structure on a time-varying graph. Study results showed that movement pattern must be employed as an imperative factors when modeling the propagation of contagion(s).

From Claims to Violence: Signaling, Outbidding, and Escalation in Ethnic Conflict

Do radical political demands increase the risk of ethnic civil conflict? And why do ethnic movements make radical demands in the first place? We contend that when movements are fragmented, individual organizations use far-reaching claims relative to the status quo to attract attention from the government, boost intra-organizational discipline, and outbid rivals. Yet, such radical claims also increase the risk of conflict escalation. We test our arguments at both the ethnic group and organizational levels, using a new dataset on ethno-political organizations and their political demands. Our results show that the scope of demands increases the more organizations exist within an ethnic movement and that radical demands increase the risk of civil conflict onset. This effect is specific to the dyadic government-movement interaction, irrespective of other ethnic groups in the country. Moreover, at the organizational level, radicalization in demands increases the likelihood that an organization becomes engaged in civil conflict.

Features of Technical Training of Athletes who Specialize in Football

The article is devoted to the study of the problem of technical training of athletes who specialize in football. The purpose of the article is to identify the features of technical training of football players. To achieve this goal, the following research methods were used: analysis of scientific and methodological literature, testing, pedagogical observation, pedagogical experiment, mathematical statistics. The experiment took place in four stages. During the first stage of the study, an analysis and generalization of scientific and methodological literature was conducted in order to clarify the state of the research problem; the contradictions and the problem of researches are formulated. In the second stage of the study, an analysis of football skills was conducted and a program of formative pedagogical experiment was developed. At the next stage, an experiment was conducted aimed at the practical substantiation of the effectiveness of experimental methods of technical training of athletes specializing in football. The final stage is devoted to qualitative and quantitative analysis of research results; their theoretical generalization and systematization; formulation of conclusions and main provisions. So, summarizing all the above, we can conclude that the technical training of players depends on careful systematization and use by the coach of all methods in training and application of the developed methods of technical training of athletes helps to improve the quality of knowledge of basic techniques, practical mastery various combinations, in terms of movement, interaction with teammates and opposition from the opponent.

Inclusive thinking in fashion design: ergonomic and practical apparel for elderly

This work aimed to propose the construction of two clothing products with ergonomic characteristics, to be seen: a men's T-shirt and a women's dress. The study is characterized by exploratory research, in which it addressed the needs of the elderly to clothing and their body-movement interaction. Initially, we sought to empathically understand through the visual analysis of clothing products for the elderly, in addition to an exploratory bibliographic review to understand the state of the art of the subject. The methodology used started from the knowledge provided by Bernard Lobach and Mike Baxter, in their product development proposals. As a result, a common denominator that could be explored was reached: the collar. Thus, it focused on the development of a collar that does not hurt them and at the same time provides independence in the motor act of dressing and undressing when using clothing products. To make the practical collar, the raw materials were used 100% cotton and viscolycra, justified by their composition properties. The proposal of the project is, therefore, to provide consumers of third parties with a product that offers, practically and intelligently, a viable solution that gives autonomy to the experience of the elderly, to the extent that it is also able to facilitate the work actions of their caregiver.

Moving towards music: Viewing early years musical engagement through the lenses of movement, interaction, motivation, agency, identity and context

This article provides a broad overview of the theoretical approaches underpinning our understanding of early musical development, and considers how this sets the foundation for later development across the lifespan. Through a review of research evidence and theory, I argue for the importance of interaction in thinking about musical development: movement is at the heart of theories of development; interaction and synchrony form the foundation for music learning; and motivation, agency and identity shape patterns of early engagement with music. The importance of setting these activities in context is also emphasized: for parents, teachers and researchers to fully understand young children’s musical experiences, it is vital to consider the cultural contexts and histories of the musical materials, the listener and the situation, as well as how these interact.