persistence in the mean
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Author(s):  
Tiancai Liao

In this paper, we establish a new phytoplankton-zooplankton model by considering the effects of plankton body size and stochastic environmental fluctuations. Mathematical theory work mainly gives the existence of boundary and positive equilibria, and shows their local as well as global stability in the deterministic model. Additionally, we explore the dynamics of V-geometric ergodicity, stochastic ultimate boundedness, stochastic permanence, persistence in the mean, stochastic extinction and the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution in the corresponding stochastic version. Numerical simulation work mainly reveals that plankton body size can generate great influences on the interactions between phytoplankton and zooplankton, which in turn proves the effectiveness of mathematical theory analysis. It is worth emphasizing that for the small value of phytoplankton cell size, the increase of zooplankton body size can not change the phytoplankton density or zooplankton density; for the middle value of phytoplankton cell size, the increase of zooplankton body size can decrease zooplankton density or phytoplankton density; for the large value of phytoplankton body size, the increase of zooplankton body size can increase zooplankton density but decrease phytoplankton density. Besides, it should be noted that the increase of zooplankton body size can not affect the effect of random environmental disturbance, while the increase of phytoplankton cell size can weaken its effect. There results may enrich the dynamics of phytoplankton-zooplankton models.


Author(s):  
Qun Liu ◽  
Daqing Jiang

In this paper, we are concerned with the global dynamical behavior of a multigroup SVIR epidemic model, which is formulated as a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. We first obtain sufficient criteria for extinction of the diseases. Then we establish sufficient criteria for persistence in the mean of the diseases. Moreover, in the case of persistence, we find a domain which is positive recurrence for the solution of the stochastic system by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function with regime switching.


Author(s):  
Jiang Xu ◽  
Yinong Wang ◽  
Zhongwei Cao

The goal of this paper is to introduce and initiate a study of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence which is perturbed by both white and telegraph noises. We first show persistence in the mean and then establish the sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease. Moreover, in the case of persistence, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of positive recurrence of the solutions by means of structuring suitable stochastic Lyapunov function with regime switching. Meanwhile, the threshold between persistence in the mean and extinction of the stochastic system is also obtained. Finally, we test our theory conclusion by simulations.


Author(s):  
Manjing Guo ◽  
Lin Hu ◽  
Lin-Fei Nie

Considering the impact of environmental white noise on the quantity and behavior of vector of disease, a stochastic differential model describing the transmission of Dengue fever between mosquitoes and humans, in this paper, is proposed. By using Lyapunov methods and Itô’s formula, we first prove the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution for this model. Further, some sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence in the mean of this stochastic model are obtained by using the techniques of a series of stochastic inequalities. In addition, we also discuss the existence of a unique stationary distribution which leads to the stochastic persistence of this disease. Finally, several numerical simulations are carried to illustrate the main results of this contribution.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amir Khan ◽  
Ghulam Hussain ◽  
Abdullahi Yusuf ◽  
Auwalu Hamisu Usman ◽  
Usa Wannasingha Humphries

AbstractThe article is based on the study of hepatitis transmission dynamics using a stochastic epidemic model. We discuss the stochastic perturbations of our proposed model by considering the effect of environmental fluctuation and distribute the transmission rate in the form of white noise. Taking into account the Lyapunov function theory, the uniqueness and existence of the global positive solution are proven. Some sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence in the mean are established. The numerical simulations are given to verify the main theoretical findings.


Author(s):  
Ting Kang ◽  
Qimin Zhang

In this paper, the dynamic behaviors are studied for a stochastic delayed avian influenza model with mutation and temporary immunity. First, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution for the stochastic model. Second, we give two different thresholds [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], and further establish the sufficient conditions of extinction and persistence in the mean for the avian-only subsystem and avian-human system, respectively. Compared with the corresponding deterministic model, the thresholds affected by the white noises are smaller than the ones of the deterministic system. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to support our theoretical results. It is concluded that the vaccination immunity period can suppress the spread of avian influenza during poultry and human populations, while prompt the spread of mutant avian influenza in human population.


Author(s):  
He Liu ◽  
Chuanjun Dai ◽  
Hengguo Yu ◽  
Qing Guo ◽  
Jianbing Li ◽  
...  

In this paper, a stochastic phytoplankton-toxic phytoplankton-zooplankton system with Beddington-DeAngelis functional response, where both the white noise and regime switching are taken into account, is studied analytically and numerically. The aim of this research is to study the combined effects of the white noise, regime switching and toxin-producing phytoplankton (TPP) on the dynamics of the system. Firstly, the existence and uniqueness of global positive solution of the system is investigated. Then some sufficient conditions for the extinction, persistence in the mean and the existence of a unique ergidoc stationary distribution of the system are derived. Significantly, some numerical simulations are carried to verify our analytical results, and show that high intensity of white noise is harmful to the survival of plankton populations, but regime switching can balance the different survival states of plankton populations and decrease the risk of extinction. Additionally, it is found that an increase in the toxin liberation rate produced by TPP will increase the survival change of phytoplankton, while it will reduce the biomass of zooplankton. All these results may provide some insightful understanding on the dynamics of phytoplankton-zooplankton system in randomly disturbed aquatic environments.


2021 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 235-250
Author(s):  
Xin He ◽  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Tao Feng ◽  
Zhipeng Qiu

Abstract In this paper, a stochastic prey-predator model is investigated and analyzed, which possesses foraging arena scheme in polluted environments. Sufficient conditions are established for the extinction and persistence in the mean. These conditions provide a threshold that determines the persistence in the mean and extinction of species. Furthermore, it is also shown that the stochastic system has a periodic solution under appropriate conditions. Finally, several numerical examples are carried on to demonstrate the analytical results.


Author(s):  
Driss Kiouach ◽  
Yassine Sabbar

Environmental perturbations are unavoidable in the propagation of infectious diseases. In this paper, we introduce the stochasticity into the susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) model via the parameter perturbation method. The stochastic disturbances associated with the disease transmission coefficient and the mortality rate are presented with two perturbations: Gaussian white noise and Lévy jumps, respectively. This idea provides an overview of disease dynamics under different random perturbation scenarios. By using new techniques and methods, we study certain interesting asymptotic properties of our perturbed model, namely: persistence in the mean, ergodicity and extinction of the disease. For illustrative purposes, numerical examples are presented for checking the theoretical study.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 4068-4093
Author(s):  
Yuanfu Shao ◽  

<abstract><p>This work is concerned with a stochastic predator-prey system with S-type distributed time delays, regime switching and Lévy jumps. By use of the stochastic differential comparison theory and some inequality techniques, we study the extinction and persistence in the mean for each species, asymptotic stability in distribution and the optimal harvesting effort of the model. Then we present some simulation examples to illustrate the theoretical results and explore the effects of regime switching, distributed time delays and Lévy jumps on the dynamical behaviors, respectively.</p></abstract>


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