Influence of Saharan dust on Atlantic tropical cyclones

The influence of Saharan dust outbreaks on summertime Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity is explored using continuous atmospheric reanalysis products and TC track data from 1980 to 2019. Analyses reveal that the Saharan dust plume over the tropical Atlantic can affect TC activity by affecting the atmospheric hydrology and radiation absorbed by the earth's surface, which can be classified into three mechanisms. (1) A strong Saharan dust plume indirectly induces the reduction of atmospheric moisture, which further suppresses TC track, number of TC days, and intensity, with the influence covering the whole tropical Atlantic. (2) A strong Saharan dust plume enhances atmospheric moisture just along the North Atlantic ITCZ through the dust microphysical effect, which further promotes TC activity along 10º N latitude in June. (3) The climatological influence of dust on TC activity is caused by the strong radiative forcing of Saharan dust over the eastern tropical Atlantic in June, which produces an evident reduction in SST and lessens the duration and intensity of regional TC activity in June, according to the 40-yr average from 1980 to 2019.

Weaker AMOC in coupled models inhibits north tropical Atlantic impact on ENSO

<p align="justify"><span>Observational studies have reported that interannual variability of sea surface temperature in two tropical Atlantic regions can act as ENSO predictors in different seasons and periods: boreal summer Atlantic Nino (AN) in negative phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variabil- ˜ ity (AMV); and boreal spring tropical north Atlantic (TNA) in positive AMV. The robustness of the AMV role in the interbasin connection remains an open question due to the short observational record. Using observations and pre-industrial climate model simulations, we demonstrate for the first time that latitudinal displacements of the Atlantic ITCZ act as a switch for the type of inter-basin teleconnection. During periods in which the Atlantic ITCZ is further equatorward (northward) AN (TNA) impacts ENSO. This ITCZ location can be 1 affected by several factors, including the inter-hemispheric SST gradients associated with AMV.Coupled models success in capturing the AN-ENSO connection. Nevertheless, they have difficulties in reproducing the TNA-ENSO connection because they overestimate rainfall in the southern tropical Atlantic. The TNA-ENSO connection occurs sporadically during periods when the ITCZ is shifted further northward in association with strong heat transports by the AMOC. Weaker AMOC periods in coupled models don't present the TNA-ENSO connection. State-of-the-art models still need to improve for correctly representing tropical Atlantic impact on ENSO.</span></p>

Biases in the Atlantic ITCZ in Seasonal–Interannual Variations for a Coarse- and a High-Resolution Coupled Climate Model

Using two fully coupled ocean–atmosphere models—Climate Model version 2.1 (CM2.1), developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, and Climate Model version 2.5 (CM2.5), a new high-resolution climate model based on CM2.1—the characteristics and sources of SST and precipitation biases associated with the Atlantic ITCZ have been investigated. CM2.5 has an improved simulation of the annual mean and the annual cycle of the rainfall over the Sahel and northern South America, while CM2.1 shows excessive Sahel rainfall and lack of northern South America rainfall in boreal summer. This marked improvement in CM2.5 is due to not only high-resolved orography but also a significant reduction of biases in the seasonal meridional migration of the ITCZ. In particular, the seasonal northward migration of the ITCZ in boreal summer is coupled to the seasonal variation of SST and a subsurface doming of the thermocline in the northeastern tropical Atlantic, known as the Guinea Dome. Improvements in the ITCZ allow for better representation of the coupled processes that are important for an abrupt seasonally phase-locked decay of the interannual SST anomaly in the northern tropical Atlantic. Nevertheless, the differences between CM2.5 and CM2.1 were not sufficient to reduce the warm SST biases in the eastern equatorial region and Angola–Benguela area. The weak bias of southerly winds along the southwestern African coast associated with the excessive southward migration bias of the ITCZ may be a key to improve the warm SST biases there.