Background
The ability of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) by cardiac magnetic resonance for risk stratification in suspected heart failure is limited. We aimed to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of cardiac magnetic resonance‐assessed extracellular volume fraction (ECV) and global longitudinal strain (GLS) in patients with signs and symptoms suspecting heart failure and no clinical evidence of coronary artery disease.
Methods and Results
A total of 474 consecutive patients (57±21 years of age, 56% men) with heart failure‐related symptoms and absence of coronary artery disease underwent cardiac magnetic resonance. After median follow‐up of 18 months, 59 (12%) experienced the outcome of all‐cause death or heart failure hospitalization (DeathCHF). In univariate analysis, cardiac magnetic resonance‐assessed LVEF, LGE, GLS, and ECV were all significantly associated with DeathCHF. Adjusted for a multivariable baseline model including age, sex, LVEF and LGE, ECV, and GLS separately maintained a significant association with DeathCHF (ECV, hazard ratio [HR], 1.44 per 1 SD increase; 95% CI 1.13–1.84;
P
=0.003, and GLS, HR, 1.78 per 1 SD increase; 95% CI, 1.06–2.96;
P
=0.028 respectively). Adding both GLS and ECV to the baseline model significantly improved model discrimination (C statistic from 0.749 to 0.782,
P
=0.017) and risk reclassification (integrated discrimination improvement 0.046 [0.015–0.076],
P
=0.003; continuous net reclassification improvement 0.378 [0.065–0.752],
P
<0.001) for DeathCHF, beyond LVEF and LGE.
Conclusions
In patients with signs and symptoms suspecting heart failure and no clinical evidence of coronary artery disease, joint assessment of GLS and ECV provides incremental prognostic value for DeathCHF, independent of LVEF and LGE.