Aim: To investigate the serotonin and von Willebrand factor (vWF) concentrations among unstable angina (UA) patients without and with progression toward myocardial infarction (outcome) and to assess the utility of both as prognostic markers of UA complications.
Materials and methods: In observational cohort study, we recruited 103 patients with ischemic heart disease (the median age 65.0 (59.0-69.0) years, 45 females (43.7%)). After full set of investigations including high sensitive Troponin I test and 28-day follow-up period, we defined three groups: Group 1 - stable angina patients (n=22) as control, Group 2 - UA patients without outcome (n=71), Group 3 - UA patients with outcome (n=10). We analyzed the blood plasma serotonin content by the ion-exchange chromatography with measurement of serotonin on fluorescence spectrophotometer. VWF concentration was determined by ELISA. We compared the concentrations of observed parameters among the groups with the Kruskal-Wallis test (with post-hoc Mann-Whitney test with Bonferroni-Holm correction). We assessed binary logistic models, receiver operating characteristic curves, calculated sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) for each indicator.
Results: We registered elevation in serotonin concentration and decline in vWF concentration in Group 3 in comparison with Group 2 (22.670 (20.687-24.927) μg/ml vs 11.980 (8.120-15.000) μg/ml, p< 0.001, and 0.117 (0.109-0.120) rel.units/ml vs 0.134 (0.127-0.143) rel.units/ml, p < 0.001) and Group 1 (12.340 (10.052-13.619) μg/ml, p < 0.001, and 0.137 (0.127-0.156) rel.units/ml, p < 0.001), respectively. No significant differences in serotonin and vWF concentrations between Group 1 and Group 2 were detected (p=0.81 and p=0.36, respectively). The probability of outcome increased significantly (by 60.7% and 59.7%, LR+ 19.0 [6.0, 60.0] and 18.0 [3.9, 80.0]) if serotonin concentration was above 21.575 μg/ml (Se=80.0%, Sp=95.8%, AUC=0.975) and vWF concentration was below 0.114 rel.units/ml (Se=50.0%, Sp=97.2%, AUC=0.973), respectively.
Conclusions: Serotonin and vWF as biomarkers are demonstrated promising results for rule-in the patients with risk of short-term UA progression toward myocardial infarction.