FEATURES OF CALCULATION AND ANALYSIS OF FREE CASH FLOW

The features are investigated, systematized, and reserves for improving the process of calculating and analyzing free cash flow are identified. The sources of information have been clarified, and a new indicator for assessing the effectiveness of cash flow management – the economic return on assets on free cash flow - has been recommended

Risk transfer in project finance loans for toll road using credit default swaps

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the applicability of the Credit Default Swaps (CDS), as a financial instrument, for transferring of risk in project finance loans. Also, an equation has been derived for pricing of CDS spreads. Design/methodology/approach The debt service cover ratio (DSCR) is modeled as a Brownian Motion (BM) with a power-law model fitted to the mean and half-variance of the existing data set of DSCRs. The survival probability of DSCR is calculated during the operational phase of the project finance deal, using a closed-form analytical method, and the results are verified by Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Findings It is found that using the power-law model yields higher CDS premiums. This in turn confirms the necessity of conducting rigorous statistical analysis in fitting the best performing model as uninformed reliance on constant time-invariant drift and diffusion model can erroneously result in smaller CDS spreads. A sensitivity analysis also shows that the results are very sensitive to the recovery rate and cost of debt values. Originality/value Insufficiency of free cash flow is a major risk in the toll road project finance and hence there is a need to develop innovative financial instruments for risk management. In this paper, a novel valuation method of CDS is proposed assuming that DSCR follows the BM stochastic process.

Determination of Company's Value: A Study with Investment Opportunity as a Moderator Variable

This research focuses on the state of a company's valuation, which is always changing. The utilized variables to estimate firm value include free cash flow and interest rates, both of which have a positive relationship with company's value. The second purpose is to investigate the current situation of investment opportunities in industrial companies that are similarly highly volatile. The availability of free cash flow indicates the interest rate has a positive relationship with the investment opportunity set. An explanatory research design is used in this study, which aims to examine the correlation between variables. The manufacturing companies that were listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange between 2013 and 2018 are the focus of this study. Thus, data were collected from 612 units using a purposive sampling technique. The findings reveal that whereas free cash flow has a strong positive indirect effect on company value via mediating the investment opportunity set, interest rates have a negative and minor indirect effect on firm value via mediating the investment opportunity set.

Getting the valuation formulas right when it comes to annuities

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to establish the flow-to-equity method, the free cash flow (FCF) method, the adjusted present value method and the relationships between these methods when the FCF appears as an annuity. More specifically, we depart from the two most widely used evaluation settings. The first setting is that of Modigliani and Miller who based their analysis on a stationary FCF. The second setting is that of Miles and Ezzell who worked with an FCF that represents an autoregressive possess of first order.Design/methodology/approachInspired by recent observations in the literature concerning cash flows, discount rates and values in discounted cash flow (DCF) methods, we mathematically derive DCF valuation formulas for annuities.FindingsThe following relationships are established: (a) the correct discount rate of the tax shield when the free cash flow takes the form of a first-order autoregressive annuity, (b) the direct valuation of the tax shield from the free cash flow for a first-order autoregressive annuity, (c) the correct translation from the required return on unlevered equity to the levered equity, when the free cash flow is a stationary annuity and (d) direct calculation of the unlevered and levered firm values and the value of the tax shield for a stationary annuity.Originality/valueUntil now the complete set of formulas for the valuation of stochastic annuities by different DCF methods has not been established in the literature. These formulas are developed here. These formulas are important for practitioners and academics when it comes to the valuation of cash flows of finite lifetime.

Analysis the Effect of Financial Distress, Leverage and Free Cash Flow on Earnings Management

Objective - This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of financial distress, leverage, free cash flow on earnings management. Methodology/Technique – The object of this research is all companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with an observation period of 2019. The sample determination uses the purposive sampling method and a total sample of 124 companies is obtained. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis. Findings - The results show that financial distress has no significant effect on earnings management. Leverage and free cash flow have a negative and significant effect on earnings management. Novelty - This research contributes to signalling theory, which is used by company managers who have better information about their company will be encouraged to convey this information to potential investors where this is intended so that companies can increase company value by sending signals through financial statements of companies listed on the IDX. Type of Paper: Empirical. JEL Classification: G32, M21, M41, M42. Keywords: Financial Distress; Leverage; Free Cash Flow and earnings Management

Taking the highway out: exiting the stock market to maximize results

Theoretical basis The essence of discounted cash flow valuation is simple; the asset is worth the expected cash flows it will generate, discounted to the reference date for the valuation exercise (normally, the day of the calculation). A survey article was written in Parker (1968), where it was stated that the earliest interest rate tables (use to discount value to the present) dated back to 1340. Works from Boulding (1935) and Keynes (1936) derived the IRR (Internal Rate of Return) for an investment. Samuelson (1937) compared the IRR and NPV (Net Present Value) approaches, arguing that rational investors should maximize NPV and not IRR. The previously mentioned works and the publication of Joel Dean’s reference book (Dean, 1951) on capital budgeting set the basis for the widespread use of the discounted cash flow approach into all business areas, aided by developments in portfolio theory. Nowadays, probably the model with more widespread use is the FCFE/FCFF (Free Cash Flow to Equity and Free Cash Flow to Firm) model. For simplification purposes, we will focus on the FCFE model, which basically is the FCF model’s version for the potential dividends. The focus is to value the business based on its dividends (potential or real), and thus care must be taken in order not to double count cash flows (this matter was treated in this case) and to assess what use is given to that excess cash flow – if it is invested wisely, what returns will come of them, how it is accounted for, etc. (Damodaran, 2006). The bridge to the FCFF model is straightforward; the FCFF includes FCFE and added cash that is owed to debtholders. References: Parker, R.H. (1968). “Discounted Cash Flow in Historical Perspective”, Journal of Accounting Research, v6, pp58-71. Boulding, K.E. (1935). “The Theory of a Single Investment”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, v49, pp479-494. Keynes, J. M. (1936). “The General Theory of Employment”, Macmillan, London. Samuelson, P. (1937). “Some Aspects of the Pure Theory of Capital”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, v51, pp. 469–496. Dean, Joel. (1951). “Capital Budgeting”, Columbia University Press, New York. Damodaran, A. (2006). “Damodaran on Valuation”, Second Edition, John Wiley and Sons, New York. Research methodology All information is taken from public sources and with consented company interviews. Case overview/synopsis Opportunities for value creation may be found in awkward and difficult circumstances. Good strategic thinking and ability to act swiftly are usually crucial to be able to take advantage of such tough environments. Amidst a country-wide economic crisis and general disbelief, José de Mello Group (JMG) saw one of its main assets’ (Brisa Highways) market value tumble down to unforeseen figures and was forced to act on it. Brisa’s main partners were eager in overpowering JMG’s control of the company, and outside pressure from Deutsche Bank was rising, due to the use of Brisa’s shares as collateral. JMG would have to revise its strategy and see if Brisa was worth fighting for; the market implicit assessment about the company’s prospects was very penalizing, but JMG’s predictions on Brisa’s future performance indicated that this could be an investment opportunity. Would it be wise to bet against the market? Complexity academic level This study is excellent for finance and strategy courses, at both undergraduate and graduate levels. Company valuation and corporate strategy are required.

The Effect Of Capital Structure, Earning Management, Profitability, Free Cash Flow And Environment Cost On Firm Value With Dividend Policy As Moderating Variables In Pharmaceutical Sub Sector Companies Listed On The 2007-2019 Indonesia Stock Exchange Peri

Firm value is one of the branchmark of the success in firm management in its operation so that its customers will trust it. The objective of the research was to analyze the influence of capital structure, earnings management, profitability, free cash flow and environment cost on firm value in pharmacyl companies that carry out Initial Public Offering (IPO) policies for the period 2007-2019. It also tested the variable of dividend policy as moderating variable in this research model.The Population are companies that carry out an Initial Public Offering (IPO) policy for the period 2007-2019. The population of this study was 104, the sample selection method of this study used the purpoive sampling method with a total of 8 companies that met the criteria. The type of data used is secondary data and the data analysis technique used is cross sectional data analysis technique with the help of Eviews 10 software. The results of this study indicate that capital structure and earnings management have a significant positive effect on firm value, while profitability and environment cost have a significant positive effect on firm value. Negative and significant, and free cash flow has a negative and insignificant effect on firm value.

VALUASI BISNIS PERUSAHAAN PT JAMINAN PEMBIAYAAN ASKRINDO SYARIAH DALAM RANGKA IPO DI TAHUN 2022

In order to absorb the potential of the sharia guarantee business in the future which will grow rapidly, PT Jaminan Pembiayaan Askrindo Syariah with the brand name "Askrindo Syariah" will carry out corporate actions, one of which is an initial public offering (IPO) in 2022. Askrindo Syariah's performance shows an increase in 5 years. However, Askrindo Syariah's business profile, which is mostly high-risk products, shows that the company's performance is not optimal even though it has increased. Accordingly, Askrindo Syariah needs to set a strategy in preparation for the IPO. The purpose of this study was to determine the business valuation of the company's strategy for Askrindo Syariah related to the initial public offering (IPO) plan in 2022. The results of the study show that the fair value range of share prices related to Askrindo Syariah's decision to carry out an IPO in 2022, based on the calculation of free cash flow to equity, the value of the company in 2022 is IDR 2,111,814 per share, while based on the relative valuation the book value is amounting to Rp 2,331,168,- per share. The results of this study can also determine the business valuation in 2025, the value of the company based on calculations using the FCFE method is Rp.2,929,706, - while based on the book value method is Rp.3,383,228,-. To maintain the company's value as projected, Askrindo Syariah needs to implement a company strategy to reach good underwritting quality product

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE, INSTITUSIONAL OWNERSHIP, FREE CASH FLOW AND INVESTMENT EFFICIENCY: EVIDENCE OF INDONESIAN AGRICULTURE FIRM

The purpose of this study is to examine the determinants of investment efficiency with focuses on corporate governance, ownership structure, audit committee and free cash flow as the main factor. The 17 firms of Agriculture sector were selected as the sample from 2007 to 2019, hence this study have an unbalance panel data with total of 178 observations. The listed firm of Agriculture sector still slightly compared to others sectors in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Panel fixed effect model estimation was employed to test the relationship and hypotheses developed. The results show that board size has positive and significant effect on investment efficiency and contrary result to board of commissioners, it has negative insignificant. This indicates that large board size lead to increase the investment decision at optimal level. Moreover, the Audit committee and institutional ownership seem to have negative effect and significantly on investment efficiency. This means that when firms increase the number of audit committee and also the portion of share is owned by institution would lead to decrease investment efficiency. However, free cash flow have positive and significantly affect investment efficiency. This finding supports the expected hypothesis, which is increase the FCF lead to increase the investment efficiency and in this case, the managers act to maximize the firm value.

Pengaruh Capital Intencity Ratio, Free Cash Flow, Leverage Terhadap Manajemen Laba Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di BEI Periode 2018-2020

Latar belakang: Manajemen merupakan tindakan yang dilakukan oleh manajemen perusahaan untuk memengaruhi laba yang dilaporkan. Variabel yang diduga dapat memengaruhi manajemen laba yaitu capital intencity rasio, free cash flow dan leverage. Tujuan penelitian: Untuk mengetahui pengaruh capital intencity rasio, free cash flow dan leverage terhadap manajemen laba. Metode penelitian: Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode kuantitatif. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) yang tergabung dalam indeks LQ45. Hasil penelitian: Berdasarkan hasil analisa yang dilakukan uji simultan F didapatkan hasil signifikasi sebesar 0.016 yang lebih kecil dari 0.05 yang berarti bahwa variabel independen (capital intensy rasio, free cash flow dan leverage) berpengaruh terhadap variabel devenden. Kesimpulan: Variabel independen capital intency rasio berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap variabel dependen manajemen laba. Variabel free cash flow berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap variabel dependen yaitu manajeman laba. Leverage berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap variabel dependen yaitu manajeman laba.