Forest fire risk analysis methods and simulation tools

Author(s):  
Claudia Vivalda ◽  
Vittorio Verda ◽  
Andrea Carpignano ◽  
Cristiana Dell’Erba ◽  
Daniele Cagliero ◽  
...  
2005 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 617-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Bonazountas ◽  
Despina Kallidromitou ◽  
P. A. Kassomenos ◽  
N. Passas

Author(s):  
Maryna Vitalievna Zharikova

The chapter develops a dynamic spatial-distributed model of forest fire risk. The structure of forest fire risk is represented by two interrelated groups of components describing a potential of forest fire and describing valuable objects being under fire influence. The concept of fire risk which contains the probability of forest fire occurrence, its intensity, and effect, is extended using the threat as the additional prognostic spatial-temporal component that has a predictive property and allows forecasting the possibility of losses at any time. The model of fire risk is based on three stages: potential risk, the source of which is described by fire danger; risk of threat of active forest fire which hasn't covered valuable object yet; risk of destruction when the active fire has covered valuable object. Representation of risk as a process based on three stages allows describing the dynamics of risk in real-time systems, getting insight into risk nature, as well as diagnosing the situation in real time.


Author(s):  
S. K. Tomar ◽  
A. Kaur ◽  
H. K. Dangi ◽  
T. Ghawana ◽  
K. Sarma

One of the major challenge from unplanned growth in the cities is the fire incidents posing a serious threat to life and property. Delhi, the capital city of India, has seen unplanned growth of colonies resulting in a serious concern for the relevant agencies. This paper investigates the relation between potential causes of fire incidents during 2013-2016 in South-West Delhi Division of Delhi Fire Services as part of risk analysis using the data about fire stations & their jurisdictions, incidents of fire, water reservoirs available, landuse and population data along with the divisional & sub-divisional boundaries of South-West Delhi division under Delhi Fire Service. Statistical and Geospatial tools have been used together to perform the risk analysis. The analysis reveals that difference in actual occupancy and defined landuse as a part of unplanned growth of settlements is found to be the main reason behind the major fire incidents. The suggested mitigation measures focus on legal, policy, physical & technological aspects and highlight the need to bring the systemic changes with changing scenario of demographics and infrastructure to accommodate more aspects of ground reality.


Author(s):  
S. Nikhil ◽  
Jean Homian Danumah ◽  
Sunil Saha ◽  
Megha K. Prasad ◽  
A. Rajaneesh ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 84 ◽  
pp. 204-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wu Aiyou ◽  
Shi Shiliang ◽  
Li Runqiu ◽  
Tang Deming ◽  
Tang Xiafang

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