The Effect of Sloshing in Tanks on the Hull Girder Bending Moments and Structural Reliability of Damaged Vessels

2012 ◽  
Vol 56 (01) ◽  
pp. 48-62
Author(s):  
Huirong Jia ◽  
Torgeir Moan
Keyword(s):  
Failure Probability ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Multimodal Approach ◽  
Coupled Motion ◽  
Rectangular Shape ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Damaged Vessel

The structural reliability analysis of damaged vessels has commonly been conducted by neglecting the effect of sloshing. In this paper, the coupled motion of the damaged vessel and sloshing is set up based on the assumption that the damaged tanks are of rectangular shape. The sloshing effects in tanks are modeled by a linear multimodal approach. Then the effect of sloshing in tanks on the hull girder bending moments and the failure probability are studied for an oil tanker in various damage conditions. It is concluded that in certain tank resonance conditions, sloshing effects cannot be neglected. In such cases sloshing damping plays an important role on the sloshing effects.

The Effect of Sloshing in Tanks on Motions and Hull Girder Responses of Damaged Vessels

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huirong Jia ◽  
Torgeir Moan
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Roll Motion ◽  
Multimodal Approach ◽  
Rectangular Shape ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Reliability Analysis ◽  
Oil Tankers

The structural reliability analysis of damaged vessels has up to now commonly been investigated by neglecting the effect of sloshing. This paper deals with the effect of sloshing in tanks on motions and hull girder responses of oil tankers in various damage conditions and represents a part of a study to assess the effect of sloshing on hull girder failure of damaged vessels, The flooded tanks are assumed to have a of rectangular shape and linear multimodal approach is adopted to deal with sloshing. It is concluded that even though the effect of sloshing in tanks on the roll motion of vessels can be neglected in certain damage conditions, the effect of sloshing on the horizontal bending moment cannot be neglected, especially when resonance motion occurs.

Structural Reliability of Oil Tanker in the Adriatic Sea Damaged in Collision and Exposed to Combined Bending Moments

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maro Ćorak ◽  
Joško Parunov
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
State Function ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Damage Stability ◽  
Safety Indices ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Damaged Ship

The aim of the paper is the assessment of structural reliability of oil tanker which may be damaged in collision accident in the Adriatic Sea and exposed to combined, horizontal and vertical bending moments. Damage size is assumed based on the direct numerical simulation of the ship-ship collision. This is justified for some specific sea environments, as the Adriatic Sea, where ship sailing routes and representative ship types involved in accidents are known, so possible collision scenarios may be reasonably predicted. Residual bending moment capacity under combined bending moment is calculated using regression equations developed based on non-linear finite element analysis. Still water vertical bending moments are obtained by damage stability analysis. Vertical and horizontal wave bending moments are determined by short-term response analysis of damaged ship in the Adriatic Sea, using transfer functions obtained by 3D panel hydrodynamic method. Limit state function is defined using interaction equation for damaged ship exposed to combined bending moments. Safety indices are calculated by FORM for different collision scenarios that are generated by MC simulations. Such approach enables to determine the safety indices for the most frequent damages and also to reveal the most critical situations resulting in the lowest safety indices.

Structural Reliability of Oil Tanker in the Adriatic Sea Damaged in Collision and Exposed to Combined Bending Moments

2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maro Ćorak ◽  
Joško Parunov
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Bending Moments ◽  
Load Combination ◽  
Horizontal Wave ◽  
Safety Indices ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Damaged Ship

Abstract The aim of the paper is the assessment of structural reliability of oil tanker, damaged in collision accident in the Adriatic Sea and exposed to combined, horizontal, and vertical bending moments. Damage size is assumed based on the direct numerical simulation of the ship–ship collision. This is justified for some specific sea environments, as the Adriatic Sea, where ship sailing routes and representative ship types involved in accidents are known, so possible collision scenarios may be reasonably predicted. Residual bending moment capacity under combined bending moments (CBM) is calculated using regression equations developed based on non-linear finite element analysis. Still-water vertical bending moments are obtained by damage stability analysis for different collision scenarios that are generated by Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. Vertical and horizontal wave bending moments are determined by short-term response analysis of damaged ship in the Adriatic Sea, using transfer functions obtained by 3D panel hydrodynamic method. Monte Carlo time simulations are performed in order to study probabilistic load combination (LC) considering randomness of the wave process due to different phase angles. Limit state function is defined using interaction equation for damaged ship exposed to combined bending moments. Safety indices are calculated by FORM for each damage scenario by using Turkstra's rule for load combination of vertical and horizontal wave bending moments. Such an approach enables to determine the safety indices for the most frequent damages and also to reveal the most critical situations resulting in the lowest safety indices.

Conditional Risk Assessment Considering Hull Girder Failure of Vessels With Collision-Induced Damage Amidships

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huirong Jia ◽  
Torgeir Moan
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Load Condition ◽  
Sea State ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Collision Event ◽  
Conditional Risk ◽  
Double Hull ◽  
The Given ◽  
Oil Tanker

This paper deals with conditional risk assessment considering hull girder failure of damaged vessels. Only damages amidships are investigated. Conditional risk in this paper is defined as the probability of a given damage multiplied by the probability of hull girder failure conditioned upon the given damage. Taking a double hull oil tanker at full load condition as an example, the 3-hour’s failure probabilities conditioned upon damage properties are estimated. The statistical database for collision event in the HARDER project is adopted to assess the probability of sea state and damage. The sensitivity of 3-hour’s failure probability to the sea state and damage properties is investigated. Furthermore, the conditional risk is also assessed.

scholarly journals Structural Reliability Assessment of an Oil Tanker Accidentally Grounded in the Adriatic Sea

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maro Ćorak ◽  
Joško Parunov ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Sea State ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Mc Simulation ◽  
Safety Indices ◽  
Oil Tanker ◽  
Rock Size

The aim of the paper is to present a methodology for the assessment of the structural reliability of an oil tanker damaged in a hypothetical grounding accident in the Adriatic Sea. The grounding accident affects the ultimate hull girder capacity in the damaged region, the still water bending moment (SWBM) distribution along the vessel as well as the vertical wave bending moments (VWBM). The extent of the damage on the ship’s hull after a grounding accident depends on several parameters such as ship‘s speed, rock size, penetration depth, longitudinal and transversal location of stranding along the hull. These parameters are in the present study assumed as random variables, described by probability density functions. Based on defined statistical properties, random realizations of grounding parameters are simulated by Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. For each such random grounding scenario, the damage size is calculated by the surrogate model based on numerical grounding simulations. Residual ultimate strength and SWBM distribution are determined based on the size and location of the damage. VWBM is calculated for average sea state in the area with increased risk of grounding accident in the Adriatic Sea. Structural reliability analysis is employed to determine the safety index with respect to the ultimate hull girder failure for salvage period of 12 hours. As each grounding scenario results in different hull-girder reliability, histogram of safety indices is obtained representing new measures for the performance assessment of the damaged ship.

Hull girder fatigue strength of corroding oil tanker

2010 ◽  
pp. 149-154
Author(s):  
J Parunov ◽  
K _iha ◽  
P Mage ◽  
P Juri_i_
Keyword(s):  
Fatigue Strength ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Oil Tanker

scholarly journals Neglect Of Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Can Significantly Overestimate Structural Reliability

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Árpád Rózsás ◽  
Miroslav Sýkora
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Bayesian Statistics ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Probabilistic Models ◽  
Estimation Uncertainty ◽  
Point Estimates ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Order Of Magnitude ◽  
Parameter Estimation Uncertainty

Abstract Parameter estimation uncertainty is often neglected in reliability studies, i.e. point estimates of distribution parameters are used for representative fractiles, and in probabilistic models. A numerical example examines the effect of this uncertainty on structural reliability using Bayesian statistics. The study reveals that the neglect of parameter estimation uncertainty might lead to an order of magnitude underestimation of failure probability.

Hull-Girder Reliability of a Chemical Tanker

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (04) ◽  
pp. 192-199
Author(s):  
Jôsko Parunov ◽  
Maro Corak ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  
International Association ◽  
Progressive Collapse ◽  
Bending Moment ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Structural Rules ◽  
Term Operation ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Reliability Bound ◽  
Oil Tanker

The aim of the paper is to calculate hull-girder reliability of chemical tanker according to the reliability model proposed by International Maritime Organization (IMO). The probability of hull-girder failure is calculated using a first-order reliability method for two operational profiles—one typical for oil tanker and the other one modified in order to reflect differences between oil tanker and chemical tanker. The evaluation of the wave-induced load effects that occur during long-term operation of the ship in the seaway is carried out in accordance with International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) recommended procedure. The stillwater loads are defined on the basis of a statistical analysis of loading conditions from the loading manual. The ultimate collapse bending moment of the midship cross section, which is used as the basis for the reliability formulation, is evaluated by progressive collapse analysis and by single-step procedure. The reliability analysis is performed for "as-built" ship and for "corroded" ship according to corrosion deduction thickness from new Common Structural Rules for double-hull oil tankers. It is shown that hull-girder failure probability of "as-built" chemical tanker is well above the upper reliability bound proposed by IMO, while the "corroded" ship is slightly unconservative since the reliability index is lower than IMO lower reliability bound.

The BP Oil Tanker Structural Monitoring System

1995 ◽  
Vol 32 (04) ◽  
pp. 277-296
Author(s):  
David J. Witmer ◽  
Jack W. Lewis
Keyword(s):  
Monitoring System ◽  
Structural Damage ◽  
Prolonged Exposure ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
The United States ◽  
Management Program ◽  
Structural Monitoring ◽  
Hull Girder ◽  
Response Data ◽  
Oil Tanker

BP Oil Company time-charters a fleet of American-flag tankers for the ocean transportation of crude oil and petroleum products to the East, West and Gulf Coasts of the United States. Commencing in 1991, ship response and structural monitoring instrumentation was installed on the four ships of the Atigun Pass-class. These crude carriers are operated in the Trans-Alaska Pipeline Service, or "TAPS" trade, sailing the waters of the North Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Alaska. The structural monitoring systems were designed to measure the effects of subjecting a ship to the typical loads and forces encountered while at sea: hogging, sagging, slamming, hydrostatic pressure, and hull girder springing. Additionally, BP was interested in developing a system that could provide shiphandling guidance to the master or watch officer so that the detrimental effects of prolonged exposure to such loads and forces could be effectively minimized. The paper describes in detail the physical arrangement of the BP Oil Tanker Structural Monitoring System (BPSMS), including the suite of sensors employed to measure ship responses and hull girder stresses. It explains how the response data collected by the sensors is analyzed by the onboard computer located on the ship's bridge and how ship response data are presented back to the deck officers via a family of display monitor screens. These displays provide the officers with a "tool" that can be used to effectively monitor the physical and structural response of their ship to waves, and to quantify, in terms of lowering the wave bending moment and reducing the risk of slamming, the result of an action or actions taken to minimize the risk of incurring structural damage. Onboard ship response and structural monitoring is now an integral part of BP's tanker fleet structural management program. The units have greatly increased the awareness of the ship's officers regarding their role in helping to control the amount of structural damage done to the ships. Data from the units have also helped management make more informed decisions regarding operational requirements placed on the ships.

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