To Rebuild or to Refurbish? An Analysis of the Financial Convenience of Interventions on Urban Consolidated Contexts

In the current historical moment of post-crisis recovery, the real estate sector has a dual role: i) through the construction industry and its impacts on related economic sectors, it is called upon to be an active part of the economic recovery; ii) the enhancement of existing property assets is of primary importance in the containment of greenhouse gases and the achievement of the objectives set by the United Nations [1]. In this context, the various players involved in the real estate market have outlined the importance of being supported by assessment methodologies. That allows to point out not only the opportunities of the investment, but also the risks that may invalidate the initial forecasts, nullifying the success of the initiative. To this end, this research develops a multi-criteria Key Performance Indicator aimed at analyzing the feasibility of real estate initiatives that allows to provide a synthetic scoring on the financial sustainability of each investment and to compare different types of initiatives (e.g. new construction, demolition and reconstruction, renovation, etc.).

Price Bubbles in the Real Estate Markets - Analysis and Prediction

The article concerns the issue of price bubbles on the markets, with particular emphasis on the specificity of the real estate market. Up till now, more than a decade after the subprime crisis, there is no accurate enough method to predict price movements, their culmination and, eventually, the burst of price and speculative bubbles on the markets. Hence, the main goal of the article is to present the possibility of early detection of price bubbles and their consequences from the point of view of the surveyed managers. The following research hypothesis was verified: price bubbles on the real estate market cannot be excluded, therefore constant monitoring and predictive analytics of this market are needed. In addition to standard research methods (desk research or statistical analysis), the authors conducted their own survey on a group of randomly selected managers from Portugal and Poland in the context of their attitude to crises and price bubbles. The obtained results allowed us to conclude that managers in both analysed countries are different relating the effects of price bubbles to the activities of their own companies but are similar (about 40% of respondents) expecting quick detection and deactivation of emerging bubbles by the government or by central bank. Nearly 40% of Polish and Portuguese managers claimed that the consequences of crises must include an increased responsibility of managers for their decisions, especially those leading to failures.

Evaluation of impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on rental housing prices in the city of Brno between 2020 and 2021

The aim of the paper is an application of the basic principles in determining rental housing prices and factors that may affect them. In the experimental part, an analysis of rental housing in the city of Brno is performed for the 2020 – 2021 period affected by the covid-19 pandemic. The analysis is processed for individual city districts and divided according to apartment layout. Finally, all outputs are compared and the real estate market development is determined with a focus on the biggest changes and their occurrence.

Research on the Reform of Real Estate Taxation in the Personal Housing Ownership Link

Housing is related to the well-being of people’s livelihood, but at present, the real estate market is overheated, and the price of commercial housing remains high. The implementation of the reform of real estate tax in Shanghai and Chongqing has aroused heated discussions in the society. A timely promotion of real estate tax reform and legislation can play a role in tax regulation. This study takes the reform of real estate tax in regard to personal housing ownership link as the research theme and discusses the setting of collection scheme, the application of tax evaluation technology, as well as tax collection and management.

ПОЛІТИКА ЧЕСЬКОГО НАЦІОНАЛЬНОГО БАНКУ ЩОДО РИНКУ НЕРУХОМОСТІ

Nowadays, when we still see the impact of COVID not only in the Czech Republic, but all over the world, when the value of money is constantly decreasing due to inflation and negative trends in the economy, people usually try to save their savings where they are confident that they will not lose value. The purpose of the article is to characterize the policy of the Czech National Bank in relation to the real estate market. Research hypothesis. The population of the Czech Republic now perceives housing as a safe haven and protects their savings by buying real estate. That is why, according to practicing economists, the great interest of Czechs in investing in real estate will continue in the coming years. Presentation of the main material. Wealthy people in the Czech Republic are now investing their money in apartments to protect their savings from inflation, which was largely fueled by covid restrictions. Rising inflation and volatility in world currencies is a serious blow to those who keep their savings in cash, so people want to own any asset that has any hope of going up. Originality and practical significance of the research. It has been proven that overheated markets sometimes collapse with dire consequences for a country's economy. And this is the responsibility of the regulators, who must anticipate and prevent such trends in the markets. Conclusions and prospects for further research. The current situation with the pandemic has not affected the real estate market, which is perhaps surprising. The population of the Czech Republic now perceives housing as a safe haven and protects their savings by buying real estate. The main task today of all financial market regulators, not only in the Czech Republic, but all over the world, is and will be the task of preventing a sharp collapse of the formed bubbles, including the real estate market.

Does the real estate market behavior predict the trust crisis in the financial sector? The case of the ECB and the Euro

Research background: Based on the history of financial crises, real estate market behavior could be thought of as a key benchmark of trust shifts in the financial sector of the economy. Plunging real estate asset prices accompanied by the financial "bubbles" explosion could be viewed as the harbinger ? even the cause ? of the public trust crash in the financial sector. Purpose of the article: This study intends to assess the extent to which the real estate market behavior determinants, along with financial sector consumers' feelings, are able to predict trust crises in the financial sector, namely to its primary institutions ? European Central Bank and the Euro. Methods: In order to estimate the probability of a trust crisis in the financial sector, two logistic regression logit models were developed based on two types of dependent variables as they reflect trust violations in the financial system primary institutions ? net trust in European Central Bank (Model I) and net support for the Euro (Model II). The research was conducted on quarterly panel data of the EU countries from the euro area covering the period from 2000 to 2019. Logit regressions employed for data processing and analysis were performed in the computational system STATISTICA. Findings & value added: The logit-modeling results show that determinants of irrational real estate buyers' behavior are powerless in predicting the escalation of the trust crisis in the Euro. However, binary models of real estate market behavior could be successfully used to predict the probability of the trust crisis in the European Central Bank. The results show that real house price indices, price to income ratio, price to rent ratio, and rent prices accompanied by the financial sector consumers' feelings are statistically significant, providing the best distribution between the normal times and periods of trust crisis in the European Central Bank. Irrational real estate market behavior may indicate serious problems in the trust violations in the European Central Bank, and it should be a signal for policymakers to take actions towards more efficient financial and real estate market regulation following the behavioral approach.

Impact of the Economic Stimulus Measures on Lithuanian Real Estate Market under the Conditions of the COVID-19 Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a number of challenges worldwide regarding not only the human health perspective, but also the economic situation. Quarantine, imposed in many countries, forced a substantial part of businesses to close or narrow down their activities, thus leaving corporations and employees without any or with lower income. If national governments had not undertaken any actions to save national economies, the consequences could have been even more devastating. The real estate market is an important part of economy. Instability in the real estate market can cause financial problems, vulnerability of population’s welfare and other negative effects. This research aims to assess the impact of the economic stimulus measures on the real estate market under the conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic in Lithuania. The research methods include comparative analysis, correlation analysis, stationarity test, regression analysis and the ARDL models. The results indicate that the economic stimulus measures only partially contribute to stabilization of the real estate market in Lithuania. The drop in housing prices was 2.9 percent lower because of the economic stimulus in the second quarter of 2020. Maintenance of household cash and deposits as well as lending to business enterprises are the measures that allow to stabilize the real estate market in the shortest time under the conditions of the economic shock. The other governmental support measures are also important, especially if they are aimed at preserving jobs.

Impact of Government Measures to Support Mortgage Lending on Housing Affordability in Russia: Regional Evidence

This study investigates housing affordability in Russia: factors of affordability, quantitative indicators, and government support measures. We are especially interested in the mortgage rate subsidy programmes that were implemented in 2015–2016 and 2020–2021 and their impact on housing affordability indicators. In order to evaluate impact of the first programme, we use a model of the real estate market and we decompose the index of housing affordability into different factors. As a result of our econometric analysis, we conclude that in general the programme was successful. Data about the second programme are not yet sufficient, so we evaluate its impact by a statistical analysis of the dynamics of the main indicators. We conclude that the impact is ambiguous: up until a particular moment (different in different regions), borrowers could benefit from the programme, but after that moment the increase in housing prices caused by the programme itself were exceeding the benefits from the subsidised rates. In conclusion, we provide some methods to improve the effectiveness of government measures to support housing affordability, which could be useful in the development of new programmes.