Structural Reliability of Oil Tanker in the Adriatic Sea Damaged in Collision and Exposed to Combined Bending Moments

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maro Ćorak ◽  
Joško Parunov
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
State Function ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Damage Stability ◽  
Safety Indices ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Damaged Ship

The aim of the paper is the assessment of structural reliability of oil tanker which may be damaged in collision accident in the Adriatic Sea and exposed to combined, horizontal and vertical bending moments. Damage size is assumed based on the direct numerical simulation of the ship-ship collision. This is justified for some specific sea environments, as the Adriatic Sea, where ship sailing routes and representative ship types involved in accidents are known, so possible collision scenarios may be reasonably predicted. Residual bending moment capacity under combined bending moment is calculated using regression equations developed based on non-linear finite element analysis. Still water vertical bending moments are obtained by damage stability analysis. Vertical and horizontal wave bending moments are determined by short-term response analysis of damaged ship in the Adriatic Sea, using transfer functions obtained by 3D panel hydrodynamic method. Limit state function is defined using interaction equation for damaged ship exposed to combined bending moments. Safety indices are calculated by FORM for different collision scenarios that are generated by MC simulations. Such approach enables to determine the safety indices for the most frequent damages and also to reveal the most critical situations resulting in the lowest safety indices.

Structural Reliability of Oil Tanker in the Adriatic Sea Damaged in Collision and Exposed to Combined Bending Moments

2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maro Ćorak ◽  
Joško Parunov
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Load Combination ◽  
Horizontal Wave ◽  
Safety Indices ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Damaged Ship

Abstract The aim of the paper is the assessment of structural reliability of oil tanker, damaged in collision accident in the Adriatic Sea and exposed to combined, horizontal, and vertical bending moments. Damage size is assumed based on the direct numerical simulation of the ship–ship collision. This is justified for some specific sea environments, as the Adriatic Sea, where ship sailing routes and representative ship types involved in accidents are known, so possible collision scenarios may be reasonably predicted. Residual bending moment capacity under combined bending moments (CBM) is calculated using regression equations developed based on non-linear finite element analysis. Still-water vertical bending moments are obtained by damage stability analysis for different collision scenarios that are generated by Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. Vertical and horizontal wave bending moments are determined by short-term response analysis of damaged ship in the Adriatic Sea, using transfer functions obtained by 3D panel hydrodynamic method. Monte Carlo time simulations are performed in order to study probabilistic load combination (LC) considering randomness of the wave process due to different phase angles. Limit state function is defined using interaction equation for damaged ship exposed to combined bending moments. Safety indices are calculated by FORM for each damage scenario by using Turkstra's rule for load combination of vertical and horizontal wave bending moments. Such an approach enables to determine the safety indices for the most frequent damages and also to reveal the most critical situations resulting in the lowest safety indices.

scholarly journals Structural Reliability Assessment of an Oil Tanker Accidentally Grounded in the Adriatic Sea

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maro Ćorak ◽  
Joško Parunov ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Sea State ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Mc Simulation ◽  
Safety Indices ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Rock Size

The aim of the paper is to present a methodology for the assessment of the structural reliability of an oil tanker damaged in a hypothetical grounding accident in the Adriatic Sea. The grounding accident affects the ultimate hull girder capacity in the damaged region, the still water bending moment (SWBM) distribution along the vessel as well as the vertical wave bending moments (VWBM). The extent of the damage on the ship’s hull after a grounding accident depends on several parameters such as ship‘s speed, rock size, penetration depth, longitudinal and transversal location of stranding along the hull. These parameters are in the present study assumed as random variables, described by probability density functions. Based on defined statistical properties, random realizations of grounding parameters are simulated by Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. For each such random grounding scenario, the damage size is calculated by the surrogate model based on numerical grounding simulations. Residual ultimate strength and SWBM distribution are determined based on the size and location of the damage. VWBM is calculated for average sea state in the area with increased risk of grounding accident in the Adriatic Sea. Structural reliability analysis is employed to determine the safety index with respect to the ultimate hull girder failure for salvage period of 12 hours. As each grounding scenario results in different hull-girder reliability, histogram of safety indices is obtained representing new measures for the performance assessment of the damaged ship.

Probabilistic Load Combination Factors of Wave and Whipping Bending Moments

2015 ◽  
Vol 59 (01) ◽  
pp. 11-30
Author(s):  
Maro Corak ◽  
Joško Parunov ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Values ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Practical Method ◽  
Time Instant ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Load Combination ◽  
Combination Methods ◽  
Probabilistic Load

Extreme values of wave and whipping bending moments are important in structural design of large containerships. Since the extreme values of these two, partially correlated processes do not occur at the same time instant and even at the same environmental conditions, it is necessary to combine them by using probabilistic load combination methods. The correlation analysis between wave and whipping bending moments is performed and a practical method for calculation of the most probable load combination factor between considered bending moments is presented. Short-term load combination factors are calculated by reconstruction of the signal from the frequency domain solution. Results are validated by comparison with model test data of the 9400-TEU containership for various sea states and speeds and heading angles. Practical regression equations for estimation of the most probable short-term load combination factor are formulated. Regression equations are then used in the computation of the long-term distribution of combined bending moment. The procedure is demonstrated on the example of the two large containerships.

The Effect of Sloshing in Tanks on the Hull Girder Bending Moments and Structural Reliability of Damaged Vessels

2012 ◽  
Vol 56 (01) ◽  
pp. 48-62
Author(s):  
Huirong Jia ◽  
Torgeir Moan
Keyword(s):  
Failure Probability ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Multimodal Approach ◽  
Coupled Motion ◽  
Rectangular Shape ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Damaged Vessel

The structural reliability analysis of damaged vessels has commonly been conducted by neglecting the effect of sloshing. In this paper, the coupled motion of the damaged vessel and sloshing is set up based on the assumption that the damaged tanks are of rectangular shape. The sloshing effects in tanks are modeled by a linear multimodal approach. Then the effect of sloshing in tanks on the hull girder bending moments and the failure probability are studied for an oil tanker in various damage conditions. It is concluded that in certain tank resonance conditions, sloshing effects cannot be neglected. In such cases sloshing damping plays an important role on the sloshing effects.

scholarly journals Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Beams Subjected to Uniform and Pitting Corrosion and Brittle Fracture

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 1820
Author(s):  
Mohamed El Amine Ben Seghier ◽  
Behrooz Keshtegar ◽  
Hussam Mahmoud
Keyword(s):  
Reinforced Concrete ◽  
Brittle Fracture ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Pitting Corrosion ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
State Function ◽  
Rc Beams ◽  
Highly Nonlinear ◽  
Reliability Method

Reinforced concrete (RC) beams are basic elements used in the construction of various structures and infrastructural systems. When exposed to harsh environmental conditions, the integrity of RC beams could be compromised as a result of various deterioration mechanisms. One of the most common deterioration mechanisms is the formation of different types of corrosion in the steel reinforcements of the beams, which could impact the overall reliability of the beam. Existing classical reliability analysis methods have shown unstable results when used for the assessment of highly nonlinear problems, such as corroded RC beams. To that end, the main purpose of this paper is to explore the use of a structural reliability method for the multi-state assessment of corroded RC beams. To do so, an improved reliability method, namely the three-term conjugate map (TCM) based on the first order reliability method (FORM), is used. The application of the TCM method to identify the multi-state failure of RC beams is validated against various well-known structural reliability-based FORM formulations. The limit state function (LSF) for corroded RC beams is formulated in accordance with two corrosion types, namely uniform and pitting corrosion, and with consideration of brittle fracture due to the pit-to-crack transition probability. The time-dependent reliability analyses conducted in this study are also used to assess the influence of various parameters on the resulting failure probability of the corroded beams. The results show that the nominal bar diameter, corrosion initiation rate, and the external loads have an important influence on the safety of these structures. In addition, the proposed method is shown to outperform other reliability-based FORM formulations in predicting the level of reliability in RC beams.

Effect of Torsion on Collapse Bending Moment for 24-Inch Diameter Schedule 80 Pipes With Wall Thinning

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kunio Hasegawa ◽  
Yinsheng Li ◽  
Bostjan Bezensek ◽  
Phuong Hoang
Keyword(s):  
Power Plants ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Combined Loading ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Compressive Stresses ◽  
Wall Thinning ◽  
Nominal Thickness ◽  
Calculation Results ◽  
Loading Modes ◽  
Local Wall Thinning

Piping items in power plants may experience combined bending and torsion moments during operation. Currently, there is a lack of guidance in the ASME B&PV Code Section XI for combined loading modes including pressure, torsion and bending. Finite element analyses were conducted for 24-inch diameter Schedule 80 pipes with local wall thinning subjected to tensile and compressive stresses. Plastic collapse bending moments were calculated under constant torsion moments. From the calculation results, it can be seen that collapse bending moment for pipes with local thinning subjected to tensile stress is smaller than that subjected to compressive stress. In addition, equivalent moment is defined as the root the sum of the squares of the torsion and bending moments. It is found that the equivalent moments can be approximated with the pure bending moments, when the wall thinning length is equal or less than 7.73R·t for the wall thinning depth of 75% of the nominal thickness, where R is the mean radius and t is the wall thickness of the pipe.

An Efficient Response Surface Method Using Givens Transformation for Structural Reliability Analysis

2012 ◽  
Vol 532-533 ◽  
pp. 408-411
Author(s):  
Wei Tao Zhao ◽  
Yi Yang ◽  
Tian Jun Yu
Keyword(s):  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
State Function ◽  
Limit State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Mathematical Techniques ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Improved Accuracy

The response surface method was proposed as a collection of statistical and mathematical techniques that are useful for modeling and analyzing a system which is influenced by several input variables. This method gives an explicit approximation of the implicit limit state function of the structure through a number of deterministic structural analyses. However, the position of the experimental points is very important to improve the accuracy of the evaluation of failure probability. In the paper, the experimental points are obtained by using Givens transformation in such way these experimental points nearly close to limit state function. A Numerical example is presented to demonstrate the improved accuracy and computational efficiency of the proposed method compared to the classical response surface method. As seen from the result of the example, the proposed method leads to a better approximation of the limit state function over a large region of the design space, and the number of experimental points using the proposed method is less than that of classical response surface method.

Response surface method strategies coupled with NLFEA for structural reliability analysis of prestressed bridges

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia J. Sarmiento Nova ◽  
Jaime Gonzalez-Libreros ◽  
Gabriel Sas ◽  
Rafael A. Sanabria Díaz ◽  
Maria C. A. Texeira da Silva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Material Behavior ◽  
Nonlinear Material ◽  
State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Highly Nonlinear

<p>The Response Surface Method (RSM) has become an essential tool to solve structural reliability problems due to its accuracy, efficacy, and facility for coupling with Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis (NLFEA). In this paper, some strategies to improve the RSM efficacy without compromising its accuracy are tested. Initially, each strategy is implemented to assess the safety level of a highly nonlinear explicit limit state function. The strategy with the best results is then identified and used to carry out a reliability analysis of a prestressed concrete bridge, considering the nonlinear material behavior through NLFEA simulation. The calculated value of &#120573; is compared with the target value established in Eurocode for ULS. The results showed how RSM can be a practical methodology and how the improvements presented can reduce the computational cost of a traditional RSM giving a good alternative to simulation methods such as Monte Carlo.</p>

Investigation of Smooth Pipe Bends Under the Effect of In-Plane Bending

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diana Abdulhameed ◽  
Michael Martens ◽  
J. J. Roger Cheng ◽  
Samer Adeeb
Keyword(s):  
High Stress ◽  
Circular Cross Section ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Bend Angle ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Bend Radius ◽  
Pipe Bend ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Smooth Pipe ◽  
Plane Bending

Pipe bends are frequently used to change the direction in pipeline systems and they are considered one of the critical components as well. Bending moments acting on the pipe bends result from the surrounding environment, such as thermal expansions, soil deformations, and external loads. As a result of these bending moments, the initially circular cross-section of the pipe bend deforms into an oval shape. This consequently changes the pipe bend’s flexibility leading to higher stresses compared to straight pipes. Past studies considered the case of a closing in-plane bending moment on 90-degree pipe bends and proposed factors that account for the increased flexibility and high-stress levels. These factors are currently presented in the design codes and known as the flexibility and stress intensification factors (SIF). This paper covers the behaviour of an initially circular cross-sectional smooth pipe bend of uniform thickness subjected to in-plane opening/closing bending moment. ABAQUS FEA software is used in this study to model pipe bends with different nominal pipe sizes, bend angles, and various bend radius to cross-sectional pipe radius ratios. A comparison between the CSA-Z662 code and the FEA results is conducted to investigate the applicability of the currently used SIF factor presented in the design code for different loading cases. The study showed that the in-plane bending moment direction acting on the pipe has a significant effect on the stress distribution and the flexibility of the pipe bend. The variation of bend angle and bend radius showed that it affects the maximum stress drastically and should be considered as a parameter in the flexibility and SIF factors. Moreover, the CSA results are found to be un-conservative in some cases depending on the bend angle and direction of the applied bending moment.

Load Combination for Fatigue Analysis of Ship Structures

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yung S. Shin ◽  
Booki Kim ◽  
Alexander J. Fyfe
Keyword(s):  
Bending Moment ◽  
Linear Summation ◽  
Load Combination ◽  
Longitudinal Stiffeners ◽  
Stress Components ◽  
Tank Pressure ◽  
Wave Induced ◽  
Vertical Bending Moment ◽  
Oil Tanker

A methodology for calculating the correlation factors to combine the long-term dynamic stress components of ship structure from various loads in seas is presented. The methodology is based on a theory of a stationary ergodic narrow-banded Gaussian process. The total combined stress in short-tem sea states is expressed by linear summation of the component stresses with the corresponding combination factors. This expression is proven to be mathematically exact when applied to a single random sea. The long-term total stress is similarly expressed by linear summation of component stresses with appropriate combination factors. The stress components considered here are due to wave-induced vertical bending moment, wave-induced horizontal bending moment, external wave pressure and internal tank pressure. For application, the stress combination factors are calculated for longitudinal stiffeners in cargo and ballast tanks of a crude oil tanker at midship section. It is found that the combination factors strongly depend on wave heading and period in the short-term sea states. It is also found that the combination factors are not sensitive to the selected probability of exceedance level of the stress in the long-term sense.

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