scholarly journals DEBT OBLIGATIONS OF THE STATE: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulyana Vatamanyuk-Zelinska ◽  
◽  
Ivanna Pedchenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
National Income ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Public Authorities ◽  
Internal Capital Market ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Effective Use

The article analyzes the meaning of the concept of "public debt" according to the views of domestic and foreign scholars. The essence of this term according to norms of the Budget code of Ukraine is investigated. The activity of public authorities in the management of debt obligations of our state is considered. The state and dynamics of public debt of Ukraine for the period 2015-2019 are studied. The structure of public debt of Ukraine according to its division into external and internal is analyzed, and the shares of external and domestic debt in the total amount of public and state-guaranteed debt are determined. The dynamics of public debt obligations in terms of the amount of public and state-guaranteed debt is shown. The structure of external and internal debts of the state budget of Ukraine to the main creditors and the dynamics of payments for its repayment are described. The dynamics of the ratio of public debt to GDP of Ukraine is calculated and analyzed. The activity of a new state structure – the Debt Agency of Ukraine – in the field of debt management of our state has been studied. It is determined that a significant problem of the state is to ensure the debt burden. Ways to solve the problem of debt burden are proposed, among which an important measure is proposed – to strengthen control over the effective use of borrowed projects. It is determined that the best step in improving the system of management of debt obligations of the state can be stimulated the development of the internal capital market with the involvement of private reorientation from external to internal prevention. In modern conditions, both market economies and developing countries have inherent needs for additional funds to cover the budget deficit. This situation necessitates the constant search for additional sources of financing government liabilities, in particular, such as loans. Thus, the additional funds raised make it possible to increase total expenditures under conditions of lower national income only through a balanced and effective government policy in the field of borrowing. However, the downside of debt obligations is that sooner or later they must be repaid and interest paid for the use of these borrowed funds. The purpose of the study is to determine the structure and dynamics of public debt of Ukraine, as well as the features of its repayment.

STUDY OF THE DYNAMICS AND STRUCTURE OF THE STATE DEBT OF UKRAINE, METHODS OF ITS OPTIMIZATION

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stepan Paranchuk ◽  
◽  
Roksolana Skip ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
The State ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Safe Level ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Government ◽  
External Borrowing

One of the leading problems of Ukraine's economy at the present stage of its development is the issue of public debt, the constant increase in its size, irrational structure, which creates the preconditions for the dollarization of the national economy. Public debt is an important element of a market economy. As of today, there is no state that would not use borrowed funds. Borrowing by the state is due to the lack of own financial resources needed to finance the state budget and state functions. If used effectively, borrowed funds can be a positive factor in economic growth, but otherwise the increase in debt leads to economic dependence, deteriorating financial stability, as well as the financial crisis. The article reveals the issue of public debt of Ukraine, analyzes the dynamics of its value from 2009 to 2021 and identifies the reasons for the growth and / or reduction of this indicator. A study of the structure of debt obligations on the basis of the creditor, analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of internal and external borrowing. The article also provides a detailed description of the structure of internal and external creditors, the main tools used by the Government of Ukraine to attract domestic loans. Particular attention is paid to the analysis of domestic debt in terms of the structure of domestic government bonds. The ratio of public debt to gross domestic product and its comparison with the marginal and safe level are considered. A forecast was made for the amount of public debt for the future.

scholarly journals State debt management in the context of Ukraine's economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Artem HUSIEV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Optimal Decision ◽  
Main Task ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Debt Policy

The paper explores the theoretical and methodological basis of the concept of public debt management. The relationship between the problem of public debt and economic development of the country has been revealed. The dynamics of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2010-2019 have been analyzed. The default as a means of state debt policy has been investigated and its main economic consequences are presented. The international experience of managing public debt on the example of Argentina has been analyzed. The economic essence of technical default has been defined and the concept of technical default as a priority direction of Ukraine's state debt policy in the current conditions has been proposed. Public debt is a set of State commitments to internal and external creditors. State debt Management provides for state creation of the concept of debt policy. In economic terms, the main task of debt management is to maintain the level of public debt on a moderate level. In Ukraine, the problem of state indebtedness is particularly relevant after 2014. However, the most acute this problem was at the beginning of 2020 with the beginning of the recession economy and raising the deficit of the State budget. There are three main strategies to address public debt: investing in the country's economic development and timely repayment of liabilities, default and technical default. The strategy of investing in the country's economic development envisages emission of money or additional involvement in order to stimulate economic development, as well as timely payment of debts and interests. This strategy is appropriate in terms of relatively small amounts of public debt. Defaulted involves declaring the state insolvency payment obligations to creditors. Defaulted in the short run means a rapid deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but under certain conditions, there may be positive consequences in the long run. The technical default means the state's inability to pay debts on a certain date if there is a possibility of their payment in the future. In Ukraine today, the optimal decision of the state debt policy is the proclamation of technical default to restructure debts and prevent aggravation of socio-economic crisis in the country.

ASSESSMENT OF THE LEVEL OF DEBT SECURITY OF UKRAINE AND DIRECTIONS FOR ITS STRENGTHENING

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (21(49)) ◽  
pp. 109-113
Author(s):  
Maryana Fominykh ◽  
Anzhelika Parfenyuk
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Main Task ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
Key Issues ◽  
Main Factors

The article defines the essence of the concept of "debt security". The main indicators of Ukraine's debt security during 2015-2020 are analyzed and its condition is assessed using the integrated debt security index. The main factors that affect the level of debt security and key issues to ensure a sufficient level of debt security are investigated. It is found that the increase in the size of public debt leads to a reduction of the debt security and causes a number of negative consequences and distortions in the financial system of Ukraine. The main factors that affect the level of debt security and key issues to ensure a sufficient level of debt security are investigated. However, in the strategic perspective, deepening of the financial debt of the state leads to significant disparities in the financial and economic system of the country and increasing the debt burden on the state budget, increasing the threat of default, transferring the debt burden for future generations and increasing social tension in society. Ukraine's debt security is in critical condition and therefore requires the implementation of certain measures and changes. The main task is the effective management of state external and domestic debt and its gradual reduction. It is also necessary to focus more on domestic lending in national currency, as it is more profitable and cheaper to maintain for the state. In order to identify prerequisites for strengthening the debt security and searching the methods to reduce public debt, the development of an optimal strategy of borrowing, debt management and improving of a legal framework on issues of debt security has been suggested.

scholarly journals EXTERNAL GOVERNMENT DEBT MANAGEMENT OF UKRAINE IN CONDITIONS OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC AND PANDEMIC SHOCKS

2021 ◽  
pp. 48-63
Author(s):  
Ivanna MOROZ
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Management Policy ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Strategic Goals ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Debt Policy

Introduction. The consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on macroeconomic dynamics and the state of external public debt are analised. The main reasons for the growth of the State Budget deficit of Ukraine are identified and the need to increase the efficiency of the external public debt management policy in the context of minimizing the budget deficit is proved. Emphasis is placed on the situational and imbalance of Ukraine’s external public debt management policy, which is due to the lack of the Economic Development Strategy of Ukraine and the Government’s program of activities for 2020. It is substantiated that the lack of clear strategic goals of economic development of the state and adherence to such a strategy has led to an increase in the cost of servicing external pu blic debt, increasing the cost of attracting it and reducing the maturity. It is also proved that the lack of strategy together with the low level of fiscal, debt and monetary policy coherence are the main reasons for inefficient conversion of external public debt, as the main amounts of external government borrowing are not used to finance economic development, but to finance state budget expenditures and to repay old debts. The purpose of to the article is to study the theoretical and practical aspects of debt policy in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic in order to justify a new paradigm of Ukraine’s external public debt management policy. Results. Based on the analysis of major macroeconomic trends in Ukraine and identifying external debt problems, the latest paradigm of external public debt management policy is proposed, the essence of which is to subordinate debt policy to tactical and strategic goals of the national economy budget, debt and monetary policy, as well as in achieving effective conversion of external government borrowing to stimulate economic development. It is proposed to use a program-targeted method of external public debt management policy, which involves raising funds from international organizations exclusively to finance specific government programs. Perspectives. It is necessary to increase the efficiency of conversion of external government loans to finance capital investments from the State budget, which will use the foreign debt potential to stimulate Ukraine’s economic development.

IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT DEBT ON FINANCIAL SECURITY OF UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Pikaliuk ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Kovalenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The State ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Security ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

One of the main criteria for economic development is the size of the public debt and its dynamics. The article considers the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine. The views of scientists on the essence of public debt and financial security of the state are substantiated. An analysis of the dynamics and structure of public debt of Ukraine for 2014-2019. It is proved that one of the main criteria for economic development is the size of public debt and its dynamics. State budget deficit, attracting and using loans to cover it have led to the formation and significant growth of public debt in Ukraine. The volume of public debt indicates an increase in the debt security of the state, which is a component of financial security. Therefore, the issue of the impact of public debt on the financial security of Ukraine is becoming increasingly relevant. The constant growth and large amounts of debt make it necessary to study it, which will have a positive impact on economic processes that will ensure the stability of the financial system and enhance its security.

scholarly journals The Public Debt of Ukraine and the Budget Expenditure for Its Service

2018 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. H. Bondaruk ◽  
O. S. Bondaruk ◽  
N. Yu. Melnychuk
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Public Budget ◽  
Sharp Drop ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Debt Dynamics ◽  
External Sources ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
Made In

the public debt is deepened, the visions of the public debt as a phenomenon burdening the national economy, found in various schools of economics, are reviewed. It is demonstrated that the high internal and external dept in parallel with the respectively growing expenditure for its service is a pressing problem for Ukraine, calling for an urgent solution. This raises the need for seeking ways to improve the public debt management mechanisms. The article’s objective is to deepen the theoretical and methodological framework for assessment of the public debt in Ukraine and the budget expenditures for its service. It is demonstrated that the public debt in Ukraine results from the public budget deficit, high sovereign borrowing from internal and external sources. The econometric assessment of the time series on budget expenditures for debt service and repayment in Ukraine is given. The analysis of the public debt dynamics in Ukraine shows that not only the increasing volume of public debt and State-guarantee debt, but also the increasing budget expenditures on its service and repayment are dangerous. The high deficit of public budget is persisting, which growth is caused, inter alia, by the payment commitments. The expenditures on service and repayment of public debt constitute a large share in the public budget expenditures. Forecasting calculations made in the article demonstrate the upward tendency in the public budget expenditures on repayment and service of the public debt of Ukraine, thus signaling the growing threats to the budget security of Ukraine. The main factors for the rapidly increased debt burden in Ukraine over the latest years are identified: the considerable devaluation of domestic currency (Hryvnya), sharp drop in GDP, the shrinking internal consumer demand, etc.    It is demonstrated that the risk of the increasing payments for service of public debt is an essential and chronic factor generating problems in public finances and affecting the budget security of Ukraine.  

scholarly journals Public Debt Management and The Country’s Financial Stability

Studia Humana ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 10-18
Author(s):  
Piotr Misztal
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Domestic Capital ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
The Government ◽  
Polish Economy

Abstract The government debt portfolio is usually the largest financial portfolio in the country. It often contains complex and risky financial structures and can generate significant risk to the state budget and the country’s financial stability. Therefore, governments are required to have sound risk management and sound public debt structures to limit exposure to market risk, debt financing or rolling risk, liquidity risk, credit, settlement and operational risk. In recent years, the debt market crises have highlighted the importance of sound public debt management practices and related risks, and the need for an effective and well-developed domestic capital market. This may reduce the vulnerability of the economy to adverse economic and financial shocks. However, it is also important for the government to maintain a macroeconomic policy that ensures sound fiscal and monetary management. The aim of the research is to present the theoretical and practical aspects of extremely important issues such as public debt management and to indicate the most important implications for the financial stability of the country on the example of the Polish economy. The study uses a research method based on literature studies in the field of macroeconomics, economic policy and finance, as well as statistical analysis of the studied phenomenon. Results of research indicate that effective public debt management can reduce the economy’s vulnerability to financial threats, contribute to the financial stability of the country, maintain debt stability and protect the government’s reputation among investors.

scholarly journals Transparency of Public and Local Finances: Foreign Experience

2020 ◽  
pp. 18-30
Author(s):  
INNA O. SHKOLNYK ◽  
NATALIIA G. VYHOVSKA ◽  
YULIIA S. HAVRYSH ◽  
ANDRII O. IVANCHENKO
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
The State ◽  
Budget Process ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Public Authorities ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Information Portal ◽  
Foreign Experience ◽  
The Republic ◽  
State And Local

In modern conditions, the role of transparency of both public and local finances is growing significantly, which is a tool to increase the efficiency of financial resources, which confirms the analysis of Ukrainian and foreign studies. In Ukraine, the level of transparency is improving every year and as of 2019 is assessed by international organizations as the minimum allowable. At the same time, the level of transparency of local budgets differs significantly in different regions. To improve the situation and implement best practices in the field of transparency of public finances at both the state and local levels, it is important to analyze the foreign experience of those countries that are leaders in ratings of transparency of public authorities and transparency of the budget process. The paper analyzes the experience of the Office of the Public Accountant of Texas (USA), the Treasury of New Zealand, and the Treasury of the Republic of South Africa, which according to the open budget rating provided by the International Budget Partnership are among the 10 most transparent countries. Analysis of the content of the information portal of the Texas Public Accounts Controller Office showed a separate section “Transparency” with a detailed presentation of information in terms of key blocks of revenues and expenditures, state budget and finances, information on the formation and use of funds in all localities, information on budget deficit as well as information on transparency at the level of individual settlements, school districts, etc. A comparative analysis with the state of transparency of Ukrainian government agencies responsible for the development and implementation of fiscal policy and identifies weaknesses and strengths in terms of their transparency. It is established that the openness of the process of using public finances in Ukraine is gradually increasing, while the positions in the world transparency rating are also improving. However, the conceptual difference between building sites in the countries analyzed is that they report to taxpayers in a form that is accessible to them, rather than simply covering available information without comment or explanation. Keywords: open budget, participation, public finances, rating, fiscal policy.

scholarly journals FACTORS OF GROWTH OF THE EFFICIENCY OF PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT

2021 ◽  
pp. 5-11
Author(s):  
M. E. Kosov
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Correlation And Regression Analysis ◽  
Public Financial Management ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
Debt Policy

Public debt is an integral part of public finances of various countries, the process of its management, including formation, maintenance and repayment has a powerful impact on the macroeconomic system of the state. The subject of the study is the public debt of the Russian Federation. The article performs a correlation and regression analysis of factors that have a direct impact on the state of the Russia’s public debt under the conditions of the restrictions caused by the Covid-19 coronavirus infection, as well as the consequences of these restrictions. The paper proposes an econometric model that describes a system of indirect macroeconomic factors that are not directly related to the state’s debt policy, but show the strongest influence on the formation of public debt in modern realities and increase the efficiency of its management, as well as reflect the quality of public financial management in general. The author concludes that the demographic burden and the indicator reflecting the ratio of the budget deficit to the total budget revenue have the greatest impact on the effectiveness of public debt management.

scholarly journals STATE DEBT MANAGEMENT OF UKRAINE

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oksana Vodolazska ◽  
◽  
Hanna Herman ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Financial Policy ◽  
Security Level ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
Debt Policy

Public debt management and servicing is one of the top priorities for the country’s financial policy, and an important condition for the stability of its financial system. Due to the need of solving the problem of the state debt of Ukraine growth and the cost of servicing it, it is urgent to increase the efficiency of methods for managing it. Ineffective management of Ukraine’s government borrowings, which is mainly used to cover the budget deficit, leads to a decrease in the state’s economic security level and an increase in the burden on the budgetary sphere and an aggravation of the debt situation. The maintenance and management of public debt is inextricably linked with the pursuit of a balanced debt policy and minimization of the risks inherent in public debt. The economic and social development of the country, its stability during the period of economic crises and the post-crisis speed of recovery of the national economic system depend on the efficiency and effectiveness of this management. After experiencing a deep economic crisis in 2014–2015, economic growth began to recover in 2016, and the total public debt in relation to GDP also tends to decrease. This was caused by various factors: the deficit of the state budget and balance of payments, heavy dependence on energy imports, ineffective use of attracted loans and the lack of proper debt management. This article analyzes the existing features of the formation of an effective public debt management system in the context of improving the efficiency of Ukrainian debt policy. The proposed measures of an effective management strategy will contribute to the rational use of borrowings and create the necessary conditions for optimizing the debt burden. The main goals of state debt management in Ukraine were analyzed, as well as the world practice of analyzing public expenditure and financial accountability was considered. The existing problems in the state debt management of Ukraine are identified, practical recommendations are provided for future development of the most effective scenario for solving Ukrainian debt problems. The forecast of public debt was calculated on the basis of a linear regression equation model, and the macroeconomic factors that have the biggest impact on the growth rate of public debt were determined.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document