scholarly journals Predicting Crash Injury Severity with Machine Learning Algorithm Synergized with Clustering Technique: A Promising Protocol

Author(s):  
Khaled Assi ◽  
Syed Masiur Rahman ◽  
Umer Mansoor ◽  
Nedal Ratrout

Predicting crash injury severity is a crucial constituent of reducing the consequences of traffic crashes. This study developed machine learning (ML) models to predict crash injury severity using 15 crash-related parameters. Separate ML models for each cluster were obtained using fuzzy c-means, which enhanced the predicting capability. Finally, four ML models were developed: feed-forward neural networks (FNN), support vector machine (SVM), fuzzy C-means clustering based feed-forward neural network (FNN-FCM), and fuzzy c-means based support vector machine (SVM-FCM). Features that were easily identified with little investigation on crash sites were used as an input so that the trauma center can predict the crash severity level based on the initial information provided from the crash site and prepare accordingly for the treatment of the victims. The input parameters mainly include vehicle attributes and road condition attributes. This study used the crash database of Great Britain for the years 2011–2016. A random sample of crashes representing each year was used considering the same share of severe and non-severe crashes. The models were compared based on injury severity prediction accuracy, sensitivity, precision, and harmonic mean of sensitivity and precision (i.e., F1 score). The SVM-FCM model outperformed the other developed models in terms of accuracy and F1 score in predicting the injury severity level of severe and non-severe crashes. This study concluded that the FCM clustering algorithm enhanced the prediction power of FNN and SVM models.

Electronics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaping Liao ◽  
Junyou Zhang ◽  
Shufeng Wang ◽  
Sixian Li ◽  
Jian Han

Motor vehicle crashes remain a leading cause of life and property loss to society. Autonomous vehicles can mitigate the losses by making appropriate emergency decision, and the crash injury severity prediction model is the basis for autonomous vehicles to make decisions in emergency situations. In this paper, based on the support vector machine (SVM) model and NASS/GES crash data, three SVM crash injury severity prediction models (B-SVM, T-SVM, and BT-SVM) corresponding to braking, turning, and braking + turning respectively are established. The vehicle relative speed (REL_SPEED) and the gross vehicle weight rating (GVWR) are introduced into the impact indicators of the prediction models. Secondly, the ordered logit (OL) and back propagation neural network (BPNN) models are established to validate the accuracy of the SVM models. The results show that the SVM models have the best performance than the other two. Next, the impact of REL_SPEED and GVWR on injury severity is analyzed quantitatively by the sensitivity analysis, the results demonstrate that the increase of REL_SPEED and GVWR will make vehicle crash more serious. Finally, the same crash samples under normal road and environmental conditions are input into B-SVM, T-SVM, and BT-SVM respectively, the output results are compared and analyzed. The results show that with other conditions being the same, as the REL_SPEED increased from the low (0–20 mph) to middle (20–45 mph) and then to the high range (45–75 mph), the best emergency decision with the minimum crash injury severity will gradually transition from braking to turning and then to braking + turning.


2012 ◽  
Vol 45 ◽  
pp. 478-486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhibin Li ◽  
Pan Liu ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Chengcheng Xu

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shubhangi Pande ◽  
Neeraj Kumar Rathore ◽  
Anuradha Purohit

Abstract Machine learning applications employ FFNN (Feed Forward Neural Network) in their discipline enormously. But, it has been observed that the FFNN requisite speed is not up the mark. The fundamental causes of this problem are: 1) for training neural networks, slow gradient descent methods are broadly used and 2) for such methods, there is a need for iteratively tuning hidden layer parameters including biases and weights. To resolve these problems, a new emanant machine learning algorithm, which is a substitution of the feed-forward neural network, entitled as Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) introduced in this paper. ELM also come up with a general learning scheme for the immense diversity of different networks (SLFNs and multilayer networks). According to ELM originators, the learning capacity of networks trained using backpropagation is a thousand times slower than the networks trained using ELM, along with this, ELM models exhibit good generalization performance. ELM is more efficient in contradiction of Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and rest of the precocious approaches. ELM’s eccentric outline has three main targets: 1) high learning accuracy 2) less human intervention 3) fast learning speed. ELM consider as a greater capacity to achieve global optimum. The distribution of application of ELM incorporates: feature learning, clustering, regression, compression, and classification. With this paper, our goal is to familiarize various ELM variants, their applications, ELM strengths, ELM researches and comparison with other learning algorithms, and many more concepts related to ELM.


Author(s):  
Shengxue Zhu ◽  
Ke Wang ◽  
Chongyi Li

In many related works, nominal classification algorithms ignore the order between injury severity levels and make sub-optimal predictions. Existing ordinal classification methods suffer rank inconsistency and rank non-monotonicity. The aim of this paper is to propose an ordinal classification approach to predict traffic crash injury severity and to test its performance over existing machine learning classification methods. First, we compare the performance of the neural network, XGBoost, and SVM classifiers in injury severity prediction. Second, we utilize a severity category-combination method with oversampling to relieve the class-imbalance problem prevalent in crash data. Third, we take advantage of probability calibration and the optimal probability threshold moving to improve the prediction ability of ordinal classification. The proposed approach can satisfy the rank consistency and rank monotonicity requirement and is proved to be superior to other ordinal classification methods and nominal classification machine learning by statistical significance test. Important factors relating to injury severity are selected based on their permutation feature importance scores. We find that converting severity levels into three classes, minor injury, moderate injury, and serious injury, can substantially improve the prediction precision.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shubhangi Pande ◽  
Neeraj Rathore ◽  
Anuradha Purohit

Abstract Machine learning applications employ FFNN (Feed Forward Neural Network) in their discipline enormously. But, it has been observed that the FFNN requisite speed is not up the mark. The fundamental causes of this problem are: 1) for training neural networks, slow gradient descent methods are broadly used and 2) for such methods, there is a need for iteratively tuning hidden layer parameters including biases and weights. To resolve these problems, a new emanant machine learning algorithm, which is a substitution of the feed-forward neural network, entitled as Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) introduced in this paper. ELM also come up with a general learning scheme for the immense diversity of different networks (SLFNs and multilayer networks). According to ELM originators, the learning capacity of networks trained using backpropagation is a thousand times slower than the networks trained using ELM, along with this, ELM models exhibit good generalization performance. ELM is more efficient in contradiction of Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and rest of the precocious approaches. ELM’s eccentric outline has three main targets: 1) high learning accuracy 2) less human intervention 3) fast learning speed. ELM consider as a greater capacity to achieve global optimum. The distribution of application of ELM incorporates: feature learning, clustering, regression, compression, and classification. With this paper, our goal is to familiarize various ELM variants, their applications, ELM strengths, ELM researches and comparison with other learning algorithms, and many more concepts related to ELM.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 618-629
Author(s):  
Hoda Khanali ◽  
Babak Vaziri

Fuzzy VIKOR C-means (FVCM) is a kind of unsupervised fuzzy clustering algorithm that improves the accuracyand computational speed of Fuzzy C-means (FCM). So it reduces the sensitivity to noisy and outlier data, and enhances performance and quality of clusters. Since FVCM allocates some data to a specific cluster based on similarity technique, reducing the effect of noisy data increases the quality of the clusters. This paper presents a new approach to the accurate location of noisy data to the clusters overcoming the constraints of noisy points through fuzzy support vector machine (FSVM), called FVCM-FSVM, so that at each stage samples with a high degree of membership are selected for training in the classification of FSVM. Then, the labels of the remaining samples are predicted so the process continues until the convergence of the FVCM-FSVM. The results of the numerical experiments showed the proposed approach has better performance than FVCM. Of course, it greatly achieves high accuracy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-38
Author(s):  
Eka Patriya

Saham adalah instrumen pasar keuangan yang banyak dipilih oleh investor sebagai alternatif sumber keuangan, akan tetapi saham yang diperjual belikan di pasar keuangan sering mengalami fluktuasi harga (naik dan turun) yang tinggi. Para investor berpeluang tidak hanya mendapat keuntungan, tetapi juga dapat mengalami kerugian di masa mendatang. Salah satu indikator yang perlu diperhatikan oleh investor dalam berinvestasi saham adalah pergerakan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG). Tindakan dalam menganalisa IHSG merupakan hal yang penting dilakukan oleh investor dengan tujuan untuk menemukan suatu trend atau pola yang mungkin berulang dari pergerakan harga saham masa lalu, sehingga dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi pergerakan harga saham di masa mendatang. Salah satu metode yang dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi pergerakan harga saham secara akurat adalah machine learning. Pada penelitian ini dibuat sebuah model prediksi harga penutupan IHSG menggunakan algoritma Support Vector Regression (SVR) yang menghasilkan kemampuan prediksi dan generalisasi yang baik dengan nilai RMSE training dan testing sebesar 14.334 dan 20.281, serta MAPE training dan testing sebesar 0.211% dan 0.251%. Hasil penelitian ini diharapkan dapat membantu para investor dalam mengambil keputusan untuk menyusun strategi investasi saham.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuwen Zhang ◽  
Qiang Su ◽  
Qin Chen

Abstract: Major animal diseases pose a great threat to animal husbandry and human beings. With the deepening of globalization and the abundance of data resources, the prediction and analysis of animal diseases by using big data are becoming more and more important. The focus of machine learning is to make computers learn how to learn from data and use the learned experience to analyze and predict. Firstly, this paper introduces the animal epidemic situation and machine learning. Then it briefly introduces the application of machine learning in animal disease analysis and prediction. Machine learning is mainly divided into supervised learning and unsupervised learning. Supervised learning includes support vector machines, naive bayes, decision trees, random forests, logistic regression, artificial neural networks, deep learning, and AdaBoost. Unsupervised learning has maximum expectation algorithm, principal component analysis hierarchical clustering algorithm and maxent. Through the discussion of this paper, people have a clearer concept of machine learning and understand its application prospect in animal diseases.


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