scholarly journals Increased Ablation at the Margin of the Greenland Ice Sheet under a Greenhouse-Effect Climate

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 20-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Ole B. Olesen

Increased ablation under a greenhouse-effect climate is calculated by an energy-balance model for two sites at the margin of the Greenland ice sheet: Nordbogletscher, south Greenland, and Qamanârssûp sermia, West Greenland. The change in summer ablation is nearly linear with change in summer temperature, with gradients of 0.43 and 0.57 m water a−1 deg−1 for Nordbogletscher and Qamanârssûp sermia, respectively. However, the increase in ablation rate must be less in the higher parts of the ice sheet. A future climatic warming will therefore cause a rapid retreat of the ice-sheet margin and a steeper ice-sheet profile.

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 20-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Ole B. Olesen

Increased ablation under a greenhouse-effect climate is calculated by an energy-balance model for two sites at the margin of the Greenland ice sheet: Nordbogletscher, south Greenland, and Qamanârssûp sermia, West Greenland. The change in summer ablation is nearly linear with change in summer temperature, with gradients of 0.43 and 0.57 m water a−1 deg−1 for Nordbogletscher and Qamanârssûp sermia, respectively. However, the increase in ablation rate must be less in the higher parts of the ice sheet. A future climatic warming will therefore cause a rapid retreat of the ice-sheet margin and a steeper ice-sheet profile.


1990 ◽  
Vol 36 (123) ◽  
pp. 222-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Ole Β. Olesen

AbstractData for daily ice ablation on two outlets from the Greenland ice sheet, Nordbogletscher (1979–83) and Qamanârssûp sermia (1980–86), are used to test a simple energy-balance model which calculates ablation from climate data. The mean errors of the model are only −1.1 and −1.3 mm water d−1 for Nordbogletscher (14 months) and Qamanârssûp sermia (21 months), respectively, with standard deviations of ±13.6 and ±18.9 mm water d−1 for calculating daily ablation. The larger error for Qamanârssûp sermia may be due to variations in ice albedo but the model also underestimates ablation during Föhn events.According to the model, radiation accounts for about two-thirds of mean ablation for June-August at the two sites, while turbulent fluxes account for about one-third. The average ablation rate is higher at Qamanârssûp sermia than at Nordbogletscher because both sensible-heat flux and short-wave radiation are higher.


1990 ◽  
Vol 36 (123) ◽  
pp. 222-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Ole Β. Olesen

AbstractData for daily ice ablation on two outlets from the Greenland ice sheet, Nordbogletscher (1979–83) and Qamanârssûp sermia (1980–86), are used to test a simple energy-balance model which calculates ablation from climate data. The mean errors of the model are only −1.1 and −1.3 mm water d−1for Nordbogletscher (14 months) and Qamanârssûp sermia (21 months), respectively, with standard deviations of ±13.6 and ±18.9 mm water d−1for calculating daily ablation. The larger error for Qamanârssûp sermia may be due to variations in ice albedo but the model also underestimates ablation during Föhn events.According to the model, radiation accounts for about two-thirds of mean ablation for June-August at the two sites, while turbulent fluxes account for about one-third. The average ablation rate is higher at Qamanârssûp sermia than at Nordbogletscher because both sensible-heat flux and short-wave radiation are higher.


1990 ◽  
Vol 36 (123) ◽  
pp. 217-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Ole B. Olesen

AbstractDaily ice ablation on two outlet glaciers from the Greenland ice sheet, Nordbogletscher (1979–83) and Qamanârssûp sermia (1980–86), is related to air temperature by a linear regression equation. Analysis of this ablation-temperature equation with the help of a simple energy-balance model shows that sensible-heat flux has the greatest temperature response and accounts for about one-half of the temperature response of ablation. Net radiation accounts for about one-quarter of the temperature response of ablation, and latent-heat flux and errors account for the remainder. The temperature response of sensible-heat flux at QQamanârssûp sermia is greater than at Nordbogletscher mainly due to higher average wind speeds. The association of high winds with high temperatures during Föhn events further increases sensible-heat flux. The energy-balance model shows that ablation from a snow surface is only about half that from an ice surface at the same air temperature.


1990 ◽  
Vol 36 (123) ◽  
pp. 217-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger J. Braithwaite ◽  
Ole B. Olesen

AbstractDaily ice ablation on two outlet glaciers from the Greenland ice sheet, Nordbogletscher (1979–83) and Qamanârssûp sermia (1980–86), is related to air temperature by a linear regression equation. Analysis of this ablation-temperature equation with the help of a simple energy-balance model shows that sensible-heat flux has the greatest temperature response and accounts for about one-half of the temperature response of ablation. Net radiation accounts for about one-quarter of the temperature response of ablation, and latent-heat flux and errors account for the remainder. The temperature response of sensible-heat flux at QQamanârssûp sermia is greater than at Nordbogletscher mainly due to higher average wind speeds. The association of high winds with high temperatures during Föhn events further increases sensible-heat flux. The energy-balance model shows that ablation from a snow surface is only about half that from an ice surface at the same air temperature.


1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 36-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. S. W. van de Wal

A degree-day model and an energy-balance model for the Greenland ice sheet are compared. The two models are compared at a grid with 20 km spacing. Input for both models is elevation, latitude and accumulation. The models calculate the annual ablation over the entire ice sheet. Although on the whole the two models yield similar results, depending on the tuning of the models, regional discrepancies of up to 45% occur, especially for northern Greenland. The performance of the two types of model is evaluated by comparing the model results with the sparsely available (long-term) mass-balance measurements. Results show that the energy-balance model tends to predict a more accurate mass-balance gradient with elevation than does the degree-day model. Since so little is known about the present-day climate of the ice sheet, it is more useful to consider the sensitivity of the ablation to various climate elements than to consider the actual present-day ablation. Results show that for a 1 K temperature perturbation, sea-level rise is 0.31 mm year−1 for the energy-balance model and 0.34 mm year−1 for the degree-day model. After tuning the degree-day model to a value of the ablation, equivalent to the ablation calculated by the energy-balance model, sensitivity of the degree-day model increases to 0.37 mm sea-level change per year. This means that the sensitivity of the degree-day model for a 1 K temperature perturbation is about 20% higher than the sensitivity of the energy-balance model. Another set of experiments shows that the sensitivity of the ablation is dependent on the magnitude of the temperature perturbation for the two models. Both models show an increasing sensitivity per degree for larger perturbations. The increase in the sensitivity is larger for the degree-day model than for the energy-balance model. The differences in the sensitivity are mainly concentrated in the southern parts of the ice sheet. Experiments for the Bellagio temperature scenario. 0.3°C increase in temperature per decade, leads to sea-level rise of 4.4 cm over a period of 100 years for the energy-balance model. The degree-day model predicts for the same forcing a 5.8 cm rise which is about 32% higher than the result of the energy-balance model.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Zeitz ◽  
Ronja Reese ◽  
Johanna Beckmann ◽  
Uta Krebs-Kanzow ◽  
Ricarda Winkelmann

Abstract. Surface melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet contributes a large amount to current and future sea-level rise. Increased surface melt, algae growth, debris, and dust deposition lower the reflectivity of the ice surface and thereby increase melt rates: the so-called melt-albedo feedback describes this potentially self-sustaining increase in surface melting. Here we present a simplified version of the diurnal Energy Balance Model (dEBM-simple) which is implemented as a surface melt module in the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM). dEBM-simple is a modification of diurnal Energy Balance Model (dEBM), a surface melt scheme of intermediate complexity useful for simulations over centennial to multi-millennial timescales. dEBM-simple is computationally efficient, suitable for standalone ice-sheet modeling and includes a simple representation of the melt-albedo feedback. Using dEBM-simple and PISM, we find that this feedback increases ice loss until 2300 through surface warming by 60 % for the high-emission scenario RCP8.5. With an increase of 90 %, the effect is more pronounced for lower surface warming under RCP2.6. Furthermore, assuming an immediate darkening of the ice surface over all summer months, we estimate an upper bound for this effect to be +70 % in the RCP8.5 scenario and a more than fourfold increase under RCP2.6. With dEBM-simple implemented in PISM, we find that the melt-albedo feedback is an essential contributor to mass loss in dynamic simulations of the Greenland Ice Sheet under future warming.


1992 ◽  
Vol 155 ◽  
pp. 79-83
Author(s):  
R.J Braithwaite

Ablation on the Greenland ice Sheet can be calculated either from the degree-day factor or by an energy balance model. Both approaches involve problems. i.e. the degree-day factor varies with time and space while the energy balance model requires data which are often not available. The solution is to understand, and possibly predict variations in degree-day factor. This can be attempted by (1) sensitivity experiments with the energy balance model, and (2) field samples of ablation under widely varying climatic conditions.


1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 36-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. S. W. van de Wal

A degree-day model and an energy-balance model for the Greenland ice sheet are compared. The two models are compared at a grid with 20 km spacing. Input for both models is elevation, latitude and accumulation. The models calculate the annual ablation over the entire ice sheet. Although on the whole the two models yield similar results, depending on the tuning of the models, regional discrepancies of up to 45% occur, especially for northern Greenland. The performance of the two types of model is evaluated by comparing the model results with the sparsely available (long-term) mass-balance measurements. Results show that the energy-balance model tends to predict a more accurate mass-balance gradient with elevation than does the degree-day model.Since so little is known about the present-day climate of the ice sheet, it is more useful to consider the sensitivity of the ablation to various climate elements than to consider the actual present-day ablation. Results show that for a 1 K temperature perturbation, sea-level rise is 0.31 mm year−1 for the energy-balance model and 0.34 mm year−1 for the degree-day model. After tuning the degree-day model to a value of the ablation, equivalent to the ablation calculated by the energy-balance model, sensitivity of the degree-day model increases to 0.37 mm sea-level change per year. This means that the sensitivity of the degree-day model for a 1 K temperature perturbation is about 20% higher than the sensitivity of the energy-balance model. Another set of experiments shows that the sensitivity of the ablation is dependent on the magnitude of the temperature perturbation for the two models. Both models show an increasing sensitivity per degree for larger perturbations. The increase in the sensitivity is larger for the degree-day model than for the energy-balance model. The differences in the sensitivity are mainly concentrated in the southern parts of the ice sheet.Experiments for the Bellagio temperature scenario. 0.3°C increase in temperature per decade, leads to sea-level rise of 4.4 cm over a period of 100 years for the energy-balance model. The degree-day model predicts for the same forcing a 5.8 cm rise which is about 32% higher than the result of the energy-balance model.


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